Predict Report - Weighted
Bud Goode Sports Computer, Copyright 2014, All Rights Reserved.
DATA YR 2014 PRED. WEEK 5 PRIOR YR 2013 SCHED YR 2014
WEIGHT = 0.000
Report 3
PREDICTIONS FOR
WEEK 5, 09/30/14
ATLANTA
WK OPP PRE ACT SCORE
1 NO 6 3 37 34
2 CIN -12 -14 10 24
3 TB 15 42 56 14
4 MIN 3 -13 28 41
5 NYG -3
6 CHI 3
7 BAL -7
8 DET 1
10 TB 11
11 CAR 6
12 CLE 3
13 ARI 4
14 GB 2
15 PIT 6
16 NO 2
17 CAR 11
--PREDICTION--
W L T PCT.
12 4 0 0.750
--SIMULATION--
W L PCT.
10 6 0.625
PRE = PREDICTED
WINNING
MARGIN
ACT = ACTUAL
WINNING
MARGIN
OPP = OPPONENT
1 PREDICTIONS FOR
WEEK 5, 09/30/14
INDIANAPOLIS
WK OPP PRE ACT SCORE
1 DEN 4 -7 24 31
2 PHI 8 -3 27 30
3 JAC 24 27 44 17
4 TEN 19 24 41 17
5 BAL 1
6 HOU 3
7 CIN -3
8 PIT 6
9 NYG 1
11 NE 11
12 JAC 28
13 WAS 12
14 CLE 2
15 HOU 7
16 DAL 1
17 TEN 15
--PREDICTION--
W L T PCT.
13 3 0 0.813
--SIMULATION--
W L PCT.
11 5 0.688
PREDICTIONS FOR
WEEK 5, 09/30/14
BUFFALO
WK OPP PRE ACT SCORE
1 CHI -1 3 23 20
2 MIA 4 19 29 10
3 SD -4 -12 10 22
4 HOU -3 -6 17 23
5 DET -5
6 NE 4
7 MIN 5
8 NYJ 3
10 KC -4
11 MIA 1
12 NYJ 7
13 CLE 1
14 DEN -4
15 GB 6
16 OAK 9
17 NE -1
--PREDICTION--
W L T PCT.
10 6 0 0.625
--SIMULATION--
W L PCT.
9 7 0.563
1 PREDICTIONS FOR
WEEK 5, 09/30/14
CHICAGO
WK OPP PRE ACT SCORE
1 BUF 1 -3 20 23
2 SF -1 8 28 20
3 NYJ 4 8 27 19
4 GB 5 -21 17 38
5 CAR 5
6 ATL -3
7 MIA 5
8 NE 1
10 GB 1
11 MIN 6
12 TB 14
13 DET -6
14 DAL -1
15 NO 6
16 DET -1
17 MIN 1
--PREDICTION--
W L T PCT.
10 6 0 0.625
--SIMULATION--
W L PCT.
8 8 0.500
PREDICTIONS FOR
WEEK 5, 09/30/14
CINCINNATI
WK OPP PRE ACT SCORE
1 BAL 4 7 23 16
2 ATL 12 14 24 10
3 TEN 24 26 33 7
5 NE 12
6 CAR 20
7 IND 3
8 BAL 7
9 JAC 33
10 CLE 12
11 NO 13
12 HOU 8
13 TB 21
14 PIT 16
15 CLE 8
16 DEN 14
17 PIT 10
--PREDICTION--
W L T PCT.
16 0 0 1.000
--SIMULATION--
W L PCT.
15 1 0.938
1 PREDICTIONS FOR
WEEK 5, 09/30/14
BALTIMORE
WK OPP PRE ACT SCORE
1 CIN -4 -7 16 23
2 PIT 10 20 26 6
3 CLE 4 2 23 21
4 CAR 15 28 38 10
5 IND -1
6 TB 17
7 ATL 7
8 CIN -7
9 PIT 6
10 TEN 20
12 NO 8
13 SD 4
14 MIA 7
15 JAC 29
16 HOU 2
17 CLE 8
--PREDICTION--
W L T PCT.
13 3 0 0.813
--SIMULATION--
W L PCT.
12 4 0.750
PREDICTIONS FOR
WEEK 5, 09/30/14
DALLAS
WK OPP PRE ACT SCORE
1 SF 4 -11 17 28
2 TEN 13 16 26 10
3 STL 13 3 34 31
4 NO 7 21 38 17
5 HOU 3
6 SEA -3
7 NYG 1
8 WAS 8
9 ARI 5
10 JAC 20
12 NYG -3
13 PHI 5
14 CHI 1
15 PHI 1
16 IND -1
17 WAS 3
--PREDICTION--
W L T PCT.
