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Predict Report - Weighted

 Bud Goode Sports Computer, Copyright 2014, All Rights Reserved.
 DATA YR 2014 PRED. WEEK  3 PRIOR YR 2013 SCHED YR 2014
 WEIGHT = 0.500
 Report 3

 PREDICTIONS FOR
  WEEK  3, 09/16/14

        ATLANTA     
 WK OPP PRE ACT SCORE
  1 NO   -8   3 37 34
  2 CIN -18 -14 10 24
  3 TB   -3
  4 MIN  -8
  5 NYG  -2
  6 CHI  -7
  7 BAL -11
  8 DET  -9
 10 TB   -7
 11 CAR -19
 12 CLE  -3
 13 ARI  -7
 14 GB   -6
 15 PIT  -1
 16 NO  -12
 17 CAR -13

  --PREDICTION--
    W  L  T  PCT.
    1 15  0 0.063

  --SIMULATION--
    W  L   PCT.
    3 13  0.188

 PRE = PREDICTED
        WINNING
         MARGIN
 ACT =  ACTUAL
        WINNING
         MARGIN
 OPP = OPPONENT
1 PREDICTIONS FOR
  WEEK  3, 09/16/14

        INDIANAPOLIS
 WK OPP PRE ACT SCORE
  1 DEN -13  -7 24 31
  2 PHI  -6  -3 27 30
  3 JAC  12
  4 TEN  -2
  5 BAL  -3
  6 HOU  -6
  7 CIN -10
  8 PIT  -1
  9 NYG   3
 11 NE   -4
 12 JAC  15
 13 WAS  -1
 14 CLE  -3
 15 HOU  -2
 16 DAL  -3
 17 TEN  -6

  --PREDICTION--
    W  L  T  PCT.
    3 13  0 0.188

  --SIMULATION--
    W  L   PCT.
    5 11  0.313

 PREDICTIONS FOR
  WEEK  3, 09/16/14

        BUFFALO     
 WK OPP PRE ACT SCORE
  1 CHI   1   3 23 20
  2 MIA   6  19 29 10
  3 SD    2
  4 HOU  -1
  5 DET  -2
  6 NE    1
  7 MIN   6
  8 NYJ   3
 10 KC    6
 11 MIA   2
 12 NYJ   7
 13 CLE   8
 14 DEN  -9
 15 GB   10
 16 OAK   7
 17 NE   -4

  --PREDICTION--
    W  L  T  PCT.
   12  4  0 0.750

  --SIMULATION--
    W  L   PCT.
   11  5  0.688
1 PREDICTIONS FOR
  WEEK  3, 09/16/14

        CHICAGO     
 WK OPP PRE ACT SCORE
  1 BUF  -1  -3 20 23
  2 SF   -4   8 28 20
  3 NYJ   2
  4 GB    7
  5 CAR  -9
  6 ATL   7
  7 MIA   4
  8 NE   -5
 10 GB    4
 11 MIN   5
 12 TB    7
 13 DET  -4
 14 DAL   6
 15 NO    2
 16 DET   1
 17 MIN  -1

  --PREDICTION--
    W  L  T  PCT.
   11  5  0 0.688

  --SIMULATION--
    W  L   PCT.
    9  7  0.563

 PREDICTIONS FOR
  WEEK  3, 09/16/14

        CINCINNATI  
 WK OPP PRE ACT SCORE
  1 BAL   6   7 23 16
  2 ATL  18  14 24 10
  3 TEN  10
  5 NE    4
  6 CAR   3
  7 IND  10
  8 BAL   9
  9 JAC  27
 10 CLE  14
 11 NO    5
 12 HOU   6
 13 TB   10
 14 PIT  17
 15 CLE   9
 16 DEN   3
 17 PIT  11

  --PREDICTION--
    W  L  T  PCT.
   16  0  0 1.000

  --SIMULATION--
    W  L   PCT.
   14  2  0.875
1 PREDICTIONS FOR
  WEEK  3, 09/16/14

        BALTIMORE   
 WK OPP PRE ACT SCORE
  1 CIN  -6  -7 16 23
  2 PIT   8  20 26  6
  3 CLE   3
  4 CAR  -5
  5 IND   3
  6 TB    3
  7 ATL  11
  8 CIN  -9
  9 PIT   4
 10 TEN   3
 12 NO   -2
 13 SD    2
 14 MIA   1
 15 JAC  20
 16 HOU  -2
 17 CLE   7

