Predict Report - Weighted
Super Bowl
o at AZ (neutral) NE vs SEA -- Even
Bud Goode Sports, Copyright 2014, All Rights Reserved.
DATA YR 2014 PRED. WEEK 21 PRIOR YR 2013 SCHED YR 2014
WEIGHT = 0.000
Report 3
PREDICTIONS FOR
WEEK 21, 01/22/15
ATLANTA
WK OPP PRE ACT SCORE
1 NO -1 3 37 34
2 CIN -5 -14 10 24
3 TB 6 42 56 14
4 MIN -2 -13 28 41
5 NYG -3 -10 20 30
6 CHI 4 -14 13 27
7 BAL -10 -22 7 29
8 DET -2 -1 21 22
10 TB 3 10 27 17
11 CAR -2 2 19 17
12 CLE 1 -2 24 26
13 ARI -1 11 29 18
14 GB -12 -6 37 43
15 PIT -3 -7 20 27
16 NO -5 16 30 14
17 CAR 3 -31 3 34
--PREDICTION--
W L T PCT.
6 10 0 0.375
--SIMULATION--
W L PCT.
6 10 0.375
PRE = PREDICTED
WINNING
MARGIN
ACT = ACTUAL
WINNING
MARGIN
OPP = OPPONENT
1 PREDICTIONS FOR
WEEK 21, 01/22/15
INDIANAPOLIS
WK OPP PRE ACT SCORE
1 DEN -7 -7 24 31
2 PHI 2 -3 27 30
3 JAC 9 27 44 17
4 TEN 12 24 41 17
5 BAL -2 7 20 13
6 HOU -4 5 33 28
7 CIN 3 27 27 0
8 PIT -4 -17 34 51
9 NYG 1 16 40 24
11 NE -3 -22 20 42
12 JAC 13 20 23 3
13 WAS 12 22 49 27
14 CLE 1 1 25 24
15 HOU 1 7 17 10
16 DAL -7 -35 7 42
17 TEN 8 17 27 10
--PREDICTION--
W L T PCT.
11 5 0 0.688
--SIMULATION--
W L PCT.
11 5 0.688
PREDICTIONS FOR
WEEK 21, 01/22/15
BUFFALO
WK OPP PRE ACT SCORE
1 CHI 6 3 23 20
2 MIA 4 19 29 10
3 SD 3 -12 10 22
4 HOU -3 -6 17 23
5 DET -1 3 17 14
6 NE -4 -15 22 37
7 MIN 6 1 17 16
8 NYJ 7 20 43 23
10 KC 1 -4 13 17
11 MIA 1 -13 9 22
12 NYJ 11 35 38 3
13 CLE 6 16 26 10
14 DEN -8 -7 17 24
15 GB -3 8 21 13
16 OAK 10 -2 24 26
17 NE -8 8 17 9
--PREDICTION--
W L T PCT.
9 7 0 0.563
--SIMULATION--
W L PCT.
9 7 0.563
1 PREDICTIONS FOR
WEEK 21, 01/22/15
CHICAGO
WK OPP PRE ACT SCORE
1 BUF -6 -3 20 23
2 SF -4 8 28 20
3 NYJ 1 8 27 19
4 GB -11 -21 17 38
5 CAR -4 -7 24 31
6 ATL -4 14 27 13
7 MIA -2 -13 14 27
8 NE -14 -28 23 51
10 GB -14 -41 14 55
11 MIN -1 8 21 13
12 TB 5 8 21 13
13 DET -9 -17 17 34
14 DAL -8 -13 28 41
15 NO -2 -16 15 31
16 DET -4 -6 14 20
17 MIN -5 -4 9 13
--PREDICTION--
W L T PCT.
5 11 0 0.313
--SIMULATION--
W L PCT.
5 11 0.313
PREDICTIONS FOR
WEEK 21, 01/22/15
CINCINNATI
WK OPP PRE ACT SCORE
1 BAL -6 7 23 16
2 ATL 5 14 24 10
3 TEN 11 26 33 7
5 NE -8 -26 17 43
6 CAR 5 0 37 37
7 IND -3 -27 0 27
8 BAL -3 3 27 24
9 JAC 12 10 33 23
10 CLE 4 -21 3 24
11 NO -1 17 27 10
12 HOU -5 9 22 13
13 TB 6 1 14 13
14 PIT 1 -21 21 42
15 CLE -1 30 30 0
16 DEN -4 9 37 28
17 PIT -5 -10 17 27
--PREDICTION--
W L T PCT.
