Predict Report - Weighted
Super Bowl
o CAR favored by 9.5 over DEN at Santa Clara
Bud Goode Sports, Copyright 2016, All Rights Reserved.
DATA YR 2015 PRED. WEEK 21 PRIOR YR 2014 SCHED YR 2015
WEIGHT = 0.000
Report 3
PREDICTIONS FOR
WEEK 21, 01/26/16
ATLANTA
WK OPP PRE ACT SCORE
1 PHI 2 2 26 24
2 NYG -2 4 24 20
3 DAL 4 11 39 28
4 HOU -2 27 48 21
5 WAS -1 6 25 19
6 N O -1 -10 21 31
7 TEN 3 3 10 7
8 T B 4 -3 20 23
9 S F 5 -1 16 17
11 IND 5 -3 21 24
12 MIN -2 -10 10 20
13 T B -1 -4 19 23
14 CAR -16 -38 0 38
15 JAC -1 6 23 17
16 CAR -10 7 20 13
17 N O 4 -3 17 20
--PREDICTION--
W L T PCT.
8 8 0 0.500
--SIMULATION--
W L PCT.
8 8 0.500
PRE = PREDICTED
WINNING
MARGIN
ACT = ACTUAL
WINNING
MARGIN
OPP = OPPONENT
1 PREDICTIONS FOR
WEEK 21, 01/26/16
INDIANAPOLIS
WK OPP PRE ACT SCORE
1 BUF -8 -13 14 27
2 NYJ -8 -13 7 20
3 TEN 1 2 35 33
4 JAC 1 3 16 13
5 HOU -9 7 27 20
6 N E -9 -7 27 34
7 N O -1 -6 21 27
8 CAR -18 -3 26 29
9 DEN -5 3 27 24
11 ATL -5 3 24 21
12 T B 1 13 25 12
13 PIT -11 -35 10 45
14 JAC -3 -35 16 51
15 HOU -4 -6 10 16
16 MIA -3 6 18 12
17 TEN 5 6 30 24
--PREDICTION--
W L T PCT.
8 8 0 0.500
--SIMULATION--
W L PCT.
8 8 0.500
PREDICTIONS FOR
WEEK 21, 01/26/16
BUFFALO
WK OPP PRE ACT SCORE
1 IND 8 13 27 14
2 N E -2 -8 32 40
3 MIA 5 27 41 14
4 NYG 5 -14 10 24
5 TEN 7 1 14 13
6 CIN -6 -13 21 34
7 JAC 5 -3 31 34
9 MIA 9 16 33 17
10 NYJ -5 5 22 17
11 N E -6 -7 13 20
12 K C -5 -8 22 30
13 HOU 2 9 30 21
14 PHI 2 -3 20 23
15 WAS -1 -10 25 35
16 DAL 12 10 16 6
17 NYJ 1 5 22 17
--PREDICTION--
W L T PCT.
8 8 0 0.500
--SIMULATION--
W L PCT.
8 8 0.500
1 PREDICTIONS FOR
WEEK 21, 01/26/16
CHICAGO
WK OPP PRE ACT SCORE
1 G B -5 -8 23 31
2 ARI -13 -25 23 48
3 SEA -15 -26 0 26
4 OAK -3 2 22 20
5 K C -11 1 18 17
6 DET -3 -3 34 37
8 MIN -5 -3 20 23
9 S D -3 3 22 19
10 STL -6 24 37 13
11 DEN -4 -2 15 17
12 G B -9 4 17 13
13 S F 7 -6 20 26
14 WAS -2 -3 21 24
15 MIN -10 -21 17 38
16 T B -4 5 26 21
17 DET 2 -4 20 24
--PREDICTION--
W L T PCT.
6 10 0 0.375
--SIMULATION--
W L PCT.
