Predict Report - Weighted
Bud Goode Sports Computer, Copyright 2014, All Rights Reserved.
DATA YR 2014 PRED. WEEK 3 PRIOR YR 2013 SCHED YR 2014
WEIGHT = 0.500
Report 3
PREDICTIONS FOR
WEEK 3, 09/16/14
ATLANTA
WK OPP PRE ACT SCORE
1 NO -8 3 37 34
2 CIN -18 -14 10 24
3 TB -3
4 MIN -8
5 NYG -2
6 CHI -7
7 BAL -11
8 DET -9
10 TB -7
11 CAR -19
12 CLE -3
13 ARI -7
14 GB -6
15 PIT -1
16 NO -12
17 CAR -13
--PREDICTION--
W L T PCT.
1 15 0 0.063
--SIMULATION--
W L PCT.
3 13 0.188
PRE = PREDICTED
WINNING
MARGIN
ACT = ACTUAL
WINNING
MARGIN
OPP = OPPONENT
1 PREDICTIONS FOR
WEEK 3, 09/16/14
INDIANAPOLIS
WK OPP PRE ACT SCORE
1 DEN -13 -7 24 31
2 PHI -6 -3 27 30
3 JAC 12
4 TEN -2
5 BAL -3
6 HOU -6
7 CIN -10
8 PIT -1
9 NYG 3
11 NE -4
12 JAC 15
13 WAS -1
14 CLE -3
15 HOU -2
16 DAL -3
17 TEN -6
--PREDICTION--
W L T PCT.
3 13 0 0.188
--SIMULATION--
W L PCT.
5 11 0.313
PREDICTIONS FOR
WEEK 3, 09/16/14
BUFFALO
WK OPP PRE ACT SCORE
1 CHI 1 3 23 20
2 MIA 6 19 29 10
3 SD 2
4 HOU -1
5 DET -2
6 NE 1
7 MIN 6
8 NYJ 3
10 KC 6
11 MIA 2
12 NYJ 7
13 CLE 8
14 DEN -9
15 GB 10
16 OAK 7
17 NE -4
--PREDICTION--
W L T PCT.
12 4 0 0.750
--SIMULATION--
W L PCT.
11 5 0.688
1 PREDICTIONS FOR
WEEK 3, 09/16/14
CHICAGO
WK OPP PRE ACT SCORE
1 BUF -1 -3 20 23
2 SF -4 8 28 20
3 NYJ 2
4 GB 7
5 CAR -9
6 ATL 7
7 MIA 4
8 NE -5
10 GB 4
11 MIN 5
12 TB 7
13 DET -4
14 DAL 6
15 NO 2
16 DET 1
17 MIN -1
--PREDICTION--
W L T PCT.
11 5 0 0.688
--SIMULATION--
W L PCT.
9 7 0.563
PREDICTIONS FOR
WEEK 3, 09/16/14
CINCINNATI
WK OPP PRE ACT SCORE
1 BAL 6 7 23 16
2 ATL 18 14 24 10
3 TEN 10
5 NE 4
6 CAR 3
7 IND 10
8 BAL 9
9 JAC 27
10 CLE 14
11 NO 5
12 HOU 6
13 TB 10
14 PIT 17
15 CLE 9
16 DEN 3
17 PIT 11
--PREDICTION--
W L T PCT.
16 0 0 1.000
--SIMULATION--
W L PCT.
14 2 0.875
1 PREDICTIONS FOR
WEEK 3, 09/16/14
BALTIMORE
WK OPP PRE ACT SCORE
1 CIN -6 -7 16 23
2 PIT 8 20 26 6
3 CLE 3
4 CAR -5
5 IND 3
6 TB 3
7 ATL 11
8 CIN -9
9 PIT 4
10 TEN 3
12 NO -2
13 SD 2
14 MIA 1
15 JAC 20
16 HOU -2
17 CLE 7
--PREDICTION--
W L T PCT.
11 5 0 0.688
--SIMULATION--
W L PCT.
9 7 0.563
PREDICTIONS FOR
WEEK 3, 09/16/14
DALLAS
WK OPP PRE ACT SCORE
1 SF -5 -11 17 28
2 TEN -4 16 26 10
3 STL 5
4 NO -3
5 HOU -2
6 SEA -11
7 NYG 7
8 WAS -2
9 ARI -2
10 JAC 11
12 NYG 3
13 PHI -5
14 CHI -6
15 PHI -10
16 IND 3
17 WAS -6
--PREDICTION--
W L T PCT.