10 5 1 0.656
--SIMULATION--
W L PCT.
10 6 0.625
1 PREDICTIONS FOR
WEEK 21, 01/22/15
BALTIMORE
WK OPP PRE ACT SCORE
1 CIN 6 -7 16 23
2 PIT 4 20 26 6
3 CLE 6 2 23 21
4 CAR 9 28 38 10
5 IND 2 -7 13 20
6 TB 11 31 48 17
7 ATL 10 22 29 7
8 CIN 3 -3 24 27
9 PIT 1 -20 23 43
10 TEN 17 14 21 7
12 NO 4 7 34 27
13 SD 8 -1 33 34
14 MIA 4 15 28 13
15 JAC 17 8 20 12
16 HOU -1 -12 13 25
17 CLE 10 10 20 10
--PREDICTION--
W L T PCT.
10 6 0 0.625
--SIMULATION--
W L PCT.
10 6 0.625
PREDICTIONS FOR
WEEK 21, 01/22/15
DALLAS
WK OPP PRE ACT SCORE
1 SF 9 -11 17 28
2 TEN 14 16 26 10
3 STL 7 3 34 31
4 NO 8 21 38 17
5 HOU 4 3 20 17
6 SEA -3 7 30 23
7 NYG 8 10 31 21
8 WAS 15 -3 17 20
9 ARI 7 -11 17 28
10 JAC 13 14 31 17
12 NYG 4 3 31 28
13 PHI 7 -23 10 33
14 CHI 8 13 41 28
15 PHI 2 11 38 27
16 IND 7 35 42 7
17 WAS 11 27 44 17
--PREDICTION--
W L T PCT.
12 4 0 0.750
--SIMULATION--
W L PCT.
12 4 0.750
1 PREDICTIONS FOR
WEEK 21, 01/22/15
DENVER
WK OPP PRE ACT SCORE
1 IND 7 7 31 24
2 KC 5 7 24 17
3 SEA -1 -6 20 26
5 ARI 9 21 41 20
6 NYJ 13 14 31 17
7 SF 11 25 42 17
8 SD 9 14 35 21
9 NE -2 -22 21 43
10 OAK 16 24 41 17
11 STL 8 -15 7 22
12 MIA 11 3 39 36
13 KC 1 13 29 16
14 BUF 8 7 24 17
15 SD 5 12 22 10
16 CIN 4 -9 28 37
17 OAK 21 33 47 14
--PREDICTION--
W L T PCT.
12 4 0 0.750
--SIMULATION--
W L PCT.
12 4 0.750
PREDICTIONS FOR
WEEK 21, 01/22/15
DETROIT
WK OPP PRE ACT SCORE
1 NYG 3 21 35 14
2 CAR 2 -17 7 24
3 GB -5 12 19 7
4 NYJ 7 7 24 17
5 BUF 1 -3 14 17
6 MIN 2 14 17 3
7 NO 4 1 24 23
8 ATL 2 1 22 21
10 MIA 4 4 20 16
11 ARI -1 -8 6 14
12 NE -8 -25 9 34
13 CHI 9 17 34 17
14 TB 11 17 34 17
15 MIN 7 2 16 14
16 CHI 4 6 20 14
17 GB -9 -10 20 30
--PREDICTION--
W L T PCT.
11 5 0 0.688
--SIMULATION--
W L PCT.
11 5 0.688
1 PREDICTIONS FOR
WEEK 21, 01/22/15
GREEN BAY
WK OPP PRE ACT SCORE
1 SEA -1 -20 16 36
2 NYJ 15 7 31 24
3 DET 5 -12 7 19
4 CHI 11 21 38 17
5 MIN 11 32 42 10
6 MIA 6 3 27 24
7 CAR 12 21 38 17
8 NO 6 -21 23 44
10 CHI 14 41 55 14
11 PHI 8 33 53 20
12 MIN 7 3 24 21
13 NE 2 5 26 21
14 ATL 12 6 43 37
15 BUF 3 -8 13 21
16 TB 12 17 20 3
17 DET 9 10 30 20
--PREDICTION--
W L T PCT.
12 4 0 0.750
--SIMULATION--
W L PCT.