12 4 0 0.750
--SIMULATION--
W L PCT.
10 6 0.625
1 PREDICTIONS FOR
WEEK 5, 09/30/14
DENVER
WK OPP PRE ACT SCORE
1 IND -4 7 31 24
2 KC -3 7 24 17
3 SEA -5 -6 20 26
5 ARI 3
6 NYJ 4
7 SF 3
8 SD -2
9 NE 1
10 OAK 11
11 STL 11
12 MIA 6
13 KC -7
14 BUF 4
15 SD -7
16 CIN -14
17 OAK 16
--PREDICTION--
W L T PCT.
11 5 0 0.688
--SIMULATION--
W L PCT.
10 6 0.625
PREDICTIONS FOR
WEEK 5, 09/30/14
DETROIT
WK OPP PRE ACT SCORE
1 NYG 1 21 35 14
2 CAR 9 -17 7 24
3 GB 8 12 19 7
4 NYJ 7 7 24 17
5 BUF 5
6 MIN 5
7 NO 8
8 ATL -1
10 MIA 8
11 ARI 1
12 NE 3
13 CHI 6
14 TB 18
15 MIN 9
16 CHI 1
17 GB 3
--PREDICTION--
W L T PCT.
14 2 0 0.875
--SIMULATION--
W L PCT.
12 4 0.750
1 PREDICTIONS FOR
WEEK 5, 09/30/14
GREEN BAY
WK OPP PRE ACT SCORE
1 SEA -8 -20 16 36
2 NYJ 3 7 31 24
3 DET -8 -12 7 19
4 CHI -5 21 38 17
5 MIN 2
6 MIA -2
7 CAR 6
8 NO -2
10 CHI -1
11 PHI -1
12 MIN -2
13 NE 2
14 ATL -2
15 BUF -6
16 TB 6
17 DET -3
--PREDICTION--
W L T PCT.
6 10 0 0.375
--SIMULATION--
W L PCT.
8 8 0.500
PREDICTIONS FOR
WEEK 5, 09/30/14
TENNESSEE
WK OPP PRE ACT SCORE
1 KC -18 16 26 10
2 DAL -13 -16 10 26
3 CIN -24 -26 7 33
4 IND -19 -24 17 41
5 CLE -11
6 JAC 10
7 WAS -10
8 HOU -11
10 BAL -20
11 PIT -8
12 PHI -13
13 HOU -15
14 NYG -12
15 NYJ -3
16 JAC 5
17 IND -15
--PREDICTION--
W L T PCT.
3 13 0 0.188
--SIMULATION--
W L PCT.
4 12 0.250
1 PREDICTIONS FOR
WEEK 5, 09/30/14
KANSAS CITY
WK OPP PRE ACT SCORE
1 TEN 18 -16 10 26
2 DEN 3 -7 17 24
3 MIA 7 19 34 15
4 NE 9 27 41 14
5 SF 4
7 SD -1
8 STL 19
9 NYJ 13
10 BUF 4
11 SEA 4
12 OAK 16
13 DEN 7
14 ARI 3
15 OAK 21
16 PIT 4
17 SD 3
--PREDICTION--
W L T PCT.
13 3 0 0.813
--SIMULATION--
W L PCT.
11 5 0.688
PREDICTIONS FOR
WEEK 5, 09/30/14
ST. LOUIS
WK OPP PRE ACT SCORE
1 MIN -7 -28 6 34
2 TB -1 2 19 17
3 DAL -13 -3 31 34
5 PHI -13
6 SF -10
7 SEA -14
8 KC -19
9 SF -14
10 ARI -14
11 DEN -11
12 SD -19
13 OAK 3
14 WAS -11
15 ARI -9
16 NYG -12
17 SEA -19
--PREDICTION--
W L T PCT.
2 14 0 0.125
--SIMULATION--
W L PCT.
2 14 0.125
1 PREDICTIONS FOR
WEEK 5, 09/30/14
MIAMI
WK OPP PRE ACT SCORE
1 NE 1 13 33 20
2 BUF -4 -19 10 29
3 KC -7 -19 15 34
4 OAK 8 24 38 14
6 GB 2
7 CHI -5
8 JAC 15
9 SD -6
10 DET -8
11 BUF -1
12 DEN -6
13 NYJ 1
14 BAL -7
15 NE -3
16 MIN 3
17 NYJ 5
--PREDICTION--
W L T PCT.
7 9 0 0.438
--SIMULATION--
W L PCT.
