BudGoodeSports.com

"The Number 1 Name for Statistical Analysis in Sports"

NFC: Most UP

Through Week 12 this stat contributed 7.5 points
to this season's 14.2-point change UP:

Green Bay Packers

Pct Comp(+QB Sacks) with Winning Margin
Yearly 2000 to 2007

Green Bay Packers

In season 2006 Packers ranked 25th on Pct Comp(+QB Sacks) at 53.52.
In season 2007 they ranked 2nd at 66.44, up 7.49 points per game on this one stat.
From 2006 to 2007 Packers improved by 14.2 points per game on Winning Margin.

Week 12

NFC MOST UP

The Green Bay Packers are the NFC's most improved team adding 14.2 points per game to their scoring differential. QB Brett Favre's elbow and shoulder injuries will not keep him out of the Oakland game. So it is likely they will finish the season without another loss. Expected W/L record remains at 14-2 (see season long projection matrix in our Predict Report for their remaining schedule).

They have a lock on a divisional championship.

The stat contributing most to their improvement is another measure of passing efficiency (Percent Complete, QB sacks counted as unsuccessful attempts). The Packers are earning 7.49 yards per toss (only 2 points per game behind the league leading New England Patriots).

The stat graphic above pictures the season-to-season close correlation with the winning margin. This 2007 season is especially dramatic with both W/M and Brett Favre's completion percentage bursting upward.

It is likely the Packers will get another crack at the towering Dallas Cowboys. QB Favre played less than half the Thursday game before going out on an injury. He'll be back.

And the Pack will be back. Dallas would appear, statistically, to be their only hurdle on the way for Brett Favre to take the Pack to the Super Bowl.

Bud Goode

NFC: Most DOWN

Through Week 12 this stat contributed -10 points
to this season's -13.5-point change DOWN.

Chicago Bears

Points per Pass Att Diff with Winning Margin
Yearly 2000 to 2007

Chicago Bears

In season 2006 Bears ranked 2nd on Points per Pass Att Diff at 0.39.
In season 2007 they ranked 21st at -0.14, down 9.96 points per game on this one stat.
From 2006 to 2007 Bears declined by 13.5 points per game on Winning Margin.

Week 12
NFC MOST DOWN
The Chicago Bears once again appear at the top of our NFC Most Down feature on our Killer Stat II (Points per Pass) linked to their scoring differential. The stat graphic above explains, in part, a major statistical reason why they have no shot at the playoffs.
The Bears' Points per Pass, a general measure of both the run/pass balance and the key group of Killer Stats we identify as Passing Efficiency measures pictured above shows Chicago's performance on both Winning Margin and our Points per Pass differential are closely linked.
But it is true for all teams. If you want to be the first kid on the block to know if your fav team has a crack at the playoffs, see the picture in our Killer Stat II, 8 Divisional Charts feature (scroll down for all divisions).
The Bears need to patch a lot of stucco.
Bud Goode