Predict Report - Weighted
Bud Goode Sports, Copyright 2009, All Rights Reserved.
DATA YR 2009 PRED. WEEK 9 PRIOR YR 2008 SCHED YR 2009
WEIGHT = 0.000
PREDICTIONS FOR
WEEK 9, 11/03/09
ATLANTA
WK OPP PRE ACT SCORE
1 MIA 5 12 19 7
2 CAR 10 8 28 20
3 N E -9 -16 10 26
5 S F 1 35 45 10
6 CHI 7 7 21 14
7 DAL -4 -16 21 37
8 N O -16 -8 27 35
9 WAS 9
10 CAR 7
11 NYG 1
12 TAM 19
13 PHI -1
14 N O -11
15 NYJ -4
16 BUF 12
17 TAM 14
--PREDICTION--
W L T PCT.
10 6 0 0.625
--SIMULATION--
W L PCT.
9 7 0.563
PRE = PREDICTED
WINNING
MARGIN
ACT = ACTUAL
WINNING
MARGIN
OPP = OPPONENT
1 PREDICTIONS FOR
WEEK 9, 11/03/09
INDIANAPOLIS
WK OPP PRE ACT SCORE
1 JAC 21 2 14 12
2 MIA 13 4 27 23
3 ARI 14 21 31 10
4 SEA 18 17 34 17
5 TEN 25 22 31 9
7 STL 29 36 42 6
8 S F 15 4 18 14
9 HOU 14
10 N E 5
11 BAL 3
12 HOU 10
13 TEN 29
14 DEN 11
15 JAC 18
16 NYJ 12
17 BUF 17
--PREDICTION--
W L T PCT.
16 0 0 1.000
--SIMULATION--
W L PCT.
15 1 0.938
PREDICTIONS FOR
WEEK 9, 11/03/09
BUFFALO
WK OPP PRE ACT SCORE
1 N E -18 -1 24 25
2 TAM 8 13 33 20
3 N O -22 -20 7 27
4 MIA -8 -28 10 38
5 CLE 12 -3 3 6
6 NYJ -12 3 16 13
7 CAR -2 11 20 9
8 HOU -6 -21 10 31
10 TEN 4
11 JAC -2
12 MIA -4
13 NYJ -8
14 K C 1
15 N E -14
16 ATL -12
17 IND -17
--PREDICTION--
W L T PCT.
5 11 0 0.313
--SIMULATION--
W L PCT.
5 11 0.313
1 PREDICTIONS FOR
WEEK 9, 11/03/09
CHICAGO
WK OPP PRE ACT SCORE
1 G B -7 -6 15 21
2 PIT -4 3 17 14
3 SEA -1 6 25 19
4 DET 12 24 48 24
6 ATL -7 -7 14 21
7 CIN -8 -35 10 45
8 CLE 17 24 30 6
9 ARI 2
10 S F -5
11 PHI -6
12 MIN -11
13 STL 18
14 G B -4
15 BAL -13
16 MIN -6
17 DET 7
--PREDICTION--
W L T PCT.
7 9 0 0.438
--SIMULATION--
W L PCT.
8 8 0.500
PREDICTIONS FOR
WEEK 9, 11/03/09
CINCINNATI
WK OPP PRE ACT SCORE
1 DEN 1 -5 7 12
2 G B -1 7 31 24
3 PIT 2 3 23 20
4 CLE 20 3 23 20
5 BAL -5 3 17 14
6 HOU 5 -11 17 28
7 CHI 8 35 45 10
9 BAL -1
10 PIT -1
11 OAK 18
12 CLE 24
13 DET 19
14 MIN -5
15 S D 1
16 K C 17
17 NYJ -2
--PREDICTION--
W L T PCT.
10 6 0 0.625
--SIMULATION--
W L PCT.
11 5 0.688
1 PREDICTIONS FOR
WEEK 9, 11/03/09
BALTIMORE
WK OPP PRE ACT SCORE
1 K C 19 14 38 24
2 S D 6 5 31 26
3 CLE 26 31 34 3
4 N E -4 -6 21 27
5 CIN 5 -3 14 17
6 MIN -1 -2 31 33
8 DEN 4 23 30 7
9 CIN 1
10 CLE 23
11 IND -3
12 PIT 7
13 G B 1
14 DET 23
15 CHI 13
16 PIT 2
17 OAK 20
--PREDICTION--
W L T PCT.
