Predict Report - Weighted
Bud Goode Sports, Copyright 2014, All Rights Reserved.
DATA YR 2014 PRED. WEEK 9 PRIOR YR 2013 SCHED YR 2014
WEIGHT = 0.000
Report 3
PREDICTIONS FOR
WEEK 9, 10/28/14
ATLANTA
WK OPP PRE ACT SCORE
1 NO -2 3 37 34
2 CIN -5 -14 10 24
3 TB 10 42 56 14
4 MIN 3 -13 28 41
5 NYG -4 -10 20 30
6 CHI 1 -14 13 27
7 BAL -11 -22 7 29
8 DET -5 -1 21 22
10 TB 6
11 CAR 1
12 CLE -2
13 ARI -2
14 GB -8
15 PIT -2
16 NO -6
17 CAR 5
--PREDICTION--
W L T PCT.
5 11 0 0.313
--SIMULATION--
W L PCT.
5 11 0.313
PRE = PREDICTED
WINNING
MARGIN
ACT = ACTUAL
WINNING
MARGIN
OPP = OPPONENT
1 PREDICTIONS FOR
WEEK 9, 10/28/14
INDIANAPOLIS
WK OPP PRE ACT SCORE
1 DEN -8 -7 24 31
2 PHI 3 -3 27 30
3 JAC 13 27 44 17
4 TEN 12 24 41 17
5 BAL -1 7 20 13
6 HOU 1 5 33 28
7 CIN 6 27 27 0
8 PIT 1 -17 34 51
9 NYG 3
11 NE 1
12 JAC 17
13 WAS 10
14 CLE -1
15 HOU 5
16 DAL -2
17 TEN 7
--PREDICTION--
W L T PCT.
11 5 0 0.688
--SIMULATION--
W L PCT.
10 6 0.625
PREDICTIONS FOR
WEEK 9, 10/28/14
BUFFALO
WK OPP PRE ACT SCORE
1 CHI 3 3 23 20
2 MIA 1 19 29 10
3 SD -1 -12 10 22
4 HOU -2 -6 17 23
5 DET -5 3 17 14
6 NE -2 -15 22 37
7 MIN 10 1 17 16
8 NYJ 10 20 43 23
10 KC -4
11 MIA -2
12 NYJ 14
13 CLE 2
14 DEN -13
15 GB 1
16 OAK 9
17 NE -7
--PREDICTION--
W L T PCT.
9 7 0 0.563
--SIMULATION--
W L PCT.
9 7 0.563
1 PREDICTIONS FOR
WEEK 9, 10/28/14
CHICAGO
WK OPP PRE ACT SCORE
1 BUF -3 -3 20 23
2 SF -2 8 28 20
3 NYJ 7 8 27 19
4 GB -4 -21 17 38
5 CAR 1 -7 24 31
6 ATL -1 14 27 13
7 MIA -2 -13 14 27
8 NE -10 -28 23 51
10 GB -8
11 MIN 7
12 TB 11
13 DET -9
14 DAL -3
15 NO -1
16 DET -4
17 MIN 1
--PREDICTION--
W L T PCT.
6 10 0 0.375
--SIMULATION--
W L PCT.
7 9 0.438
PREDICTIONS FOR
WEEK 9, 10/28/14
CINCINNATI
WK OPP PRE ACT SCORE
1 BAL -7 7 23 16
2 ATL 5 14 24 10
3 TEN 8 26 33 7
5 NE -7 -26 17 43
6 CAR 8 0 37 37
7 IND -6 -27 0 27
8 BAL -4 3 27 24
9 JAC 13
10 CLE 1
11 NO -2
12 HOU -4
13 TB 9
14 PIT 1
15 CLE -4
16 DEN -8
17 PIT -5
--PREDICTION--
W L T PCT.
8 7 1 0.531
--SIMULATION--
W L PCT.
8 8 0.500
1 PREDICTIONS FOR
WEEK 9, 10/28/14
BALTIMORE
WK OPP PRE ACT SCORE
1 CIN 7 -7 16 23
2 PIT 6 20 26 6
3 CLE 3 2 23 21
4 CAR 14 28 38 10
5 IND 1 -7 13 20
6 TB 16 31 48 17
7 ATL 11 22 29 7
8 CIN 4 -3 24 27
9 PIT 2
10 TEN 15
12 NO 4
13 SD 5
14 MIA 3
15 JAC 20
16 HOU 2
17 CLE 8
--PREDICTION--
W L T PCT.
