Predict Report - Weighted
Bud Goode Sports, Copyright 2014, All Rights Reserved.
DATA YR 2014 PRED. WEEK 16 PRIOR YR 2013 SCHED YR 2014
WEIGHT = 0.000
Report 3
PREDICTIONS FOR
WEEK 16, 12/16/14
ATLANTA
WK OPP PRE ACT SCORE
1 NO -1 3 37 34
2 CIN -4 -14 10 24
3 TB 7 42 56 14
4 MIN -1 -13 28 41
5 NYG -2 -10 20 30
6 CHI 5 -14 13 27
7 BAL -10 -22 7 29
8 DET -2 -1 21 22
10 TB 3 10 27 17
11 CAR 1 2 19 17
12 CLE 1 -2 24 26
13 ARI -2 11 29 18
14 GB -11 -6 37 43
15 PIT -1 -7 20 27
16 NO -5
17 CAR 6
--PREDICTION--
W L T PCT.
6 10 0 0.375
--SIMULATION--
W L PCT.
6 10 0.375
PRE = PREDICTED
WINNING
MARGIN
ACT = ACTUAL
WINNING
MARGIN
OPP = OPPONENT
1 PREDICTIONS FOR
WEEK 16, 12/16/14
INDIANAPOLIS
WK OPP PRE ACT SCORE
1 DEN -5 -7 24 31
2 PHI 4 -3 27 30
3 JAC 12 27 44 17
4 TEN 14 24 41 17
5 BAL -1 7 20 13
6 HOU -2 5 33 28
7 CIN 4 27 27 0
8 PIT -1 -17 34 51
9 NYG 2 16 40 24
11 NE -4 -22 20 42
12 JAC 16 20 23 3
13 WAS 13 22 49 27
14 CLE 1 1 25 24
15 HOU 3 7 17 10
16 DAL -2
17 TEN 9
--PREDICTION--
W L T PCT.
11 5 0 0.688
--SIMULATION--
W L PCT.
11 5 0.688
PREDICTIONS FOR
WEEK 16, 12/16/14
BUFFALO
WK OPP PRE ACT SCORE
1 CHI 6 3 23 20
2 MIA 3 19 29 10
3 SD 3 -12 10 22
4 HOU -3 -6 17 23
5 DET -2 3 17 14
6 NE -6 -15 22 37
7 MIN 6 1 17 16
8 NYJ 8 20 43 23
10 KC -1 -4 13 17
11 MIA -1 -13 9 22
12 NYJ 12 35 38 3
13 CLE 4 16 26 10
14 DEN -8 -7 17 24
15 GB -2 8 21 13
16 OAK 10
17 NE -10
--PREDICTION--
W L T PCT.
9 7 0 0.563
--SIMULATION--
W L PCT.
9 7 0.563
1 PREDICTIONS FOR
WEEK 16, 12/16/14
CHICAGO
WK OPP PRE ACT SCORE
1 BUF -6 -3 20 23
2 SF -4 8 28 20
3 NYJ 2 8 27 19
4 GB -10 -21 17 38
5 CAR -2 -7 24 31
6 ATL -5 14 27 13
7 MIA -3 -13 14 27
8 NE -16 -28 23 51
10 GB -14 -41 14 55
11 MIN -1 8 21 13
12 TB 4 8 21 13
13 DET -10 -17 17 34
14 DAL -5 -13 28 41
15 NO -3 -16 15 31
16 DET -5
17 MIN -5
--PREDICTION--
W L T PCT.
5 11 0 0.313
--SIMULATION--
W L PCT.
6 10 0.375
PREDICTIONS FOR
WEEK 16, 12/16/14
CINCINNATI
WK OPP PRE ACT SCORE
1 BAL -6 7 23 16
2 ATL 4 14 24 10
3 TEN 11 26 33 7
5 NE -10 -26 17 43
6 CAR 8 0 37 37
7 IND -4 -27 0 27
8 BAL -3 3 27 24
9 JAC 13 10 33 23
10 CLE 3 -21 3 24
11 NO -1 17 27 10
12 HOU -5 9 22 13
13 TB 6 1 14 13
14 PIT 1 -21 21 42
15 CLE -1 30 30 0
16 DEN -4
17 PIT -4
--PREDICTION--
W L T PCT.
