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Stat of the Week

Week 15--
The STAT OF THE WEEK feature highlights the one stat contributing most points to the victory.

San Diego Chargers--Indianapolis Colts
Yards Rushing (Net) (206 vs 24) contributed 20.8 points to the 9-point win.

The San Diego Chargers earned 206 rushing yards in Sunday's upset victory over the Indianapolis Colts spoiling their hopes of a perfect season.

By comparison the Colts only earned 24 yards rushing. Big difference.

Before the season began the computer stat analysis tabbed the Colts as the likely Super Bowl Champ. And sticks to that projection. Early in the season they were expected to be favored in all 16 games.

The expected upset logically went to one of their two tough games vs the Pats and Chargers. (SEE ARCHIVES for week-to-week Colt's progress). And they have a tough game this week facing the Seahawks at Seattle where the homefield advantage makes Seattle a slight favorite.

One of the stats which the Colts expected to contribute to this prospective 17-game sweep was the emphasis on RB James' increased use. And indeed the Colt's D was helped by his running game ability to add ball control clock time.

The stat jumped up and bit the Colts on the ankle when San Diego Charger RB Tomlinson dumped 206 tons of grief on their hopes to go undefeated.

The difference in these two ground game performances contributed 20.8 points to the 9-point Charger victory. Ouch.

Yards Rushing (Net)

San Diego Chargers

2007 Week 6 through 2008 Week 11

Yards Rushing (Net)

Indianapolis Colts

2007 Week 6 through 2008 Week 11

Yards Rushing (Net)

Percentile Chart
100=Stongest 50=Average 0=Weakest
Lines: Playoff Avg=56 SuperBowl Avg=42
Win Mrg Points Change
Winning Margin Points Change
Sorted by Points Change, 2007 to 2008

Rank Team Pctl Stat
Value Points
behind
Leader Win Mrg
Pts Chg
vs 2007 Games
Won
1 NYG 100 172.70 0.00 5.77 9
2 ATL 80 153.40 2.90 8.76 6
3 BAL 73 146.80 3.89 5.17 6
4 MIN 65 139.50 4.98 -3.77 5
5 WAS 65 139.40 5.00 3.37 6
6 CAR 59 133.70 5.85 2.96 8
7 TEN 58 132.70 6.00 0.13 10
8 N E 57 132.20 6.08 2.50 6
9 NYJ 50 125.10 7.14 2.82 7
10 OAK 43 118.90 8.07 -1.72 2
11 JAX 42 117.70 8.25 -4.76 4
12 MIA 42 117.50 8.28 3.01 6
13 DAL 40 115.90 8.52 1.02 6
14 T B 39 115.10 8.64 -0.29 7
15 HOU 39 114.30 8.76 2.28 3
16 K C 35 111.00 9.26 4.95 1
17 S F 33 109.50 9.48 2.58 3
18 DEN 33 108.90 9.57 -2.01 6
19 SEA 32 108.30 9.66 1.07 2
20 G B 32 108.30 9.66 1.27 5
21 CHI 32 107.80 9.74 3.70 5
22 CLE 31 107.00 9.86 -1.72 4
23 PIT 23 99.80 10.94 -5.36 7
24 BUF 23 99.60 10.97 -1.94 5
25 STL 19 95.90 11.52 0.07 2
26 PHI 19 95.30 11.61 -4.21 5
27 S D 16 93.10 11.94 -5.15 4
28 N O 15 91.80 12.14 0.03 5
29 ARI 10 86.90 12.87 -0.48 7
30 CIN 6 83.70 13.35 -2.03 1
31 DET 3 80.10 13.89 -0.08 0
32 IND 0 77.70 14.25 -4.34 6
2008 Season, YTD through Week 11

In season 2007 Chargers ranked 7th on Yards Rushing (Net) at 127.44.
In season 2008 they ranked 27th at 93.10, down 5.2 points per game on this one stat.
From 2007 to 2008 Chargers declined by 5.5 points per game on Winning Margin.

Washington Redskins--Dallas Cowboys
QB Sacks (0 vs 7) contributed 19.9 points to the 28-point win.
In our second Stat of the Week game the Redskins' earned a 28-point victory over the Cowboys (7 QB Sacks vs zip for the 'Skins). It will be a long time before Coach Bill Parcells sees that figure again.
But Redskin's Coach Joe Gibbs has been around a long time. He knows Cowboy QB Drew Bledsoe is anchored to the ground. So RUSH'EM. 'Skins D got him 7 times. That's a lotta' ouch.
From a numbers point of view the QB SACK is the most unheralded stat in the game. Each QB sack contributes almost 3 points to the scoring differential. When Coach George Allen of the Rams and Redskins became our first paying client back in '67 he always asked in his letters, "Are the seven key stats still the important ones?" and "What stats are import when we meet the Cowboys?"
The QB sack has always played an important role in separating winners from losers. Assume your team attempts to pass on first down and your QB is dumped. Back in the '60s the average sack lost 8 1/4 yards. So now you face second down and 18. Typically that leads to a punt. And a punt is a give up.
Tough to score when you don't own the ball.
Bud Goode

