Predict Report - Weighted
Bud Goode Sports Computer, Copyright 2014, All Rights Reserved.
DATA YR 2014 PRED. WEEK 8 PRIOR YR 2013 SCHED YR 2014
WEIGHT = 0.000
Report 3
PREDICTIONS FOR
WEEK 8, 10/21/14
ATLANTA
WK OPP PRE ACT SCORE
1 NO -1 3 37 34
2 CIN -5 -14 10 24
3 TB 9 42 56 14
4 MIN 3 -13 28 41
5 NYG -5 -10 20 30
6 CHI -2 -14 13 27
7 BAL -15 -22 7 29
8 DET -8
10 TB 5
11 CAR -1
12 CLE -2
13 ARI -2
14 GB -13
15 PIT -1
16 NO -4
17 CAR 4
--PREDICTION--
W L T PCT.
4 12 0 0.250
--SIMULATION--
W L PCT.
5 11 0.313
PRE = PREDICTED
WINNING
MARGIN
ACT = ACTUAL
WINNING
MARGIN
OPP = OPPONENT
1 PREDICTIONS FOR
WEEK 8, 10/21/14
INDIANAPOLIS
WK OPP PRE ACT SCORE
1 DEN -4 -7 24 31
2 PHI 6 -3 27 30
3 JAC 17 27 44 17
4 TEN 15 24 41 17
5 BAL 1 7 20 13
6 HOU 6 5 33 28
7 CIN 10 27 27 0
8 PIT 7
9 NYG 7
11 NE 7
12 JAC 20
13 WAS 15
14 CLE 5
15 HOU 10
16 DAL 1
17 TEN 10
--PREDICTION--
W L T PCT.
14 2 0 0.875
--SIMULATION--
W L PCT.
13 3 0.813
PREDICTIONS FOR
WEEK 8, 10/21/14
BUFFALO
WK OPP PRE ACT SCORE
1 CHI -2 3 23 20
2 MIA 1 19 29 10
3 SD -7 -12 10 22
4 HOU -3 -6 17 23
5 DET -8 3 17 14
6 NE -3 -15 22 37
7 MIN 9 1 17 16
8 NYJ 6
10 KC -4
11 MIA -3
12 NYJ 11
13 CLE 1
14 DEN -15
15 GB -5
16 OAK 7
17 NE -8
--PREDICTION--
W L T PCT.
8 8 0 0.500
--SIMULATION--
W L PCT.
8 8 0.500
1 PREDICTIONS FOR
WEEK 8, 10/21/14
CHICAGO
WK OPP PRE ACT SCORE
1 BUF 2 -3 20 23
2 SF 1 8 28 20
3 NYJ 8 8 27 19
4 GB -5 -21 17 38
5 CAR 4 -7 24 31
6 ATL 2 14 27 13
7 MIA 2 -13 14 27
8 NE -5
10 GB -8
11 MIN 11
12 TB 14
13 DET -8
14 DAL -2
15 NO 5
16 DET -3
17 MIN 6
--PREDICTION--
W L T PCT.
7 9 0 0.438
--SIMULATION--
W L PCT.
8 8 0.500
PREDICTIONS FOR
WEEK 8, 10/21/14
CINCINNATI
WK OPP PRE ACT SCORE
1 BAL -11 7 23 16
2 ATL 5 14 24 10
3 TEN 6 26 33 7
5 NE -6 -26 17 43
6 CAR 7 0 37 37
7 IND -10 -27 0 27
8 BAL -7
9 JAC 11
10 CLE 1
11 NO -1
12 HOU -3
13 TB 9
14 PIT 3
15 CLE -4
16 DEN -8
17 PIT -3
--PREDICTION--
W L T PCT.
7 8 1 0.469
--SIMULATION--
W L PCT.
8 8 0.500
1 PREDICTIONS FOR
WEEK 8, 10/21/14
BALTIMORE
WK OPP PRE ACT SCORE
1 CIN 11 -7 16 23
2 PIT 11 20 26 6
3 CLE 7 2 23 21
4 CAR 16 28 38 10
5 IND -1 -7 13 20
6 TB 19 31 48 17
7 ATL 15 22 29 7
8 CIN 7
9 PIT 7
10 TEN 16
12 NO 9
13 SD 4
14 MIA 6
15 JAC 21
16 HOU 5
17 CLE 11
--PREDICTION--
W L T PCT.