13 3 0 0.813
--SIMULATION--
W L PCT.
11 5 0.688
PREDICTIONS FOR
WEEK 9, 10/28/14
DALLAS
WK OPP PRE ACT SCORE
1 SF 6 -11 17 28
2 TEN 8 16 26 10
3 STL 12 3 34 31
4 NO 4 21 38 17
5 HOU 3 3 20 17
6 SEA -1 7 30 23
7 NYG 6 10 31 21
8 WAS 9 -3 17 20
9 ARI 4
10 JAC 11
12 NYG 2
13 PHI 4
14 CHI 3
15 PHI -2
16 IND 2
17 WAS 4
--PREDICTION--
W L T PCT.
13 3 0 0.813
--SIMULATION--
W L PCT.
11 5 0.688
1 PREDICTIONS FOR
WEEK 9, 10/28/14
DENVER
WK OPP PRE ACT SCORE
1 IND 8 7 31 24
2 KC 6 7 24 17
3 SEA 8 -6 20 26
5 ARI 11 21 41 20
6 NYJ 20 14 31 17
7 SF 15 25 42 17
8 SD 9 14 35 21
9 NE 4
10 OAK 20
11 STL 19
12 MIA 12
13 KC 2
14 BUF 13
15 SD 5
16 CIN 8
17 OAK 25
--PREDICTION--
W L T PCT.
15 1 0 0.938
--SIMULATION--
W L PCT.
14 2 0.875
PREDICTIONS FOR
WEEK 9, 10/28/14
DETROIT
WK OPP PRE ACT SCORE
1 NYG 6 21 35 14
2 CAR 8 -17 7 24
3 GB 3 12 19 7
4 NYJ 13 7 24 17
5 BUF 5 -3 14 17
6 MIN 9 14 17 3
7 NO 5 1 24 23
8 ATL 5 1 22 21
10 MIA 5
11 ARI 1
12 NE -4
13 CHI 9
14 TB 18
15 MIN 14
16 CHI 4
17 GB -2
--PREDICTION--
W L T PCT.
12 4 0 0.750
--SIMULATION--
W L PCT.
11 5 0.688
1 PREDICTIONS FOR
WEEK 9, 10/28/14
GREEN BAY
WK OPP PRE ACT SCORE
1 SEA 1 -20 16 36
2 NYJ 15 7 31 24
3 DET -3 -12 7 19
4 CHI 4 21 38 17
5 MIN 12 32 42 10
6 MIA -1 3 27 24
7 CAR 10 21 38 17
8 NO 1 -21 23 44
10 CHI 8
11 PHI 3
12 MIN 8
13 NE -1
14 ATL 8
15 BUF -1
16 TB 11
17 DET 2
--PREDICTION--
W L T PCT.
11 5 0 0.688
--SIMULATION--
W L PCT.
11 5 0.688
PREDICTIONS FOR
WEEK 9, 10/28/14
TENNESSEE
WK OPP PRE ACT SCORE
1 KC -14 16 26 10
2 DAL -8 -16 10 26
3 CIN -8 -26 7 33
4 IND -12 -24 17 41
5 CLE -6 -1 28 29
6 JAC 6 2 16 14
7 WAS -4 -2 17 19
8 HOU -6 -14 16 30
10 BAL -15
11 PIT -6
12 PHI -10
13 HOU -10
14 NYG -3
15 NYJ 8
16 JAC 2
17 IND -7
--PREDICTION--
W L T PCT.
4 12 0 0.250
--SIMULATION--
W L PCT.
4 12 0.250
1 PREDICTIONS FOR
WEEK 9, 10/28/14
KANSAS CITY
WK OPP PRE ACT SCORE
1 TEN 14 -16 10 26
2 DEN -6 -7 17 24
3 MIA 4 19 34 15
4 NE 3 27 41 14
5 SF 7 -5 17 22
7 SD 1 3 23 20
8 STL 19 27 34 7
9 NYJ 20
10 BUF 4
11 SEA 8
12 OAK 15
13 DEN -2
14 ARI 3
15 OAK 21
16 PIT 2
17 SD 6
--PREDICTION--
W L T PCT.
