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Predict Report - Subjective Mods, Weighted

2004 Scoring Projection Matrix: Week 6

Note: Please read our disclaimer--we strongly discourage you from using this report for betting purposes.
                      BUD GOODE'S SPORTS COMPUTER - P.O. BOX 1567, STUDIO CITY, CALIF. 91604
 REPORT 3                         NATIONAL FOOTBALL LEAGUE PROJECTED SCORING - 2004                    WEEK  6 - 10/12/04
                           Bud Goode Sports Computer, Copyright 1990, All Rights Reserved.
                                DATA YR 2004 PRED. WEEK  6 PRIOR YR 2003 SCHED YR 2004                 WEIGHT = 0.500


                                ---------------------------------------WEEK----------------------------------------   --PREDICTION--
                                 1    2    3    4    5    6    7    8    9    10   11   12   13   14   15   16   17    W  L  T  PCT.
                                ---  ---  ---  ---  ---  ---  ---  ---  ---  ---  ---  ---  ---  ---  ---  ---  ---   -------- -----
 *****NATIONAL CONFERENCE*****
 EASTERN DIVISION
                                            A    A              A         A    A         A         A         A        14- 2-0 *0.875
                     OPPONENT   NYG  MIN  DET  CHI  BYE  CAR  CLE  BAL  PIT  DAL  WAS  NYG  G B  WAS  DAL  STL  CIN
    1. PHILADELPHIA  PREDICTED  + 7  + 1  + 2  + 4    0  + 3  + 2  + 2  - 1  + 4  + 6  + 3  + 7  + 1  + 9  - 1  + 7   14- 2-0  0.875
                     ACTUAL     +14  +11  +17  +10    0    0    0    0    0    0    0    0    0    0    0    0    0    4- 0-0  1.000
 
                                       A         A         A              A         A    A              A    A         8- 8-0 *0.500
                     OPPONENT   T B  NYG  DAL  CLE  BAL  CHI  BYE  G B  DET  CIN  PHI  PIT  NYG  PHI  S F  DAL  MIN
    2. WASHINGTON    PREDICTED  + 6  + 1  + 4  - 1  - 2  + 1    0  + 3  - 2  + 2  - 6  - 5  + 4  - 1  + 1  - 1  - 2    6-10-0  0.375
                     ACTUAL     + 6  - 6  - 3  - 4  - 7    0    0    0    0    0    0    0    0    0    0    0    0    1- 4-0  0.200
 
                                  A              A    A              A         A              A    A         A         8- 8-0 *0.500
                     OPPONENT   PHI  WAS  CLE  G B  DAL  BYE  DET  MIN  CHI  ARI  ATL  PHI  WAS  BAL  PIT  CIN  DAL
    3. N.Y. GIANTS   PREDICTED  - 7  - 1  - 1  - 2  - 1    0  + 1  - 8  + 3  + 1  - 4  - 3  - 4  - 8  - 2  - 4  + 3    8- 8-0  0.500
                     ACTUAL     -14  + 6  +17  + 7  +16    0    0    0    0    0    0    0    0    0    0    0    0    4- 1-0  0.800
 
                                  A         A                   A         A         A         A         A         A    5-11-0 *0.313
                     OPPONENT   MIN  CLE  WAS  BYE  NYG  PIT  G B  DET  CIN  PHI  BAL  CHI  SEA  N O  PHI  WAS  NYG
    4. DALLAS        PREDICTED  - 8  - 1  - 4    0  + 1  - 3  - 3  - 1  - 4  - 4  - 8  + 2  -13  + 4  - 9  + 1  - 3    5-11-0  0.313
                     ACTUAL     -18  + 7  + 3    0  -16    0    0    0    0    0    0    0    0    0    0    0    0    2- 2-0  0.500

 NORTHERN DIVISION              ----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
                                       A              A    A              A    A              A         A         A   11- 5-0 *0.688
                     OPPONENT   DAL  PHI  CHI  BYE  HOU  N O  TEN  NYG  IND  G B  DET  JAC  CHI  SEA  DET  G B  WAS
    1. MINNESOTA     PREDICTED  + 8  - 1  + 8    0  + 9  + 7  + 3  + 8  - 5  + 4  + 7  +10  + 4  - 1  + 2  + 9  + 2   13- 3-0  0.813
                     ACTUAL     +18  -11  + 5    0  + 6    0    0    0    0    0    0    0    0    0    0    0    0    3- 1-0  0.750
 