14 2 0 0.875
--SIMULATION--
W L PCT.
13 3 0.813
PREDICTIONS FOR
WEEK 8, 10/21/14
DALLAS
WK OPP PRE ACT SCORE
1 SF 7 -11 17 28
2 TEN 8 16 26 10
3 STL 11 3 34 31
4 NO 8 21 38 17
5 HOU 5 3 20 17
6 SEA 1 7 30 23
7 NYG 7 10 31 21
8 WAS 10
9 ARI 5
10 JAC 12
12 NYG 3
13 PHI 3
14 CHI 2
15 PHI -2
16 IND -1
17 WAS 6
--PREDICTION--
W L T PCT.
13 3 0 0.813
--SIMULATION--
W L PCT.
12 4 0.750
1 PREDICTIONS FOR
WEEK 8, 10/21/14
DENVER
WK OPP PRE ACT SCORE
1 IND 4 7 31 24
2 KC 7 7 24 17
3 SEA 8 -6 20 26
5 ARI 12 21 41 20
6 NYJ 18 14 31 17
7 SF 14 25 42 17
8 SD 6
9 NE 5
10 OAK 19
11 STL 16
12 MIA 13
13 KC 3
14 BUF 15
15 SD 1
16 CIN 8
17 OAK 24
--PREDICTION--
W L T PCT.
15 1 0 0.938
--SIMULATION--
W L PCT.
14 2 0.875
PREDICTIONS FOR
WEEK 8, 10/21/14
DETROIT
WK OPP PRE ACT SCORE
1 NYG 7 21 35 14
2 CAR 10 -17 7 24
3 GB 1 12 19 7
4 NYJ 13 7 24 17
5 BUF 8 -3 14 17
6 MIN 13 14 17 3
7 NO 10 1 24 23
8 ATL 8
10 MIA 8
11 ARI 2
12 NE -1
13 CHI 8
14 TB 20
15 MIN 17
16 CHI 3
17 GB -4
--PREDICTION--
W L T PCT.
12 4 0 0.750
--SIMULATION--
W L PCT.
12 4 0.750
1 PREDICTIONS FOR
WEEK 8, 10/21/14
GREEN BAY
WK OPP PRE ACT SCORE
1 SEA 4 -20 16 36
2 NYJ 17 7 31 24
3 DET -1 -12 7 19
4 CHI 5 21 38 17
5 MIN 17 32 42 10
6 MIA 5 3 27 24
7 CAR 14 21 38 17
8 NO 7
10 CHI 8
11 PHI 5
12 MIN 13
13 NE 5
14 ATL 13
15 BUF 5
16 TB 15
17 DET 4
--PREDICTION--
W L T PCT.
14 2 0 0.875
--SIMULATION--
W L PCT.
13 3 0.813
PREDICTIONS FOR
WEEK 8, 10/21/14
TENNESSEE
WK OPP PRE ACT SCORE
1 KC -11 16 26 10
2 DAL -8 -16 10 26
3 CIN -6 -26 7 33
4 IND -15 -24 17 41
5 CLE -4 -1 28 29
6 JAC 7 2 16 14
7 WAS -3 -2 17 19
8 HOU -4
10 BAL -16
11 PIT -2
12 PHI -11
13 HOU -8
14 NYG -2
15 NYJ 7
16 JAC 2
17 IND -10
--PREDICTION--
W L T PCT.
4 12 0 0.250
--SIMULATION--
W L PCT.
5 11 0.313
1 PREDICTIONS FOR
WEEK 8, 10/21/14
KANSAS CITY
WK OPP PRE ACT SCORE
1 TEN 11 -16 10 26
2 DEN -7 -7 17 24
3 MIA 4 19 34 15
4 NE 3 27 41 14
5 SF 5 -5 17 22
7 SD -4 3 23 20
8 STL 15
9 NYJ 16
10 BUF 4
11 SEA 6
12 OAK 13
13 DEN -3
14 ARI 1
15 OAK 18
16 PIT 3
17 SD 1
--PREDICTION--
W L T PCT.