9 6 1 0.594
--SIMULATION--
W L PCT.
9 7 0.563
1 PREDICTIONS FOR
WEEK 16, 12/16/14
BALTIMORE
WK OPP PRE ACT SCORE
1 CIN 6 -7 16 23
2 PIT 5 20 26 6
3 CLE 5 2 23 21
4 CAR 13 28 38 10
5 IND 1 -7 13 20
6 TB 11 31 48 17
7 ATL 10 22 29 7
8 CIN 3 -3 24 27
9 PIT 2 -20 23 43
10 TEN 17 14 21 7
12 NO 3 7 34 27
13 SD 8 -1 33 34
14 MIA 4 15 28 13
15 JAC 19 8 20 12
16 HOU -1
17 CLE 9
--PREDICTION--
W L T PCT.
10 6 0 0.625
--SIMULATION--
W L PCT.
10 6 0.625
PREDICTIONS FOR
WEEK 16, 12/16/14
DALLAS
WK OPP PRE ACT SCORE
1 SF 6 -11 17 28
2 TEN 10 16 26 10
3 STL 2 3 34 31
4 NO 4 21 38 17
5 HOU 1 3 20 17
6 SEA -4 7 30 23
7 NYG 5 10 31 21
8 WAS 12 -3 17 20
9 ARI 1 -11 17 28
10 JAC 11 14 31 17
12 NYG 1 3 31 28
13 PHI 4 -23 10 33
14 CHI 5 13 41 28
15 PHI -1 11 38 27
16 IND 2
17 WAS 7
--PREDICTION--
W L T PCT.
12 4 0 0.750
--SIMULATION--
W L PCT.
12 4 0.750
1 PREDICTIONS FOR
WEEK 16, 12/16/14
DENVER
WK OPP PRE ACT SCORE
1 IND 5 7 31 24
2 KC 4 7 24 17
3 SEA 1 -6 20 26
5 ARI 6 21 41 20
6 NYJ 14 14 31 17
7 SF 12 25 42 17
8 SD 9 14 35 21
9 NE -4 -22 21 43
10 OAK 16 24 41 17
11 STL 6 -15 7 22
12 MIA 10 3 39 36
13 KC -1 13 29 16
14 BUF 8 7 24 17
15 SD 4 12 22 10
16 CIN 4
17 OAK 21
--PREDICTION--
W L T PCT.
13 3 0 0.813
--SIMULATION--
W L PCT.
13 3 0.813
PREDICTIONS FOR
WEEK 16, 12/16/14
DETROIT
WK OPP PRE ACT SCORE
1 NYG 4 21 35 14
2 CAR 6 -17 7 24
3 GB -3 12 19 7
4 NYJ 9 7 24 17
5 BUF 2 -3 14 17
6 MIN 4 14 17 3
7 NO 4 1 24 23
8 ATL 2 1 22 21
10 MIA 5 4 20 16
11 ARI -3 -8 6 14
12 NE -9 -25 9 34
13 CHI 10 17 34 17
14 TB 12 17 34 17
15 MIN 8 2 16 14
16 CHI 5
17 GB -7
--PREDICTION--
W L T PCT.
11 5 0 0.688
--SIMULATION--
W L PCT.
11 5 0.688
1 PREDICTIONS FOR
WEEK 16, 12/16/14
GREEN BAY
WK OPP PRE ACT SCORE
1 SEA 1 -20 16 36
2 NYJ 16 7 31 24
3 DET 3 -12 7 19
4 CHI 10 21 38 17
5 MIN 11 32 42 10
6 MIA 5 3 27 24
7 CAR 14 21 38 17
8 NO 5 -21 23 44
10 CHI 14 41 55 14
11 PHI 8 33 53 20
12 MIN 7 3 24 21
13 NE -1 5 26 21
14 ATL 11 6 43 37
15 BUF 2 -8 13 21
16 TB 11
17 DET 7
--PREDICTION--
W L T PCT.