6 10 0.375
PREDICTIONS FOR
WEEK 21, 01/26/16
CINCINNATI
WK OPP PRE ACT SCORE
1 OAK 8 20 33 13
2 S D 14 5 24 19
3 BAL 14 4 28 24
4 K C 6 15 36 21
5 SEA 2 3 27 24
6 BUF 6 13 34 21
8 PIT 4 6 16 10
9 CLE 21 21 31 10
10 HOU 9 -4 6 10
11 ARI -3 -3 31 34
12 STL 12 24 31 7
13 CLE 16 34 37 3
14 PIT 8 -13 20 33
15 S F 16 10 24 14
16 DEN 5 -3 17 20
17 BAL 18 8 24 16
--PREDICTION--
W L T PCT.
12 4 0 0.750
--SIMULATION--
W L PCT.
12 4 0.750
1 PREDICTIONS FOR
WEEK 21, 01/26/16
BALTIMORE
WK OPP PRE ACT SCORE
1 DEN -9 -6 13 19
2 OAK -7 -4 33 37
3 CIN -14 -4 24 28
4 PIT -11 3 23 20
5 CLE 5 -3 30 33
6 S F 1 -5 20 25
7 ARI -18 -8 18 26
8 S D -1 3 29 26
10 JAC 1 -2 20 22
11 STL -3 3 16 13
12 CLE 1 6 33 27
13 MIA -4 -2 13 15
14 SEA -12 -29 6 35
15 K C -8 -20 14 34
16 PIT -7 3 20 17
17 CIN -18 -8 16 24
--PREDICTION--
W L T PCT.
5 11 0 0.313
--SIMULATION--
W L PCT.
5 11 0.313
PREDICTIONS FOR
WEEK 21, 01/26/16
DALLAS
WK OPP PRE ACT SCORE
1 NYG -5 1 27 26
2 PHI -6 10 20 10
3 ATL -4 -11 28 39
4 N O -6 -6 20 26
5 N E -11 -24 6 30
7 NYG -8 -7 20 27
8 SEA -14 -1 12 13
9 PHI -2 -6 27 33
10 T B -6 -4 6 10
11 MIA -5 10 24 14
12 CAR -16 -19 14 33
13 WAS -10 3 19 16
14 G B -12 -21 7 28
15 NYJ -9 -3 16 19
16 BUF -12 -10 6 16
17 WAS -5 -11 23 34
--PREDICTION--
W L T PCT.
4 12 0 0.250
--SIMULATION--
W L PCT.
4 12 0.250
1 PREDICTIONS FOR
WEEK 21, 01/26/16
DENVER
WK OPP PRE ACT SCORE
1 BAL 9 6 19 13
2 K C -5 7 31 24
3 DET 4 12 24 12
4 MIN 1 3 23 20
5 OAK 1 6 16 10
6 CLE 9 3 26 23
8 G B 2 19 29 10
9 IND 5 -3 24 27
10 K C -1 -16 13 29
11 CHI 4 2 17 15
12 N E -2 6 30 24
13 S D 3 14 17 3
14 OAK 5 -3 12 15
15 PIT -5 -7 27 34
16 CIN -5 3 20 17
17 S D 8 7 27 20
--PREDICTION--
W L T PCT.
12 4 0 0.750
--SIMULATION--
W L PCT.
12 4 0.750
PREDICTIONS FOR
WEEK 21, 01/26/16
DETROIT
WK OPP PRE ACT SCORE
1 S D -1 -5 28 33
2 MIN -7 -10 16 26
3 DEN -4 -12 12 24
4 SEA -14 -3 10 13
5 ARI -12 -25 17 42
6 CHI 3 3 37 34
7 MIN -4 -9 19 28
8 K C -10 -35 10 45
10 G B -8 2 18 16
11 OAK -1 5 18 13
12 PHI 2 31 45 14
13 G B -3 -4 23 27
14 STL -5 -7 14 21
15 N O -3 8 35 27
16 S F 8 15 32 17
17 CHI -2 4 24 20
--PREDICTION--
W L T PCT.