                                  A                   A         A    A         A    A              A              A    9- 7-0 *0.563
                     OPPONENT   CHI  HOU  PHI  BYE  ATL  G B  NYG  DAL  WAS  JAC  MIN  IND  ARI  G B  MIN  CHI  TEN
    2. DETROIT       PREDICTED  + 1  + 7  - 2    0  - 6  + 3  - 1  + 1  + 2  + 1  - 7  - 6  + 7  - 1  - 2  + 5  - 6    9- 7-0  0.563
                     ACTUAL     + 4  +12  -17    0  + 7    0    0    0    0    0    0    0    0    0    0    0    0    3- 1-0  0.750
 
                                  A         A              A         A              A         A              A    A    6-10-0 *0.375
                     OPPONENT   CAR  CHI  IND  NYG  TEN  DET  DAL  WAS  BYE  MIN  HOU  STL  PHI  DET  JAC  MIN  CHI
    3. GREEN BAY     PREDICTED  - 5  + 2  -11  + 2  - 3  - 3  + 3  - 3    0  - 4  + 2  - 1  - 7  + 1  + 4  - 9  - 2    5-11-0  0.313
                     ACTUAL     +10  -11  -14  - 7  -21    0    0    0    0    0    0    0    0    0    0    0    0    1- 4-0  0.200
 
                                       A    A                   A         A    A         A         A         A         4-12-0 *0.250
                     OPPONENT   DET  G B  MIN  PHI  BYE  WAS  T B  S F  NYG  TEN  IND  DAL  MIN  JAC  HOU  DET  G B
    4. CHICAGO       PREDICTED  - 1  - 2  - 8  - 4    0  - 1  + 1  + 3  - 3  - 8  - 8  - 2  - 4  - 2  + 6  - 5  + 2    5-11-0  0.313
                     ACTUAL     - 4  +11  - 5  -10    0    0    0    0    0    0    0    0    0    0    0    0    0    1- 3-0  0.250

 SOUTHERN DIVISION              ----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
                                  A              A              A    A              A         A              A    A   12- 4-0 *0.750
                     OPPONENT   S F  STL  ARI  CAR  DET  S D  K C  DEN  BYE  T B  NYG  N O  T B  OAK  CAR  N O  SEA
    1. ATLANTA       PREDICTED  + 6  + 4  +10  + 1  + 6  + 7  - 2  - 1    0  +11  + 4  +10  + 7  +14  + 4  + 5  - 7   12- 4-0  0.750
                     ACTUAL     + 2  +17  + 3  +17  - 7    0    0    0    0    0    0    0    0    0    0    0    0    4- 1-0  0.800
 
                                       A              A    A         A         A              A         A    A         9- 7-0 *0.563
                     OPPONENT   G B  K C  BYE  ATL  DEN  PHI  S D  SEA  OAK  S F  ARI  T B  N O  STL  ATL  T B  N O
    2. CAROLINA      PREDICTED  + 5  - 3    0  - 1  - 2  - 3  + 5  - 8  +12  + 3  +10  +10  + 4  + 4  - 4  + 5  + 9   10- 6-0  0.625
                     ACTUAL     -10  +11    0  -17  - 3    0    0    0    0    0    0    0    0    0    0    0    0    1- 3-0  0.250
 
                                            A    A              A         A              A         A    A         A    5-11-0 *0.313
                     OPPONENT   SEA  S F  STL  ARI  T B  MIN  OAK  BYE  S D  K C  DEN  ATL  CAR  DAL  T B  ATL  CAR
    3. NEW ORLEANS   PREDICTED  -11  + 1  - 6  - 1  + 3  - 7  + 2    0  - 5  - 6  - 5  -10  - 4  - 4  - 1  - 5  - 9    3-13-0  0.188
                     ACTUAL     -14  + 3  + 3  -24  - 3    0    0    0    0    0    0    0    0    0    0    0    0    2- 3-0  0.400
 