12 4 0 0.750
--SIMULATION--
W L PCT.
10 6 0.625
PREDICTIONS FOR
WEEK 9, 11/03/09
DALLAS
WK OPP PRE ACT SCORE
1 TAM 17 13 34 21
2 NYG 6 -2 31 33
3 CAR 12 14 21 7
4 DEN -2 -7 10 17
5 K C 13 6 26 20
7 ATL 4 16 37 21
8 SEA 10 21 38 17
9 PHI -3
10 G B -2
11 WAS 11
12 OAK 23
13 NYG 2
14 S D 7
15 N O -15
16 WAS 6
17 PHI 2
--PREDICTION--
W L T PCT.
11 5 0 0.688
--SIMULATION--
W L PCT.
11 5 0.688
1 PREDICTIONS FOR
WEEK 9, 11/03/09
DENVER
WK OPP PRE ACT SCORE
1 CIN -1 5 12 7
2 CLE 24 21 27 6
3 OAK 19 20 23 3
4 DAL 2 7 17 10
5 N E -3 3 20 17
6 S D 3 11 34 23
8 BAL -4 -23 7 30
9 PIT 4
10 WAS 8
11 S D 7
12 NYG 8
13 K C 13
14 IND -11
15 OAK 24
16 PHI -3
17 K C 19
--PREDICTION--
W L T PCT.
13 3 0 0.813
--SIMULATION--
W L PCT.
13 3 0.813
PREDICTIONS FOR
WEEK 9, 11/03/09
DETROIT
WK OPP PRE ACT SCORE
1 N O -30 -18 27 45
2 MIN -18 -14 13 27
3 WAS -7 5 19 14
4 CHI -12 -24 24 48
5 PIT -14 -8 20 28
6 G B -18 -26 0 26
8 STL 7 -7 10 17
9 SEA -11
10 MIN -21
11 CLE 7
12 G B -14
13 CIN -19
14 BAL -23
15 ARI -8
16 S F -16
17 CHI -7
--PREDICTION--
W L T PCT.
2 14 0 0.125
--SIMULATION--
W L PCT.
2 14 0.125
1 PREDICTIONS FOR
WEEK 9, 11/03/09
GREEN BAY
WK OPP PRE ACT SCORE
1 CHI 7 6 21 15
2 CIN 1 -7 24 31
3 STL 20 19 36 17
4 MIN -4 -7 23 30
6 DET 18 26 26 0
7 CLE 19 28 31 3
8 MIN -1 -12 26 38
9 TAM 16
10 DAL 2
11 S F 6
12 DET 14
13 BAL -1
14 CHI 4
15 PIT -2
16 SEA 10
17 ARI 3
--PREDICTION--
W L T PCT.
11 5 0 0.688
--SIMULATION--
W L PCT.
10 6 0.625
PREDICTIONS FOR
WEEK 9, 11/03/09
TENNESSEE
WK OPP PRE ACT SCORE
1 PIT -18 -3 10 13
2 HOU -13 -3 31 34
3 NYJ -18 -7 17 24
4 JAC -8 -20 17 37
5 IND -25 -22 9 31
6 N E -25 -59 0 59
8 JAC -4 17 30 13
9 S F -16
10 BUF -4
11 HOU -17
12 ARI -9
13 IND -29
14 STL 7
15 MIA -10
16 S D -11
17 SEA -13
--PREDICTION--
W L T PCT.
2 14 0 0.125
--SIMULATION--
W L PCT.
2 14 0.125
1 PREDICTIONS FOR
WEEK 9, 11/03/09
KANSAS CITY
WK OPP PRE ACT SCORE
1 BAL -19 -14 24 38
2 OAK 7 -3 10 13
3 PHI -18 -20 14 34
4 NYG -9 -11 16 27
5 DAL -13 -6 20 26
6 WAS -8 8 14 6
7 S D -9 -30 7 37
9 JAC -5
10 OAK 3
11 PIT -11
12 S D -13
13 DEN -13
14 BUF -1
15 CLE 10
16 CIN -17
17 DEN -19
--PREDICTION--
W L T PCT.
