Predict Report - Weighted
Bud Goode Sports, Copyright 2014, All Rights Reserved.
DATA YR 2014 PRED. WEEK 7 PRIOR YR 2013 SCHED YR 2014
WEIGHT = 0.000
PREDICTIONS FOR
WEEK 7, 10/15/14
ATLANTA
WK OPP PRE ACT SCORE
1 NO 1 3 37 34
2 CIN -7 -14 10 24
3 TB 11 42 56 14
4 MIN 6 -13 28 41
5 NYG -4 -10 20 30
6 CHI -2 -14 13 27
7 BAL -12
8 DET -6
10 TB 7
11 CAR -1
12 CLE -4
13 ARI 2
14 GB -9
15 PIT 2
16 NO -3
17 CAR 4
--PREDICTION--
W L T PCT.
6 10 0 0.375
--SIMULATION--
W L PCT.
6 10 0.375
PRE = PREDICTED
WINNING
MARGIN
ACT = ACTUAL
WINNING
MARGIN
OPP = OPPONENT
1 PREDICTIONS FOR
WEEK 7, 10/15/14
INDIANAPOLIS
WK OPP PRE ACT SCORE
1 DEN -3 -7 24 31
2 PHI 4 -3 27 30
3 JAC 19 27 44 17
4 TEN 14 24 41 17
5 BAL -1 7 20 13
6 HOU 3 5 33 28
7 CIN 4
8 PIT 6
9 NYG 3
11 NE 5
12 JAC 23
13 WAS 13
14 CLE -1
15 HOU 7
16 DAL -1
17 TEN 10
--PREDICTION--
W L T PCT.
12 4 0 0.750
--SIMULATION--
W L PCT.
11 5 0.688
PREDICTIONS FOR
WEEK 7, 10/15/14
BUFFALO
WK OPP PRE ACT SCORE
1 CHI -5 3 23 20
2 MIA 2 19 29 10
3 SD -9 -12 10 22
4 HOU -5 -6 17 23
5 DET -9 3 17 14
6 NE -4 -15 22 37
7 MIN 10
8 NYJ 7
10 KC -5
11 MIA -2
12 NYJ 11
13 CLE -3
14 DEN -12
15 GB -3
16 OAK 6
17 NE -8
--PREDICTION--
W L T PCT.
7 9 0 0.438
--SIMULATION--
W L PCT.
8 8 0.500
1 PREDICTIONS FOR
WEEK 7, 10/15/14
CHICAGO
WK OPP PRE ACT SCORE
1 BUF 5 -3 20 23
2 SF -2 8 28 20
3 NYJ 11 8 27 19
4 GB -1 -21 17 38
5 CAR 3 -7 24 31
6 ATL 2 14 27 13
7 MIA 6
8 NE -4
10 GB -4
11 MIN 14
12 TB 16
13 DET -6
14 DAL 1
15 NO 7
16 DET -1
17 MIN 9
--PREDICTION--
W L T PCT.
9 7 0 0.563
--SIMULATION--
W L PCT.
9 7 0.563
PREDICTIONS FOR
WEEK 7, 10/15/14
CINCINNATI
WK OPP PRE ACT SCORE
1 BAL -6 7 23 16
2 ATL 7 14 24 10
3 TEN 12 26 33 7
5 NE -2 -26 17 43
6 CAR 8 0 37 37
7 IND -4
8 BAL -3
9 JAC 20
10 CLE 2
11 NO 3
12 HOU -1
13 TB 13
14 PIT 8
15 CLE -3
16 DEN -1
17 PIT 2
--PREDICTION--
W L T PCT.
9 6 1 0.594
--SIMULATION--
W L PCT.
9 7 0.563
1 PREDICTIONS FOR
WEEK 7, 10/15/14
BALTIMORE
WK OPP PRE ACT SCORE
1 CIN 6 -7 16 23
2 PIT 11 20 26 6
3 CLE 3 2 23 21
4 CAR 13 28 38 10
5 IND 1 -7 13 20
6 TB 18 31 48 17
7 ATL 12
8 CIN 3
9 PIT 7
10 TEN 17
12 NO 8
13 SD 2
14 MIA 8
15 JAC 25
16 HOU 4
17 CLE 7
--PREDICTION--
W L T PCT.
