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BUD GOODE'S SPORTS COMPUTER - P.O. BOX 1567, STUDIO CITY, CALIF. 91604 REPORT 3 NATIONAL FOOTBALL LEAGUE PROJECTED SCORING - 2001 WEEK 17 - 01/21/02 Bud Goode Sports Computer, Copyright 2002, All Rights Reserved. DATA YR 2001 PRED. WEEK 17 PRIOR YR 2000 SCHED YR 2001 WEIGHT = 0.000 ---------------------------------------WEEK---------------------------------------- --PREDICTION-- 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 W L T PCT. --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- -------- ----- *****NATIONAL CONFERENCE***** EASTERN DIVISION A A A A A A A A 11- 5-0 *0.688 OPPONENT STL SEA DAL ARI BYE NYG OAK ARI MIN DAL WAS K C S D WAS S F NYG T B 1. PHILADELPHIA PREDICTED - 4 + 5 +12 +11 0 + 6 + 4 + 8 +14 + 9 +11 + 6 + 9 + 6 - 6 +10 + 1 11- 5-0 0.688 ACTUAL - 3 +24 +22 - 1 0 + 1 -10 +14 +31 +33 -10 +13 +10 +14 -10 + 3 + 4 11- 5-0 0.688 A A A A A A A A 8- 8-0 *0.500 OPPONENT S D G B K C NYG DAL CAR NYG SEA BYE DEN PHI DAL ARI PHI CHI N O ARI 2. WASHINGTON PREDICTED - 4 -12 + 1 - 3 + 1 + 8 + 1 - 1 0 - 5 -11 + 4 - 2 - 6 - 7 - 1 + 4 8- 8-0 0.500 ACTUAL -27 -37 -32 -14 - 2 + 3 +14 +13 0 + 7 +10 - 6 +10 -14 - 5 +30 + 3 8- 8-0 0.500 A A A A A A A A 7- 9-0 *0.438 OPPONENT DEN K C N O WAS STL PHI WAS DAL ARI MIN OAK BYE DAL ARI SEA PHI G B 3. N.Y. GIANTS PREDICTED - 2 - 1 + 5 + 3 -14 - 6 - 1 + 5 + 1 + 2 - 3 0 + 1 + 5 + 1 -10 - 6 7- 9-0 0.438 ACTUAL -11 +10 + 8 +14 - 1 - 1 -14 + 3 + 7 -12 -18 0 - 7 + 4 + 3 - 3 - 9 7- 9-0 0.438 A A A A A A A A 7- 9-0 *0.438 OPPONENT BYE DEN ATL PHI CHI K C DAL PHI NYG DET S D OAK WAS NYG DAL CAR WAS 4. ARIZONA PREDICTED 0 - 2 + 4 -11 -12 - 1 - 1 - 8 - 1 + 9 - 6 -10 + 2 - 5 + 4 + 3 - 4 7- 9-0 0.438 ACTUAL 0 -21 -20 + 1 - 7 + 8 -14 -14 - 7 + 7 + 3 + 3 -10 - 4 + 7 +23 - 3 7- 9-0 0.438 A A A A A A A A 5-11-0 *0.313 OPPONENT T B S D PHI OAK WAS BYE ARI NYG ATL PHI DEN WAS NYG SEA ARI S F DET 5. DALLAS PREDICTED - 6 - 3 -12 -10 - 1 0 + 1 - 5 - 1 - 9 - 2 - 4 - 1 - 7 - 4 -11 + 3 5-11-0 0.313 ACTUAL - 4 -11 -22 - 7 + 2 0 +14 - 3 - 7 -33 - 2 + 6 + 7 -26 - 7 + 6 - 5 5-11-0 0.313 CENTRAL DIVISION ---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- A A A A A A A A 13- 3-0 *0.813 OPPONENT BAL MIN BYE ATL ARI CIN S F CLE G B T B MIN DET G B T B WAS DET JAC 1. CHICAGO