  --PREDICTION--
    W  L  T  PCT.
   11  5  0 0.688

  --SIMULATION--
    W  L   PCT.
    9  7  0.563

 PREDICTIONS FOR
  WEEK  3, 09/16/14

        DALLAS      
 WK OPP PRE ACT SCORE
  1 SF   -5 -11 17 28
  2 TEN  -4  16 26 10
  3 STL   5
  4 NO   -3
  5 HOU  -2
  6 SEA -11
  7 NYG   7
  8 WAS  -2
  9 ARI  -2
 10 JAC  11
 12 NYG   3
 13 PHI  -5
 14 CHI  -6
 15 PHI -10
 16 IND   3
 17 WAS  -6

  --PREDICTION--
    W  L  T  PCT.
    6 10  0 0.375

  --SIMULATION--
    W  L   PCT.
    7  9  0.438
1 PREDICTIONS FOR
  WEEK  3, 09/16/14

        DENVER      
 WK OPP PRE ACT SCORE
  1 IND  13   7 31 24
  2 KC   12   7 24 17
  3 SEA   1
  5 ARI   8
  6 NYJ   9
  7 SF    7
  8 SD    9
  9 NE    3
 10 OAK  14
 11 STL  16
 12 MIA  13
 13 KC    8
 14 BUF   9
 15 SD    4
 16 CIN  -3
 17 OAK  19

  --PREDICTION--
    W  L  T  PCT.
   15  1  0 0.938

  --SIMULATION--
    W  L   PCT.
   14  2  0.875

 PREDICTIONS FOR
  WEEK  3, 09/16/14

        DETROIT     
 WK OPP PRE ACT SCORE
  1 NYG  12  21 35 14
  2 CAR  -7 -17  7 24
  3 GB    9
  4 NYJ   3
  5 BUF   2
  6 MIN   3
  7 NO    3
  8 ATL   9
 10 MIA   7
 11 ARI  -1
 12 NE   -3
 13 CHI   4
 14 TB    8
 15 MIN   7
 16 CHI  -1
 17 GB    5

  --PREDICTION--
    W  L  T  PCT.
   12  4  0 0.750

  --SIMULATION--
    W  L   PCT.
   10  6  0.625
1 PREDICTIONS FOR
  WEEK  3, 09/16/14

        GREEN BAY   
 WK OPP PRE ACT SCORE
  1 SEA -13 -20 16 36
  2 NYJ  -1   7 31 24
  3 DET  -9
  4 CHI  -7
  5 MIN  -2
  6 MIA  -5
  7 CAR -11
  8 NO   -9
 10 CHI  -4
 11 PHI  -7
 12 MIN  -6
 13 NE   -6
 14 ATL   6
 15 BUF -10
 16 TB   -5
 17 DET  -5

  --PREDICTION--
    W  L  T  PCT.
    2 14  0 0.125

  --SIMULATION--
    W  L   PCT.
    4 12  0.250

 PREDICTIONS FOR
  WEEK  3, 09/16/14

        TENNESSEE   
 WK OPP PRE ACT SCORE
  1 KC    1  16 26 10
  2 DAL   4 -16 10 26
  3 CIN -10
  4 IND   2
  5 CLE   5
  6 JAC  18
  7 WAS  -2
  8 HOU   1
 10 BAL  -3
 11 PIT   7
 12 PHI  -7
 13 HOU  -3
 14 NYG  11
 15 NYJ   5
 16 JAC  14
 17 IND   6

  --PREDICTION--
    W  L  T  PCT.
   10  6  0 0.625

  --SIMULATION--
    W  L   PCT.
   10  6  0.625
1 PREDICTIONS FOR
  WEEK  3, 09/16/14

        KANSAS CITY 
 WK OPP PRE ACT SCORE
  1 TEN  -1 -16 10 26
  2 DEN -12  -7 17 24
  3 MIA  -1
  4 NE   -4
  5 SF   -7
  7 SD   -6
  8 STL   9
  9 NYJ   3
 10 BUF  -6
 11 SEA  -6
 12 OAK   4
 13 DEN  -8
 14 ARI  -6
 15 OAK   9
 16 PIT   1
 17 SD   -1