7 9 0 0.438
--SIMULATION--
W L PCT.
7 9 0.438
1 PREDICTIONS FOR
WEEK 21, 01/26/16
GREEN BAY
WK OPP PRE ACT SCORE
1 CHI 5 8 31 23
2 SEA -5 10 27 17
3 K C -2 10 38 28
4 S F 9 14 17 3
5 STL 4 14 24 10
6 S D 7 7 27 20
8 DEN -2 -19 10 29
9 CAR -11 -8 29 37
10 DET 8 -2 16 18
11 MIN -3 17 30 13
12 CHI 9 -4 13 17
13 DET 3 4 27 23
14 DAL 12 21 28 7
15 OAK -1 10 30 20
16 ARI -11 -30 8 38
17 MIN 2 -7 13 20
--PREDICTION--
W L T PCT.
10 6 0 0.625
--SIMULATION--
W L PCT.
10 6 0.625
PREDICTIONS FOR
WEEK 21, 01/26/16
TENNESSEE
WK OPP PRE ACT SCORE
1 T B -5 28 42 14
2 CLE 1 -14 14 28
3 IND -1 -2 33 35
5 BUF -7 -1 13 14
6 MIA -1 -28 10 38
7 ATL -3 -3 7 10
8 HOU -11 -14 6 20
9 N O -6 6 34 28
10 CAR -16 -17 10 27
11 JAC -5 -6 13 19
12 OAK -4 -3 21 24
13 JAC 1 3 42 39
14 NYJ -14 -22 8 30
15 N E -15 -17 16 33
16 HOU -6 -28 6 34
17 IND -5 -6 24 30
--PREDICTION--
W L T PCT.
3 13 0 0.188
--SIMULATION--
W L PCT.
3 13 0.188
1 PREDICTIONS FOR
WEEK 21, 01/26/16
KANSAS CITY
WK OPP PRE ACT SCORE
1 HOU 2 7 27 20
2 DEN 5 -7 24 31
3 G B 2 -10 28 38
4 CIN -6 -15 21 36
5 CHI 11 -1 17 18
6 MIN 1 -6 10 16
7 PIT 3 10 23 13
8 DET 10 35 45 10
10 DEN 1 16 29 13
11 S D 6 30 33 3
12 BUF 5 8 30 22
13 OAK 3 14 34 20
14 S D 11 7 10 3
15 BAL 8 20 34 14
16 CLE 17 4 17 13
17 OAK 8 6 23 17
--PREDICTION--
W L T PCT.
11 5 0 0.688
--SIMULATION--
W L PCT.
11 5 0.688
PREDICTIONS FOR
WEEK 21, 01/26/16
ST. LOUIS
WK OPP PRE ACT SCORE
1 SEA -8 3 34 31
2 WAS -2 -14 10 24
3 PIT -3 -6 6 12
4 ARI -12 2 24 22
5 G B -4 -14 10 24
7 CLE 10 18 24 6
8 S F 10 21 27 6
9 MIN -5 -3 18 21
10 CHI 6 -24 13 37
11 BAL 3 -3 13 16
12 CIN -12 -24 7 31
13 ARI -8 -24 3 27
14 DET 5 7 21 14
15 T B 6 8 31 23
16 SEA -12 6 23 17
17 S F 5 -3 16 19
--PREDICTION--
W L T PCT.
7 9 0 0.438
--SIMULATION--
W L PCT.
7 9 0.438
1 PREDICTIONS FOR
WEEK 21, 01/26/16
MIAMI
WK OPP PRE ACT SCORE
1 WAS -6 7 17 10
2 JAC -2 -3 20 23
3 BUF -5 -27 14 41
4 NYJ -8 -13 14 27
6 TEN 1 28 38 10
7 HOU -5 18 44 26
8 N E -13 -29 7 36
9 BUF -9 -16 17 33
10 PHI -4 1 20 19
11 DAL 5 -10 14 24
12 NYJ -12 -18 20 38
13 BAL 4 2 15 13
14 NYG -1 -7 24 31
15 S D -4 -16 14 30
16 IND 3 -6 12 18
17 N E -8 10 20 10
--PREDICTION--
W L T PCT.