3 13 0 0.188
--SIMULATION--
W L PCT.
4 12 0.250
PREDICTIONS FOR
WEEK 9, 11/03/09
ST. LOUIS
WK OPP PRE ACT SCORE
1 SEA -16 -28 0 28
2 WAS -14 -2 7 9
3 G B -20 -19 17 36
4 S F -19 -35 0 35
5 MIN -22 -28 10 38
6 JAC -12 -3 20 23
7 IND -29 -36 6 42
8 DET -7 7 17 10
10 N O -32
11 ARI -14
12 SEA -12
13 CHI -18
14 TEN -7
15 HOU -16
16 ARI -19
17 S F -15
--PREDICTION--
W L T PCT.
1 15 0 0.063
--SIMULATION--
W L PCT.
1 15 0.063
1 PREDICTIONS FOR
WEEK 9, 11/03/09
MIAMI
WK OPP PRE ACT SCORE
1 ATL -5 -12 7 19
2 IND -13 -4 23 27
3 S D -2 -10 13 23
4 BUF 8 28 38 10
5 NYJ -3 4 31 27
7 N O -16 -12 34 46
8 NYJ -6 5 30 25
9 N E -13
10 TAM 15
11 CAR 3
12 BUF 4
13 N E -8
14 JAC 4
15 TEN 10
16 HOU 1
17 PIT -1
--PREDICTION--
W L T PCT.
9 7 0 0.563
--SIMULATION--
W L PCT.
8 8 0.500
PREDICTIONS FOR
WEEK 9, 11/03/09
MINNESOTA
WK OPP PRE ACT SCORE
1 CLE 22 14 34 20
2 DET 18 14 27 13
3 S F 8 3 27 24
4 G B 4 7 30 23
5 STL 22 28 38 10
6 BAL 1 2 33 31
7 PIT 1 -10 17 27
8 G B 1 12 38 26
10 DET 21
11 SEA 12
12 CHI 11
13 ARI 6
14 CIN 5
15 CAR 10
16 CHI 6
17 NYG 10
--PREDICTION--
W L T PCT.
15 1 0 0.938
--SIMULATION--
W L PCT.
14 2 0.875
1 PREDICTIONS FOR
WEEK 9, 11/03/09
NEW ENGLAND
WK OPP PRE ACT SCORE
1 BUF 18 1 25 24
2 NYJ 5 -7 9 16
3 ATL 9 16 26 10
4 BAL 4 6 27 21
5 DEN 3 -3 17 20
6 TEN 25 59 59 0
7 TAM 22 28 35 7
9 MIA 13
10 IND -5
11 NYJ 9
12 N O -9
13 MIA 8
14 CAR 19
15 BUF 14
16 JAC 20
17 HOU 6
--PREDICTION--
W L T PCT.
12 4 0 0.750
--SIMULATION--
W L PCT.
12 4 0.750
PREDICTIONS FOR
WEEK 9, 11/03/09
NEW ORLEANS
WK OPP PRE ACT SCORE
1 DET 30 18 45 27
2 PHI 9 26 48 22
3 BUF 22 20 27 7
4 NYJ 14 14 24 10
6 NYG 19 21 48 27
7 MIA 16 12 46 34
8 ATL 16 8 35 27
9 CAR 25
10 STL 32
11 TAM 28
12 N E 9
13 WAS 19
14 ATL 11
15 DAL 15
16 TAM 33
17 CAR 20
--PREDICTION--
W L T PCT.
16 0 0 1.000
--SIMULATION--
W L PCT.
16 0 1.000
1 PREDICTIONS FOR
WEEK 9, 11/03/09
N.Y. GIANTS
WK OPP PRE ACT SCORE
1 WAS 5 6 23 17
2 DAL -6 2 33 31
3 TAM 12 24 24 0
4 K C 9 11 27 16
5 OAK 17 37 44 7
6 N O -19 -21 27 48
7 ARI 3 -7 17 24
8 PHI -8 -23 17 40
9 S D 2
11 ATL -1
12 DEN -8
13 DAL -2
14 PHI -4
15 WAS 2
16 CAR 9
17 MIN -10
--PREDICTION--
W L T PCT.