  --PREDICTION--
    W  L  T  PCT.
    5 11  0 0.313

  --SIMULATION--
    W  L   PCT.
    5 11  0.313

 PREDICTIONS FOR
  WEEK  3, 09/16/14

        ST. LOUIS   
 WK OPP PRE ACT SCORE
  1 MIN  -6 -28  6 34
  2 TB   -7   2 19 17
  3 DAL  -5
  5 PHI -15
  6 SF  -11
  7 SEA -14
  8 KC   -9
  9 SF  -15
 10 ARI -13
 11 DEN -16
 12 SD  -14
 13 OAK   1
 14 WAS -13
 15 ARI  -8
 16 NYG   2
 17 SEA -19

  --PREDICTION--
    W  L  T  PCT.
    3 13  0 0.188

  --SIMULATION--
    W  L   PCT.
    3 13  0.188
1 PREDICTIONS FOR
  WEEK  3, 09/16/14

        MIAMI       
 WK OPP PRE ACT SCORE
  1 NE   -4  13 33 20
  2 BUF  -6 -19 10 29
  3 KC    1
  4 OAK   4
  6 GB    5
  7 CHI  -4
  8 JAC  12
  9 SD   -2
 10 DET  -7
 11 BUF  -2
 12 DEN -13
 13 NYJ  -2
 14 BAL  -1
 15 NE   -8
 16 MIN   3
 17 NYJ   3

  --PREDICTION--
    W  L  T  PCT.
    7  9  0 0.438

  --SIMULATION--
    W  L   PCT.
    8  8  0.500

 PREDICTIONS FOR
  WEEK  3, 09/16/14

        MINNESOTA   
 WK OPP PRE ACT SCORE
  1 STL   6  28 34  6
  2 NE   -4 -23  7 30
  3 NO   -5
  4 ATL   8
  5 GB    2
  6 DET  -3
  7 BUF  -6
  8 TB   -1
  9 WAS  -1
 11 CHI  -5
 12 GB    6
 13 CAR  -8
 14 NYJ   3
 15 DET  -7
 16 MIA  -3
 17 CHI   1

  --PREDICTION--
    W  L  T  PCT.
    6 10  0 0.375

  --SIMULATION--
    W  L   PCT.
    7  9  0.438
1 PREDICTIONS FOR
  WEEK  3, 09/16/14

        NEW ENGLAND 
 WK OPP PRE ACT SCORE
  1 MIA   4 -13 20 33
  2 MIN   4  23 30  7
  3 OAK  13
  4 KC    4
  5 CIN  -4
  6 BUF  -1
  7 NYJ   8
  8 CHI   5
  9 DEN  -3
 11 IND   4
 12 DET   3
 13 GB    6
 14 SD   -1
 15 MIA   8
 16 NYJ   3
 17 BUF   4

  --PREDICTION--
    W  L  T  PCT.
   11  5  0 0.688

  --SIMULATION--
    W  L   PCT.
   11  5  0.688

 PREDICTIONS FOR
  WEEK  3, 09/16/14

        NEW ORLEANS 
 WK OPP PRE ACT SCORE
  1 ATL   8  -3 34 37
  2 CLE   3  -2 24 26
  3 MIN   5
  4 DAL   3
  5 TB    7
  7 DET  -3
  8 GB    9
  9 CAR  -9
 10 SF    1
 11 CIN  -5
 12 BAL   2
 13 PIT   4
 14 CAR  -4
 15 CHI  -2
 16 ATL  12
 17 TB    2

  --PREDICTION--
    W  L  T  PCT.
    9  7  0 0.563

  --SIMULATION--
    W  L   PCT.
    7  9  0.438
1 PREDICTIONS FOR
  WEEK  3, 09/16/14

        N.Y. GIANTS 
 WK OPP PRE ACT SCORE
  1 DET -12 -21 14 35
  2 ARI  -8 -11 14 25
  3 HOU  -8
  4 WAS -10
  5 ATL   2
  6 PHI -14
  7 DAL  -7
  9 IND  -3
 10 SEA -17
 11 SF   -9
 12 DAL  -3
 13 JAC   6
 14 TEN -11
 15 WAS  -6
 16 STL  -2
 17 PHI -10