6 10 0 0.375
--SIMULATION--
W L PCT.
6 10 0.375
PREDICTIONS FOR
WEEK 21, 01/26/16
MINNESOTA
WK OPP PRE ACT SCORE
1 S F 10 -17 3 20
2 DET 7 10 26 16
3 S D 7 17 31 14
4 DEN -1 -3 20 23
6 K C -1 6 16 10
7 DET 4 9 28 19
8 CHI 5 3 23 20
9 STL 5 3 21 18
10 OAK 1 16 30 14
11 G B 3 -17 13 30
12 ATL 2 10 20 10
13 SEA -4 -31 7 38
14 ARI -10 -3 20 23
15 CHI 10 21 38 17
16 NYG 7 32 49 17
17 G B -2 7 20 13
--PREDICTION--
W L T PCT.
11 5 0 0.688
--SIMULATION--
W L PCT.
11 5 0.688
1 PREDICTIONS FOR
WEEK 21, 01/26/16
NEW ENGLAND
WK OPP PRE ACT SCORE
1 PIT 3 7 28 21
2 BUF 2 8 40 32
3 JAC 12 34 51 17
5 DAL 11 24 30 6
6 IND 9 7 34 27
7 NYJ 3 7 30 23
8 MIA 13 29 36 7
9 WAS 8 17 27 10
10 NYG 5 1 27 26
11 BUF 6 7 20 13
12 DEN 2 -6 24 30
13 PHI 11 -7 28 35
14 HOU 1 21 27 6
15 TEN 15 17 33 16
16 NYJ -2 -6 20 26
17 MIA 8 -10 10 20
--PREDICTION--
W L T PCT.
12 4 0 0.750
--SIMULATION--
W L PCT.
12 4 0.750
PREDICTIONS FOR
WEEK 21, 01/26/16
NEW ORLEANS
WK OPP PRE ACT SCORE
1 ARI -14 -12 19 31
2 T B 2 -7 19 26
3 CAR -16 -5 22 27
4 DAL 6 6 26 20
5 PHI -2 -22 17 39
6 ATL 1 10 31 21
7 IND 1 6 27 21
8 NYG 1 3 52 49
9 TEN 6 -6 28 34
10 WAS -5 -33 14 47
12 HOU -7 -18 6 24
13 CAR -12 -3 38 41
14 T B -2 7 24 17
15 DET 3 -8 27 35
16 JAC 4 11 38 27
17 ATL -4 3 20 17
--PREDICTION--
W L T PCT.
7 9 0 0.438
--SIMULATION--
W L PCT.
7 9 0.438
1 PREDICTIONS FOR
WEEK 21, 01/26/16
N.Y. GIANTS
WK OPP PRE ACT SCORE
1 DAL 5 -1 26 27
2 ATL 2 -4 20 24
3 WAS -1 11 32 21
4 BUF -5 14 24 10
5 S F 9 3 30 27
6 PHI -1 -20 7 27
7 DAL 8 7 27 20
8 N O -1 -3 49 52
9 T B 1 14 32 18
10 N E -5 -1 26 27
12 WAS -4 -6 14 20
13 NYJ -4 -3 20 23
14 MIA 1 7 31 24
15 CAR -10 -3 35 38
16 MIN -7 -32 17 49
17 PHI 4 -5 30 35
--PREDICTION--
W L T PCT.
6 10 0 0.375
--SIMULATION--
W L PCT.