8 8 0 0.500
--SIMULATION--
W L PCT.
8 8 0.500
PREDICTIONS FOR
WEEK 9, 11/03/09
N.Y. JETS
WK OPP PRE ACT SCORE
1 HOU 1 17 24 7
2 N E -5 7 16 9
3 TEN 18 7 24 17
4 N O -14 -14 10 24
5 MIA 3 -4 27 31
6 BUF 12 -3 13 16
7 OAK 17 38 38 0
8 MIA 6 -5 25 30
10 JAC 13
11 N E -9
12 CAR 13
13 BUF 8
14 TAM 15
15 ATL 4
16 IND -12
17 CIN 2
--PREDICTION--
W L T PCT.
10 6 0 0.625
--SIMULATION--
W L PCT.
9 7 0.563
1 PREDICTIONS FOR
WEEK 9, 11/03/09
OAKLAND
WK OPP PRE ACT SCORE
1 S D -14 -4 20 24
2 K C -7 3 13 10
3 DEN -19 -20 3 23
4 HOU -18 -23 6 29
5 NYG -17 -37 7 44
6 PHI -20 4 13 9
7 NYJ -17 -38 0 38
8 S D -18 -8 16 24
10 K C -3
11 CIN -18
12 DAL -23
13 PIT -21
14 WAS -9
15 DEN -24
16 CLE -1
17 BAL -20
--PREDICTION--
W L T PCT.
2 14 0 0.125
--SIMULATION--
W L PCT.
3 13 0.188
PREDICTIONS FOR
WEEK 9, 11/03/09
PHILADELPHIA
WK OPP PRE ACT SCORE
1 CAR 11 28 38 10
2 N O -9 -26 22 48
3 K C 18 20 34 14
5 TAM 21 19 33 14
6 OAK 20 -4 9 13
7 WAS 9 10 27 17
8 NYG 8 23 40 17
9 DAL 3
10 S D 4
11 CHI 6
12 WAS 13
13 ATL 1
14 NYG 4
15 S F 8
16 DEN 3
17 DAL -2
--PREDICTION--
W L T PCT.
13 3 0 0.813
--SIMULATION--
W L PCT.
12 4 0.750
1 PREDICTIONS FOR
WEEK 9, 11/03/09
PITTSBURGH
WK OPP PRE ACT SCORE
1 TEN 18 3 13 10
2 CHI 4 -3 14 17
3 CIN -2 -3 20 23
4 S D 5 10 38 28
5 DET 14 8 28 20
6 CLE 22 13 27 14
7 MIN -1 10 27 17
9 DEN -4
10 CIN 1
11 K C 11
12 BAL -7
13 OAK 21
14 CLE 18
15 G B 2
16 BAL -2
17 MIA 1
--PREDICTION--
W L T PCT.
11 5 0 0.688
--SIMULATION--
W L PCT.
11 5 0.688
PREDICTIONS FOR
WEEK 9, 11/03/09
ARIZONA
WK OPP PRE ACT SCORE
1 S F -1 -4 16 20
2 JAC 4 14 31 17
3 IND -14 -21 10 31
5 HOU -2 7 28 21
6 SEA -1 24 27 3
7 NYG -3 7 24 17
8 CAR 7 -13 21 34
9 CHI -2
10 SEA 4
11 STL 14
12 TEN 9
13 MIN -6
14 S F -5
15 DET 8
16 STL 19
17 G B -3
--PREDICTION--
W L T PCT.
9 7 0 0.563
--SIMULATION--
W L PCT.
9 7 0.563
1 PREDICTIONS FOR
WEEK 9, 11/03/09
SAN DIEGO
WK OPP PRE ACT SCORE
1 OAK 14 4 24 20
2 BAL -6 -5 26 31
3 MIA 2 10 23 13
4 PIT -5 -10 28 38
6 DEN -3 -11 23 34
7 K C 9 30 37 7
8 OAK 18 8 24 16
9 NYG -2
10 PHI -4
11 DEN -7
12 K C 13
13 CLE 15
14 DAL -7
15 CIN -1
16 TEN 11
17 WAS 7
--PREDICTION--
W L T PCT.