12 4 0 0.750
--SIMULATION--
W L PCT.
10 6 0.625
PREDICTIONS FOR
WEEK 8, 10/21/14
ST. LOUIS
WK OPP PRE ACT SCORE
1 MIN 2 -28 6 34
2 TB 2 2 19 17
3 DAL -11 -3 31 34
5 PHI -13 -6 28 34
6 SF -5 -14 17 31
7 SEA -7 2 28 26
8 KC -15
9 SF -8
10 ARI -11
11 DEN -16
12 SD -17
13 OAK 5
14 WAS -6
15 ARI -6
16 NYG -4
17 SEA -12
--PREDICTION--
W L T PCT.
3 13 0 0.188
--SIMULATION--
W L PCT.
4 12 0.250
1 PREDICTIONS FOR
WEEK 8, 10/21/14
MIAMI
WK OPP PRE ACT SCORE
1 NE -2 13 33 20
2 BUF -1 -19 10 29
3 KC -4 -19 15 34
4 OAK 9 24 38 14
6 GB -5 -3 24 27
7 CHI -2 13 27 14
8 JAC 8
9 SD -5
10 DET -8
11 BUF 3
12 DEN -13
13 NYJ 7
14 BAL -6
15 NE -6
16 MIN 12
17 NYJ 12
--PREDICTION--
W L T PCT.
8 8 0 0.500
--SIMULATION--
W L PCT.
8 8 0.500
PREDICTIONS FOR
WEEK 8, 10/21/14
MINNESOTA
WK OPP PRE ACT SCORE
1 STL -2 28 34 6
2 NE -11 -23 7 30
3 NO -8 -11 9 20
4 ATL -3 13 41 28
5 GB -17 -32 10 42
6 DET -13 -14 3 17
7 BUF -9 -1 16 17
8 TB 1
9 WAS -3
11 CHI -11
12 GB -13
13 CAR -1
14 NYJ 3
15 DET -17
16 MIA -12
17 CHI -6
--PREDICTION--
W L T PCT.
4 12 0 0.250
--SIMULATION--
W L PCT.
4 12 0.250
1 PREDICTIONS FOR
WEEK 8, 10/21/14
NEW ENGLAND
WK OPP PRE ACT SCORE
1 MIA 2 -13 20 33
2 MIN 11 23 30 7
3 OAK 16 7 16 9
4 KC -3 -27 14 41
5 CIN 6 26 43 17
6 BUF 3 15 37 22
7 NYJ 15 2 27 25
8 CHI 5
9 DEN -5
11 IND -7
12 DET 1
13 GB -5
14 SD -6
15 MIA 6
16 NYJ 10
17 BUF 8
--PREDICTION--
W L T PCT.
10 6 0 0.625
--SIMULATION--
W L PCT.
10 6 0.625
PREDICTIONS FOR
WEEK 8, 10/21/14
NEW ORLEANS
WK OPP PRE ACT SCORE
1 ATL 1 -3 34 37
2 CLE -4 -2 24 26
3 MIN 8 11 20 9
4 DAL -8 -21 17 38
5 TB 11 6 37 31
7 DET -10 -1 23 24
8 GB -7
9 CAR 1
10 SF 1
11 CIN 1
12 BAL -9
13 PIT -5
14 CAR 5
15 CHI -5
16 ATL 4
17 TB 6
--PREDICTION--
W L T PCT.
8 8 0 0.500
--SIMULATION--
W L PCT.
7 9 0.438
1 PREDICTIONS FOR
WEEK 8, 10/21/14
N.Y. GIANTS
WK OPP PRE ACT SCORE
1 DET -7 -21 14 35
2 ARI -1 -11 14 25
3 HOU 1 13 30 17
4 WAS 2 31 45 14
5 ATL 5 10 30 20
6 PHI -6 -27 0 27
7 DAL -7 -10 21 31
9 IND -7
10 SEA -4
11 SF 3
12 DAL -3
13 JAC 7
14 TEN 2
15 WAS 6
16 STL 4
17 PHI -2
--PREDICTION--
W L T PCT.