                                  A         A         A    A                   A         A         A              A    5-11-0 *0.313
                     OPPONENT   WAS  SEA  OAK  DEN  N O  STL  CHI  BYE  K C  ATL  S F  CAR  ATL  S D  N O  CAR  ARI
    4. TAMPA BAY     PREDICTED  - 6  -12  + 1  - 7  - 3  - 8  - 1    0  - 7  -11  + 1  -10  - 7  - 6  + 1  - 5  - 3    3-13-0  0.188
                     ACTUAL     - 6  - 4  -10  - 3  + 3    0    0    0    0    0    0    0    0    0    0    0    0    1- 4-0  0.200



                                ---------------------------------------WEEK----------------------------------------   --PREDICTION--
                                 1    2    3    4    5    6    7    8    9    10   11   12   13   14   15   16   17    W  L  T  PCT.
                                ---  ---  ---  ---  ---  ---  ---  ---  ---  ---  ---  ---  ---  ---  ---  ---  ---   -------- -----

 WESTERN DIVISION               ----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
                                  A    A                   A    A         A    A                   A    A             13- 3-0 *0.813
                     OPPONENT   N O  T B  S F  BYE  STL  N E  ARI  CAR  S F  STL  MIA  BUF  DAL  MIN  NYJ  ARI  ATL
    1. SEATTLE       PREDICTED  +11  +12  +13    0  + 9  - 3  +11  + 8  + 9  + 5  +14  + 8  +13  + 1  + 1  +16  + 7   14- 2-0  0.875
                     ACTUAL     +14  + 4  +34    0  - 6    0    0    0    0    0    0    0    0    0    0    0    0    3- 1-0  0.750
 
                                       A         A    A         A                   A    A         A    A              9- 7-0 *0.563
                     OPPONENT   ARI  ATL  N O  S F  SEA  T B  MIA  BYE  N E  SEA  BUF  G B  S F  CAR  ARI  PHI  NYJ
    2. ST. LOUIS     PREDICTED  + 7  - 4  + 6  + 2  - 9  + 8  + 3    0  - 6  - 5  - 4  + 1  + 6  - 4  + 3  + 1  - 1    9- 7-0  0.563
                     ACTUAL     + 7  -17  - 3  +10  + 6    0    0    0    0    0    0    0    0    0    0    0    0    3- 2-0  0.600
 
                                       A    A              A         A              A         A    A              A    5-11-0 *0.313
                     OPPONENT   ATL  N O  SEA  STL  ARI  NYJ  BYE  CHI  SEA  CAR  T B  MIA  STL  ARI  WAS  BUF  N E
    3. S. FRANCISCO  PREDICTED  - 6  - 1  -13  - 2  + 4  -10    0  - 3  - 9  - 3  - 1  + 3  - 6  - 1  - 1  - 3  -15    2-14-0  0.125
                     ACTUAL     - 2  - 3  -34  -10  + 3    0    0    0    0    0    0    0    0    0    0    0    0    1- 4-0  0.200
 
                                  A         A         A              A    A         A         A              A         2-14-0 *0.125
                     OPPONENT   STL  N E  ATL  N O  S F  BYE  SEA  BUF  MIA  NYG  CAR  NYJ  DET  S F  STL  SEA  T B
    4. ARIZONA       PREDICTED  - 7  -13  -10  + 1  - 4    0  -11  - 9  - 3  - 1  -10  - 8  - 7  + 1  - 3  -16  + 3    3-13-0  0.188
                     ACTUAL     - 7  -11  - 3  +24  - 3    0    0    0    0    0    0    0    0    0    0    0    0    1- 4-0  0.200
                      BUD GOODE'S SPORTS COMPUTER - P.O. BOX 1567, STUDIO CITY, CALIF. 91604
 REPORT 3                         NATIONAL FOOTBALL LEAGUE PROJECTED SCORING - 2004                    WEEK  6 - 10/12/04
                           Bud Goode Sports Computer, Copyright 1990, All Rights Reserved.
                                DATA YR 2004 PRED. WEEK  6 PRIOR YR 2003 SCHED YR 2004                 WEIGHT = 0.500