6 10 0 0.375
--SIMULATION--
W L PCT.
7 9 0.438
1 PREDICTIONS FOR
WEEK 3, 09/16/14
DENVER
WK OPP PRE ACT SCORE
1 IND 13 7 31 24
2 KC 12 7 24 17
3 SEA 1
5 ARI 8
6 NYJ 9
7 SF 7
8 SD 9
9 NE 3
10 OAK 14
11 STL 16
12 MIA 13
13 KC 8
14 BUF 9
15 SD 4
16 CIN -3
17 OAK 19
--PREDICTION--
W L T PCT.
15 1 0 0.938
--SIMULATION--
W L PCT.
14 2 0.875
PREDICTIONS FOR
WEEK 3, 09/16/14
DETROIT
WK OPP PRE ACT SCORE
1 NYG 12 21 35 14
2 CAR -7 -17 7 24
3 GB 9
4 NYJ 3
5 BUF 2
6 MIN 3
7 NO 3
8 ATL 9
10 MIA 7
11 ARI -1
12 NE -3
13 CHI 4
14 TB 8
15 MIN 7
16 CHI -1
17 GB 5
--PREDICTION--
W L T PCT.
12 4 0 0.750
--SIMULATION--
W L PCT.
10 6 0.625
1 PREDICTIONS FOR
WEEK 3, 09/16/14
GREEN BAY
WK OPP PRE ACT SCORE
1 SEA -13 -20 16 36
2 NYJ -1 7 31 24
3 DET -9
4 CHI -7
5 MIN -2
6 MIA -5
7 CAR -11
8 NO -9
10 CHI -4
11 PHI -7
12 MIN -6
13 NE -6
14 ATL 6
15 BUF -10
16 TB -5
17 DET -5
--PREDICTION--
W L T PCT.
2 14 0 0.125
--SIMULATION--
W L PCT.
4 12 0.250
PREDICTIONS FOR
WEEK 3, 09/16/14
TENNESSEE
WK OPP PRE ACT SCORE
1 KC 1 16 26 10
2 DAL 4 -16 10 26
3 CIN -10
4 IND 2
5 CLE 5
6 JAC 18
7 WAS -2
8 HOU 1
10 BAL -3
11 PIT 7
12 PHI -7
13 HOU -3
14 NYG 11
15 NYJ 5
16 JAC 14
17 IND 6
--PREDICTION--
W L T PCT.
10 6 0 0.625
--SIMULATION--
W L PCT.
10 6 0.625
1 PREDICTIONS FOR
WEEK 3, 09/16/14
KANSAS CITY
WK OPP PRE ACT SCORE
1 TEN -1 -16 10 26
2 DEN -12 -7 17 24
3 MIA -1
4 NE -4
5 SF -7
7 SD -6
8 STL 9
9 NYJ 3
10 BUF -6
11 SEA -6
12 OAK 4
13 DEN -8
14 ARI -6
15 OAK 9
16 PIT 1
17 SD -1
--PREDICTION--
W L T PCT.
5 11 0 0.313
--SIMULATION--
W L PCT.
5 11 0.313
PREDICTIONS FOR
WEEK 3, 09/16/14
ST. LOUIS
WK OPP PRE ACT SCORE
1 MIN -6 -28 6 34
2 TB -7 2 19 17
3 DAL -5
5 PHI -15
6 SF -11
7 SEA -14
8 KC -9
9 SF -15
10 ARI -13
11 DEN -16
12 SD -14
13 OAK 1
14 WAS -13
15 ARI -8
16 NYG 2
17 SEA -19
--PREDICTION--
W L T PCT.
3 13 0 0.188
--SIMULATION--
W L PCT.
3 13 0.188
1 PREDICTIONS FOR
WEEK 3, 09/16/14
MIAMI
WK OPP PRE ACT SCORE
1 NE -4 13 33 20
2 BUF -6 -19 10 29
3 KC 1
4 OAK 4
6 GB 5
7 CHI -4
8 JAC 12
9 SD -2
10 DET -7
11 BUF -2
12 DEN -13
13 NYJ -2
14 BAL -1
15 NE -8
16 MIN 3
17 NYJ 3
--PREDICTION--
W L T PCT.
7 9 0 0.438
--SIMULATION--
W L PCT.