12 4 0 0.750
--SIMULATION--
W L PCT.
12 4 0.750
PREDICTIONS FOR
WEEK 16, 12/16/14
TENNESSEE
WK OPP PRE ACT SCORE
1 KC -15 16 26 10
2 DAL -10 -16 10 26
3 CIN -11 -26 7 33
4 IND -14 -24 17 41
5 CLE -7 -1 28 29
6 JAC 3 2 16 14
7 WAS -3 -2 17 19
8 HOU -10 -14 16 30
10 BAL -17 -14 7 21
11 PIT -9 -3 24 27
12 PHI -12 -19 24 43
13 HOU -15 -24 21 45
14 NYG -5 -29 7 36
15 NYJ 2 -5 11 16
16 JAC -1
17 IND -9
--PREDICTION--
W L T PCT.
2 14 0 0.125
--SIMULATION--
W L PCT.
3 13 0.188
1 PREDICTIONS FOR
WEEK 16, 12/16/14
KANSAS CITY
WK OPP PRE ACT SCORE
1 TEN 15 -16 10 26
2 DEN -4 -7 17 24
3 MIA 4 19 34 15
4 NE -2 27 41 14
5 SF 6 -5 17 22
7 SD 3 3 23 20
8 STL 8 27 34 7
9 NYJ 16 14 24 10
10 BUF 1 4 17 13
11 SEA 3 4 24 20
12 OAK 14 -4 20 24
13 DEN 1 -13 16 29
14 ARI -1 -3 14 17
15 OAK 19 18 31 13
16 PIT -1
17 SD 7
--PREDICTION--
W L T PCT.
9 7 0 0.563
--SIMULATION--
W L PCT.
9 7 0.563
PREDICTIONS FOR
WEEK 16, 12/16/14
ST. LOUIS
WK OPP PRE ACT SCORE
1 MIN 3 -28 6 34
2 TB 5 2 19 17
3 DAL -2 -3 31 34
5 PHI -3 -6 28 34
6 SF 3 -14 17 31
7 SEA -4 2 28 26
8 KC -8 -27 7 34
9 SF -1 3 13 10
10 ARI -6 -17 14 31
11 DEN -6 15 22 7
12 SD -4 -3 24 27
13 OAK 12 52 52 0
14 WAS 4 24 24 0
15 ARI -2 -6 6 12
16 NYG 3
17 SEA -9
--PREDICTION--
W L T PCT.
7 9 0 0.438
--SIMULATION--
W L PCT.
7 9 0.438
1 PREDICTIONS FOR
WEEK 16, 12/16/14
MIAMI
WK OPP PRE ACT SCORE
1 NE -8 13 33 20
2 BUF -3 -19 10 29
3 KC -4 -19 15 34
4 OAK 9 24 38 14
6 GB -5 -3 24 27
7 CHI 3 13 27 14
8 JAC 8 14 27 13
9 SD 1 37 37 0
10 DET -5 -4 16 20
11 BUF 1 13 22 9
12 DEN -10 -3 36 39
13 NYJ 5 3 16 13
14 BAL -4 -15 13 28
15 NE -12 -28 13 41
16 MIN 5
17 NYJ 11
--PREDICTION--
W L T PCT.
9 7 0 0.563
--SIMULATION--
W L PCT.
9 7 0.563
PREDICTIONS FOR
WEEK 16, 12/16/14
MINNESOTA
WK OPP PRE ACT SCORE
1 STL -3 28 34 6
2 NE -11 -23 7 30
3 NO -5 -11 9 20
4 ATL 1 13 41 28
5 GB -11 -32 10 42
6 DET -4 -14 3 17
7 BUF -6 -1 16 17
8 TB 2 6 19 13
9 WAS 7 3 29 26
11 CHI 1 -8 13 21
12 GB -7 -3 21 24
13 CAR 5 18 31 13
14 NYJ 8 6 30 24
15 DET -8 -2 14 16
16 MIA -5
17 CHI 5
--PREDICTION--
W L T PCT.