  --PREDICTION--
    W  L  T  PCT.
    2 14  0 0.125

  --SIMULATION--
    W  L   PCT.
    3 13  0.188

 PREDICTIONS FOR
  WEEK  3, 09/16/14

        N.Y. JETS   
 WK OPP PRE ACT SCORE
  1 OAK   7   5 19 14
  2 GB    1  -7 24 31
  3 CHI  -2
  4 DET  -3
  5 SD   -6
  6 DEN  -9
  7 NE   -8
  8 BUF  -3
  9 KC   -3
 10 PIT   5
 12 BUF  -7
 13 MIA   2
 14 MIN  -3
 15 TEN  -5
 16 NE   -3
 17 MIA  -3

  --PREDICTION--
    W  L  T  PCT.
    3 13  0 0.188

  --SIMULATION--
    W  L   PCT.
    5 11  0.313
1 PREDICTIONS FOR
  WEEK  3, 09/16/14

        OAKLAND     
 WK OPP PRE ACT SCORE
  1 NYJ  -7  -5 14 19
  2 HOU  -8 -16 14 30
  3 NE  -13
  4 MIA  -4
  6 SD   -8
  7 ARI  -8
  8 CLE  -7
  9 SEA -17
 10 DEN -14
 11 SD  -12
 12 KC   -4
 13 STL  -1
 14 SF   -9
 15 KC   -9
 16 BUF  -7
 17 DEN -19

  --PREDICTION--
    W  L  T  PCT.
    0 16  0 0.000

  --SIMULATION--
    W  L   PCT.
    2 14  0.125

 PREDICTIONS FOR
  WEEK  3, 09/16/14

        PHILADELPHIA
 WK OPP PRE ACT SCORE
  1 JAC  22  17 34 17
  2 IND   6   3 30 27
  3 WAS   5
  4 SF   -1
  5 STL  15
  6 NYG  14
  8 ARI   1
  9 HOU   1
 10 CAR  -2
 11 GB    7
 12 TEN   7
 13 DAL   5
 14 SEA   1
 15 DAL  10
 16 WAS   1
 17 NYG  10

  --PREDICTION--
    W  L  T  PCT.
   14  2  0 0.875

  --SIMULATION--
    W  L   PCT.
   12  4  0.750
1 PREDICTIONS FOR
  WEEK  3, 09/16/14

        PITTSBURGH  
 WK OPP PRE ACT SCORE
  1 CLE  -1   3 30 27
  2 BAL  -8 -20  6 26
  3 CAR -14
  4 TB   -1
  5 JAC  10
  6 CLE  -4
  7 HOU  -4
  8 IND   1
  9 BAL  -4
 10 NYJ  -5
 11 TEN  -7
 13 NO   -4
 14 CIN -17
 15 ATL   1
 16 KC   -1
 17 CIN -11

  --PREDICTION--
    W  L  T  PCT.
    4 12  0 0.250

  --SIMULATION--
    W  L   PCT.
    6 10  0.375

 PREDICTIONS FOR
  WEEK  3, 09/16/14

        ARIZONA     
 WK OPP PRE ACT SCORE
  1 SD    1   1 18 17
  2 NYG   8  11 25 14
  3 SF   -1
  5 DEN  -8
  6 WAS   3
  7 OAK   8
  8 PHI  -1
  9 DAL   2
 10 STL  13
 11 DET   1
 12 SEA  -7
 13 ATL   7
 14 KC    6
 15 STL   8
 16 SEA  -2
 17 SF   -5

  --PREDICTION--
    W  L  T  PCT.
   10  6  0 0.625

  --SIMULATION--
    W  L   PCT.
   10  6  0.625
1 PREDICTIONS FOR
  WEEK  3, 09/16/14

        SAN DIEGO   
 WK OPP PRE ACT SCORE
  1 ARI  -1  -1 17 18
  2 SEA  -3   9 30 21
  3 BUF  -2
  4 JAC  20
  5 NYJ   6
  6 OAK   8
  7 KC    6
  8 DEN  -9
  9 MIA   2
 11 OAK  12
 12 STL  14
 13 BAL  -2
 14 NE    1
 15 DEN  -4
 16 SF   -4
 17 KC    1