8 8 0.500
PREDICTIONS FOR
WEEK 5, 09/30/14
MINNESOTA
WK OPP PRE ACT SCORE
1 STL 7 28 34 6
2 NE 1 -23 7 30
3 NO -2 -11 9 20
4 ATL -3 13 41 28
5 GB -2
6 DET -5
7 BUF -5
8 TB 7
9 WAS 2
11 CHI -6
12 GB 2
13 CAR 6
14 NYJ 5
15 DET -9
16 MIA -3
17 CHI -1
--PREDICTION--
W L T PCT.
7 9 0 0.438
--SIMULATION--
W L PCT.
7 9 0.438
1 PREDICTIONS FOR
WEEK 5, 09/30/14
NEW ENGLAND
WK OPP PRE ACT SCORE
1 MIA -1 -13 20 33
2 MIN -1 23 30 7
3 OAK 12 7 16 9
4 KC -9 -27 14 41
5 CIN -12
6 BUF -4
7 NYJ 5
8 CHI -1
9 DEN -1
11 IND -11
12 DET -3
13 GB -2
14 SD -10
15 MIA 3
16 NYJ 1
17 BUF 1
--PREDICTION--
W L T PCT.
6 10 0 0.375
--SIMULATION--
W L PCT.
7 9 0.438
PREDICTIONS FOR
WEEK 5, 09/30/14
NEW ORLEANS
WK OPP PRE ACT SCORE
1 ATL -6 -3 34 37
2 CLE -6 -2 24 26
3 MIN 2 11 20 9
4 DAL -7 -21 17 38
5 TB 10
7 DET -8
8 GB 2
9 CAR 2
10 SF -1
11 CIN -13
12 BAL -8
13 PIT -4
14 CAR 6
15 CHI -6
16 ATL -2
17 TB 6
--PREDICTION--
W L T PCT.
6 10 0 0.375
--SIMULATION--
W L PCT.
5 11 0.313
1 PREDICTIONS FOR
WEEK 5, 09/30/14
N.Y. GIANTS
WK OPP PRE ACT SCORE
1 DET -1 -21 14 35
2 ARI 5 -11 14 25
3 HOU 3 13 30 17
4 WAS 5 31 45 14
5 ATL 3
6 PHI 2
7 DAL -1
9 IND -1
10 SEA -3
11 SF 6
12 DAL 3
13 JAC 20
14 TEN 12
15 WAS 9
16 STL 12
17 PHI 6
--PREDICTION--
W L T PCT.
11 5 0 0.688
--SIMULATION--
W L PCT.
10 6 0.625
PREDICTIONS FOR
WEEK 5, 09/30/14
N.Y. JETS
WK OPP PRE ACT SCORE
1 OAK 8 5 19 14
2 GB -3 -7 24 31
3 CHI -4 -8 19 27
4 DET -7 -7 17 24
5 SD -12
6 DEN -4
7 NE -5
8 BUF -3
9 KC -13
10 PIT -2
12 BUF -7
13 MIA -1
14 MIN -5
15 TEN 3
16 NE -1
17 MIA -5
--PREDICTION--
W L T PCT.
2 14 0 0.125
--SIMULATION--
W L PCT.
5 11 0.313
1 PREDICTIONS FOR
WEEK 5, 09/30/14
OAKLAND
WK OPP PRE ACT SCORE
1 NYJ -8 -5 14 19
2 HOU -13 -16 14 30
3 NE -12 -7 9 16
4 MIA -8 -24 14 38
6 SD -16
7 ARI -10
8 CLE -16
9 SEA -19
10 DEN -11
11 SD -20
12 KC -16
13 STL -3
14 SF -10
15 KC -21
16 BUF -9
17 DEN -16
--PREDICTION--
W L T PCT.
0 16 0 0.000
--SIMULATION--
W L PCT.
1 15 0.063
PREDICTIONS FOR
WEEK 5, 09/30/14
PHILADELPHIA
WK OPP PRE ACT SCORE
1 JAC 20 17 34 17
2 IND -8 3 30 27
3 WAS 4 3 37 34
4 SF -1 -5 21 26
5 STL 13
6 NYG -2
8 ARI -2
9 HOU -4
10 CAR 9
11 GB 1
12 TEN 13
13 DAL -5
14 SEA -2
15 DAL -1
16 WAS 1
17 NYG -6
--PREDICTION--
W L T PCT.
8 8 0 0.500
--SIMULATION--
W L PCT.