12 4 0.750
PREDICTIONS FOR
WEEK 21, 01/22/15
TENNESSEE
WK OPP PRE ACT SCORE
1 KC -14 16 26 10
2 DAL -14 -16 10 26
3 CIN -11 -26 7 33
4 IND -12 -24 17 41
5 CLE -6 -1 28 29
6 JAC 2 2 16 14
7 WAS -3 -2 17 19
8 HOU -11 -14 16 30
10 BAL -17 -14 7 21
11 PIT -10 -3 24 27
12 PHI -13 -19 24 43
13 HOU -15 -24 21 45
14 NYG -6 -29 7 36
15 NYJ 1 -5 11 16
16 JAC -3 -8 13 21
17 IND -8 -17 10 27
--PREDICTION--
W L T PCT.
2 14 0 0.125
--SIMULATION--
W L PCT.
2 14 0.125
1 PREDICTIONS FOR
WEEK 21, 01/22/15
KANSAS CITY
WK OPP PRE ACT SCORE
1 TEN 14 -16 10 26
2 DEN -5 -7 17 24
3 MIA 3 19 34 15
4 NE -2 27 41 14
5 SF 4 -5 17 22
7 SD 2 3 23 20
8 STL 8 27 34 7
9 NYJ 13 14 24 10
10 BUF -1 4 17 13
11 SEA -1 4 24 20
12 OAK 12 -4 20 24
13 DEN -1 -13 16 29
14 ARI 1 -3 14 17
15 OAK 17 18 31 13
16 PIT -2 -8 12 20
17 SD 6 12 19 7
--PREDICTION--
W L T PCT.
9 7 0 0.563
--SIMULATION--
W L PCT.
9 7 0.563
PREDICTIONS FOR
WEEK 21, 01/22/15
ST. LOUIS
WK OPP PRE ACT SCORE
1 MIN 1 -28 6 34
2 TB 3 2 19 17
3 DAL -7 -3 31 34
5 PHI -6 -6 28 34
6 SF 1 -14 17 31
7 SEA -8 2 28 26
8 KC -8 -27 7 34
9 SF -3 3 13 10
10 ARI -5 -17 14 31
11 DEN -8 15 22 7
12 SD -5 -3 24 27
13 OAK 11 52 52 0
14 WAS 3 24 24 0
15 ARI -1 -6 6 12
16 NYG 1 -10 27 37
17 SEA -13 -14 6 20
--PREDICTION--
W L T PCT.
6 10 0 0.375
--SIMULATION--
W L PCT.
6 10 0.375
1 PREDICTIONS FOR
WEEK 21, 01/22/15
MIAMI
WK OPP PRE ACT SCORE
1 NE -7 13 33 20
2 BUF -4 -19 10 29
3 KC -3 -19 15 34
4 OAK 9 24 38 14
6 GB -6 -3 24 27
7 CHI 2 13 27 14
8 JAC 6 14 27 13
9 SD 1 37 37 0
10 DET -4 -4 16 20
11 BUF -1 13 22 9
12 DEN -11 -3 36 39
13 NYJ 4 3 16 13
14 BAL -4 -15 13 28
15 NE -11 -28 13 41
16 MIN 5 2 37 35
17 NYJ 9 -13 24 37
--PREDICTION--
W L T PCT.
8 8 0 0.500
--SIMULATION--
W L PCT.
8 8 0.500
PREDICTIONS FOR
WEEK 21, 01/22/15
MINNESOTA
WK OPP PRE ACT SCORE
1 STL -1 28 34 6
2 NE -9 -23 7 30
3 NO -3 -11 9 20
4 ATL 2 13 41 28
5 GB -11 -32 10 42
6 DET -2 -14 3 17
7 BUF -6 -1 16 17
8 TB 3 6 19 13
9 WAS 8 3 29 26
11 CHI 1 -8 13 21
12 GB -7 -3 21 24
13 CAR 2 18 31 13
14 NYJ 7 6 30 24
15 DET -7 -2 14 16
16 MIA -5 -2 35 37
17 CHI 5 4 13 9
--PREDICTION--
W L T PCT.
7 9 0 0.438
--SIMULATION--
W L PCT.
7 9 0.438
1 PREDICTIONS FOR
WEEK 21, 01/22/15
NEW ENGLAND
WK OPP PRE ACT SCORE
1 MIA 7 -13 20 33
2 MIN 9 23 30 7
3 OAK 20 7 16 9
4 KC 2 -27 14 41
5 CIN 8 26 43 17
6 BUF 4 15 37 22
7 NYJ 16 2 27 25
8 CHI 14 28 51 23
9 DEN 2 22 43 21
11 IND 3 22 42 20
12 DET 8 25 34 9
13 GB -2 -5 21 26
14 SD 5 9 23 14
15 MIA 11 28 41 13
16 NYJ 11 1 17 16
17 BUF 8 -8 9 17
--PREDICTION--
W L T PCT.