7 9 0 0.438
--SIMULATION--
W L PCT.
7 9 0.438
1 PREDICTIONS FOR
WEEK 16, 12/16/14
NEW ENGLAND
WK OPP PRE ACT SCORE
1 MIA 8 -13 20 33
2 MIN 11 23 30 7
3 OAK 21 7 16 9
4 KC 2 -27 14 41
5 CIN 10 26 43 17
6 BUF 6 15 37 22
7 NYJ 19 2 27 25
8 CHI 16 28 51 23
9 DEN 4 22 43 21
11 IND 4 22 42 20
12 DET 9 25 34 9
13 GB 1 -5 21 26
14 SD 6 9 23 14
15 MIA 12 28 41 13
16 NYJ 15
17 BUF 10
--PREDICTION--
W L T PCT.
13 3 0 0.813
--SIMULATION--
W L PCT.
13 3 0.813
PREDICTIONS FOR
WEEK 16, 12/16/14
NEW ORLEANS
WK OPP PRE ACT SCORE
1 ATL 1 -3 34 37
2 CLE -1 -2 24 26
3 MIN 5 11 20 9
4 DAL -4 -21 17 38
5 TB 9 6 37 31
7 DET -4 -1 23 24
8 GB -5 21 44 23
9 CAR 3 18 28 10
10 SF 5 -3 24 27
11 CIN 1 -17 10 27
12 BAL -3 -7 27 34
13 PIT -5 3 35 32
14 CAR 8 -31 10 41
15 CHI 3 16 31 15
16 ATL 5
17 TB 4
--PREDICTION--
W L T PCT.
8 8 0 0.500
--SIMULATION--
W L PCT.
7 9 0.438
1 PREDICTIONS FOR
WEEK 16, 12/16/14
N.Y. GIANTS
WK OPP PRE ACT SCORE
1 DET -4 -21 14 35
2 ARI -3 -11 14 25
3 HOU -3 13 30 17
4 WAS 5 31 45 14
5 ATL 2 10 30 20
6 PHI -3 -27 0 27
7 DAL -5 -10 21 31
9 IND -2 -16 24 40
10 SEA -8 -21 17 38
11 SF 4 -6 10 16
12 DAL -1 -3 28 31
13 JAC 7 -1 24 25
14 TEN 5 29 36 7
15 WAS 9 11 24 13
16 STL -3
17 PHI 1
--PREDICTION--
W L T PCT.
6 10 0 0.375
--SIMULATION--
W L PCT.
6 10 0.375
PREDICTIONS FOR
WEEK 16, 12/16/14
N.Y. JETS
WK OPP PRE ACT SCORE
1 OAK 4 5 19 14
2 GB -16 -7 24 31
3 CHI -2 -8 19 27
4 DET -9 -7 17 24
5 SD -11 -31 0 31
6 DEN -14 -14 17 31
7 NE -19 -2 25 27
8 BUF -8 -20 23 43
9 KC -16 -14 10 24
10 PIT -9 7 20 13
12 BUF -12 -35 3 38
13 MIA -5 -3 13 16
14 MIN -8 -6 24 30
15 TEN -2 5 16 11
16 NE -15
17 MIA -11
--PREDICTION--
W L T PCT.
3 13 0 0.188
--SIMULATION--
W L PCT.
3 13 0.188
1 PREDICTIONS FOR
WEEK 16, 12/16/14
OAKLAND
WK OPP PRE ACT SCORE
1 NYJ -4 -5 14 19
2 HOU -13 -16 14 30
3 NE -21 -7 9 16
4 MIA -9 -24 14 38
6 SD -10 -3 28 31
7 ARI -12 -11 13 24
8 CLE -12 -10 13 23
9 SEA -18 -6 24 30
10 DEN -16 -24 17 41
11 SD -14 -7 6 13
12 KC -14 4 24 20
13 STL -12 -52 0 52
14 SF -6 11 24 13
15 KC -19 -18 13 31
16 BUF -10
17 DEN -21
--PREDICTION--
W L T PCT.
2 14 0 0.125
--SIMULATION--
W L PCT.