14 2 0 0.875
--SIMULATION--
W L PCT.
12 4 0.750
PREDICTIONS FOR
WEEK 7, 10/15/14
DALLAS
WK OPP PRE ACT SCORE
1 SF 2 -11 17 28
2 TEN 9 16 26 10
3 STL 12 3 34 31
4 NO 7 21 38 17
5 HOU 3 3 20 17
6 SEA -1 7 30 23
7 NYG 5
8 WAS 10
9 ARI 7
10 JAC 16
12 NYG 1
13 PHI 2
14 CHI -1
15 PHI -3
16 IND 1
17 WAS 5
--PREDICTION--
W L T PCT.
13 3 0 0.813
--SIMULATION--
W L PCT.
12 4 0.750
1 PREDICTIONS FOR
WEEK 7, 10/15/14
DENVER
WK OPP PRE ACT SCORE
1 IND 3 7 31 24
2 KC 4 7 24 17
3 SEA 4 -6 20 26
5 ARI 11 21 41 20
6 NYJ 17 14 31 17
7 SF 7
8 SD 1
9 NE 2
10 OAK 16
11 STL 16
12 MIA 12
13 KC 1
14 BUF 12
15 SD -4
16 CIN 1
17 OAK 21
--PREDICTION--
W L T PCT.
14 2 0 0.875
--SIMULATION--
W L PCT.
12 4 0.750
PREDICTIONS FOR
WEEK 7, 10/15/14
DETROIT
WK OPP PRE ACT SCORE
1 NYG 6 21 35 14
2 CAR 7 -17 7 24
3 GB 3 12 19 7
4 NYJ 15 7 24 17
5 BUF 9 -3 14 17
6 MIN 14 14 17 3
7 NO 10
8 ATL 6
10 MIA 10
11 ARI 5
12 NE -1
13 CHI 6
14 TB 20
15 MIN 18
16 CHI 1
17 GB -1
--PREDICTION--
W L T PCT.
12 4 0 0.750
--SIMULATION--
W L PCT.
12 4 0.750
1 PREDICTIONS FOR
WEEK 7, 10/15/14
GREEN BAY
WK OPP PRE ACT SCORE
1 SEA 1 -20 16 36
2 NYJ 16 7 31 24
3 DET -3 -12 7 19
4 CHI 1 21 38 17
5 MIN 16 32 42 10
6 MIA 5 3 27 24
7 CAR 9
8 NO 4
10 CHI 4
11 PHI 3
12 MIN 12
13 NE 3
14 ATL 9
15 BUF 3
16 TB 13
17 DET 1
--PREDICTION--
W L T PCT.
14 2 0 0.875
--SIMULATION--
W L PCT.
12 4 0.750
PREDICTIONS FOR
WEEK 7, 10/15/14
TENNESSEE
WK OPP PRE ACT SCORE
1 KC -13 16 26 10
2 DAL -9 -16 10 26
3 CIN -12 -26 7 33
4 IND -14 -24 17 41
5 CLE -9 -1 28 29
6 JAC 9 2 16 14
7 WAS -4
8 HOU -6
10 BAL -17
11 PIT -3
12 PHI -13
13 HOU -11
14 NYG -5
15 NYJ 7
16 JAC 5
17 IND -10
--PREDICTION--
W L T PCT.
4 12 0 0.250
--SIMULATION--
W L PCT.
5 11 0.313
1 PREDICTIONS FOR
WEEK 7, 10/15/14
KANSAS CITY
WK OPP PRE ACT SCORE
1 TEN 13 -16 10 26
2 DEN -4 -7 17 24
3 MIA 6 19 34 15
4 NE 3 27 41 14
5 SF 1 -5 17 22
7 SD -6
8 STL 17
9 NYJ 18
10 BUF 5
11 SEA 5
12 OAK 13
13 DEN -1
14 ARI 4
15 OAK 18
16 PIT 4
17 SD -1
--PREDICTION--
W L T PCT.