8 8 0.500
PREDICTIONS FOR
WEEK 3, 09/16/14
MINNESOTA
WK OPP PRE ACT SCORE
1 STL 6 28 34 6
2 NE -4 -23 7 30
3 NO -5
4 ATL 8
5 GB 2
6 DET -3
7 BUF -6
8 TB -1
9 WAS -1
11 CHI -5
12 GB 6
13 CAR -8
14 NYJ 3
15 DET -7
16 MIA -3
17 CHI 1
--PREDICTION--
W L T PCT.
6 10 0 0.375
--SIMULATION--
W L PCT.
7 9 0.438
1 PREDICTIONS FOR
WEEK 3, 09/16/14
NEW ENGLAND
WK OPP PRE ACT SCORE
1 MIA 4 -13 20 33
2 MIN 4 23 30 7
3 OAK 13
4 KC 4
5 CIN -4
6 BUF -1
7 NYJ 8
8 CHI 5
9 DEN -3
11 IND 4
12 DET 3
13 GB 6
14 SD -1
15 MIA 8
16 NYJ 3
17 BUF 4
--PREDICTION--
W L T PCT.
11 5 0 0.688
--SIMULATION--
W L PCT.
11 5 0.688
PREDICTIONS FOR
WEEK 3, 09/16/14
NEW ORLEANS
WK OPP PRE ACT SCORE
1 ATL 8 -3 34 37
2 CLE 3 -2 24 26
3 MIN 5
4 DAL 3
5 TB 7
7 DET -3
8 GB 9
9 CAR -9
10 SF 1
11 CIN -5
12 BAL 2
13 PIT 4
14 CAR -4
15 CHI -2
16 ATL 12
17 TB 2
--PREDICTION--
W L T PCT.
9 7 0 0.563
--SIMULATION--
W L PCT.
7 9 0.438
1 PREDICTIONS FOR
WEEK 3, 09/16/14
N.Y. GIANTS
WK OPP PRE ACT SCORE
1 DET -12 -21 14 35
2 ARI -8 -11 14 25
3 HOU -8
4 WAS -10
5 ATL 2
6 PHI -14
7 DAL -7
9 IND -3
10 SEA -17
11 SF -9
12 DAL -3
13 JAC 6
14 TEN -11
15 WAS -6
16 STL -2
17 PHI -10
--PREDICTION--
W L T PCT.
2 14 0 0.125
--SIMULATION--
W L PCT.
3 13 0.188
PREDICTIONS FOR
WEEK 3, 09/16/14
N.Y. JETS
WK OPP PRE ACT SCORE
1 OAK 7 5 19 14
2 GB 1 -7 24 31
3 CHI -2
4 DET -3
5 SD -6
6 DEN -9
7 NE -8
8 BUF -3
9 KC -3
10 PIT 5
12 BUF -7
13 MIA 2
14 MIN -3
15 TEN -5
16 NE -3
17 MIA -3
--PREDICTION--
W L T PCT.
3 13 0 0.188
--SIMULATION--
W L PCT.
5 11 0.313
1 PREDICTIONS FOR
WEEK 3, 09/16/14
OAKLAND
WK OPP PRE ACT SCORE
1 NYJ -7 -5 14 19
2 HOU -8 -16 14 30
3 NE -13
4 MIA -4
6 SD -8
7 ARI -8
8 CLE -7
9 SEA -17
10 DEN -14
11 SD -12
12 KC -4
13 STL -1
14 SF -9
15 KC -9
16 BUF -7
17 DEN -19
--PREDICTION--
W L T PCT.
0 16 0 0.000
--SIMULATION--
W L PCT.
2 14 0.125
PREDICTIONS FOR
WEEK 3, 09/16/14
PHILADELPHIA
WK OPP PRE ACT SCORE
1 JAC 22 17 34 17
2 IND 6 3 30 27
3 WAS 5
4 SF -1
5 STL 15
6 NYG 14
8 ARI 1
9 HOU 1
10 CAR -2
11 GB 7
12 TEN 7
13 DAL 5
14 SEA 1
15 DAL 10
16 WAS 1
17 NYG 10
--PREDICTION--
W L T PCT.
14 2 0 0.875
--SIMULATION--
W L PCT.
12 4 0.750
1 PREDICTIONS FOR
WEEK 3, 09/16/14
PITTSBURGH
WK OPP PRE ACT SCORE
1 CLE -1 3 30 27
2 BAL -8 -20 6 26
3 CAR -14
4 TB -1
5 JAC 10
6 CLE -4
7 HOU -4
8 IND 1
9 BAL -4
10 NYJ -5
11 TEN -7
13 NO -4
14 CIN -17
15 ATL 1
16 KC -1
17 CIN -11
--PREDICTION--
W L T PCT.