12 4 0 0.750
--SIMULATION--
W L PCT.
11 5 0.688
PREDICTIONS FOR
WEEK 9, 10/28/14
ST. LOUIS
WK OPP PRE ACT SCORE
1 MIN -2 -28 6 34
2 TB 1 2 19 17
3 DAL -12 -3 31 34
5 PHI -13 -6 28 34
6 SF -6 -14 17 31
7 SEA -9 2 28 26
8 KC -19 -27 7 34
9 SF -10
10 ARI -14
11 DEN -19
12 SD -16
13 OAK 4
14 WAS -9
15 ARI -9
16 NYG -6
17 SEA -14
--PREDICTION--
W L T PCT.
3 13 0 0.188
--SIMULATION--
W L PCT.
3 13 0.188
1 PREDICTIONS FOR
WEEK 9, 10/28/14
MIAMI
WK OPP PRE ACT SCORE
1 NE -3 13 33 20
2 BUF -1 -19 10 29
3 KC -4 -19 15 34
4 OAK 11 24 38 14
6 GB 1 -3 24 27
7 CHI 2 13 27 14
8 JAC 10 14 27 13
9 SD -1
10 DET -5
11 BUF 2
12 DEN -12
13 NYJ 10
14 BAL -3
15 NE -7
16 MIN 11
17 NYJ 15
--PREDICTION--
W L T PCT.
8 8 0 0.500
--SIMULATION--
W L PCT.
9 7 0.563
PREDICTIONS FOR
WEEK 9, 10/28/14
MINNESOTA
WK OPP PRE ACT SCORE
1 STL 2 28 34 6
2 NE -11 -23 7 30
3 NO -9 -11 9 20
4 ATL -3 13 41 28
5 GB -12 -32 10 42
6 DET -9 -14 3 17
7 BUF -10 -1 16 17
8 TB 2 6 19 13
9 WAS -1
11 CHI -7
12 GB -8
13 CAR 1
14 NYJ 6
15 DET -14
16 MIA -11
17 CHI -1
--PREDICTION--
W L T PCT.
5 11 0 0.313
--SIMULATION--
W L PCT.
6 10 0.375
1 PREDICTIONS FOR
WEEK 9, 10/28/14
NEW ENGLAND
WK OPP PRE ACT SCORE
1 MIA 3 -13 20 33
2 MIN 11 23 30 7
3 OAK 18 7 16 9
4 KC -3 -27 14 41
5 CIN 7 26 43 17
6 BUF 2 15 37 22
7 NYJ 18 2 27 25
8 CHI 10 28 51 23
9 DEN -4
11 IND -1
12 DET 4
13 GB 1
14 SD -1
15 MIA 7
16 NYJ 13
17 BUF 7
--PREDICTION--
W L T PCT.
11 5 0 0.688
--SIMULATION--
W L PCT.
11 5 0.688
PREDICTIONS FOR
WEEK 9, 10/28/14
NEW ORLEANS
WK OPP PRE ACT SCORE
1 ATL 2 -3 34 37
2 CLE -3 -2 24 26
3 MIN 9 11 20 9
4 DAL -4 -21 17 38
5 TB 13 6 37 31
7 DET -5 -1 23 24
8 GB -1 21 44 23
9 CAR 4
10 SF 4
11 CIN 2
12 BAL -4
13 PIT -4
14 CAR 8
15 CHI 1
16 ATL 6
17 TB 9
--PREDICTION--
W L T PCT.
10 6 0 0.625
--SIMULATION--
W L PCT.
9 7 0.563
1 PREDICTIONS FOR
WEEK 9, 10/28/14
N.Y. GIANTS
WK OPP PRE ACT SCORE
1 DET -6 -21 14 35
2 ARI -1 -11 14 25
3 HOU -1 13 30 17
4 WAS 1 31 45 14
5 ATL 4 10 30 20
6 PHI -5 -27 0 27
7 DAL -6 -10 21 31
9 IND -3
10 SEA -4
11 SF 3
12 DAL -2
13 JAC 7
14 TEN 3
15 WAS 5
16 STL 6
17 PHI 1
--PREDICTION--
W L T PCT.