10 6 0 0.625
--SIMULATION--
W L PCT.
10 6 0.625
PREDICTIONS FOR
WEEK 7, 10/15/14
ST. LOUIS
WK OPP PRE ACT SCORE
1 MIN 1 -28 6 34
2 TB 1 2 19 17
3 DAL -12 -3 31 34
5 PHI -16 -6 28 34
6 SF -11 -14 17 31
7 SEA -11
8 KC -17
9 SF -15
10 ARI -11
11 DEN -16
12 SD -22
13 OAK 2
14 WAS -9
15 ARI -6
16 NYG -8
17 SEA -15
--PREDICTION--
W L T PCT.
2 14 0 0.125
--SIMULATION--
W L PCT.
2 14 0.125
1 PREDICTIONS FOR
WEEK 7, 10/15/14
MIAMI
WK OPP PRE ACT SCORE
1 NE -5 13 33 20
2 BUF -2 -19 10 29
3 KC -6 -19 15 34
4 OAK 6 24 38 14
6 GB -5 -3 24 27
7 CHI -6
8 JAC 10
9 SD -9
10 DET -10
11 BUF 2
12 DEN -12
13 NYJ 6
14 BAL -8
15 NE -9
16 MIN 10
17 NYJ 11
--PREDICTION--
W L T PCT.
7 9 0 0.438
--SIMULATION--
W L PCT.
7 9 0.438
PREDICTIONS FOR
WEEK 7, 10/15/14
MINNESOTA
WK OPP PRE ACT SCORE
1 STL -1 28 34 6
2 NE -12 -23 7 30
3 NO -9 -11 9 20
4 ATL -6 13 41 28
5 GB -16 -32 10 42
6 DET -14 -14 3 17
7 BUF -10
8 TB -1
9 WAS -4
11 CHI -14
12 GB -12
13 CAR -4
14 NYJ 3
15 DET -18
16 MIA -10
17 CHI -9
--PREDICTION--
W L T PCT.
3 13 0 0.188
--SIMULATION--
W L PCT.
4 12 0.250
1 PREDICTIONS FOR
WEEK 7, 10/15/14
NEW ENGLAND
WK OPP PRE ACT SCORE
1 MIA 5 -13 20 33
2 MIN 12 23 30 7
3 OAK 15 7 16 9
4 KC -3 -27 14 41
5 CIN 2 26 43 17
6 BUF 4 15 37 22
7 NYJ 16
8 CHI 4
9 DEN -2
11 IND -5
12 DET 1
13 GB -3
14 SD -8
15 MIA 9
16 NYJ 11
17 BUF 8
--PREDICTION--
W L T PCT.
10 6 0 0.625
--SIMULATION--
W L PCT.
10 6 0.625
PREDICTIONS FOR
WEEK 7, 10/15/14
NEW ORLEANS
WK OPP PRE ACT SCORE
1 ATL -1 -3 34 37
2 CLE -7 -2 24 26
3 MIN 9 11 20 9
4 DAL -7 -21 17 38
5 TB 11 6 37 31
7 DET -10
8 GB -4
9 CAR -1
10 SF -3
11 CIN -3
12 BAL -8
13 PIT -3
14 CAR 3
15 CHI -7
16 ATL 3
17 TB 7
--PREDICTION--
W L T PCT.
5 11 0 0.313
--SIMULATION--
W L PCT.
6 10 0.375
1 PREDICTIONS FOR
WEEK 7, 10/15/14
N.Y. GIANTS
WK OPP PRE ACT SCORE
1 DET -6 -21 14 35
2 ARI 3 -11 14 25
3 HOU 1 13 30 17
4 WAS 3 31 45 14
5 ATL 4 10 30 20
6 PHI -5 -27 0 27
7 DAL -5
9 IND -3
10 SEA -4
11 SF 1
12 DAL -1
13 JAC 12
14 TEN 5
15 WAS 8
16 STL 8
17 PHI -1
--PREDICTION--
W L T PCT.