12 4 0 0.750
--SIMULATION--
W L PCT.
12 4 0.750
PREDICTIONS FOR
WEEK 21, 01/22/15
NEW ORLEANS
WK OPP PRE ACT SCORE
1 ATL 1 -3 34 37
2 CLE -1 -2 24 26
3 MIN 3 11 20 9
4 DAL -8 -21 17 38
5 TB 9 6 37 31
7 DET -4 -1 23 24
8 GB -6 21 44 23
9 CAR -1 18 28 10
10 SF 4 -3 24 27
11 CIN 1 -17 10 27
12 BAL -4 -7 27 34
13 PIT -6 3 35 32
14 CAR 4 -31 10 41
15 CHI 2 16 31 15
16 ATL 5 -16 14 30
17 TB 4 3 23 20
--PREDICTION--
W L T PCT.
7 9 0 0.438
--SIMULATION--
W L PCT.
7 9 0.438
1 PREDICTIONS FOR
WEEK 21, 01/22/15
N.Y. GIANTS
WK OPP PRE ACT SCORE
1 DET -3 -21 14 35
2 ARI 1 -11 14 25
3 HOU -3 13 30 17
4 WAS 6 31 45 14
5 ATL 3 10 30 20
6 PHI -4 -27 0 27
7 DAL -8 -10 21 31
9 IND -1 -16 24 40
10 SEA -10 -21 17 38
11 SF 4 -6 10 16
12 DAL -4 -3 28 31
13 JAC 6 -1 24 25
14 TEN 6 29 36 7
15 WAS 10 11 24 13
16 STL -1 10 37 27
17 PHI 1 -8 26 34
--PREDICTION--
W L T PCT.
6 10 0 0.375
--SIMULATION--
W L PCT.
6 10 0.375
PREDICTIONS FOR
WEEK 21, 01/22/15
N.Y. JETS
WK OPP PRE ACT SCORE
1 OAK 5 5 19 14
2 GB -15 -7 24 31
3 CHI -1 -8 19 27
4 DET -7 -7 17 24
5 SD -9 -31 0 31
6 DEN -13 -14 17 31
7 NE -16 -2 25 27
8 BUF -7 -20 23 43
9 KC -13 -14 10 24
10 PIT -8 7 20 13
12 BUF -11 -35 3 38
13 MIA -4 -3 13 16
14 MIN -7 -6 24 30
15 TEN -1 5 16 11
16 NE -11 -1 16 17
17 MIA -9 13 37 24
--PREDICTION--
W L T PCT.
4 12 0 0.250
--SIMULATION--
W L PCT.
4 12 0.250
1 PREDICTIONS FOR
WEEK 21, 01/22/15
OAKLAND
WK OPP PRE ACT SCORE
1 NYJ -5 -5 14 19
2 HOU -13 -16 14 30
3 NE -20 -7 9 16
4 MIA -9 -24 14 38
6 SD -9 -3 28 31
7 ARI -9 -11 13 24
8 CLE -11 -10 13 23
9 SEA -20 -6 24 30
10 DEN -16 -24 17 41
11 SD -13 -7 6 13
12 KC -12 4 24 20
13 STL -11 -52 0 52
14 SF -6 11 24 13
15 KC -17 -18 13 31
16 BUF -10 2 26 24
17 DEN -21 -33 14 47
--PREDICTION--
W L T PCT.
3 13 0 0.188
--SIMULATION--
W L PCT.
3 13 0.188
PREDICTIONS FOR
WEEK 21, 01/22/15
PHILADELPHIA
WK OPP PRE ACT SCORE
1 JAC 12 17 34 17
2 IND -2 3 30 27
3 WAS 11 3 37 34
4 SF 2 -5 21 26
5 STL 6 6 34 28
6 NYG 4 27 27 0
8 ARI -1 -4 20 24
9 HOU -4 10 31 21
10 CAR 6 24 45 21
11 GB -8 -33 20 53
12 TEN 13 19 43 24
13 DAL -7 23 33 10
14 SEA -3 -10 14 24
15 DAL -2 -11 27 38
16 WAS 6 -3 24 27
17 NYG -1 8 34 26
--PREDICTION--
W L T PCT.