PREDICTED + 5 +14 0 +12 +12 +10 - 1 +10 + 1 + 3 +10 +20 - 4 + 7 + 7 +15 +10 13- 3-0 0.813 ACTUAL -11 + 7 0 +28 + 7 +24 + 6 + 6 - 8 + 3 + 7 + 3 -10 +24 + 5 +24 +20 13- 3-0 0.813 A A A A A A A A 12- 4-0 *0.750 OPPONENT DET WAS CAR T B BAL MIN BYE T B CHI ATL DET JAC CHI TEN CLE MIN NYG 2. GREEN BAY PREDICTED +20 +12 +16 + 4 + 9 +12 0 + 8 - 1 +17 +17 + 6 + 4 + 8 +12 +16 + 6 12- 4-0 0.750 ACTUAL +22 +37 +21 - 4 + 8 -22 0 + 1 + 8 - 3 + 2 + 7 +10 - 6 +23 +11 + 9 12- 4-0 0.750 A A A A A A A A 9- 7-0 *0.563 OPPONENT DAL BYE MIN G B TEN PIT MIN G B DET CHI STL CIN DET CHI N O BAL PHI 3. TAMPA BAY PREDICTED + 6 0 + 6 - 4 + 3 - 3 + 9 - 8 +11 - 3 -11 + 4 +15 - 7 +10 + 5 - 1 9- 7-0 0.563 ACTUAL + 4 0 - 4 + 4 - 3 - 7 +27 - 1 + 3 - 3 + 7 + 3 + 3 -24 +27 +12 - 4 9- 7-0 0.563 A A A A A A A A 5-11-0 *0.313 OPPONENT CAR CHI T B N O DET G B T B BYE PHI NYG CHI PIT TEN DET JAC G B BAL 4. MINNESOTA PREDICTED + 5 -14 - 6 - 2 + 7 -12 - 9 0 -14 - 2 -10 -15 - 1 + 3 - 2 -16 - 9 5-11-0 0.313 ACTUAL -11 - 7 + 4 -13 + 5 +22 -27 0 -31 +12 - 7 - 5 +18 - 3 -30 -11 -16 5-11-0 0.313 A A A A A A A A 2-14-0 *0.125 OPPONENT G B CLE BYE STL MIN TEN CIN S F T B ARI G B CHI T B MIN PIT CHI DAL 5. DETROIT PREDICTED -20 -10 0 -21 - 7 - 6 - 4 -22 -11 - 9 -17 -20 -15 - 3 -21 -15 - 3 2-14-0 0.125 ACTUAL -22 -10 0 -35 - 5 - 3 - 4 - 8 - 3 - 7 - 2 - 3 - 3 + 3 -33 -24 + 5 2-14-0 0.125 ---------------------------------------WEEK---------------------------------------- --PREDICTION-- 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 W L T PCT. --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- -------- ----- WESTERN DIVISION ---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- A A A A A A A A 14- 2-0 *0.875 OPPONENT PHI S F MIA DET NYG NYJ N O BYE CAR N E T B ATL S F N O CAR IND ATL 1. ST. LOUIS PREDICTED + 4 + 1 +11 +21 +14 + 8 +18 0 +23 + 3 +11 +15 + 5 +14 +18 +18 +21 14- 2-0 0.875 ACTUAL + 3 + 4 +32 +35 + 1 +20 - 3 0 +34 + 7 - 7 +29 +13 +13 + 6 +25 +18 14- 2-0 0.875 A A A A A A A A 12- 4-0 *0.750 OPPONENT ATL STL NYJ CAR ATL BYE CHI DET N O CAR IND BUF STL MIA PHI DAL N O 2. S. FRANCISCO PREDICTED +17 - 1 + 7 +20 +14 0 + 1 +22 +16 +17 +11 +20 - 5 +10 + 6 +11 +11 12- 4-0 0.750 ACTUAL + 3 - 4 + 2 +10 + 6 0 - 6 + 8 + 1 + 3 +19 +35 -13 +21 +10 - 6 +38 12- 4-0 0.750 A A A A A A A A 7- 