6 10 0.375
PREDICTIONS FOR
WEEK 21, 01/26/16
N.Y. JETS
WK OPP PRE ACT SCORE
1 CLE 15 21 31 10
2 IND 8 13 20 7
3 PHI 9 -7 17 24
4 MIA 8 13 27 14
6 WAS 6 14 34 20
7 N E -3 -7 23 30
8 OAK 3 -14 20 34
9 JAC 11 5 28 23
10 BUF 5 -5 17 22
11 HOU 1 -7 17 24
12 MIA 12 18 38 20
13 NYG 4 3 23 20
14 TEN 14 22 30 8
15 DAL 9 3 19 16
16 N E 2 6 26 20
17 BUF -1 -5 17 22
--PREDICTION--
W L T PCT.
10 6 0 0.625
--SIMULATION--
W L PCT.
10 6 0.625
1 PREDICTIONS FOR
WEEK 21, 01/26/16
OAKLAND
WK OPP PRE ACT SCORE
1 CIN -8 -20 13 33
2 BAL 7 4 37 33
3 CLE 8 7 27 20
4 CHI 3 -2 20 22
5 DEN -1 -6 10 16
7 S D 1 8 37 29
8 NYJ -3 14 34 20
9 PIT -6 -3 35 38
10 MIN -1 -16 14 30
11 DET 1 -5 13 18
12 TEN 4 3 24 21
13 K C -3 -14 20 34
14 DEN -5 3 15 12
15 G B 1 -10 20 30
16 S D 6 3 23 20
17 K C -8 -6 17 23
--PREDICTION--
W L T PCT.
7 9 0 0.438
--SIMULATION--
W L PCT.
7 9 0.438
PREDICTIONS FOR
WEEK 21, 01/26/16
PHILADELPHIA
WK OPP PRE ACT SCORE
1 ATL -2 -2 24 26
2 DAL 6 -10 10 20
3 NYJ -9 7 24 17
4 WAS -4 -3 20 23
5 N O 2 22 39 17
6 NYG 1 20 27 7
7 CAR -16 -11 16 27
9 DAL 2 6 33 27
10 MIA 4 -1 19 20
11 T B 3 -28 17 45
12 DET -2 -31 14 45
13 N E -11 7 35 28
14 BUF -2 3 23 20
15 ARI -10 -23 17 40
16 WAS -1 -14 24 38
17 NYG -4 5 35 30
--PREDICTION--
W L T PCT.
7 9 0 0.438
--SIMULATION--
W L PCT.
7 9 0.438
1 PREDICTIONS FOR
WEEK 21, 01/26/16
PITTSBURGH
WK OPP PRE ACT SCORE
1 N E -3 -7 21 28
2 S F 14 25 43 18
3 STL 3 6 12 6
4 BAL 11 -3 20 23
5 S D 6 4 24 20
6 ARI -4 12 25 13
7 K C -3 -10 13 23
8 CIN -4 -6 10 16
9 OAK 6 3 38 35
10 CLE 15 21 30 9
12 SEA -7 -9 30 39
13 IND 11 35 45 10
14 CIN -8 13 33 20
15 DEN 5 7 34 27
16 BAL 7 -3 17 20
17 CLE 10 16 28 12
--PREDICTION--
W L T PCT.
10 6 0 0.625
--SIMULATION--
W L PCT.
10 6 0.625
PREDICTIONS FOR
WEEK 21, 01/26/16
ARIZONA
WK OPP PRE ACT SCORE
1 N O 14 12 31 19
2 CHI 13 25 48 23
3 S F 20 40 47 7
4 STL 12 -2 22 24
5 DET 12 25 42 17
6 PIT 4 -12 13 25
7 BAL 18 8 26 18
8 CLE 17 14 34 20
10 SEA -1 7 39 32
11 CIN 3 3 34 31
12 S F 16 6 19 13
13 STL 8 24 27 3
14 MIN 10 3 23 20
15 PHI 10 23 40 17
16 G B 11 30 38 8
17 SEA 4 -30 6 36
--PREDICTION--
W L T PCT.
13 3 0 0.813
--SIMULATION--
W L PCT.