8 8 0 0.500
--SIMULATION--
W L PCT.
8 8 0.500
PREDICTIONS FOR
WEEK 8, 10/21/14
N.Y. JETS
WK OPP PRE ACT SCORE
1 OAK 3 5 19 14
2 GB -17 -7 24 31
3 CHI -8 -8 19 27
4 DET -13 -7 17 24
5 SD -18 -31 0 31
6 DEN -18 -14 17 31
7 NE -15 -2 25 27
8 BUF -6
9 KC -16
10 PIT -7
12 BUF -11
13 MIA -7
14 MIN -3
15 TEN -7
16 NE -10
17 MIA -12
--PREDICTION--
W L T PCT.
1 15 0 0.063
--SIMULATION--
W L PCT.
2 14 0.125
1 PREDICTIONS FOR
WEEK 8, 10/21/14
OAKLAND
WK OPP PRE ACT SCORE
1 NYJ -3 -5 14 19
2 HOU -10 -16 14 30
3 NE -16 -7 9 16
4 MIA -9 -24 14 38
6 SD -16 -3 28 31
7 ARI -10 -11 13 24
8 CLE -13
9 SEA -14
10 DEN -19
11 SD -20
12 KC -13
13 STL -5
14 SF -7
15 KC -18
16 BUF -7
17 DEN -24
--PREDICTION--
W L T PCT.
0 16 0 0.000
--SIMULATION--
W L PCT.
1 15 0.063
PREDICTIONS FOR
WEEK 8, 10/21/14
PHILADELPHIA
WK OPP PRE ACT SCORE
1 JAC 15 17 34 17
2 IND -6 3 30 27
3 WAS 9 3 37 34
4 SF 4 -5 21 26
5 STL 13 6 34 28
6 NYG 6 27 27 0
8 ARI 1
9 HOU 1
10 CAR 11
11 GB -5
12 TEN 11
13 DAL -3
14 SEA 5
15 DAL 2
16 WAS 5
17 NYG 2
--PREDICTION--
W L T PCT.
13 3 0 0.813
--SIMULATION--
W L PCT.
11 5 0.688
1 PREDICTIONS FOR
WEEK 8, 10/21/14
PITTSBURGH
WK OPP PRE ACT SCORE
1 CLE 1 3 30 27
2 BAL -11 -20 6 26
3 CAR 4 18 37 19
4 TB 13 -3 24 27
5 JAC 8 8 17 9
6 CLE -3 -21 10 31
7 HOU 1 7 30 23
8 IND -7
9 BAL -7
10 NYJ 7
11 TEN 2
13 NO 5
14 CIN -3
15 ATL 1
16 KC -3
17 CIN 3
--PREDICTION--
W L T PCT.
9 7 0 0.563
--SIMULATION--
W L PCT.
9 7 0.563
PREDICTIONS FOR
WEEK 8, 10/21/14
ARIZONA
WK OPP PRE ACT SCORE
1 SD -5 1 18 17
2 NYG 1 11 25 14
3 SF 4 9 23 14
5 DEN -12 -21 20 41
6 WAS 7 10 30 20
7 OAK 10 11 24 13
8 PHI -1
9 DAL -5
10 STL 11
11 DET -2
12 SEA -3
13 ATL 2
14 KC -1
15 STL 6
16 SEA 3
17 SF -1
--PREDICTION--
W L T PCT.
9 7 0 0.563
--SIMULATION--
W L PCT.
10 6 0.625
1 PREDICTIONS FOR
WEEK 8, 10/21/14
SAN DIEGO
WK OPP PRE ACT SCORE
1 ARI 5 -1 17 18
2 SEA 7 9 30 21
3 BUF 7 12 22 10
4 JAC 19 19 33 14
5 NYJ 18 31 31 0
6 OAK 16 3 31 28
7 KC 4 -3 20 23
8 DEN -6
9 MIA 5
11 OAK 20
12 STL 17
13 BAL -4
14 NE 6
15 DEN -1
16 SF 6
17 KC -1
--PREDICTION--
W L T PCT.