2 14 0.125
PREDICTIONS FOR
WEEK 16, 12/16/14
PHILADELPHIA
WK OPP PRE ACT SCORE
1 JAC 12 17 34 17
2 IND -4 3 30 27
3 WAS 10 3 37 34
4 SF 2 -5 21 26
5 STL 3 6 34 28
6 NYG 3 27 27 0
8 ARI -4 -4 20 24
9 HOU -5 10 31 21
10 CAR 8 24 45 21
11 GB -8 -33 20 53
12 TEN 12 19 43 24
13 DAL -4 23 33 10
14 SEA -1 -10 14 24
15 DAL 1 -11 27 38
16 WAS 6
17 NYG -1
--PREDICTION--
W L T PCT.
10 6 0 0.625
--SIMULATION--
W L PCT.
10 6 0.625
1 PREDICTIONS FOR
WEEK 16, 12/16/14
PITTSBURGH
WK OPP PRE ACT SCORE
1 CLE 4 3 30 27
2 BAL -5 -20 6 26
3 CAR 6 18 37 19
4 TB 11 -3 24 27
5 JAC 11 8 17 9
6 CLE 1 -21 10 31
7 HOU 1 7 30 23
8 IND 1 17 51 34
9 BAL -2 20 43 23
10 NYJ 9 -7 13 20
11 TEN 9 3 27 24
13 NO 5 -3 32 35
14 CIN -1 21 42 21
15 ATL 1 7 27 20
16 KC 1
17 CIN 4
--PREDICTION--
W L T PCT.
11 5 0 0.688
--SIMULATION--
W L PCT.
11 5 0.688
PREDICTIONS FOR
WEEK 16, 12/16/14
ARIZONA
WK OPP PRE ACT SCORE
1 SD 4 1 18 17
2 NYG 3 11 25 14
3 SF 7 9 23 14
5 DEN -6 -21 20 41
6 WAS 13 10 30 20
7 OAK 12 11 24 13
8 PHI 4 4 24 20
9 DAL -1 11 28 17
10 STL 6 17 31 14
11 DET 3 8 14 6
12 SEA -4 -16 3 19
13 ATL 2 -11 18 29
14 KC 1 3 17 14
15 STL 2 6 12 6
16 SEA 1
17 SF 3
--PREDICTION--
W L T PCT.
13 3 0 0.813
--SIMULATION--
W L PCT.
12 4 0.750
1 PREDICTIONS FOR
WEEK 16, 12/16/14
SAN DIEGO
WK OPP PRE ACT SCORE
1 ARI -4 -1 17 18
2 SEA -3 9 30 21
3 BUF -3 12 22 10
4 JAC 12 19 33 14
5 NYJ 11 31 31 0
6 OAK 10 3 31 28
7 KC -3 -3 20 23
8 DEN -9 -14 21 35
9 MIA -1 -37 0 37
11 OAK 14 7 13 6
12 STL 4 3 27 24
13 BAL -8 1 34 33
14 NE -6 -9 14 23
15 DEN -4 -12 10 22
16 SF 1
17 KC -7
--PREDICTION--
W L T PCT.
9 7 0 0.563
--SIMULATION--
W L PCT.
9 7 0.563
PREDICTIONS FOR
WEEK 16, 12/16/14
S. FRANCISCO
WK OPP PRE ACT SCORE
1 DAL -6 11 28 17
2 CHI 4 -8 20 28
3 ARI -7 -9 14 23
4 PHI -2 5 26 21
5 KC -6 5 22 17
6 STL -3 14 31 17
7 DEN -12 -25 17 42
9 STL 1 -3 10 13
10 NO -5 3 27 24
11 NYG -4 6 16 10
12 WAS 8 4 17 13
13 SEA -5 -16 3 19
14 OAK 6 -11 13 24
15 SEA -10 -10 7 17
16 SD -1
17 ARI -3
--PREDICTION--
W L T PCT.
7 9 0 0.438
--SIMULATION--
W L PCT.