8 8 0 0.500
--SIMULATION--
W L PCT.
9 7 0.563
PREDICTIONS FOR
WEEK 7, 10/15/14
N.Y. JETS
WK OPP PRE ACT SCORE
1 OAK 1 5 19 14
2 GB -16 -7 24 31
3 CHI -11 -8 19 27
4 DET -15 -7 17 24
5 SD -21 -31 0 31
6 DEN -17 -14 17 31
7 NE -16
8 BUF -7
9 KC -18
10 PIT -7
12 BUF -11
13 MIA -6
14 MIN -3
15 TEN -7
16 NE -11
17 MIA -11
--PREDICTION--
W L T PCT.
1 15 0 0.063
--SIMULATION--
W L PCT.
2 14 0.125
1 PREDICTIONS FOR
WEEK 7, 10/15/14
OAKLAND
WK OPP PRE ACT SCORE
1 NYJ -1 -5 14 19
2 HOU -10 -16 14 30
3 NE -15 -7 9 16
4 MIA -6 -24 14 38
6 SD -17 -3 28 31
7 ARI -7
8 CLE -16
9 SEA -14
10 DEN -16
11 SD -21
12 KC -13
13 STL -2
14 SF -10
15 KC -18
16 BUF -6
17 DEN -21
--PREDICTION--
W L T PCT.
0 16 0 0.000
--SIMULATION--
W L PCT.
1 15 0.063
PREDICTIONS FOR
WEEK 7, 10/15/14
PHILADELPHIA
WK OPP PRE ACT SCORE
1 JAC 19 17 34 17
2 IND -4 3 30 27
3 WAS 9 3 37 34
4 SF -1 -5 21 26
5 STL 16 6 34 28
6 NYG 5 27 27 0
8 ARI 3
9 HOU 1
10 CAR 9
11 GB -3
12 TEN 13
13 DAL -2
14 SEA 4
15 DAL 3
16 WAS 5
17 NYG 1
--PREDICTION--
W L T PCT.
13 3 0 0.813
--SIMULATION--
W L PCT.
11 5 0.688
1 PREDICTIONS FOR
WEEK 7, 10/15/14
PITTSBURGH
WK OPP PRE ACT SCORE
1 CLE -4 3 30 27
2 BAL -11 -20 6 26
3 CAR 1 18 37 19
4 TB 12 -3 24 27
5 JAC 11 8 17 9
6 CLE -7 -21 10 31
7 HOU -1
8 IND -6
9 BAL -7
10 NYJ 7
11 TEN 3
13 NO 3
14 CIN -8
15 ATL -2
16 KC -4
17 CIN -2
--PREDICTION--
W L T PCT.
6 10 0 0.375
--SIMULATION--
W L PCT.
7 9 0.438
PREDICTIONS FOR
WEEK 7, 10/15/14
ARIZONA
WK OPP PRE ACT SCORE
1 SD -9 1 18 17
2 NYG -3 11 25 14
3 SF -3 9 23 14
5 DEN -11 -21 20 41
6 WAS 4 10 30 20
7 OAK 7
8 PHI -3
9 DAL -7
10 STL 11
11 DET -5
12 SEA -6
13 ATL -2
14 KC -4
15 STL 6
16 SEA -1
17 SF -7
--PREDICTION--
W L T PCT.
7 9 0 0.438
--SIMULATION--
W L PCT.
9 7 0.563
1 PREDICTIONS FOR
WEEK 7, 10/15/14
SAN DIEGO
WK OPP PRE ACT SCORE
1 ARI 9 -1 17 18
2 SEA 8 9 30 21
3 BUF 9 12 22 10
4 JAC 25 19 33 14
5 NYJ 21 31 31 0
6 OAK 17 3 31 28
7 KC 6
8 DEN -1
9 MIA 9
11 OAK 21
12 STL 22
13 BAL -2
14 NE 8
15 DEN 4
16 SF 4
17 KC 1
--PREDICTION--
W L T PCT.