8 8 0 0.500
--SIMULATION--
W L PCT.
9 7 0.563
PREDICTIONS FOR
WEEK 9, 11/03/09
S. FRANCISCO
WK OPP PRE ACT SCORE
1 ARI 1 4 20 16
2 SEA 5 13 23 10
3 MIN -8 -3 24 27
4 STL 19 35 35 0
5 ATL -1 -35 10 45
7 HOU -3 -3 21 24
8 IND -15 -4 14 18
9 TEN 16
10 CHI 5
11 G B -6
12 JAC 10
13 SEA 1
14 ARI 5
15 PHI -8
16 DET 16
17 STL 15
--PREDICTION--
W L T PCT.
10 6 0 0.625
--SIMULATION--
W L PCT.
10 6 0.625
1 PREDICTIONS FOR
WEEK 9, 11/03/09
SEATTLE
WK OPP PRE ACT SCORE
1 STL 16 28 28 0
2 S F -5 -13 10 23
3 CHI 1 -6 19 25
4 IND -18 -17 17 34
5 JAC 5 41 41 0
6 ARI 1 -24 3 27
8 DAL -10 -21 17 38
9 DET 11
10 ARI -4
11 MIN -12
12 STL 12
13 S F -1
14 HOU -7
15 TAM 13
16 G B -10
17 TEN 13
--PREDICTION--
W L T PCT.
6 10 0 0.375
--SIMULATION--
W L PCT.
7 9 0.438
PREDICTIONS FOR
WEEK 9, 11/03/09
TAMPA BAY
WK OPP PRE ACT SCORE
1 DAL -17 -13 21 34
2 BUF -8 -13 20 33
3 NYG -12 -24 0 24
4 WAS -11 -3 13 16
5 PHI -21 -19 14 33
6 CAR -6 -7 21 28
7 N E -22 -28 7 35
9 G B -16
10 MIA -15
11 N O -28
12 ATL -19
13 CAR -10
14 NYJ -15
15 SEA -13
16 N O -33
17 ATL -14
--PREDICTION--
W L T PCT.
0 16 0 0.000
--SIMULATION--
W L PCT.
0 16 0.000
1 PREDICTIONS FOR
WEEK 9, 11/03/09
WASHINGTON
WK OPP PRE ACT SCORE
1 NYG -5 -6 17 23
2 STL 14 2 9 7
3 DET 7 -5 14 19
4 TAM 11 3 16 13
5 CAR 1 -3 17 20
6 K C 8 -8 6 14
7 PHI -9 -10 17 27
9 ATL -9
10 DEN -8
11 DAL -11
12 PHI -13
13 N O -19
14 OAK 9
15 NYG -2
16 DAL -6
17 S D -7
--PREDICTION--
W L T PCT.
3 13 0 0.188
--SIMULATION--
W L PCT.
4 12 0.250
PREDICTIONS FOR
WEEK 9, 11/03/09
CAROLINA
WK OPP PRE ACT SCORE
1 PHI -11 -28 10 38
2 ATL -10 -8 20 28
3 DAL -12 -14 7 21
5 WAS -1 3 20 17
6 TAM 6 7 28 21
7 BUF 2 -11 9 20
8 ARI -7 13 34 21
9 N O -25
10 ATL -7
11 MIA -3
12 NYJ -13
13 TAM 10
14 N E -19
15 MIN -10
16 NYG -9
17 N O -20
--PREDICTION--
W L T PCT.
4 12 0 0.250
--SIMULATION--
W L PCT.
5 11 0.313
1 PREDICTIONS FOR
WEEK 9, 11/03/09
JACKSONVILLE
WK OPP PRE ACT SCORE
1 IND -21 -2 12 14
2 ARI -4 -14 17 31
3 HOU -10 7 31 24
4 TEN 8 20 37 17
5 SEA -5 -41 0 41
6 STL 12 3 23 20
8 TEN 4 -17 13 30
9 K C 5
10 NYJ -13
11 BUF 2
12 S F -10
13 HOU -6
14 MIA -4
15 IND -18
16 N E -20
17 CLE 7
--PREDICTION--
W L T PCT.