4 12 0 0.250
--SIMULATION--
W L PCT.
6 10 0.375
PREDICTIONS FOR
WEEK 3, 09/16/14
ARIZONA
WK OPP PRE ACT SCORE
1 SD 1 1 18 17
2 NYG 8 11 25 14
3 SF -1
5 DEN -8
6 WAS 3
7 OAK 8
8 PHI -1
9 DAL 2
10 STL 13
11 DET 1
12 SEA -7
13 ATL 7
14 KC 6
15 STL 8
16 SEA -2
17 SF -5
--PREDICTION--
W L T PCT.
10 6 0 0.625
--SIMULATION--
W L PCT.
10 6 0.625
1 PREDICTIONS FOR
WEEK 3, 09/16/14
SAN DIEGO
WK OPP PRE ACT SCORE
1 ARI -1 -1 17 18
2 SEA -3 9 30 21
3 BUF -2
4 JAC 20
5 NYJ 6
6 OAK 8
7 KC 6
8 DEN -9
9 MIA 2
11 OAK 12
12 STL 14
13 BAL -2
14 NE 1
15 DEN -4
16 SF -4
17 KC 1
--PREDICTION--
W L T PCT.
10 6 0 0.625
--SIMULATION--
W L PCT.
9 7 0.563
PREDICTIONS FOR
WEEK 3, 09/16/14
S. FRANCISCO
WK OPP PRE ACT SCORE
1 DAL 5 11 28 17
2 CHI 4 -8 20 28
3 ARI 1
4 PHI 1
5 KC 7
6 STL 11
7 DEN -7
9 STL 15
10 NO -1
11 NYG 9
12 WAS 5
13 SEA -1
14 OAK 9
15 SEA -6
16 SD 4
17 ARI 5
--PREDICTION--
W L T PCT.
11 5 0 0.688
--SIMULATION--
W L PCT.
10 6 0.625
1 PREDICTIONS FOR
WEEK 3, 09/16/14
SEATTLE
WK OPP PRE ACT SCORE
1 GB 13 20 36 16
2 SD 3 -9 21 30
3 DEN -1
5 WAS 4
6 DAL 11
7 STL 14
8 CAR -3
9 OAK 17
10 NYG 17
11 KC 6
12 ARI 7
13 SF 1
14 PHI -1
15 SF 6
16 ARI 2
17 STL 19
--PREDICTION--
W L T PCT.
12 4 0 0.750
--SIMULATION--
W L PCT.
11 5 0.688
PREDICTIONS FOR
WEEK 3, 09/16/14
TAMPA BAY
WK OPP PRE ACT SCORE
1 CAR -10 -6 14 20
2 STL 7 -2 17 19
3 ATL 3
4 PIT 1
5 NO -7
6 BAL -3
8 MIN 1
9 CLE -2
10 ATL 7
11 WAS -6
12 CHI -7
13 CIN -10
14 DET -8
15 CAR -14
16 GB 5
17 NO -2
--PREDICTION--
W L T PCT.
5 11 0 0.313
--SIMULATION--
W L PCT.
6 10 0.375
1 PREDICTIONS FOR
WEEK 3, 09/16/14
WASHINGTON
WK OPP PRE ACT SCORE
1 HOU -1 -11 6 17
2 JAC 18 31 41 10
3 PHI -5
4 NYG 10
5 SEA -4
6 ARI -3
7 TEN 2
8 DAL 2
9 MIN 1
11 TB 6
12 SF -5
13 IND 1
14 STL 13
15 NYG 6
16 PHI -1
17 DAL 6
--PREDICTION--
W L T PCT.
10 6 0 0.625
--SIMULATION--
W L PCT.
9 7 0.563
PREDICTIONS FOR
WEEK 3, 09/16/14
CAROLINA
WK OPP PRE ACT SCORE
1 TB 10 6 20 14
2 DET 7 17 24 7
3 PIT 14
4 BAL 5
5 CHI 9
6 CIN -3
7 GB 11
8 SEA 3
9 NO 9
10 PHI 2
11 ATL 19
13 MIN 8
14 NO 4
15 TB 14
16 CLE 14
17 ATL 13
--PREDICTION--
W L T PCT.