8 8 0.500
1 PREDICTIONS FOR
WEEK 16, 12/16/14
SEATTLE
WK OPP PRE ACT SCORE
1 GB -1 20 36 16
2 SD 3 -9 21 30
3 DEN -1 6 26 20
5 WAS 11 10 27 17
6 DAL 4 -7 23 30
7 STL 4 -2 26 28
8 CAR 8 4 13 9
9 OAK 18 6 30 24
10 NYG 8 21 38 17
11 KC -3 -4 20 24
12 ARI 4 16 19 3
13 SF 5 16 19 3
14 PHI 1 10 24 14
15 SF 10 10 17 7
16 ARI -1
17 STL 9
--PREDICTION--
W L T PCT.
11 5 0 0.688
--SIMULATION--
W L PCT.
11 5 0.688
PREDICTIONS FOR
WEEK 16, 12/16/14
TAMPA BAY
WK OPP PRE ACT SCORE
1 CAR -1 -6 14 20
2 STL -5 -2 17 19
3 ATL -7 -42 14 56
4 PIT -11 3 27 24
5 NO -9 -6 31 37
6 BAL -11 -31 17 48
8 MIN -2 -6 13 19
9 CLE -9 -5 17 22
10 ATL -3 -10 17 27
11 WAS -2 20 27 7
12 CHI -4 -8 13 21
13 CIN -6 -1 13 14
14 DET -12 -17 17 34
15 CAR -5 -2 17 19
16 GB -11
17 NO -4
--PREDICTION--
W L T PCT.
2 14 0 0.125
--SIMULATION--
W L PCT.
2 14 0.125
1 PREDICTIONS FOR
WEEK 16, 12/16/14
WASHINGTON
WK OPP PRE ACT SCORE
1 HOU -12 -11 6 17
2 JAC 4 31 41 10
3 PHI -10 -3 34 37
4 NYG -5 -31 14 45
5 SEA -11 -10 17 27
6 ARI -13 -10 20 30
7 TEN 3 2 19 17
8 DAL -12 3 20 17
9 MIN -7 -3 26 29
11 TB 2 -20 7 27
12 SF -8 -4 13 17
13 IND -13 -22 27 49
14 STL -4 -24 0 24
15 NYG -9 -11 13 24
16 PHI -6
17 DAL -7
--PREDICTION--
W L T PCT.
3 13 0 0.188
--SIMULATION--
W L PCT.
3 13 0.188
PREDICTIONS FOR
WEEK 16, 12/16/14
CAROLINA
WK OPP PRE ACT SCORE
1 TB 1 6 20 14
2 DET -6 17 24 7
3 PIT -6 -18 19 37
4 BAL -13 -28 10 38
5 CHI 2 7 31 24
6 CIN -8 0 37 37
7 GB -14 -21 17 38
8 SEA -8 -4 9 13
9 NO -3 -18 10 28
10 PHI -8 -24 21 45
11 ATL -1 -2 17 19
13 MIN -5 -18 13 31
14 NO -8 31 41 10
15 TB 5 2 19 17
16 CLE -2
17 ATL -6
--PREDICTION--
W L T PCT.
5 10 1 0.344
--SIMULATION--
W L PCT.
6 10 0.375
1 PREDICTIONS FOR
WEEK 16, 12/16/14
JACKSONVILLE
WK OPP PRE ACT SCORE
1 PHI -12 -17 17 34
2 WAS -4 -31 10 41
3 IND -12 -27 17 44
4 SD -12 -19 14 33
5 PIT -11 -8 9 17
6 TEN -3 -2 14 16
7 CLE -8 18 24 6
8 MIA -8 -14 13 27
9 CIN -13 -10 23 33
10 DAL -11 -14 17 31
12 IND -16 -20 3 23
13 NYG -7 1 25 24
14 HOU -11 -14 13 27
15 BAL -19 -8 12 20
16 TEN 1
17 HOU -17
--PREDICTION--
W L T PCT.
3 13 0 0.188
--SIMULATION--
W L PCT.