                                ---------------------------------------WEEK----------------------------------------   --PREDICTION--
                                 1    2    3    4    5    6    7    8    9    10   11   12   13   14   15   16   17    W  L  T  PCT.
                                ---  ---  ---  ---  ---  ---  ---  ---  ---  ---  ---  ---  ---  ---  ---  ---  ---   -------- -----
 *****AMERICAN CONFERENCE*****
 EASTERN DIVISION
                                       A         A                   A    A         A         A         A    A        13- 3-0 *0.813
                     OPPONENT   IND  ARI  BYE  BUF  MIA  SEA  NYJ  PIT  STL  BUF  K C  BAL  CLE  CIN  MIA  NYJ  S F
    1. NEW ENGLAND   PREDICTED  + 3  +13    0  + 6  +15  + 3  + 6  + 5  + 6  + 9  + 3  + 8  + 7  +12  +11  + 2  +15   16- 0-0  1.000
                     ACTUAL     + 3  +11    0  +14  +14    0    0    0    0    0    0    0    0    0    0    0    0    4- 0-0  1.000
 
                                       A         A              A         A         A    A         A              A   12- 4-0 *0.750
                     OPPONENT   CIN  S D  BYE  MIA  BUF  S F  N E  MIA  BUF  BAL  CLE  ARI  HOU  PIT  SEA  N E  STL
    2. N.Y. JETS     PREDICTED  + 7  + 5    0  + 7  + 4  +10  - 6  +11  + 1  + 4  + 3  + 8  +13  + 1  - 1  - 2  + 1   13- 3-0  0.813
                     ACTUAL     + 7  + 6    0  + 8  + 2    0    0    0    0    0    0    0    0    0    0    0    0    4- 0-0  1.000
 
                                       A              A         A              A         A    A         A    A         5-11-0 *0.313
                     OPPONENT   JAC  OAK  BYE  N E  NYJ  MIA  BAL  ARI  NYJ  N E  STL  SEA  MIA  CLE  CIN  S F  PIT
    3. BUFFALO       PREDICTED  + 6  + 9    0  - 6  - 4  + 8  - 3  + 9  - 1  - 9  + 4  - 8  + 4  + 5  + 1  + 3  + 3    8- 8-0  0.500
                     ACTUAL     - 3  - 3    0  -14  - 2    0    0    0    0    0    0    0    0    0    0    0    0    0- 4-0  0.000
 
                                       A              A    A         A              A    A         A              A    3-13-0 *0.188
                     OPPONENT   TEN  CIN  PIT  NYJ  N E  BUF  STL  NYJ  ARI  BYE  SEA  S F  BUF  DEN  N E  CLE  BAL
    4. MIAMI         PREDICTED  - 6  - 5  - 5  - 7  -15  - 8  - 3  -11  + 3    0  -14  - 3  - 4  -10  -11  - 1  -10    1-15-0  0.063
                     ACTUAL     -10  - 3  -10  - 8  -14    0    0    0    0    0    0    0    0    0    0    0    0    0- 5-0  0.000

 NORTHERN DIVISION              ----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
                                  A         A         A              A         A         A              A    A        10- 6-0 *0.625
                     OPPONENT   CLE  PIT  CIN  K C  WAS  BYE  BUF  PHI  CLE  NYJ  DAL  N E  CIN  NYG  IND  PIT  MIA
    1. BALTIMORE     PREDICTED  + 3  + 3  + 3  + 1  + 2    0  + 3  - 2  + 6  - 4  + 8  - 8  + 6  + 8  - 7  - 2  +10    9- 7-0  0.563
                     ACTUAL     -17  +17  +14  - 3  + 7    0    0    0    0    0    0    0    0    0    0    0    0    3- 2-0  0.600
 
                                       A    A              A                   A    A         A         A         A    9- 7-0 *0.563
                     OPPONENT   OAK  BAL  MIA  CIN  CLE  DAL  BYE  N E  PHI  CLE  CIN  WAS  JAC  NYJ  NYG  BAL  BUF
    2. PITTSBURGH    PREDICTED  +11  - 3  + 5  + 4  + 4  + 3    0  - 5  + 1  + 1  + 1  + 5  + 3  - 1  + 2  + 2  - 3   12- 4-0  0.750
                     ACTUAL     + 3  -17  +10  +11  +11    0    0    0    0    0    0    0    0    0    0    0    0    4- 1-0  0.800
 
                                       A    A         A                   A              A         A         A    A    8- 8-0 *0.500
                     OPPONENT   BAL  DAL  NYG  WAS  PIT  CIN  PHI  BYE  BAL  PIT  NYJ  CIN  N E  BUF  S D  MIA  HOU
    3. CLEVELAND     PREDICTED  - 3  + 1  + 1  + 1  - 4  + 2  - 2    0  - 6  - 1  - 3  - 2  - 7  - 5  + 4  + 1  + 3    6-10-0  0.375
                     ACTUAL     +17  - 7  -17  + 4  -11    0    0    0    0    0    0    0    0    0    0    0    0    2- 3-0  0.400
 