9 7 0 0.563
--SIMULATION--
W L PCT.
8 8 0.500
PREDICTIONS FOR
WEEK 9, 10/28/14
N.Y. JETS
WK OPP PRE ACT SCORE
1 OAK 1 5 19 14
2 GB -15 -7 24 31
3 CHI -7 -8 19 27
4 DET -13 -7 17 24
5 SD -16 -31 0 31
6 DEN -20 -14 17 31
7 NE -18 -2 25 27
8 BUF -10 -20 23 43
9 KC -20
10 PIT -11
12 BUF -14
13 MIA -10
14 MIN -6
15 TEN -8
16 NE -13
17 MIA -15
--PREDICTION--
W L T PCT.
1 15 0 0.063
--SIMULATION--
W L PCT.
2 14 0.125
1 PREDICTIONS FOR
WEEK 9, 10/28/14
OAKLAND
WK OPP PRE ACT SCORE
1 NYJ -1 -5 14 19
2 HOU -11 -16 14 30
3 NE -18 -7 9 16
4 MIA -11 -24 14 38
6 SD -13 -3 28 31
7 ARI -11 -11 13 24
8 CLE -15 -10 13 23
9 SEA -14
10 DEN -20
11 SD -17
12 KC -15
13 STL -4
14 SF -7
15 KC -21
16 BUF -9
17 DEN -25
--PREDICTION--
W L T PCT.
0 16 0 0.000
--SIMULATION--
W L PCT.
1 15 0.063
PREDICTIONS FOR
WEEK 9, 10/28/14
PHILADELPHIA
WK OPP PRE ACT SCORE
1 JAC 13 17 34 17
2 IND -3 3 30 27
3 WAS 7 3 37 34
4 SF 2 -5 21 26
5 STL 13 6 34 28
6 NYG 5 27 27 0
8 ARI -2 -4 20 24
9 HOU -2
10 CAR 10
11 GB -3
12 TEN 10
13 DAL -4
14 SEA 3
15 DAL 2
16 WAS 3
17 NYG -1
--PREDICTION--
W L T PCT.
10 6 0 0.625
--SIMULATION--
W L PCT.
10 6 0.625
1 PREDICTIONS FOR
WEEK 9, 10/28/14
PITTSBURGH
WK OPP PRE ACT SCORE
1 CLE 2 3 30 27
2 BAL -6 -20 6 26
3 CAR 6 18 37 19
4 TB 15 -3 24 27
5 JAC 11 8 17 9
6 CLE -1 -21 10 31
7 HOU 2 7 30 23
8 IND -1 17 51 34
9 BAL -2
10 NYJ 11
11 TEN 6
13 NO 4
14 CIN -1
15 ATL 2
16 KC -2
17 CIN 5
--PREDICTION--
W L T PCT.
10 6 0 0.625
--SIMULATION--
W L PCT.
10 6 0.625
PREDICTIONS FOR
WEEK 9, 10/28/14
ARIZONA
WK OPP PRE ACT SCORE
1 SD -1 1 18 17
2 NYG 1 11 25 14
3 SF 5 9 23 14
5 DEN -11 -21 20 41
6 WAS 7 10 30 20
7 OAK 11 11 24 13
8 PHI 2 4 24 20
9 DAL -4
10 STL 14
11 DET -1
12 SEA -2
13 ATL 2
14 KC -3
15 STL 9
16 SEA 3
17 SF 1
--PREDICTION--
W L T PCT.
11 5 0 0.688
--SIMULATION--
W L PCT.
11 5 0.688
1 PREDICTIONS FOR
WEEK 9, 10/28/14
SAN DIEGO
WK OPP PRE ACT SCORE
1 ARI 1 -1 17 18
2 SEA 4 9 30 21
3 BUF 1 12 22 10
4 JAC 16 19 33 14
5 NYJ 16 31 31 0
6 OAK 13 3 31 28
7 KC -1 -3 20 23
8 DEN -9 -14 21 35
9 MIA 1
11 OAK 17
12 STL 16
13 BAL -5
14 NE 1
15 DEN -5
16 SF 3
17 KC -6
--PREDICTION--
W L T PCT.