2 14 0.125
PREDICTIONS FOR
WEEK 16, 12/16/14
CLEVELAND
WK OPP PRE ACT SCORE
1 PIT -4 -3 27 30
2 NO 1 2 26 24
3 BAL -5 -2 21 23
5 TEN 7 1 29 28
6 PIT -1 21 31 10
7 JAC 8 -18 6 24
8 OAK 12 10 23 13
9 TB 9 5 22 17
10 CIN -3 21 24 3
11 HOU -1 -16 7 23
12 ATL -1 2 26 24
13 BUF -4 -16 10 26
14 IND -1 -1 24 25
15 CIN 1 -30 0 30
16 CAR 2
17 BAL -9
--PREDICTION--
W L T PCT.
8 8 0 0.500
--SIMULATION--
W L PCT.
8 8 0.500
1 PREDICTIONS FOR
WEEK 16, 12/16/14
HOUSTON
WK OPP PRE ACT SCORE
1 WAS 12 11 17 6
2 OAK 13 16 30 14
3 NYG 3 -13 17 30
4 BUF 3 6 23 17
5 DAL -1 -3 17 20
6 IND 2 -5 28 33
7 PIT -1 -7 23 30
8 TEN 10 14 30 16
9 PHI 5 -10 21 31
11 CLE 1 16 23 7
12 CIN 5 -9 13 22
13 TEN 15 24 45 21
14 JAC 11 14 27 13
15 IND -3 -7 10 17
16 BAL 1
17 JAC 17
--PREDICTION--
W L T PCT.
9 7 0 0.563
--SIMULATION--
W L PCT.
9 7 0.563
THE MOST LIKELY NFC LEADERS ARE: DALLAS (12- 4), GREEN BAY (12- 4)
NEW ORLEANS ( 7- 9) AND ARIZONA (12- 4)
THE MOST LIKELY AFC LEADERS ARE: NEW ENGLAND (13- 3), PITTSBURGH (11- 5)
INDIANAPOLIS (11- 5) AND DENVER (13- 3)
THE MOST LIKELY NFC WILD CARD TEAMS ARE SEATTLE AND DETROIT.
THE MOST LIKELY AFC WILD CARD TEAMS ARE BALTIMORE AND BUFFALO.
THE NFC CHAMPION SHOULD BE GREEN BAY. THE AFC CHAMP NEW ENGLAND.
FAVORED BY 3 POINTS, THE SUPER BOWL CHAMP WILL BE NEW ENGLAND.
OF COURSE ANYTHING CAN HAPPEN IN A PLAYOFF GAME AND INJURIES
AFTER THIS WEEK CAN KNOCK ANY TEAM OUT OF THE BOX. BUT BASED ON
THE STATS TO DATE NEW ENGLAND WILL BE THE SUPER BOWL WINNER.
* COMPUTER SEASON PREDICTIONS ARE MADE FOR TWO CONDITIONS:
THE THIRD LINE SHOWS THE NUMBER OF GAMES WHERE THE TEAM IS
THE PREDICTED 'FAVORITE'. BY DEFINITION THEN THE LEAGUE'S
STRONGEST TEAM WOULD BE PREDICTED TO WIN THE MOST IF NOT ALL
ITS GAMES.
HOWEVER, WE ALL KNOW THAT FAVORITES ARE UPSET 20 TO 25
PERCENT OF THE TIME. SO THE FIRST LINE IS A BETTER ESTIMATE
OF THE SEASON W-L RECORD. THIS FIRST LINE IS BASED ON WHAT
STATISTICIANS CALL A MONTE CARLO SIMULATION-I.E., THE COMPUTER
PLAYS THROUGH THE NFL SCHEDULE 1000 TIMES AND ESTIMATES THE
NUMBER OF WINS TAKING INTO CONSIDERATION POSSIBLE UPSETS.
TEAMS WITHIN DIVISIONS ARE SORTED BY SIMULATED PERCENTAGES.
IN CASE TWO TEAMS ARE TIED IN THE WON/LOSS COLUMN (THIRD LINE)
OR ARE TIED WHEN PICKING WILD CARD TEAMS, THE BEST TEAM WILL
BE THE SIMULATED WINNER OF THE TWO.
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