                                  A              A         A         A         A              A    A              A    6-10-0 *0.375
                     OPPONENT   NYJ  MIA  BAL  PIT  BYE  CLE  DEN  TEN  DAL  WAS  PIT  CLE  BAL  N E  BUF  NYG  PHI
    4. CINCINNATI    PREDICTED  - 7  + 5  - 3  - 4    0  - 2  - 2  - 5  + 4  - 2  - 1  + 2  - 6  -12  - 1  + 4  - 7    4-12-0  0.250
                     ACTUAL     - 7  + 3  -14  -11    0    0    0    0    0    0    0    0    0    0    0    0    0    1- 3-0  0.250

 SOUTHERN DIVISION              ----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
                                  A    A         A                   A              A    A         A              A   13- 3-0 *0.813
                     OPPONENT   N E  TEN  G B  JAC  OAK  BYE  JAC  K C  MIN  HOU  CHI  DET  TEN  HOU  BAL  S D  DEN
    1. INDIANAPOLIS  PREDICTED  - 3  + 3  +11  + 9  +17    0  +12  + 2  + 5  +16  + 8  + 6  + 7  +11  + 7  +12  + 2   15- 1-0  0.938
                     ACTUAL     - 3  +14  +14  + 7  +21    0    0    0    0    0    0    0    0    0    0    0    0    4- 1-0  0.800
 
                                  A              A    A         A                   A    A    A         A              9- 7-0 *0.563
                     OPPONENT   MIA  IND  JAC  S D  G B  HOU  MIN  CIN  BYE  CHI  JAC  HOU  IND  K C  OAK  DEN  DET
    2. TENNESSEE     PREDICTED  + 6  - 3  + 7  + 3  + 3  +11  - 3  + 5    0  + 8  + 4  + 7  - 7  + 1  + 8  + 3  + 6   11- 5-0  0.688
                     ACTUAL     +10  -14  - 3  -21  +21    0    0    0    0    0    0    0    0    0    0    0    0    2- 3-0  0.400
 
                                  A         A         A         A    A                   A              A         A    7- 9-0 *0.438
                     OPPONENT   BUF  DEN  TEN  IND  S D  K C  IND  HOU  BYE  DET  TEN  MIN  PIT  CHI  G B  HOU  OAK
    3. JACKSONVILLE  PREDICTED  - 6  - 5  - 7  - 9  - 3  - 5  -12  + 1    0  - 1  - 4  -10  - 3  + 2  - 4  + 6  + 2    7- 9-0  0.438
                     ACTUAL     + 3  + 1  + 3  - 7  -13    0    0    0    0    0    0    0    0    0    0    0    0    3- 2-0  0.600
 
                                       A    A              A              A    A              A         A    A         4-12-0 *0.250
                     OPPONENT   S D  DET  K C  OAK  MIN  TEN  BYE  JAC  DEN  IND  G B  TEN  NYJ  IND  CHI  JAC  CLE
    4. HOUSTON       PREDICTED  - 3  - 7  -11  + 3  - 9  -11    0  - 1  -11  -16  - 2  - 7  -13  -11  - 6  - 6  - 3    2-14-0  0.125
                     ACTUAL     - 7  -12  + 3  +13  - 6    0    0    0    0    0    0    0    0    0    0    0    0    2- 3-0  0.400



                                ---------------------------------------WEEK----------------------------------------   --PREDICTION--
                                 1    2    3    4    5    6    7    8    9    10   11   12   13   14   15   16   17    W  L  T  PCT.
                                ---  ---  ---  ---  ---  ---  ---  ---  ---  ---  ---  ---  ---  ---  ---  ---  ---   -------- -----

 WESTERN DIVISION               ----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
                                       A         A         A    A                   A         A         A    A        12- 4-0 *0.750
                     OPPONENT   K C  JAC  S D  T B  CAR  OAK  CIN  ATL  HOU  BYE  N O  OAK  S D  MIA  K C  TEN  IND
    1. DENVER        PREDICTED  + 1  + 5  + 6  + 7  + 2  + 9  + 2  + 1  +11    0  + 5  +13  + 2  +10  - 4  - 3  - 2   12- 4-0  0.750
                     ACTUAL     +10  - 1  +10  + 3  + 3    0    0    0    0    0    0    0    0    0    0    0    0    4- 1-0  0.800
 