  --PREDICTION--
    W  L  T  PCT.
   10  6  0 0.625

  --SIMULATION--
    W  L   PCT.
    9  7  0.563

 PREDICTIONS FOR
  WEEK  3, 09/16/14

        S. FRANCISCO
 WK OPP PRE ACT SCORE
  1 DAL   5  11 28 17
  2 CHI   4  -8 20 28
  3 ARI   1
  4 PHI   1
  5 KC    7
  6 STL  11
  7 DEN  -7
  9 STL  15
 10 NO   -1
 11 NYG   9
 12 WAS   5
 13 SEA  -1
 14 OAK   9
 15 SEA  -6
 16 SD    4
 17 ARI   5

  --PREDICTION--
    W  L  T  PCT.
   11  5  0 0.688

  --SIMULATION--
    W  L   PCT.
   10  6  0.625
1 PREDICTIONS FOR
  WEEK  3, 09/16/14

        SEATTLE     
 WK OPP PRE ACT SCORE
  1 GB   13  20 36 16
  2 SD    3  -9 21 30
  3 DEN  -1
  5 WAS   4
  6 DAL  11
  7 STL  14
  8 CAR  -3
  9 OAK  17
 10 NYG  17
 11 KC    6
 12 ARI   7
 13 SF    1
 14 PHI  -1
 15 SF    6
 16 ARI   2
 17 STL  19

  --PREDICTION--
    W  L  T  PCT.
   12  4  0 0.750

  --SIMULATION--
    W  L   PCT.
   11  5  0.688

 PREDICTIONS FOR
  WEEK  3, 09/16/14

        TAMPA BAY   
 WK OPP PRE ACT SCORE
  1 CAR -10  -6 14 20
  2 STL   7  -2 17 19
  3 ATL   3
  4 PIT   1
  5 NO   -7
  6 BAL  -3
  8 MIN   1
  9 CLE  -2
 10 ATL   7
 11 WAS  -6
 12 CHI  -7
 13 CIN -10
 14 DET  -8
 15 CAR -14
 16 GB    5
 17 NO   -2

  --PREDICTION--
    W  L  T  PCT.
    5 11  0 0.313

  --SIMULATION--
    W  L   PCT.
    6 10  0.375
1 PREDICTIONS FOR
  WEEK  3, 09/16/14

        WASHINGTON  
 WK OPP PRE ACT SCORE
  1 HOU  -1 -11  6 17
  2 JAC  18  31 41 10
  3 PHI  -5
  4 NYG  10
  5 SEA  -4
  6 ARI  -3
  7 TEN   2
  8 DAL   2
  9 MIN   1
 11 TB    6
 12 SF   -5
 13 IND   1
 14 STL  13
 15 NYG   6
 16 PHI  -1
 17 DAL   6

  --PREDICTION--
    W  L  T  PCT.
   10  6  0 0.625

  --SIMULATION--
    W  L   PCT.
    9  7  0.563

 PREDICTIONS FOR
  WEEK  3, 09/16/14

        CAROLINA    
 WK OPP PRE ACT SCORE
  1 TB   10   6 20 14
  2 DET   7  17 24  7
  3 PIT  14
  4 BAL   5
  5 CHI   9
  6 CIN  -3
  7 GB   11
  8 SEA   3
  9 NO    9
 10 PHI   2
 11 ATL  19
 13 MIN   8
 14 NO    4
 15 TB   14
 16 CLE  14
 17 ATL  13

  --PREDICTION--
    W  L  T  PCT.
   15  1  0 0.938

  --SIMULATION--
    W  L   PCT.
   14  2  0.875
1 PREDICTIONS FOR
  WEEK  3, 09/16/14

        JACKSONVILLE
 WK OPP PRE ACT SCORE
  1 PHI -22 -17 17 34
  2 WAS -18 -31 10 41
  3 IND -12
  4 SD  -20
  5 PIT -10
  6 TEN -18
  7 CLE -11
  8 MIA -12
  9 CIN -27
 10 DAL -11
 12 IND -15
 13 NYG  -6
 14 HOU -15
 15 BAL -20
 16 TEN -14
 17 HOU -20