13 3 0.813
1 PREDICTIONS FOR
WEEK 21, 01/26/16
SAN DIEGO
WK OPP PRE ACT SCORE
1 DET 1 5 33 28
2 CIN -14 -5 19 24
3 MIN -7 -17 14 31
4 CLE 7 3 30 27
5 PIT -6 -4 20 24
6 G B -7 -7 20 27
7 OAK -1 -8 29 37
8 BAL 1 -3 26 29
9 CHI 3 -3 19 22
11 K C -6 -30 3 33
12 JAC -1 6 31 25
13 DEN -3 -14 3 17
14 K C -11 -7 3 10
15 MIA 4 16 30 14
16 OAK -6 -3 20 23
17 DEN -8 -7 20 27
--PREDICTION--
W L T PCT.
4 12 0 0.250
--SIMULATION--
W L PCT.
4 12 0.250
PREDICTIONS FOR
WEEK 21, 01/26/16
S. FRANCISCO
WK OPP PRE ACT SCORE
1 MIN -10 17 20 3
2 PIT -14 -25 18 43
3 ARI -20 -40 7 47
4 G B -9 -14 3 17
5 NYG -9 -3 27 30
6 BAL -1 5 25 20
7 SEA -16 -17 3 20
8 STL -10 -21 6 27
9 ATL -5 1 17 16
11 SEA -20 -16 13 29
12 ARI -16 -6 13 19
13 CHI -7 6 26 20
14 CLE -2 -14 10 24
15 CIN -16 -10 14 24
16 DET -8 -15 17 32
17 STL -5 3 19 16
--PREDICTION--
W L T PCT.
5 11 0 0.313
--SIMULATION--
W L PCT.
5 11 0.313
1 PREDICTIONS FOR
WEEK 21, 01/26/16
SEATTLE
WK OPP PRE ACT SCORE
1 STL 8 -3 31 34
2 G B 5 -10 17 27
3 CHI 15 26 26 0
4 DET 14 3 13 10
5 CIN -2 -3 24 27
6 CAR -1 -4 23 27
7 S F 16 17 20 3
8 DAL 14 1 13 12
10 ARI 1 -7 32 39
11 S F 20 16 29 13
12 PIT 7 9 39 30
13 MIN 4 31 38 7
14 BAL 12 29 35 6
15 CLE 21 17 30 13
16 STL 12 -6 17 23
17 ARI -4 30 36 6
--PREDICTION--
W L T PCT.
10 6 0 0.625
--SIMULATION--
W L PCT.
10 6 0.625
PREDICTIONS FOR
WEEK 21, 01/26/16
TAMPA BAY
WK OPP PRE ACT SCORE
1 TEN 5 -28 14 42
2 N O -2 7 26 19
3 HOU -7 -10 9 19
4 CAR -13 -14 23 37
5 JAC 3 7 38 31
7 WAS -6 -1 30 31
8 ATL -4 3 23 20
9 NYG -1 -14 18 32
10 DAL 6 4 10 6
11 PHI -3 28 45 17
12 IND -1 -13 12 25
13 ATL 1 4 23 19
14 N O 2 -7 17 24
15 STL -6 -8 23 31
16 CHI 4 -5 21 26
17 CAR -18 -28 10 38
--PREDICTION--
W L T PCT.
6 10 0 0.375
--SIMULATION--
W L PCT.
6 10 0.375
1 PREDICTIONS FOR
WEEK 21, 01/26/16
WASHINGTON
WK OPP PRE ACT SCORE
1 MIA 6 -7 10 17
2 STL 2 14 24 10
3 NYG 1 -11 21 32
4 PHI 4 3 23 20
5 ATL 1 -6 19 25
6 NYJ -6 -14 20 34
7 T B 6 1 31 30
9 N E -8 -17 10 27
10 N O 5 33 47 14
11 CAR -13 -28 16 44
12 NYG 4 6 20 14
13 DAL 10 -3 16 19
14 CHI 2 3 24 21
15 BUF 1 10 35 25
16 PHI 1 14 38 24
17 DAL 5 11 34 23
--PREDICTION--
W L T PCT.