10 6 0 0.625
--SIMULATION--
W L PCT.
10 6 0.625
1 PREDICTIONS FOR
WEEK 21, 01/22/15
PITTSBURGH
WK OPP PRE ACT SCORE
1 CLE 6 3 30 27
2 BAL -4 -20 6 26
3 CAR 4 18 37 19
4 TB 12 -3 24 27
5 JAC 11 8 17 9
6 CLE 3 -21 10 31
7 HOU 2 7 30 23
8 IND 4 17 51 34
9 BAL -1 20 43 23
10 NYJ 8 -7 13 20
11 TEN 10 3 27 24
13 NO 6 -3 32 35
14 CIN -1 21 42 21
15 ATL 3 7 27 20
16 KC 2 8 20 12
17 CIN 5 10 27 17
--PREDICTION--
W L T PCT.
11 5 0 0.688
--SIMULATION--
W L PCT.
11 5 0.688
PREDICTIONS FOR
WEEK 21, 01/22/15
ARIZONA
WK OPP PRE ACT SCORE
1 SD 1 1 18 17
2 NYG -1 11 25 14
3 SF 4 9 23 14
5 DEN -9 -21 20 41
6 WAS 10 10 30 20
7 OAK 9 11 24 13
8 PHI 1 4 24 20
9 DAL -7 11 28 17
10 STL 5 17 31 14
11 DET 1 8 14 6
12 SEA -9 -16 3 19
13 ATL 1 -11 18 29
14 KC -1 3 17 14
15 STL 1 6 12 6
16 SEA -4 -29 6 35
17 SF -1 -3 17 20
--PREDICTION--
W L T PCT.
11 5 0 0.688
--SIMULATION--
W L PCT.
11 5 0.688
1 PREDICTIONS FOR
WEEK 21, 01/22/15
SAN DIEGO
WK OPP PRE ACT SCORE
1 ARI -1 -1 17 18
2 SEA -6 9 30 21
3 BUF -3 12 22 10
4 JAC 11 19 33 14
5 NYJ 9 31 31 0
6 OAK 9 3 31 28
7 KC -2 -3 20 23
8 DEN -9 -14 21 35
9 MIA -1 -37 0 37
11 OAK 13 7 13 6
12 STL 5 3 27 24
13 BAL -8 1 34 33
14 NE -5 -9 14 23
15 DEN -5 -12 10 22
16 SF -1 3 38 35
17 KC -6 -12 7 19
--PREDICTION--
W L T PCT.
9 7 0 0.563
--SIMULATION--
W L PCT.
9 7 0.563
PREDICTIONS FOR
WEEK 21, 01/22/15
S. FRANCISCO
WK OPP PRE ACT SCORE
1 DAL -9 11 28 17
2 CHI 4 -8 20 28
3 ARI -4 -9 14 23
4 PHI -2 5 26 21
5 KC -4 5 22 17
6 STL -1 14 31 17
7 DEN -11 -25 17 42
9 STL 3 -3 10 13
10 NO -4 3 27 24
11 NYG -4 6 16 10
12 WAS 8 4 17 13
13 SEA -7 -16 3 19
14 OAK 6 -11 13 24
15 SEA -12 -10 7 17
16 SD 1 -3 35 38
17 ARI 1 3 20 17
--PREDICTION--
W L T PCT.
8 8 0 0.500
--SIMULATION--
W L PCT.
8 8 0.500
1 PREDICTIONS FOR
WEEK 21, 01/22/15
SEATTLE
WK OPP PRE ACT SCORE
1 GB 1 20 36 16
2 SD 6 -9 21 30
3 DEN 1 6 26 20
5 WAS 14 10 27 17
6 DAL 3 -7 23 30
7 STL 8 -2 26 28
8 CAR 8 4 13 9
9 OAK 20 6 30 24
10 NYG 10 21 38 17
11 KC 1 -4 20 24
12 ARI 9 16 19 3
13 SF 7 16 19 3
14 PHI 3 10 24 14
15 SF 12 10 17 7
16 ARI 4 29 35 6
17 STL 13 14 20 6
--PREDICTION--
W L T PCT.
12 4 0 0.750
--SIMULATION--
W L PCT.