QB Sacks
Washington Redskins
2007 Week 6 through 2008 Week 11

QB Sacks
Dallas Cowboys
2007 Week 6 through 2008 Week 11

QB Sacks

Percentile Chart
100=Stongest 50=Average 0=Weakest
Lines: Playoff Avg=58 SuperBowl Avg=58
Win Mrg Points Change
Winning Margin Points Change
Sorted by Points Change, 2007 to 2008

Rank Team Pctl Stat
Value Points
behind
Leader Win Mrg
Pts Chg
vs 2007 Games
Won
1 TEN 100 0.60 0.00 4.51 10
2 DEN 94 0.80 0.71 4.25 6
3 N O 94 0.80 0.71 0.71 5
4 IND 84 1.10 1.77 1.19 6
5 T B 84 1.10 1.77 4.07 7
6 CLE 81 1.20 2.12 -0.04 4
7 ATL 81 1.20 2.12 6.15 6
8 NYG 81 1.20 2.12 1.95 9
9 CAR 78 1.30 2.48 2.70 8
10 S D 75 1.40 2.83 0.35 4
11 PHI 72 1.50 3.19 5.53 5
12 DAL 66 1.70 3.89 -0.49 6
13 BAL 62 1.80 4.25 2.26 6
14 ARI 62 1.80 4.25 -1.06 7
15 CHI 62 1.80 4.25 3.14 5
16 NYJ 59 1.90 4.60 5.00 7
17 MIA 56 2.00 4.96 1.77 6
18 G B 53 2.10 5.31 -3.23 5
19 SEA 50 2.20 5.66 0.18 2
20 HOU 44 2.40 6.37 -3.63 3
21 BUF 41 2.50 6.73 -3.10 5
22 JAX 37 2.60 7.08 -2.35 4
23 WAS 37 2.60 7.08 -2.79 6
24 MIN 31 2.80 7.79 -1.73 5
25 K C 31 2.80 7.79 2.26 1
26 STL 19 3.20 9.20 -0.71 2
27 N E 16 3.30 9.56 -7.04 6
28 OAK 16 3.30 9.56 -2.61 2
29 PIT 9 3.50 10.27 -1.99 7
30 S F 6 3.60 10.62 -0.58 3
31 DET 3 3.70 10.97 -1.37 0
32 CIN 0 3.80 11.33 -9.69 1
2008 Season, YTD through Week 11

In season 2007 Redskins ranked 13th on QB Sacks at 1.81.
In season 2008 they ranked 22nd at 2.60, down 2.8 points per game on this one stat.
From 2007 to 2008 Redskins declined by 1.6 points per game on Winning Margin.

Pittsburgh Steelers--Minnesota Vikings
Total Rushing Plays (39 vs 17) contributed 15.9 points to the 15-point win.

Total Rushing Plays
Pittsburgh Steelers
2007 Week 6 through 2008 Week 11

Total Rushing Plays
Minnesota Vikings
2007 Week 6 through 2008 Week 11

Total Rushing Plays

Percentile Chart
100=Stongest 50=Average 0=Weakest
Lines: Playoff Avg=56 SuperBowl Avg=45
Win Mrg Points Change
Winning Margin Points Change
Sorted by Points Change, 2007 to 2008

Rank Team Pctl Stat
Value Points
behind
Leader Win Mrg
Pts Chg
vs 2007 Games
Won
1 BAL 100 36.90 0.00 10.74 6
2 ATL 86 34.70 2.62 12.66 6
3 TEN 78 33.50 4.05 -0.52 10
4 NYG 74 32.80 4.88 4.15 9
5 N E 66 31.60 6.31 4.06 6
6 MIN 64 31.20 6.78 0.31 5
7 CAR 61 30.70 7.38 2.99 8
8 WAS 56 30.00 8.21 -1.34 6
9 CHI 47 28.50 10.00 2.45 5
10 JAX 47 28.50 10.00 -4.91 4
11 NYJ 45 28.20 10.35 0.39 7
12 T B 44 28.10 10.47 0.04 7
13 MIA 44 28.00 10.59 4.24 6
14 OAK 41 27.60 11.07 -4.94 2
15 PIT 41 27.60 11.07 -5.16 7
16 G B 39 27.30 11.42 3.63 5
17 BUF 34 26.50 12.38 -1.79 5
18 DAL 32 26.10 12.85 -0.10 6
19 CLE 31 26.00 12.97 -1.79 4
20 SEA 29 25.70 13.33 -1.40 2
21 HOU 26 25.20 13.92 -1.03 3
22 ARI 26 25.20 13.92 0.01 7
23 N O 25 25.10 14.04 0.71 5
24 S F 25 25.00 14.16 3.20 3
25 K C 21 24.40 14.88 0.55 1
26 S D 21 24.40 14.88 -7.04 4
27 DEN 21 24.40 14.88 -2.87 6
28 CIN 20 24.20 15.11 -2.14 1
29 PHI 18 23.90 15.47 -2.87 5
30 STL 16 23.60 15.83 -1.96 2
31 IND 8 22.40 17.26 -6.52 6
32 DET 0 21.10 18.80 0.94 0
2008 Season, YTD through Week 11

In season 2007 Steelers ranked 3rd on Total Rushing Plays at 31.94.
In season 2008 they ranked 14th at 27.60, down 5.2 points per game on this one stat.
From 2007 to 2008 Steelers declined by 1.9 points per game on Winning Margin.