15 1 0 0.938
--SIMULATION--
W L PCT.
14 2 0.875
1 PREDICTIONS FOR
WEEK 3, 09/16/14
JACKSONVILLE
WK OPP PRE ACT SCORE
1 PHI -22 -17 17 34
2 WAS -18 -31 10 41
3 IND -12
4 SD -20
5 PIT -10
6 TEN -18
7 CLE -11
8 MIA -12
9 CIN -27
10 DAL -11
12 IND -15
13 NYG -6
14 HOU -15
15 BAL -20
16 TEN -14
17 HOU -20
--PREDICTION--
W L T PCT.
0 16 0 0.000
--SIMULATION--
W L PCT.
1 15 0.063
PREDICTIONS FOR
WEEK 3, 09/16/14
CLEVELAND
WK OPP PRE ACT SCORE
1 PIT 1 -3 27 30
2 NO -3 2 26 24
3 BAL -3
5 TEN -5
6 PIT 4
7 JAC 11
8 OAK 7
9 TB 2
10 CIN -14
11 HOU -2
12 ATL 3
13 BUF -8
14 IND 3
15 CIN -9
16 CAR -14
17 BAL -7
--PREDICTION--
W L T PCT.
7 9 0 0.438
--SIMULATION--
W L PCT.
7 9 0.438
1 PREDICTIONS FOR
WEEK 3, 09/16/14
HOUSTON
WK OPP PRE ACT SCORE
1 WAS 1 11 17 6
2 OAK 8 16 30 14
3 NYG 8
4 BUF 1
5 DAL 2
6 IND 6
7 PIT 4
8 TEN -1
9 PHI -1
11 CLE 2
12 CIN -6
13 TEN 3
14 JAC 15
15 IND 2
16 BAL 2
17 JAC 20
--PREDICTION--
W L T PCT.
13 3 0 0.813
--SIMULATION--
W L PCT.
12 4 0.750
THE MOST LIKELY NFC LEADERS ARE: PHILADELPHIA (12- 4), DETROIT (10- 6)
CAROLINA (14- 2) AND SEATTLE (11- 5)
THE MOST LIKELY AFC LEADERS ARE: NEW ENGLAND (11- 5), CINCINNATI (14- 2)
HOUSTON (12- 4) AND DENVER (14- 2)
THE MOST LIKELY NFC WILD CARD TEAMS ARE S. FRANCISCO AND ARIZONA
THE MOST LIKELY AFC WILD CARD TEAMS ARE BUFFALO AND TENNESSEE
THE NFC CHAMPION SHOULD BE CAROLINA. THE AFC CHAMP CINCINNATI.
FAVORED BY 1 POINTS, THE SUPER BOWL CHAMP WILL BE CINCINNATI.
OF COURSE ANYTHING CAN HAPPEN IN A PLAYOFF GAME AND INJURIES
AFTER THIS WEEK CAN KNOCK ANY TEAM OUT OF THE BOX. BUT BASED ON
THE STATS TO DATE CINCINNATI WILL BE THE SUPER BOWL WINNER.
* COMPUTER SEASON PREDICTIONS ARE MADE FOR TWO CONDITIONS:
THE THIRD LINE SHOWS THE NUMBER OF GAMES WHERE THE TEAM IS
THE PREDICTED 'FAVORITE'. BY DEFINITION THEN THE LEAGUE'S
STRONGEST TEAM WOULD BE PREDICTED TO WIN THE MOST IF NOT ALL
ITS GAMES.
HOWEVER, WE ALL KNOW THAT FAVORITES ARE UPSET 20 TO 25
PERCENT OF THE TIME. SO THE FIRST LINE IS A BETTER ESTIMATE
OF THE SEASON W-L RECORD. THIS FIRST LINE IS BASED ON WHAT
STATISTICIANS CALL A MONTE CARLO SIMULATION-I.E., THE COMPUTER
PLAYS THROUGH THE NFL SCHEDULE 1000 TIMES AND ESTIMATES THE
NUMBER OF WINS TAKING INTO CONSIDERATION POSSIBLE UPSETS.
TEAMS WITHIN DIVISIONS ARE SORTED BY SIMULATED PERCENTAGES.
IN CASE TWO TEAMS ARE TIED IN THE WON/LOSS COLUMN (THIRD LINE)
OR ARE TIED WHEN PICKING WILD CARD TEAMS, THE BEST TEAM WILL
BE THE SIMULATED WINNER OF THE TWO.
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