9 7 0 0.563
--SIMULATION--
W L PCT.
9 7 0.563
PREDICTIONS FOR
WEEK 21, 01/26/16
CAROLINA
WK OPP PRE ACT SCORE
1 JAC 15 11 20 9
2 HOU 11 7 24 17
3 N O 16 5 27 22
4 T B 13 14 37 23
6 SEA 1 4 27 23
7 PHI 16 11 27 16
8 IND 18 3 29 26
9 G B 11 8 37 29
10 TEN 16 17 27 10
11 WAS 13 28 44 16
12 DAL 16 19 33 14
13 N O 12 3 41 38
14 ATL 16 38 38 0
15 NYG 10 3 38 35
16 ATL 10 -7 13 20
17 T B 18 28 38 10
--PREDICTION--
W L T PCT.
15 1 0 0.938
--SIMULATION--
W L PCT.
15 1 0.938
1 PREDICTIONS FOR
WEEK 21, 01/26/16
JACKSONVILLE
WK OPP PRE ACT SCORE
1 CAR -15 -11 9 20
2 MIA 2 3 23 20
3 N E -12 -34 17 51
4 IND -1 -3 13 16
5 T B -3 -7 31 38
6 HOU -5 -11 20 31
7 BUF -5 3 34 31
9 NYJ -11 -5 23 28
10 BAL -1 2 22 20
11 TEN 5 6 19 13
12 S D 1 -6 25 31
13 TEN -1 -3 39 42
14 IND 3 35 51 16
15 ATL 1 -6 17 23
16 N O -4 -11 27 38
17 HOU -9 -24 6 30
--PREDICTION--
W L T PCT.
5 11 0 0.313
--SIMULATION--
W L PCT.
5 11 0.313
PREDICTIONS FOR
WEEK 21, 01/26/16
CLEVELAND
WK OPP PRE ACT SCORE
1 NYJ -15 -21 10 31
2 TEN -1 14 28 14
3 OAK -8 -7 20 27
4 S D -7 -3 27 30
5 BAL -5 3 33 30
6 DEN -9 -3 23 26
7 STL -10 -18 6 24
8 ARI -17 -14 20 34
9 CIN -21 -21 10 31
10 PIT -15 -21 9 30
12 BAL -1 -6 27 33
13 CIN -16 -34 3 37
14 S F 2 14 24 10
15 SEA -21 -17 13 30
16 K C -17 -4 13 17
17 PIT -10 -16 12 28
--PREDICTION--
W L T PCT.
3 13 0 0.188
--SIMULATION--
W L PCT.
3 13 0.188
1 PREDICTIONS FOR
WEEK 21, 01/26/16
HOUSTON
WK OPP PRE ACT SCORE
1 K C -2 -7 20 27
2 CAR -11 -7 17 24
3 T B 7 10 19 9
4 ATL 2 -27 21 48
5 IND 9 -7 20 27
6 JAC 5 11 31 20
7 MIA 5 -18 26 44
8 TEN 11 14 20 6
10 CIN -9 4 10 6
11 NYJ -1 7 24 17
12 N O 7 18 24 6
13 BUF -2 -9 21 30
14 N E -1 -21 6 27
15 IND 4 6 16 10
16 TEN 6 28 34 6
17 JAC 9 24 30 6
--PREDICTION--
W L T PCT.
9 7 0 0.563
--SIMULATION--
W L PCT.
9 7 0.563
THE MOST LIKELY NFC LEADERS ARE: WASHINGTON ( 9- 7), MINNESOTA (11- 5)
CAROLINA (15- 1) AND ARIZONA (13- 3)
THE MOST LIKELY AFC LEADERS ARE: NEW ENGLAND (12- 4), CINCINNATI (12- 4)
HOUSTON ( 9- 7) AND DENVER (12- 4)
THE MOST LIKELY NFC WILD CARD TEAMS ARE SEATTLE AND GREEN BAY
THE MOST LIKELY AFC WILD CARD TEAMS ARE KANSAS CITY AND PITTSBURGH
THE NFC CHAMPION SHOULD BE CAROLINA. THE AFC CHAMP CINCINNATI.