13 3 0 0.813
--SIMULATION--
W L PCT.
12 4 0.750
PREDICTIONS FOR
WEEK 7, 10/15/14
S. FRANCISCO
WK OPP PRE ACT SCORE
1 DAL -2 11 28 17
2 CHI 2 -8 20 28
3 ARI 3 -9 14 23
4 PHI 1 5 26 21
5 KC -1 5 22 17
6 STL 11 14 31 17
7 DEN -7
9 STL 15
10 NO 3
11 NYG -1
12 WAS 9
13 SEA 3
14 OAK 10
15 SEA -2
16 SD -4
17 ARI 7
--PREDICTION--
W L T PCT.
10 6 0 0.625
--SIMULATION--
W L PCT.
10 6 0.625
1 PREDICTIONS FOR
WEEK 7, 10/15/14
SEATTLE
WK OPP PRE ACT SCORE
1 GB -1 20 36 16
2 SD -8 -9 21 30
3 DEN -4 6 26 20
5 WAS 5 10 27 17
6 DAL 1 -7 23 30
7 STL 11
8 CAR 3
9 OAK 14
10 NYG 4
11 KC -5
12 ARI 6
13 SF -3
14 PHI -4
15 SF 2
16 ARI 1
17 STL 15
--PREDICTION--
W L T PCT.
11 5 0 0.688
--SIMULATION--
W L PCT.
10 6 0.625
PREDICTIONS FOR
WEEK 7, 10/15/14
TAMPA BAY
WK OPP PRE ACT SCORE
1 CAR -7 -6 14 20
2 STL -1 -2 17 19
3 ATL -11 -42 14 56
4 PIT -12 3 27 24
5 NO -11 -6 31 37
6 BAL -18 -31 17 48
8 MIN 1
9 CLE -18
10 ATL -7
11 WAS -10
12 CHI -16
13 CIN -13
14 DET -20
15 CAR -11
16 GB -13
17 NO -7
--PREDICTION--
W L T PCT.
2 14 0 0.125
--SIMULATION--
W L PCT.
2 14 0.125
1 PREDICTIONS FOR
WEEK 7, 10/15/14
WASHINGTON
WK OPP PRE ACT SCORE
1 HOU -7 -11 6 17
2 JAC 11 31 41 10
3 PHI -9 -3 34 37
4 NYG -3 -31 14 45
5 SEA -5 -10 17 27
6 ARI -4 -10 20 30
7 TEN 4
8 DAL -10
9 MIN 4
11 TB 10
12 SF -9
13 IND -13
14 STL 9
15 NYG -8
16 PHI -5
17 DAL -5
--PREDICTION--
W L T PCT.
5 11 0 0.313
--SIMULATION--
W L PCT.
5 11 0.313
PREDICTIONS FOR
WEEK 7, 10/15/14
CAROLINA
WK OPP PRE ACT SCORE
1 TB 7 6 20 14
2 DET -7 17 24 7
3 PIT -1 -18 19 37
4 BAL -13 -28 10 38
5 CHI -3 7 31 24
6 CIN -8 0 37 37
7 GB -9
8 SEA -3
9 NO 1
10 PHI -9
11 ATL 1
13 MIN 4
14 NO -3
15 TB 11
16 CLE -4
17 ATL -4
--PREDICTION--
W L T PCT.
7 8 1 0.469
--SIMULATION--
W L PCT.
7 9 0.438
1 PREDICTIONS FOR
WEEK 7, 10/15/14
JACKSONVILLE
WK OPP PRE ACT SCORE
1 PHI -19 -17 17 34
2 WAS -11 -31 10 41
3 IND -19 -27 17 44
4 SD -25 -19 14 33
5 PIT -11 -8 9 17
6 TEN -9 -2 14 16
7 CLE -16
8 MIA -10
9 CIN -20
10 DAL -16
12 IND -23
13 NYG -12
14 HOU -13
15 BAL -25
16 TEN -5
17 HOU -19
--PREDICTION--
W L T PCT.