9 7 0.563
1 PREDICTIONS FOR
WEEK 5, 09/30/14
PITTSBURGH
WK OPP PRE ACT SCORE
1 CLE -2 3 30 27
2 BAL -10 -20 6 26
3 CAR 4 18 37 19
4 TB 12 -3 24 27
5 JAC 16
6 CLE -5
7 HOU -1
8 IND -6
9 BAL -6
10 NYJ 2
11 TEN 8
13 NO 4
14 CIN -16
15 ATL -6
16 KC -4
17 CIN -10
--PREDICTION--
W L T PCT.
6 10 0 0.375
--SIMULATION--
W L PCT.
7 9 0.438
PREDICTIONS FOR
WEEK 5, 09/30/14
ARIZONA
WK OPP PRE ACT SCORE
1 SD -4 1 18 17
2 NYG -5 11 25 14
3 SF 1 9 23 14
5 DEN -3
6 WAS 5
7 OAK 10
8 PHI 2
9 DAL -5
10 STL 14
11 DET -1
12 SEA -7
13 ATL -4
14 KC -3
15 STL 9
16 SEA -2
17 SF -3
--PREDICTION--
W L T PCT.
8 8 0 0.500
--SIMULATION--
W L PCT.
9 7 0.563
1 PREDICTIONS FOR
WEEK 5, 09/30/14
SAN DIEGO
WK OPP PRE ACT SCORE
1 ARI 4 -1 17 18
2 SEA 2 9 30 21
3 BUF 4 12 22 10
4 JAC 26 19 33 14
5 NYJ 12
6 OAK 16
7 KC 1
8 DEN 2
9 MIA 6
11 OAK 20
12 STL 19
13 BAL -4
14 NE 10
15 DEN 7
16 SF 2
17 KC -3
--PREDICTION--
W L T PCT.
13 3 0 0.813
--SIMULATION--
W L PCT.
11 5 0.688
PREDICTIONS FOR
WEEK 5, 09/30/14
S. FRANCISCO
WK OPP PRE ACT SCORE
1 DAL -4 11 28 17
2 CHI 1 -8 20 28
3 ARI -1 -9 14 23
4 PHI 1 5 26 21
5 KC -4
6 STL 10
7 DEN -3
9 STL 14
10 NO 1
11 NYG -6
12 WAS 5
13 SEA -2
14 OAK 10
15 SEA -7
16 SD -2
17 ARI 3
--PREDICTION--
W L T PCT.
8 8 0 0.500
--SIMULATION--
W L PCT.
9 7 0.563
1 PREDICTIONS FOR
WEEK 5, 09/30/14
SEATTLE
WK OPP PRE ACT SCORE
1 GB 8 20 36 16
2 SD -2 -9 21 30
3 DEN 5 6 26 20
5 WAS 6
6 DAL 3
7 STL 14
8 CAR 9
9 OAK 19
10 NYG 3
11 KC -4
12 ARI 7
13 SF 2
14 PHI 2
15 SF 7
16 ARI 2
17 STL 19
--PREDICTION--
W L T PCT.
14 2 0 0.875
--SIMULATION--
W L PCT.
13 3 0.813
PREDICTIONS FOR
WEEK 5, 09/30/14
TAMPA BAY
WK OPP PRE ACT SCORE
1 CAR -4 -6 14 20
2 STL 1 -2 17 19
3 ATL -15 -42 14 56
4 PIT -12 3 27 24
5 NO -10
6 BAL -17
8 MIN -7
9 CLE -15
10 ATL -11
11 WAS -11
12 CHI -14
13 CIN -21
14 DET -18
15 CAR -8
16 GB -6
17 NO -6
--PREDICTION--
W L T PCT.
1 15 0 0.063
--SIMULATION--
W L PCT.
3 13 0.188
1 PREDICTIONS FOR
WEEK 5, 09/30/14
WASHINGTON
WK OPP PRE ACT SCORE
1 HOU -6 -11 6 17
2 JAC 17 31 41 10
3 PHI -4 -3 34 37
4 NYG -5 -31 14 45
5 SEA -6
6 ARI -5
7 TEN 10
8 DAL -8
9 MIN -2
11 TB 11
12 SF -5
13 IND -12
14 STL 11
15 NYG -9
16 PHI -1
17 DAL -3
--PREDICTION--
W L T PCT.
4 12 0 0.250
--SIMULATION--
W L PCT.
7 9 0.438
PREDICTIONS FOR
WEEK 5, 09/30/14
CAROLINA
WK OPP PRE ACT SCORE
1 TB 4 6 20 14
2 DET -9 17 24 7
3 PIT -4 -18 19 37
4 BAL -15 -28 10 38
5 CHI -5
6 CIN -20
7 GB -6
8 SEA -9
9 NO -2
10 PHI -9
11 ATL -6
13 MIN -6
14 NO -6
15 TB 8
16 CLE -6
17 ATL -11
--PREDICTION--
W L T PCT.