                                  A              A         A              A    A              A    A              A   10- 6-0 *0.625
                     OPPONENT   DEN  CAR  HOU  BAL  BYE  JAC  ATL  IND  T B  N O  N E  S D  OAK  TEN  DEN  OAK  S D
    2. KANSAS CITY   PREDICTED  - 1  + 3  +11  - 1    0  + 5  + 2  - 2  + 7  + 6  - 3  + 8  + 9  - 1  + 4  +15  + 3   10- 6-0  0.625
                     ACTUAL     -10  -11  - 3  + 3    0    0    0    0    0    0    0    0    0    0    0    0    0    1- 3-0  0.250
 
                                  A         A              A    A                   A    A              A    A         6-10-0 *0.375
                     OPPONENT   HOU  NYJ  DEN  TEN  JAC  ATL  CAR  OAK  N O  BYE  OAK  K C  DEN  T B  CLE  IND  K C
    3. SAN DIEGO     PREDICTED  + 3  - 5  - 6  - 3  + 3  - 7  - 5  + 8  + 5    0  + 4  - 8  - 2  + 6  - 4  -12  - 3    7- 9-0  0.438
                     ACTUAL     + 7  - 6  -10  +21  +13    0    0    0    0    0    0    0    0    0    0    0    0    3- 2-0  0.600
 
                                  A              A    A              A    A              A         A         A         4-12-0 *0.250
                     OPPONENT   PIT  BUF  T B  HOU  IND  DEN  N O  S D  CAR  BYE  S D  DEN  K C  ATL  TEN  K C  JAC
    4. OAKLAND       PREDICTED  -11  - 9  - 1  - 3  -17  - 9  - 2  - 8  -12    0  - 4  -13  - 9  -14  - 8  -15  - 2    2-14-0  0.125
                     ACTUAL     - 3  + 3  +10  -13  -21    0    0    0    0    0    0    0    0    0    0    0    0    2- 3-0  0.400

 THE MOST LIKELY NFC LEADERS ARE: PHILADELPHIA (14- 2), MINNESOTA    (11- 5)ATLANTA      (12- 4) AND SEATTLE      (13- 3)
 THE MOST LIKELY AFC LEADERS ARE: NEW ENGLAND  (13- 3), BALTIMORE    (10- 6)INDIANAPOLIS (13- 3) AND DENVER       (12- 4)

 THE MOST LIKELY NFC WILD CARD TEAMS ARE CAROLINA     AND ST. LOUIS   
 THE MOST LIKELY AFC WILD CARD TEAMS ARE N.Y. JETS    AND KANSAS CITY 

 THE NFC CHAMPION SHOULD BE PHILADELPHIA   THE AFC CHAMP NEW ENGLAND 
 FAVORED BY  6 POINTS, THE SUPER BOWL CHAMP WILL BE NEW ENGLAND .

   OF COURSE ANYTHING CAN HAPPEN IN A PLAYOFF GAME AND INJURIES
 AFTER THIS WEEK CAN KNOCK ANY TEAM OUT OF THE BOX. BUT BASED ON
 THE STATS TO DATE NEW ENGLAND  WILL BE THE SUPER BOWL WINNER.