9-0 *0.438 OPPONENT BUF BYE NYG MIN CAR ATL STL NYJ S F IND N E CAR ATL STL T B WAS S F 3. NEW ORLEANS PREDICTED + 2 0 - 5 + 2 + 3 + 3 -18 - 4 -16 + 1 -14 + 7 - 1 -14 -10 + 1 -11 7- 9-0 0.438 ACTUAL +18 0 - 8 +13 + 2 - 7 + 3 - 7 - 1 +14 -17 + 4 +18 -13 -27 -30 -38 7- 9-0 0.438 A A A A A A A A 7- 9-0 *0.438 OPPONENT S F CAR ARI CHI S F N O BYE N E DAL G B CAR STL N O IND BUF MIA STL 4. ATLANTA PREDICTED -17 + 4 - 4 -12 -14 - 3 0 -11 + 1 -17 + 1 -15 + 1 - 5 + 4 -11 -21 7- 9-0 0.438 ACTUAL - 3 + 8 +20 -28 - 6 + 7 0 -14 + 7 + 3 + 3 -29 -18 -14 + 3 - 7 -18 7- 9-0 0.438 A A A A A A A A 1-15-0 *0.063 OPPONENT MIN ATL G B S F N O WAS NYJ MIA STL S F ATL N O BUF BYE STL ARI N E 5. CAROLINA PREDICTED - 5 - 4 -16 -20 - 3 - 8 - 9 -13 -23 -17 - 1 - 7 - 4 0 -18 - 3 -13 1-15-0 0.063 ACTUAL +11 - 8 -21 -10 - 2 - 3 - 1 -17 -34 - 3 - 3 - 4 - 1 0 - 6 -23 -32 1-15-0 0.063 BUD GOODE'S SPORTS COMPUTER - P.O. BOX 1567, STUDIO CITY, CALIF. 91604 REPORT 3 NATIONAL FOOTBALL LEAGUE PROJECTED SCORING - 2001 WEEK 17 - 01/21/02 Bud Goode Sports Computer, Copyright 2002, All Rights Reserved. DATA YR 2001 PRED. WEEK 17 PRIOR YR 2000 SCHED YR 2001 WEIGHT = 0.000 ---------------------------------------WEEK---------------------------------------- --PREDICTION-- 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 W L T PCT. --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- -------- ----- *****AMERICAN CONFERENCE***** EASTERN DIVISION A A A A A A A A 11- 5-0 *0.688 OPPONENT CIN NYJ IND MIA S D IND DEN ATL BUF STL N O NYJ CLE BUF MIA BYE CAR 1. NEW ENGLAND PREDICTED + 9 + 6 +12 + 3 + 8 + 8 + 5 +11 +16 - 3 +14 + 3 +10 +12 + 7 0 +13 11- 5-0 0.688 ACTUAL - 6 - 7 +31 -20 + 3 +21 -11 +14 +10 - 7 +17 + 1 +11 + 3 + 7 0 +32 11- 5-0 0.688 A A A A A A A A 11- 5-0 *0.688 OPPONENT TEN OAK STL N E NYJ BYE SEA CAR IND NYJ BUF DEN IND S F N E ATL BUF 2. MIAMI PREDICTED + 3 - 1 -11 - 3 - 1 0 - 1 +13 + 3 + 2 + 7 + 4 + 8 -10 - 7 +11 +12 11- 5-0 0.688 ACTUAL + 8 + 3 -32 +20 - 4 0 + 4 +17 + 3 -24 + 7 +11 +35 -21 - 7 + 7 +27 11- 5-0 0.688 A A A A A A A A 10- 6-0 *0.625 OPPONENT IND N E S F BUF MIA STL CAR N O K C MIA BYE N E PIT CIN IND BUF OAK 3. N.Y. JETS PREDICTED + 6 - 6 - 7 + 8 + 1 - 8 + 9 + 4 + 5 - 2 0 - 3 - 9 + 8 + 2 +12 - 6 10- 6-0 0.625 ACTUAL -21 + 7 - 2 + 6 + 4 -20 + 1 + 7 +20 +24 0 - 1 -11 + 1 + 1 - 5 + 2 10- 6-0 0.625 A A A A A A A A 6-10-0 *0.375 OPPONENT NYJ BUF N E BYE OAK N E K C BUF MIA N O S F BAL MIA ATL NYJ STL DEN 4. INDIANAPOLIS PREDICTED - 6 + 5 -12 0 - 6 - 8 - 4 + 2 - 3 - 1 -11 - 7 - 8 + 5 - 2 -18 - 1 6-10-0 0.375 ACTUAL +21 +16 -31 0 - 5 -21 + 7 +16 - 3 -14 -19 -12 -35 +14 - 1 -25 +19 6-10-0 0.375 A A A A A A A A 3-13-0 *0.188 OPPONENT N O IND PIT NYJ BYE JAC S D IND N E SEA MIA S F CAR N E ATL NYJ MIA 5. BUFFALO PREDICTED - 2 - 5 -14 - 8 0 -10 -10 - 2 -16 - 6 - 7 -20 + 4 -12 - 4 -12 -12 3-13-0 0.188 ACTUAL -18 -16 -17 - 6 0 + 3 - 3 -16 -10 - 3 - 7 -35 + 1 - 3 - 3 + 5 -27 3-13-0 0.188 CENTRAL DIVISION ---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- A A A A A A A A 13- 3-0 *0.813 OPPONENT JAC BYE BUF CIN K C T B TEN BAL CLE JAC TEN MIN NYJ BAL DET CIN CLE 1. PITTSBURGH PREDICTED + 6 0 +14 +13 + 8 + 3 +12 + 9 + 7 +10 + 8 +15 + 9 + 4 +21 + 9 +12 13- 3-0 0.813 ACTUAL -18 0 +17 + 9 + 3 + 7 +27 - 3 + 3 +13 +10 + 5 +11 + 5 +33 - 3 +21 13- 3-0 0.813 A A A A A A A A 10- 6-0 *0.625 OPPONENT CHI CIN DEN TEN G B CLE JAC PIT TEN CLE JAC IND BYE PIT CIN T B MIN 2. BALTIMORE PREDICTED - 5 + 3 - 1 + 4 - 9 + 1 + 2 - 9 + 1 + 4 - 2 + 7 0 - 4 + 7 - 5 + 9 10- 6-0 0.625 ACTUAL +11 -11 + 7 +19 - 8 -10 + 1 + 3 + 6 -10 + 3 +12 0 - 5 +16 -12 +16 10- 6-0 0.625 A A A A A A A A 7- 9-0 *0.438 OPPONENT SEA DET JAC S D CIN BAL BYE CHI PIT BAL CIN TEN N E JAC G B TEN PIT 3. CLEVELAND PREDICTED - 1 +10 - 3 + 1 + 1 - 1 0 -10 - 7 - 4 + 5 + 3 -10 + 1 -12 - 2 -12 7- 9-0 0.438 ACTUAL - 3 +10 + 9 + 4 -10 +10 0 - 6 - 3 +10 +18 -16 -11 - 5 -23 + 3 -21 7- 9-0 0.438 A A A A A A A A 7- 9-0 *0.438 OPPONENT MIA JAC BYE BAL T B DET PIT JAC BAL CIN PIT CLE MIN G B OAK CLE CIN 4. TENNESSEE PREDICTED - 3 - 4 0 - 4 - 3 + 6 -12 - 1 - 1 - 1 - 8 - 3 + 1 - 8 - 9 + 2 + 5 7- 9-0 0.438 ACTUAL - 8 - 7 0 -19 + 3 + 3 -27 + 4 - 6 +13 -10 +16 -18 + 6 + 3 - 3 - 2 7- 9-0 0.438 A A A A A A A A 6-10-0 *0.375 OPPONENT PIT TEN CLE SEA BYE BUF BAL TEN CIN PIT BAL G B CIN CLE MIN K C CHI 5. JACKSONVILLE PREDICTED - 6 + 4 + 3 - 2 0 +10 - 2 + 1 + 6 -10 + 2 - 6 + 2 - 1 + 2 + 4 -10 6-10-0 0.375 ACTUAL +18 + 7 - 9 - 9 0 - 3 - 1 - 4 +17 -13 - 3 - 7 + 4 + 5 +30 - 4 -20 6-10-0 0.375 A A A A A A A A 6-10-0 *0.375 OPPONENT N E BAL S D PIT CLE CHI DET BYE JAC TEN CLE T B JAC NYJ BAL PIT TEN 