10 6 0 0.625
--SIMULATION--
W L PCT.
11 5 0.688
PREDICTIONS FOR
WEEK 8, 10/21/14
S. FRANCISCO
WK OPP PRE ACT SCORE
1 DAL -7 11 28 17
2 CHI -1 -8 20 28
3 ARI -4 -9 14 23
4 PHI -4 5 26 21
5 KC -5 5 22 17
6 STL 5 14 31 17
7 DEN -14 -25 17 42
9 STL 8
10 NO -1
11 NYG -3
12 WAS 5
13 SEA -1
14 OAK 7
15 SEA -5
16 SD -6
17 ARI 1
--PREDICTION--
W L T PCT.
8 8 0 0.500
--SIMULATION--
W L PCT.
8 8 0.500
1 PREDICTIONS FOR
WEEK 8, 10/21/14
SEATTLE
WK OPP PRE ACT SCORE
1 GB -4 20 36 16
2 SD -7 -9 21 30
3 DEN -8 6 26 20
5 WAS 4 10 27 17
6 DAL -1 -7 23 30
7 STL 7 -2 26 28
8 CAR 5
9 OAK 14
10 NYG 4
11 KC -6
12 ARI 3
13 SF 1
14 PHI -5
15 SF 5
16 ARI -3
17 STL 12
--PREDICTION--
W L T PCT.
10 6 0 0.625
--SIMULATION--
W L PCT.
9 7 0.563
PREDICTIONS FOR
WEEK 8, 10/21/14
TAMPA BAY
WK OPP PRE ACT SCORE
1 CAR -5 -6 14 20
2 STL -2 -2 17 19
3 ATL -9 -42 14 56
4 PIT -13 3 27 24
5 NO -11 -6 31 37
6 BAL -19 -31 17 48
8 MIN -1
9 CLE -14
10 ATL -5
11 WAS -10
12 CHI -14
13 CIN -9
14 DET -20
15 CAR -9
16 GB -15
17 NO -6
--PREDICTION--
W L T PCT.
1 15 0 0.063
--SIMULATION--
W L PCT.
3 13 0.188
1 PREDICTIONS FOR
WEEK 8, 10/21/14
WASHINGTON
WK OPP PRE ACT SCORE
1 HOU -6 -11 6 17
2 JAC 7 31 41 10
3 PHI -9 -3 34 37
4 NYG -2 -31 14 45
5 SEA -4 -10 17 27
6 ARI -7 -10 20 30
7 TEN 3 2 19 17
8 DAL -10
9 MIN 3
11 TB 10
12 SF -5
13 IND -15
14 STL 6
15 NYG -6
16 PHI -5
17 DAL -6
--PREDICTION--
W L T PCT.
5 11 0 0.313
--SIMULATION--
W L PCT.
5 11 0.313
PREDICTIONS FOR
WEEK 8, 10/21/14
CAROLINA
WK OPP PRE ACT SCORE
1 TB 5 6 20 14
2 DET -10 17 24 7
3 PIT -4 -18 19 37
4 BAL -16 -28 10 38
5 CHI -4 7 31 24
6 CIN -7 0 37 37
7 GB -14 -21 17 38
8 SEA -5
9 NO -1
10 PHI -11
11 ATL 1
13 MIN 1
14 NO -5
15 TB 9
16 CLE -3
17 ATL -4
--PREDICTION--
W L T PCT.
6 9 1 0.406
--SIMULATION--
W L PCT.
7 9 0.438
1 PREDICTIONS FOR
WEEK 8, 10/21/14
JACKSONVILLE
WK OPP PRE ACT SCORE
1 PHI -15 -17 17 34
2 WAS -7 -31 10 41
3 IND -17 -27 17 44
4 SD -19 -19 14 33
5 PIT -8 -8 9 17
6 TEN -7 -2 14 16
7 CLE -9 18 24 6
8 MIA -8
9 CIN -11
10 DAL -12
12 IND -20
13 NYG -7
14 HOU -8
15 BAL -21
16 TEN -2
17 HOU -13
--PREDICTION--
W L T PCT.