12 4 0.750
PREDICTIONS FOR
WEEK 21, 01/22/15
TAMPA BAY
WK OPP PRE ACT SCORE
1 CAR -4 -6 14 20
2 STL -3 -2 17 19
3 ATL -6 -42 14 56
4 PIT -12 3 27 24
5 NO -9 -6 31 37
6 BAL -11 -31 17 48
8 MIN -3 -6 13 19
9 CLE -8 -5 17 22
10 ATL -3 -10 17 27
11 WAS -2 20 27 7
12 CHI -5 -8 13 21
13 CIN -6 -1 13 14
14 DET -11 -17 17 34
15 CAR -8 -2 17 19
16 GB -12 -17 3 20
17 NO -4 -3 20 23
--PREDICTION--
W L T PCT.
2 14 0 0.125
--SIMULATION--
W L PCT.
2 14 0.125
1 PREDICTIONS FOR
WEEK 21, 01/22/15
WASHINGTON
WK OPP PRE ACT SCORE
1 HOU -13 -11 6 17
2 JAC 2 31 41 10
3 PHI -11 -3 34 37
4 NYG -6 -31 14 45
5 SEA -14 -10 17 27
6 ARI -10 -10 20 30
7 TEN 3 2 19 17
8 DAL -15 3 20 17
9 MIN -8 -3 26 29
11 TB 2 -20 7 27
12 SF -8 -4 13 17
13 IND -12 -22 27 49
14 STL -3 -24 0 24
15 NYG -10 -11 13 24
16 PHI -6 3 27 24
17 DAL -11 -27 17 44
--PREDICTION--
W L T PCT.
4 12 0 0.250
--SIMULATION--
W L PCT.
4 12 0.250
PREDICTIONS FOR
WEEK 21, 01/22/15
CAROLINA
WK OPP PRE ACT SCORE
1 TB 4 6 20 14
2 DET -2 17 24 7
3 PIT -4 -18 19 37
4 BAL -9 -28 10 38
5 CHI 4 7 31 24
6 CIN -5 0 37 37
7 GB -12 -21 17 38
8 SEA -8 -4 9 13
9 NO 1 -18 10 28
10 PHI -6 -24 21 45
11 ATL 2 -2 17 19
13 MIN -2 -18 13 31
14 NO -4 31 41 10
15 TB 8 2 19 17
16 CLE 2 4 17 13
17 ATL -3 31 34 3
--PREDICTION--
W L T PCT.
7 8 1 0.469
--SIMULATION--
W L PCT.
7 9 0.438
1 PREDICTIONS FOR
WEEK 21, 01/22/15
JACKSONVILLE
WK OPP PRE ACT SCORE
1 PHI -12 -17 17 34
2 WAS -2 -31 10 41
3 IND -9 -27 17 44
4 SD -11 -19 14 33
5 PIT -11 -8 9 17
6 TEN -2 -2 14 16
7 CLE -6 18 24 6
8 MIA -6 -14 13 27
9 CIN -12 -10 23 33
10 DAL -13 -14 17 31
12 IND -13 -20 3 23
13 NYG -6 1 25 24
14 HOU -10 -14 13 27
15 BAL -17 -8 12 20
16 TEN 3 8 21 13
17 HOU -16 -6 17 23
--PREDICTION--
W L T PCT.
3 13 0 0.188
--SIMULATION--
W L PCT.
3 13 0.188
PREDICTIONS FOR
WEEK 21, 01/22/15
CLEVELAND
WK OPP PRE ACT SCORE
1 PIT -6 -3 27 30
2 NO 1 2 26 24
3 BAL -6 -2 21 23
5 TEN 6 1 29 28
6 PIT -3 21 31 10
7 JAC 6 -18 6 24
8 OAK 11 10 23 13
9 TB 8 5 22 17
10 CIN -4 21 24 3
11 HOU -3 -16 7 23
12 ATL -1 2 26 24
13 BUF -6 -16 10 26
14 IND -1 -1 24 25
15 CIN 1 -30 0 30
16 CAR -2 -4 13 17
17 BAL -10 -10 10 20
--PREDICTION--
W L T PCT.
7 9 0 0.438
--SIMULATION--
W L PCT.