0 16 0 0.000
--SIMULATION--
W L PCT.
1 15 0.063
PREDICTIONS FOR
WEEK 7, 10/15/14
CLEVELAND
WK OPP PRE ACT SCORE
1 PIT 4 -3 27 30
2 NO 7 2 26 24
3 BAL -3 -2 21 23
5 TEN 9 1 29 28
6 PIT 7 21 31 10
7 JAC 16
8 OAK 16
9 TB 18
10 CIN -2
11 HOU 5
12 ATL 4
13 BUF 3
14 IND 1
15 CIN 3
16 CAR 4
17 BAL -7
--PREDICTION--
W L T PCT.
12 4 0 0.750
--SIMULATION--
W L PCT.
11 5 0.688
1 PREDICTIONS FOR
WEEK 7, 10/15/14
HOUSTON
WK OPP PRE ACT SCORE
1 WAS 7 11 17 6
2 OAK 10 16 30 14
3 NYG -1 -13 17 30
4 BUF 5 6 23 17
5 DAL -3 -3 17 20
6 IND -3 -5 28 33
7 PIT 1
8 TEN 6
9 PHI -1
11 CLE -5
12 CIN 1
13 TEN 11
14 JAC 13
15 IND -7
16 BAL -4
17 JAC 19
--PREDICTION--
W L T PCT.
9 7 0 0.563
--SIMULATION--
W L PCT.
9 7 0.563
THE MOST LIKELY NFC LEADERS ARE: DALLAS (12- 4), DETROIT (12- 4)
CAROLINA ( 7- 9) AND S. FRANCISCO (10- 6)
THE MOST LIKELY AFC LEADERS ARE: NEW ENGLAND (10- 6), BALTIMORE (12- 4)
INDIANAPOLIS (11- 5) AND SAN DIEGO (12- 4)
THE MOST LIKELY NFC WILD CARD TEAMS ARE GREEN BAY AND PHILADELPHIA
THE MOST LIKELY AFC WILD CARD TEAMS ARE DENVER AND CLEVELAND
THE NFC CHAMPION SHOULD BE DETROIT. THE AFC CHAMP SAN DIEGO.
FAVORED BY 3 POINTS, THE SUPER BOWL CHAMP WILL BE SAN DIEGO.
OF COURSE ANYTHING CAN HAPPEN IN A PLAYOFF GAME AND INJURIES
AFTER THIS WEEK CAN KNOCK ANY TEAM OUT OF THE BOX. BUT BASED ON
THE STATS TO DATE SAN DIEGO WILL BE THE SUPER BOWL WINNER.
* COMPUTER SEASON PREDICTIONS ARE MADE FOR TWO CONDITIONS:
THE THIRD LINE SHOWS THE NUMBER OF GAMES WHERE THE TEAM IS
THE PREDICTED 'FAVORITE'. BY DEFINITION THEN THE LEAGUE'S
STRONGEST TEAM WOULD BE PREDICTED TO WIN THE MOST IF NOT ALL
ITS GAMES.
HOWEVER, WE ALL KNOW THAT FAVORITES ARE UPSET 20 TO 25
PERCENT OF THE TIME. SO THE FIRST LINE IS A BETTER ESTIMATE
OF THE SEASON W-L RECORD. THIS FIRST LINE IS BASED ON WHAT
STATISTICIANS CALL A MONTE CARLO SIMULATION-I.E., THE COMPUTER
PLAYS THROUGH THE NFL SCHEDULE 1000 TIMES AND ESTIMATES THE
NUMBER OF WINS TAKING INTO CONSIDERATION POSSIBLE UPSETS.
TEAMS WITHIN DIVISIONS ARE SORTED BY SIMULATED PERCENTAGES.
IN CASE TWO TEAMS ARE TIED IN THE WON/LOSS COLUMN (THIRD LINE)
OR ARE TIED WHEN PICKING WILD CARD TEAMS, THE BEST TEAM WILL
BE THE SIMULATED WINNER OF THE TWO.
Copyright 2012, BudGoodeSports.com. All rights reserved.
|