10 6 0 0.625
--SIMULATION--
W L PCT.
10 6 0.625
PREDICTIONS FOR
WEEK 9, 10/28/14
S. FRANCISCO
WK OPP PRE ACT SCORE
1 DAL -6 11 28 17
2 CHI 2 -8 20 28
3 ARI -5 -9 14 23
4 PHI -2 5 26 21
5 KC -7 5 22 17
6 STL 6 14 31 17
7 DEN -15 -25 17 42
9 STL 10
10 NO -4
11 NYG -3
12 WAS 4
13 SEA -1
14 OAK 7
15 SEA -6
16 SD -3
17 ARI -1
--PREDICTION--
W L T PCT.
7 9 0 0.438
--SIMULATION--
W L PCT.
8 8 0.500
1 PREDICTIONS FOR
WEEK 9, 10/28/14
SEATTLE
WK OPP PRE ACT SCORE
1 GB -1 20 36 16
2 SD -4 -9 21 30
3 DEN -8 6 26 20
5 WAS 3 10 27 17
6 DAL 1 -7 23 30
7 STL 9 -2 26 28
8 CAR 5 4 13 9
9 OAK 14
10 NYG 4
11 KC -8
12 ARI 2
13 SF 1
14 PHI -3
15 SF 6
16 ARI -3
17 STL 14
--PREDICTION--
W L T PCT.
10 6 0 0.625
--SIMULATION--
W L PCT.
10 6 0.625
PREDICTIONS FOR
WEEK 9, 10/28/14
TAMPA BAY
WK OPP PRE ACT SCORE
1 CAR -4 -6 14 20
2 STL -1 -2 17 19
3 ATL -10 -42 14 56
4 PIT -15 3 27 24
5 NO -13 -6 31 37
6 BAL -16 -31 17 48
8 MIN -2 -6 13 19
9 CLE -15
10 ATL -6
11 WAS -10
12 CHI -11
13 CIN -9
14 DET -18
15 CAR -8
16 GB -11
17 NO -9
--PREDICTION--
W L T PCT.
1 15 0 0.063
--SIMULATION--
W L PCT.
2 14 0.125
1 PREDICTIONS FOR
WEEK 9, 10/28/14
WASHINGTON
WK OPP PRE ACT SCORE
1 HOU -6 -11 6 17
2 JAC 8 31 41 10
3 PHI -7 -3 34 37
4 NYG -1 -31 14 45
5 SEA -3 -10 17 27
6 ARI -7 -10 20 30
7 TEN 4 2 19 17
8 DAL -9 3 20 17
9 MIN 1
11 TB 10
12 SF -4
13 IND -10
14 STL 9
15 NYG -5
16 PHI -3
17 DAL -4
--PREDICTION--
W L T PCT.
6 10 0 0.375
--SIMULATION--
W L PCT.
7 9 0.438
PREDICTIONS FOR
WEEK 9, 10/28/14
CAROLINA
WK OPP PRE ACT SCORE
1 TB 4 6 20 14
2 DET -8 17 24 7
3 PIT -6 -18 19 37
4 BAL -14 -28 10 38
5 CHI -1 7 31 24
6 CIN -8 0 37 37
7 GB -10 -21 17 38
8 SEA -5 -4 9 13
9 NO -4
10 PHI -10
11 ATL -1
13 MIN -1
14 NO -8
15 TB 8
16 CLE -4
17 ATL -5
--PREDICTION--
W L T PCT.
4 11 1 0.281
--SIMULATION--
W L PCT.
6 10 0.375
1 PREDICTIONS FOR
WEEK 9, 10/28/14
JACKSONVILLE
WK OPP PRE ACT SCORE
1 PHI -13 -17 17 34
2 WAS -8 -31 10 41
3 IND -13 -27 17 44
4 SD -16 -19 14 33
5 PIT -11 -8 9 17
6 TEN -6 -2 14 16
7 CLE -10 18 24 6
8 MIA -10 -14 13 27
9 CIN -13
10 DAL -11
12 IND -17
13 NYG -7
14 HOU -9
15 BAL -20
16 TEN -2
17 HOU -15
--PREDICTION--
W L T PCT.