3 13 0 0.188
--SIMULATION--
W L PCT.
5 11 0.313
1 PREDICTIONS FOR
WEEK 5, 09/30/14
JACKSONVILLE
WK OPP PRE ACT SCORE
1 PHI -20 -17 17 34
2 WAS -17 -31 10 41
3 IND -24 -27 17 44
4 SD -26 -19 14 33
5 PIT -16
6 TEN -10
7 CLE -19
8 MIA -15
9 CIN -33
10 DAL -20
12 IND -28
13 NYG -20
14 HOU -18
15 BAL -29
16 TEN -5
17 HOU -24
--PREDICTION--
W L T PCT.
0 16 0 0.000
--SIMULATION--
W L PCT.
0 16 0.000
PREDICTIONS FOR
WEEK 5, 09/30/14
CLEVELAND
WK OPP PRE ACT SCORE
1 PIT 2 -3 27 30
2 NO 6 2 26 24
3 BAL -4 -2 21 23
5 TEN 11
6 PIT 5
7 JAC 19
8 OAK 16
9 TB 15
10 CIN -12
11 HOU 2
12 ATL -3
13 BUF -1
14 IND -2
15 CIN -8
16 CAR 6
17 BAL -8
--PREDICTION--
W L T PCT.
8 8 0 0.500
--SIMULATION--
W L PCT.
9 7 0.563
1 PREDICTIONS FOR
WEEK 5, 09/30/14
HOUSTON
WK OPP PRE ACT SCORE
1 WAS 6 11 17 6
2 OAK 13 16 30 14
3 NYG -3 -13 17 30
4 BUF 3 6 23 17
5 DAL -3
6 IND -3
7 PIT 1
8 TEN 11
9 PHI 4
11 CLE -2
12 CIN -8
13 TEN 15
14 JAC 18
15 IND -7
16 BAL -2
17 JAC 24
--PREDICTION--
W L T PCT.
9 7 0 0.563
--SIMULATION--
W L PCT.
10 6 0.625
THE MOST LIKELY NFC LEADERS ARE: N.Y. GIANTS (10- 6), DETROIT (12- 4)
ATLANTA (10- 6) AND SEATTLE (13- 3)
THE MOST LIKELY AFC LEADERS ARE: BUFFALO ( 9- 7), CINCINNATI (15- 1)
INDIANAPOLIS (11- 5) AND KANSAS CITY (11- 5)
THE MOST LIKELY NFC WILD CARD TEAMS ARE DALLAS AND PHILADELPHIA.
THE MOST LIKELY AFC WILD CARD TEAMS ARE BALTIMORE AND SAN DIEGO.
THE NFC CHAMPION SHOULD BE SEATTLE. THE AFC CHAMP CINCINNATI
FAVORED BY 8 POINTS, THE SUPER BOWL CHAMP WILL BE CINCINNATI.
OF COURSE ANYTHING CAN HAPPEN IN A PLAYOFF GAME AND INJURIES
AFTER THIS WEEK CAN KNOCK ANY TEAM OUT OF THE BOX. BUT BASED ON
THE STATS TO DATE CINCINNATI WILL BE THE SUPER BOWL WINNER.
* COMPUTER SEASON PREDICTIONS ARE MADE FOR TWO CONDITIONS:
THE THIRD LINE SHOWS THE NUMBER OF GAMES WHERE THE TEAM IS
THE PREDICTED 'FAVORITE'. BY DEFINITION THEN THE LEAGUE'S
STRONGEST TEAM WOULD BE PREDICTED TO WIN THE MOST IF NOT ALL
ITS GAMES.
HOWEVER, WE ALL KNOW THAT FAVORITES ARE UPSET 20 TO 25
PERCENT OF THE TIME. SO THE FIRST LINE IS A BETTER ESTIMATE
OF THE SEASON W-L RECORD. THIS FIRST LINE IS BASED ON WHAT
STATISTICIANS CALL A MONTE CARLO SIMULATION-I.E., THE COMPUTER
PLAYS THROUGH THE NFL SCHEDULE 1000 TIMES AND ESTIMATES THE
NUMBER OF WINS TAKING INTO CONSIDERATION POSSIBLE UPSETS.
TEAMS WITHIN DIVISIONS ARE SORTED BY SIMULATED PERCENTAGES.
IN CASE TWO TEAMS ARE TIED IN THE WON/LOSS COLUMN (THIRD LINE)
OR ARE TIED WHEN PICKING WILD CARD TEAMS, THE BEST TEAM WILL
BE THE SIMULATED WINNER OF THE TWO.
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