FAVORED BY 2 POINTS, THE SUPER BOWL CHAMP WILL BE CAROLINA.
OF COURSE ANYTHING CAN HAPPEN IN A PLAYOFF GAME AND INJURIES
AFTER THIS WEEK CAN KNOCK ANY TEAM OUT OF THE BOX. BUT BASED ON
THE STATS TO DATE CAROLINA WILL BE THE SUPER BOWL WINNER.
* COMPUTER SEASON PREDICTIONS ARE MADE FOR TWO CONDITIONS:
THE THIRD LINE SHOWS THE NUMBER OF GAMES WHERE THE TEAM IS
THE PREDICTED 'FAVORITE'. BY DEFINITION THEN THE LEAGUE'S
STRONGEST TEAM WOULD BE PREDICTED TO WIN THE MOST IF NOT ALL
ITS GAMES.
HOWEVER, WE ALL KNOW THAT FAVORITES ARE UPSET 20 TO 25
PERCENT OF THE TIME. SO THE FIRST LINE IS A BETTER ESTIMATE
OF THE SEASON W-L RECORD. THIS FIRST LINE IS BASED ON WHAT
STATISTICIANS CALL A MONTE CARLO SIMULATION-I.E., THE COMPUTER
PLAYS THROUGH THE NFL SCHEDULE 1000 TIMES AND ESTIMATES THE
NUMBER OF WINS TAKING INTO CONSIDERATION POSSIBLE UPSETS.
TEAMS WITHIN DIVISIONS ARE SORTED BY SIMULATED PERCENTAGES.
IN CASE TWO TEAMS ARE TIED IN THE WON/LOSS COLUMN (THIRD LINE)
OR ARE TIED WHEN PICKING WILD CARD TEAMS, THE BEST TEAM WILL
BE THE SIMULATED WINNER OF THE TWO.
BUD GOODE'S SPORTS COMPUTER - P.O. BOX 1567, STUDIO CITY, CALIF. 91604
REPORT 3 NATIONAL FOOTBALL LEAGUE PROJECTED SCORING - 0 WEEK 21 - 01/26/16
Bud Goode Sports Computer, Copyright 2016, All Rights Reserved.
DATA YR 2015 PRED. WEEK 21 PRIOR YR 2014 SCHED YR 2015 WEIGHT = 0.000
TEAMS (MATCHING TEAMS MEET THIS WEEK)
LEAGUE -----------
AVERAGE CAR DEN
------- ----- -----
TOTAL RUSHING PL 26.35 32.88 25.69
OPPONENT TOT.RUS 26.35 22.76 25.50
YARDS PER PASS A 6.42 6.73 6.16
OP.YDS.PER PASS 6.44 5.41 5.11
FUM. LOST THIS Y 0.61 0.57 0.50
OPP.FUMBLES RECO 0.61 0.94 0.82
PASSES HAD INTER 0.86 0.63 1.44
OP.PASSES INTERC 0.86 1.50 0.88
QB SACKS.LOTSA O 2.32 2.07 2.44
OP QB SACKED. OU 2.32 2.75 3.25
YDS GAINED ON RE 80.58 61.82 75.32
OP YDS GAND ON R 80.44 81.57 64.45
PREDICTED POINTS SCORE
OFFENSE 21. 28. 19.
DEFENSE 21. 17. 17.
HOME FIELD ADVANTAGE 0.00
WINNING MARGIN (POINTS) 9.46 *****
ACTUAL POINTS PER GAME
OFFENSE 23. 31. 22.
DEFENSE 23. 19. 19.
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