1 15 0 0.063
--SIMULATION--
W L PCT.
2 14 0.125
PREDICTIONS FOR
WEEK 9, 10/28/14
CLEVELAND
WK OPP PRE ACT SCORE
1 PIT -2 -3 27 30
2 NO 3 2 26 24
3 BAL -3 -2 21 23
5 TEN 6 1 29 28
6 PIT 1 21 31 10
7 JAC 10 -18 6 24
8 OAK 15 10 23 13
9 TB 15
10 CIN -1
11 HOU 2
12 ATL 2
13 BUF -2
14 IND 1
15 CIN 4
16 CAR 4
17 BAL -8
--PREDICTION--
W L T PCT.
10 6 0 0.625
--SIMULATION--
W L PCT.
9 7 0.563
1 PREDICTIONS FOR
WEEK 9, 10/28/14
HOUSTON
WK OPP PRE ACT SCORE
1 WAS 6 11 17 6
2 OAK 11 16 30 14
3 NYG 1 -13 17 30
4 BUF 2 6 23 17
5 DAL -3 -3 17 20
6 IND -1 -5 28 33
7 PIT -2 -7 23 30
8 TEN 6 14 30 16
9 PHI 2
11 CLE -2
12 CIN 4
13 TEN 10
14 JAC 9
15 IND -5
16 BAL -2
17 JAC 15
--PREDICTION--
W L T PCT.
9 7 0 0.563
--SIMULATION--
W L PCT.
9 7 0.563
THE MOST LIKELY NFC LEADERS ARE: DALLAS (11- 5), DETROIT (11- 5)
NEW ORLEANS ( 9- 7) AND ARIZONA (11- 5)
THE MOST LIKELY AFC LEADERS ARE: NEW ENGLAND (11- 5), BALTIMORE (11- 5)
INDIANAPOLIS (10- 6) AND DENVER (14- 2)
THE MOST LIKELY NFC WILD CARD TEAMS ARE GREEN BAY AND PHILADELPHIA
THE MOST LIKELY AFC WILD CARD TEAMS ARE KANSAS CITY AND SAN DIEGO
THE NFC CHAMPION SHOULD BE DETROIT. THE AFC CHAMP DENVER.
FAVORED BY 7 POINTS, THE SUPER BOWL CHAMP WILL BE DENVER.
OF COURSE ANYTHING CAN HAPPEN IN A PLAYOFF GAME AND INJURIES
AFTER THIS WEEK CAN KNOCK ANY TEAM OUT OF THE BOX. BUT BASED ON
THE STATS TO DATE DENVER WILL BE THE SUPER BOWL WINNER.
* COMPUTER SEASON PREDICTIONS ARE MADE FOR TWO CONDITIONS:
THE THIRD LINE SHOWS THE NUMBER OF GAMES WHERE THE TEAM IS
THE PREDICTED 'FAVORITE'. BY DEFINITION THEN THE LEAGUE'S
STRONGEST TEAM WOULD BE PREDICTED TO WIN THE MOST IF NOT ALL
ITS GAMES.
HOWEVER, WE ALL KNOW THAT FAVORITES ARE UPSET 20 TO 25
PERCENT OF THE TIME. SO THE FIRST LINE IS A BETTER ESTIMATE
OF THE SEASON W-L RECORD. THIS FIRST LINE IS BASED ON WHAT
STATISTICIANS CALL A MONTE CARLO SIMULATION-I.E., THE COMPUTER
PLAYS THROUGH THE NFL SCHEDULE 1000 TIMES AND ESTIMATES THE
NUMBER OF WINS TAKING INTO CONSIDERATION POSSIBLE UPSETS.
TEAMS WITHIN DIVISIONS ARE SORTED BY SIMULATED PERCENTAGES.
IN CASE TWO TEAMS ARE TIED IN THE WON/LOSS COLUMN (THIRD LINE)
OR ARE TIED WHEN PICKING WILD CARD TEAMS, THE BEST TEAM WILL
BE THE SIMULATED WINNER OF THE TWO.
Copyright 2012, BudGoodeSports.com. All rights reserved.
|