 * COMPUTER SEASON PREDICTIONS ARE MADE FOR TWO CONDITIONS:    
 THE THIRD LINE SHOWS THE NUMBER OF GAMES WHERE THE TEAM IS 
 THE PREDICTED 'FAVORITE'. BY DEFINITION THEN THE LEAGUE'S 
 STRONGEST TEAM WOULD BE PREDICTED TO WIN THE MOST IF NOT ALL 
 ITS GAMES. 
     HOWEVER, WE ALL KNOW THAT FAVORITES ARE UPSET 20 TO 25 
 PERCENT OF THE TIME. SO THE FIRST LINE IS A BETTER ESTIMATE 
 OF THE SEASON W-L RECORD. THIS FIRST LINE IS BASED ON WHAT 
 STATISTICIANS CALL A MONTE CARLO SIMULATION-I.E., THE COMPUTER
 PLAYS THROUGH THE NFL SCHEDULE 1000 TIMES AND ESTIMATES THE 
 NUMBER OF WINS TAKING INTO CONSIDERATION POSSIBLE UPSETS.
     TEAMS WITHIN DIVISIONS ARE SORTED BY SIMULATED PERCENTAGES.
 IN CASE TWO TEAMS ARE TIED IN THE WON/LOSS COLUMN (THIRD LINE)
 OR ARE TIED WHEN PICKING WILD CARD TEAMS, THE BEST TEAM WILL
 BE THE SIMULATED WINNER OF THE TWO.
                      BUD GOODE'S SPORTS COMPUTER - P.O. BOX 1567, STUDIO CITY, CALIF. 91604
 REPORT 3                         NATIONAL FOOTBALL LEAGUE PROJECTED SCORING -    0                    WEEK  6 - 10/12/04
                           Bud Goode Sports Computer, Copyright 1990, All Rights Reserved.
                                DATA YR 2004 PRED. WEEK  6 PRIOR YR 2003 SCHED YR 2004                 WEIGHT = 0.500


                                                                  TEAMS (MATCHING TEAMS MEET THIS WEEK)
                 LEAGUE     -----------  -----------  -----------  -----------  -----------  -----------  -----------  -----------
                 AVERAGE     CIN   CLE    DEN   OAK    G B   DET    K C   JAC    MIA   BUF    MIN   N O    PIT   DAL    S D   ATL
                 -------    ----- -----  ----- -----  ----- -----  ----- -----  ----- -----  ----- -----  ----- -----  ----- -----
 TOTAL RUSHING PL  27.99    28.79 25.88  33.37 24.42  28.55 24.63  30.57 27.34  26.82 26.85  27.41 25.80  31.84 28.60  27.64 29.80
 OPPONENT TOT.RUS  27.95    30.41 29.69  24.85 33.01  28.01 27.72  29.29 29.72  30.99 26.75  22.47 30.80  27.97 25.91  28.29 27.40
 YARDS PER PASS A   6.02     5.43  5.15   6.32  5.54   6.68  5.07   6.32  5.93   5.25  5.12   7.61  6.10   6.34  6.37   6.07  5.30
 OP.YDS.PER PASS    6.01     6.27  6.36   5.38  6.97   6.44  6.47   6.21  6.20   4.98  5.81   6.63  6.33   5.54  5.56   6.32  6.43
 FUM. LOST THIS Y   0.76     0.60  0.87   0.49  0.88   0.95  0.25   0.32  0.64   1.07  0.91   0.72  1.23   0.75  0.75   0.68  0.92
 OPP.FUMBLES RECO   0.78     1.07  0.62   0.55  0.55   0.55  1.41   0.50  0.68   0.54  0.50   0.72  1.01   0.95  0.50   0.62  1.21
 PASSES HAD INTER   0.95     1.35  0.97   0.97  1.34   1.46  1.00   0.75  0.94   1.60  0.91   0.54  0.45   0.94  1.16   0.80  0.96
 OP.PASSES INTERC   0.95     0.69  1.07   0.39  0.74   0.96  0.97   1.41  0.67   1.09  0.69   0.88  0.64   1.04  0.79   0.81  0.87
 QB SACKS.LOTSA O   2.21     2.54  2.56   1.09  2.45   0.90  1.85   1.66  1.88   2.47  3.97   2.94  1.83   2.12  1.79   1.71  2.80
 OP QB SACKED. OU   2.22     1.69  1.70   2.03  1.99   1.77  2.88   2.26  1.25   2.58  1.94   2.29  2.31   2.27  2.38   1.84  3.03
 YDS GAINED ON RE 124.07   108.66112.90 103.69143.72 132.70136.26 122.25100.70 116.39113.57 130.16128.07 140.52131.47 150.11139.35
 OP YDS GAND ON R 125.28   149.10113.61 141.19146.07 131.82131.35 175.01 99.10  88.32103.82 141.97127.10 124.89105.35 125.66 92.65

 PREDICTED POINTS SCORE
 OFFENSE             22.      24.   19.    22.   18.    23.   22.    28.   16.    14.   21.    28.   20.    22.   18.    24.   26.
 DEFENSE             21.      24.   19.    18.   25.    24.   22.    23.   19.    17.   18.    23.   23.    19.   20.    25.   21.