7 9 0.438
1 PREDICTIONS FOR
WEEK 21, 01/22/15
HOUSTON
WK OPP PRE ACT SCORE
1 WAS 13 11 17 6
2 OAK 13 16 30 14
3 NYG 3 -13 17 30
4 BUF 3 6 23 17
5 DAL -4 -3 17 20
6 IND 4 -5 28 33
7 PIT -2 -7 23 30
8 TEN 11 14 30 16
9 PHI 4 -10 21 31
11 CLE 3 16 23 7
12 CIN 5 -9 13 22
13 TEN 15 24 45 21
14 JAC 10 14 27 13
15 IND -1 -7 10 17
16 BAL 1 12 25 13
17 JAC 16 6 23 17
--PREDICTION--
W L T PCT.
9 7 0 0.563
--SIMULATION--
W L PCT.
9 7 0.563
THE MOST LIKELY NFC LEADERS ARE: DALLAS (12- 4), GREEN BAY (12- 4)
NEW ORLEANS ( 7- 9) AND SEATTLE (12- 4)
THE MOST LIKELY AFC LEADERS ARE: NEW ENGLAND (12- 4), PITTSBURGH (11- 5)
INDIANAPOLIS (11- 5) AND DENVER (12- 4)
THE MOST LIKELY NFC WILD CARD TEAMS ARE DETROIT AND ARIZONA
THE MOST LIKELY AFC WILD CARD TEAMS ARE BALTIMORE AND CINCINNATI
THE NFC CHAMPION SHOULD BE GREEN BAY. THE AFC CHAMP DENVER.
FAVORED BY 0 POINTS, THE SUPER BOWL CHAMP WILL BE DENVER.
OF COURSE ANYTHING CAN HAPPEN IN A PLAYOFF GAME AND INJURIES
AFTER THIS WEEK CAN KNOCK ANY TEAM OUT OF THE BOX. BUT BASED ON
THE STATS TO DATE DENVER WILL BE THE SUPER BOWL WINNER.
* COMPUTER SEASON PREDICTIONS ARE MADE FOR TWO CONDITIONS:
THE THIRD LINE SHOWS THE NUMBER OF GAMES WHERE THE TEAM IS
THE PREDICTED 'FAVORITE'. BY DEFINITION THEN THE LEAGUE'S
STRONGEST TEAM WOULD BE PREDICTED TO WIN THE MOST IF NOT ALL
ITS GAMES.
HOWEVER, WE ALL KNOW THAT FAVORITES ARE UPSET 20 TO 25
PERCENT OF THE TIME. SO THE FIRST LINE IS A BETTER ESTIMATE
OF THE SEASON W-L RECORD. THIS FIRST LINE IS BASED ON WHAT
STATISTICIANS CALL A MONTE CARLO SIMULATION-I.E., THE COMPUTER
PLAYS THROUGH THE NFL SCHEDULE 1000 TIMES AND ESTIMATES THE
NUMBER OF WINS TAKING INTO CONSIDERATION POSSIBLE UPSETS.
TEAMS WITHIN DIVISIONS ARE SORTED BY SIMULATED PERCENTAGES.
IN CASE TWO TEAMS ARE TIED IN THE WON/LOSS COLUMN (THIRD LINE)
OR ARE TIED WHEN PICKING WILD CARD TEAMS, THE BEST TEAM WILL
BE THE SIMULATED WINNER OF THE TWO.
REPORT 3
WEEK 21 - 01/22/15
WEIGHT = 0.000
TEAMS (MATCHING TEAMS MEET THIS WEEK)
LEAGUE -----------
AVERAGE NE SEA
------- ----- -----
TOTAL RUSHING PL 26.74 27.38 32.82
OPPONENT TOT.RUS 26.74 26.19 23.76
YARDS PER PASS A 6.35 6.49 6.56
OP.YDS.PER PASS 6.37 6.25 5.46
FUM. LOST THIS Y 0.61 0.26 0.44
OPP.FUMBLES RECO 0.61 0.57 0.69
PASSES HAD INTER 0.88 0.57 0.44
OP.PASSES INTERC 0.88 1.01 0.82
QB SACKS.LOTSA O 2.37 1.63 2.63
OP QB SACKED. OU 2.37 2.51 2.32
YDS GAINED ON RE 88.22 82.32 86.88
OP YDS GAND ON R 88.45 80.94 85.88
PREDICTED POINTS SCORE
OFFENSE 21. 25. 22.
DEFENSE 21. 17. 15.
HOME FIELD ADVANTAGE 0.00
WINNING MARGIN (POINTS) 0.21 *****
ACTUAL POINTS PER GAME
OFFENSE 23. 29. 25.
DEFENSE 23. 20. 16.
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