  --PREDICTION--
    W  L  T  PCT.
    0 16  0 0.000

  --SIMULATION--
    W  L   PCT.
    1 15  0.063

 PREDICTIONS FOR
  WEEK  3, 09/16/14

        CLEVELAND   
 WK OPP PRE ACT SCORE
  1 PIT   1  -3 27 30
  2 NO   -3   2 26 24
  3 BAL  -3
  5 TEN  -5
  6 PIT   4
  7 JAC  11
  8 OAK   7
  9 TB    2
 10 CIN -14
 11 HOU  -2
 12 ATL   3
 13 BUF  -8
 14 IND   3
 15 CIN  -9
 16 CAR -14
 17 BAL  -7

  --PREDICTION--
    W  L  T  PCT.
    7  9  0 0.438

  --SIMULATION--
    W  L   PCT.
    7  9  0.438
1 PREDICTIONS FOR
  WEEK  3, 09/16/14

        HOUSTON     
 WK OPP PRE ACT SCORE
  1 WAS   1  11 17  6
  2 OAK   8  16 30 14
  3 NYG   8
  4 BUF   1
  5 DAL   2
  6 IND   6
  7 PIT   4
  8 TEN  -1
  9 PHI  -1
 11 CLE   2
 12 CIN  -6
 13 TEN   3
 14 JAC  15
 15 IND   2
 16 BAL   2
 17 JAC  20

  --PREDICTION--
    W  L  T  PCT.
   13  3  0 0.813

  --SIMULATION--
    W  L   PCT.
   12  4  0.750

 THE MOST LIKELY NFC LEADERS ARE: PHILADELPHIA (12- 4), DETROIT (10- 6)
   CAROLINA (14- 2) AND SEATTLE (11- 5)
 THE MOST LIKELY AFC LEADERS ARE: NEW ENGLAND (11- 5), CINCINNATI (14- 2)
   HOUSTON (12- 4) AND DENVER (14- 2)

 THE MOST LIKELY NFC WILD CARD TEAMS ARE S. FRANCISCO AND ARIZONA     
 THE MOST LIKELY AFC WILD CARD TEAMS ARE BUFFALO AND TENNESSEE   

 THE NFC CHAMPION SHOULD BE CAROLINA.      THE AFC CHAMP CINCINNATI.  
 FAVORED BY  1 POINTS, THE SUPER BOWL CHAMP WILL BE CINCINNATI.

   OF COURSE ANYTHING CAN HAPPEN IN A PLAYOFF GAME AND INJURIES
 AFTER THIS WEEK CAN KNOCK ANY TEAM OUT OF THE BOX. BUT BASED ON
 THE STATS TO DATE CINCINNATI WILL BE THE SUPER BOWL WINNER.



 * COMPUTER SEASON PREDICTIONS ARE MADE FOR TWO CONDITIONS:    
 THE THIRD LINE SHOWS THE NUMBER OF GAMES WHERE THE TEAM IS 
 THE PREDICTED 'FAVORITE'. BY DEFINITION THEN THE LEAGUE'S 
 STRONGEST TEAM WOULD BE PREDICTED TO WIN THE MOST IF NOT ALL 
 ITS GAMES. 
     HOWEVER, WE ALL KNOW THAT FAVORITES ARE UPSET 20 TO 25 
 PERCENT OF THE TIME. SO THE FIRST LINE IS A BETTER ESTIMATE 
 OF THE SEASON W-L RECORD. THIS FIRST LINE IS BASED ON WHAT 
 STATISTICIANS CALL A MONTE CARLO SIMULATION-I.E., THE COMPUTER
 PLAYS THROUGH THE NFL SCHEDULE 1000 TIMES AND ESTIMATES THE 
 NUMBER OF WINS TAKING INTO CONSIDERATION POSSIBLE UPSETS.
     TEAMS WITHIN DIVISIONS ARE SORTED BY SIMULATED PERCENTAGES.
 IN CASE TWO TEAMS ARE TIED IN THE WON/LOSS COLUMN (THIRD LINE)
 OR ARE TIED WHEN PICKING WILD CARD TEAMS, THE BEST TEAM WILL
 BE THE SIMULATED WINNER OF THE TWO.


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