 HOME FIELD ADVANTAGE              1.73         1.73         1.73         1.73         1.73         1.73         1.73         1.73
 WINNING MARGIN (POINTS)    *****  1.87   8.84 *****  *****  3.03   5.27 *****  *****  8.06   6.51 *****   2.98 *****  *****  6.93

 ACTUAL POINTS PER GAME
 OFFENSE             20.      17.   16.    20.   19.    20.   20.    22.   15.     8.   13.    28.   18.    22.   17.    28.   20.
 DEFENSE             20.      24.   19.    15.   24.    28.   18.    28.   17.    17.   18.    24.   25.    19.   23.    23.   13.


                      BUD GOODE'S SPORTS COMPUTER - P.O. BOX 1567, STUDIO CITY, CALIF. 91604
 REPORT 3                         NATIONAL FOOTBALL LEAGUE PROJECTED SCORING -    0                    WEEK  6 - 10/12/04
                           Bud Goode Sports Computer, Copyright 1990, All Rights Reserved.
                                DATA YR 2004 PRED. WEEK  6 PRIOR YR 2003 SCHED YR 2004                 WEIGHT = 0.500


                                                                  TEAMS (MATCHING TEAMS MEET THIS WEEK)
                 LEAGUE     -----------  -----------  -----------  -----------  -----------  -----------  -----------  -----------
                 AVERAGE     S F   NYJ    SEA   N E    T B   STL    WAS   CHI    CAR   PHI    HOU   TEN
                 -------    ----- -----  ----- -----  ----- -----  ----- -----  ----- -----  ----- -----  ----- -----  ----- -----
 TOTAL RUSHING PL  27.99    26.90 28.16  30.66 30.16  24.26 24.85  27.36 27.35  28.66 24.91  27.66 30.59
 OPPONENT TOT.RUS  27.95    28.53 28.94  24.88 26.29  29.70 27.08  29.65 28.41  31.94 23.54  30.36 21.39
 YARDS PER PASS A   6.02     5.88  6.67   6.43  6.81   5.93  6.58   5.13  5.10   6.49  6.47   6.76  6.27
 OP.YDS.PER PASS    6.01     6.25  6.16   5.41  5.14   5.21  5.93   5.96  6.28   5.75  5.29   6.91  6.38
 FUM. LOST THIS Y   0.76     1.12  0.44   0.54  0.72   0.69  0.90   1.08  0.91   0.72  0.60   0.79  0.58
 OPP.FUMBLES RECO   0.78     0.54  0.91   1.00  0.88   0.71  0.79   0.71  0.54   0.44  0.91   0.45  0.81
 PASSES HAD INTER   0.95     0.97  0.69   0.75  0.91   1.09  1.22   1.00  1.00   1.13  0.47   0.97  0.49
 OP.PASSES INTERC   0.95     0.92  1.10   1.50  1.54   0.93  0.86   0.94  0.97   0.88  0.54   0.94  1.26
 QB SACKS.LOTSA O   2.21     2.48  1.72   2.22  1.63   2.32  2.55   2.55  2.60   1.60  2.47   2.53  1.89
 OP QB SACKED. OU   2.22     2.32  2.35   2.76  3.29   1.73  2.12   2.05  1.69   2.01  3.44   1.60  1.89
 YDS GAINED ON RE 124.07   132.11115.04 104.60116.75 111.87122.29 109.88143.97 113.88113.10 154.76107.20
 OP YDS GAND ON R 125.28   120.40135.29 130.63142.97 130.11153.03 126.44110.94 114.04135.04 132.15114.89

 PREDICTED POINTS SCORE
 OFFENSE             22.      22.   25.    25.   26.    17.   24.    22.   18.    24.   28.    20.   24.
 DEFENSE             21.      25.   20.    16.   16.    22.   22.    22.   20.    21.   24.    26.   21.

 HOME FIELD ADVANTAGE              1.73         1.73         1.73         1.73         1.73         1.73
 WINNING MARGIN (POINTS)    *****  9.81  *****  2.96  *****  7.85   0.53 *****  *****  2.92  ***** 10.64

 ACTUAL POINTS PER GAME
 OFFENSE             20.      18.   25.    23.   26.    14.   23.    14.   17.    17.   27.    24.   22.
 DEFENSE             20.      27.   19.    12.   16.    18.   23.    17.   19.    22.   14.    25.   24.


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