1 15 0 0.063
--SIMULATION--
W L PCT.
2 14 0.125
PREDICTIONS FOR
WEEK 8, 10/21/14
CLEVELAND
WK OPP PRE ACT SCORE
1 PIT -1 -3 27 30
2 NO 4 2 26 24
3 BAL -7 -2 21 23
5 TEN 4 1 29 28
6 PIT 3 21 31 10
7 JAC 9 -18 6 24
8 OAK 13
9 TB 14
10 CIN -1
11 HOU 2
12 ATL 2
13 BUF -1
14 IND -5
15 CIN 4
16 CAR 3
17 BAL -11
--PREDICTION--
W L T PCT.
9 7 0 0.563
--SIMULATION--
W L PCT.
9 7 0.563
1 PREDICTIONS FOR
WEEK 8, 10/21/14
HOUSTON
WK OPP PRE ACT SCORE
1 WAS 6 11 17 6
2 OAK 10 16 30 14
3 NYG -1 -13 17 30
4 BUF 3 6 23 17
5 DAL -5 -3 17 20
6 IND -6 -5 28 33
7 PIT -1 -7 23 30
8 TEN 4
9 PHI -1
11 CLE -2
12 CIN 3
13 TEN 8
14 JAC 8
15 IND -10
16 BAL -5
17 JAC 13
--PREDICTION--
W L T PCT.
8 8 0 0.500
--SIMULATION--
W L PCT.
8 8 0.500
THE MOST LIKELY NFC LEADERS ARE: DALLAS (12- 4), GREEN BAY (13- 3)
NEW ORLEANS ( 7- 9) AND ARIZONA (10- 6)
THE MOST LIKELY AFC LEADERS ARE: NEW ENGLAND (10- 6), BALTIMORE (13- 3)
INDIANAPOLIS (13- 3) AND DENVER (14- 2)
THE MOST LIKELY NFC WILD CARD TEAMS ARE DETROIT. AND PHILADELPHIA.
THE MOST LIKELY AFC WILD CARD TEAMS ARE SAN DIEGO. AND KANSAS CITY.
THE NFC CHAMPION SHOULD BE GREEN BAY. THE AFC CHAMP DENVER.
FAVORED BY 4 POINTS, THE SUPER BOWL CHAMP WILL BE DENVER.
OF COURSE ANYTHING CAN HAPPEN IN A PLAYOFF GAME AND INJURIES
AFTER THIS WEEK CAN KNOCK ANY TEAM OUT OF THE BOX. BUT BASED ON
THE STATS TO DATE DENVER WILL BE THE SUPER BOWL WINNER.
* COMPUTER SEASON PREDICTIONS ARE MADE FOR TWO CONDITIONS:
THE THIRD LINE SHOWS THE NUMBER OF GAMES WHERE THE TEAM IS
THE PREDICTED 'FAVORITE'. BY DEFINITION THEN THE LEAGUE'S
STRONGEST TEAM WOULD BE PREDICTED TO WIN THE MOST IF NOT ALL
ITS GAMES.
HOWEVER, WE ALL KNOW THAT FAVORITES ARE UPSET 20 TO 25
PERCENT OF THE TIME. SO THE FIRST LINE IS A BETTER ESTIMATE
OF THE SEASON W-L RECORD. THIS FIRST LINE IS BASED ON WHAT
STATISTICIANS CALL A MONTE CARLO SIMULATION-I.E., THE COMPUTER
PLAYS THROUGH THE NFL SCHEDULE 1000 TIMES AND ESTIMATES THE
NUMBER OF WINS TAKING INTO CONSIDERATION POSSIBLE UPSETS.
TEAMS WITHIN DIVISIONS ARE SORTED BY SIMULATED PERCENTAGES.
IN CASE TWO TEAMS ARE TIED IN THE WON/LOSS COLUMN (THIRD LINE)
OR ARE TIED WHEN PICKING WILD CARD TEAMS, THE BEST TEAM WILL
BE THE SIMULATED WINNER OF THE TWO.
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