6. CINCINNATI PREDICTED - 9 - 3 - 6 -13 - 1 -10 + 4 0 - 6 + 1 - 5 - 4 - 2 - 8 - 7 - 9 - 5 6-10-0 0.375 ACTUAL + 6 +11 -14 - 9 +10 -24 + 4 0 -17 -13 -18 - 3 - 4 - 1 -16 + 3 + 2 6-10-0 0.375 ---------------------------------------WEEK---------------------------------------- --PREDICTION-- 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 W L T PCT. --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- -------- ----- WESTERN DIVISION ---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- A A A A A A A A 10- 6-0 *0.625 OPPONENT K C MIA SEA DAL IND BYE PHI DEN SEA S D NYG ARI K C S D TEN DEN NYJ 1. OAKLAND PREDICTED + 5 + 1 + 5 +10 + 6 0 - 4 + 6 + 2 + 6 + 3 +10 + 8 + 1 + 9 + 1 + 6 10- 6-0 0.625 ACTUAL + 3 - 3 +24 + 7 + 5 0 +10 +10 - 7 +10 +18 - 3 + 2 + 7 - 3 - 6 - 2 10- 6-0 0.625 A A A A A A A A 9- 7-0 *0.563 OPPONENT CLE PHI OAK JAC DEN BYE MIA WAS OAK BUF K C S D DEN DAL NYG S D K C 2. SEATTLE PREDICTED + 1 - 5 - 5 + 2 + 2 0 + 1 + 1 - 2 + 6 - 1 + 3 - 2 + 7 - 1 - 3 + 5 9- 7-0 0.563 ACTUAL + 3 -24 -24 + 9 +13 0 - 4 -13 + 7 + 3 -12 + 3 -13 +26 - 3 + 3 + 3 9- 7-0 0.563 A A A A A A A A 8- 8-0 *0.500 OPPONENT NYG ARI BAL K C SEA S D N E OAK S D WAS DAL MIA SEA K C BYE OAK IND 3. DENVER PREDICTED + 2 + 2 + 1 + 3 - 2 - 2 - 5 - 6 + 2 + 5 + 2 - 4 + 2 - 1 0 - 1 + 1 8- 8-0 0.500 ACTUAL +11 +21 - 7 +14 -13 -17 +11 -10 +10 - 7 + 2 -11 +13 - 3 0 + 6 -19 8- 8-0 0.500 A A A A A A A A 6-10-0 *0.375 OPPONENT OAK NYG WAS DEN PIT ARI IND S D NYJ BYE SEA PHI OAK DEN S D JAC SEA 4. KANSAS CITY PREDICTED - 5 + 1 - 1 - 3 - 8 + 1 + 4 - 4 - 5 0 + 1 - 6 - 8 + 1 + 1 - 4 - 5 6-10-0 0.375 ACTUAL - 3 -10 +32 -14 - 3 - 8 - 7 + 5 -20 0 +12 -13 - 2 + 3 + 3 + 4 - 3 6-10-0 0.375 A A A A A A A A 5-11-0 *0.313 OPPONENT WAS DAL CIN CLE N E DEN BUF K C DEN OAK ARI SEA PHI OAK K C SEA BYE 5. SAN DIEGO PREDICTED + 4 + 3 + 6 - 1 - 8 + 2 +10 + 4 - 2 - 6 + 6 - 3 - 9 - 1 - 1 + 3 0 5-11-0 0.313 ACTUAL +27 +11 +14 - 4 - 3 +17 + 3 - 5 -10 -10 - 3 - 3 -10 - 7 - 3 - 3 0 5-11-0 0.313 THE MOST LIKELY NFC LEADERS ARE: PHILADELPHIA (11- 5), CHICAGO (13- 3) AND ST. LOUIS (14- 2) THE MOST LIKELY AFC LEADERS ARE: NEW ENGLAND (11- 5), PITTSBURGH (13- 3) AND OAKLAND (10- 6) THE MOST LIKELY NFC WILD CARD TEAMS ARE S. FRANCISCO, GREEN BAY AND TAMPA BAY THE MOST LIKELY AFC WILD CARD TEAMS ARE MIAMI , N.Y. JETS AND BALTIMORE THE NFC CHAMPION SHOULD BE ST. LOUIS THE AFC CHAMP PITTSBURGH FAVORED BY 4 POINTS, THE SUPER BOWL CHAMP WILL BE ST. LOUIS . OF COURSE ANYTHING CAN HAPPEN IN A PLAYOFF GAME AND INJURIES AFTER THIS WEEK CAN KNOCK ANY TEAM OUT OF THE BOX. BUT BASED ON THE STATS TO DATE ST. LOUIS WILL BE THE SUPER BOWL WINNER. * COMPUTER SEASON PREDICTIONS ARE MADE FOR TWO CONDITIONS: THE THIRD LINE SHOWS THE NUMBER OF GAMES WHERE THE TEAM IS THE PREDICTED 'FAVORITE'. BY DEFINITION THEN THE LEAGUE'S STRONGEST TEAM WOULD BE PREDICTED TO WIN THE MOST IF NOT ALL ITS GAMES. HOWEVER, WE ALL KNOW THAT FAVORITES ARE UPSET 20 TO 25 PERCENT OF THE TIME. SO THE FIRST LINE IS A BETTER ESTIMATE OF THE SEASON W-L RECORD. THIS FIRST LINE IS BASED ON WHAT STATISTICIANS CALL A MONTE CARLO SIMULATION-I.E., THE COMPUTER PLAYS THROUGH THE NFL SCHEDULE 1000 TIMES AND ESTIMATES THE NUMBER OF WINS TAKING INTO CONSIDERATION POSSIBLE UPSETS. TEAMS WITHIN DIVISIONS ARE SORTED BY PREDICTED PERCENTAGES. IN CASE TWO TEAMS ARE TIED IN THE WON/LOSS COLUMN (THIRD LINE) OR ARE TIED WHEN PICKING WILD CARD TEAMS, THE BEST TEAM WILL BE THE PREDICTED WINNER OF THE TWO. BUD GOODE'S SPORTS COMPUTER - P.O. BOX 1567, STUDIO CITY, CALIF. 91604 REPORT 3 NATIONAL FOOTBALL LEAGUE PROJECTED SCORING - 0 WEEK 17 - 01/21/02 Bud Goode Sports Computer, Copyright 2002, All Rights Reserved. DATA YR 2001 PRED. WEEK 17 PRIOR YR 2000 SCHED YR 2001 WEIGHT = 0.000 TEAMS (MATCHING TEAMS MEET THIS WEEK) LEAGUE ----------- ----------- ----------- ----------- ----------- ----------- ----------- ----------- AVERAGE N E STL ------- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- TOTAL RUSHING PL 27.56 29.57 26.00 OPPONENT TOT.RUS 27.56 26.88 22.75 YARDS PER PASS A 5.88 5.86 7.90 OP.YDS.PER PASS 5.90 5.97 5.25 FUM. LOST THIS Y 0.78 0.82 1.38 OPP.FUMBLES RECO 0.78 0.82 0.82 PASSES HAD INTER 1.10 0.94 1.38 OP.PASSES INTERC 1.10 1.38 1.32 QB SACKS.LOTSA O 2.42 2.88 2.51 OP QB SACKED. OU 2.42 2.51 2.94 YDS GAINED ON RE 125.65 126.94116.00 OP YDS GAND ON R 126.14 128.32169.57 PREDICTED POINTS SCORE OFFENSE 20. 23. 31. DEFENSE 20. 17. 19. HOME FIELD ADVANTAGE 0.00 WINNING MARGIN (POINTS) ***** 5.26 ACTUAL POINTS PER GAME OFFENSE 20. 23. 31. DEFENSE 20. 17. 17.
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