6 10 0 0.375
--SIMULATION--
W L PCT.
6 10 0.375
PREDICTIONS FOR
WEEK 9, 11/03/09
CLEVELAND
WK OPP PRE ACT SCORE
1 MIN -22 -14 20 34
2 DEN -24 -21 6 27
3 BAL -26 -31 3 34
4 CIN -20 -3 20 23
5 BUF -12 3 6 3
6 PIT -22 -13 14 27
7 G B -19 -28 3 31
8 CHI -17 -24 6 30
10 BAL -23
11 DET -7
12 CIN -24
13 S D -15
14 PIT -18
15 K C -10
16 OAK 1
17 JAC -7
--PREDICTION--
W L T PCT.
2 14 0 0.125
--SIMULATION--
W L PCT.
2 14 0.125
1 PREDICTIONS FOR
WEEK 9, 11/03/09
HOUSTON
WK OPP PRE ACT SCORE
1 NYJ -1 -17 7 24
2 TEN 13 3 34 31
3 JAC 10 -7 24 31
4 OAK 18 23 29 6
5 ARI 2 -7 21 28
6 CIN -5 11 28 17
7 S F 3 3 24 21
8 BUF 6 21 31 10
9 IND -14
11 TEN 17
12 IND -10
13 JAC 6
14 SEA 7
15 STL 16
16 MIA -1
17 N E -6
--PREDICTION--
W L T PCT.
9 7 0 0.563
--SIMULATION--
W L PCT.
9 7 0.563
THE MOST LIKELY NFC LEADERS ARE: PHILADELPHIA (12- 4), MINNESOTA (14- 2)NEW ORLEANS (16- 0) AND S. FRANCISCO (10- 6)
THE MOST LIKELY AFC LEADERS ARE: NEW ENGLAND (12- 4), CINCINNATI (11- 5)INDIANAPOLIS (15- 1) AND DENVER (13- 3)
THE MOST LIKELY NFC WILD CARD TEAMS ARE DALLAS AND GREEN BAY
THE MOST LIKELY AFC WILD CARD TEAMS ARE PITTSBURGH AND BALTIMORE
THE NFC CHAMPION SHOULD BE NEW ORLEANS THE AFC CHAMP INDIANAPOLIS
FAVORED BY 3 POINTS, THE SUPER BOWL CHAMP WILL BE NEW ORLEANS .
OF COURSE ANYTHING CAN HAPPEN IN A PLAYOFF GAME AND INJURIES
AFTER THIS WEEK CAN KNOCK ANY TEAM OUT OF THE BOX. BUT BASED ON
THE STATS TO DATE NEW ORLEANS WILL BE THE SUPER BOWL WINNER.
* COMPUTER SEASON PREDICTIONS ARE MADE FOR TWO CONDITIONS:
THE THIRD LINE SHOWS THE NUMBER OF GAMES WHERE THE TEAM IS
THE PREDICTED 'FAVORITE'. BY DEFINITION THEN THE LEAGUE'S
STRONGEST TEAM WOULD BE PREDICTED TO WIN THE MOST IF NOT ALL
ITS GAMES.
HOWEVER, WE ALL KNOW THAT FAVORITES ARE UPSET 20 TO 25
PERCENT OF THE TIME. SO THE FIRST LINE IS A BETTER ESTIMATE
OF THE SEASON W-L RECORD. THIS FIRST LINE IS BASED ON WHAT
STATISTICIANS CALL A MONTE CARLO SIMULATION-I.E., THE COMPUTER
PLAYS THROUGH THE NFL SCHEDULE 1000 TIMES AND ESTIMATES THE
NUMBER OF WINS TAKING INTO CONSIDERATION POSSIBLE UPSETS.
TEAMS WITHIN DIVISIONS ARE SORTED BY SIMULATED PERCENTAGES.
IN CASE TWO TEAMS ARE TIED IN THE WON/LOSS COLUMN (THIRD LINE)
OR ARE TIED WHEN PICKING WILD CARD TEAMS, THE BEST TEAM WILL
BE THE SIMULATED WINNER OF THE TWO.
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