Predict Report - Weighted
Bud Goode Sports, Copyright 2015, All Rights Reserved.
DATA YR 2015 PRED. WEEK 5 PRIOR YR 2014 SCHED YR 2015
WEIGHT = 0.000
Report 3
PREDICTIONS FOR
WEEK 5, 10/06/15
ATLANTA
WK OPP PRE ACT SCORE
1 PHI 10 2 26 24
2 NYG 5 4 24 20
3 DAL 9 11 39 28
4 HOU 21 27 48 21
5 WAS 13
6 N O 13
7 TEN 6
8 T B 24
9 S F 23
11 IND 18
12 MIN 11
13 T B 19
14 CAR -1
15 JAC 15
16 CAR 5
17 N O 17
--PREDICTION--
W L T PCT.
15 1 0 0.938
--SIMULATION--
W L PCT.
15 1 0.938
PRE = PREDICTED
WINNING
MARGIN
ACT = ACTUAL
WINNING
MARGIN
OPP = OPPONENT
1 PREDICTIONS FOR
WEEK 5, 10/06/15
INDIANAPOLIS
WK OPP PRE ACT SCORE
1 BUF -13 -13 14 27
2 NYJ -13 -13 7 20
3 TEN -9 2 35 33
4 JAC 3 3 16 13
5 HOU 2
6 N E -15
7 N O 1
8 CAR -16
9 DEN -8
11 ATL -18
12 T B 8
13 PIT -13
14 JAC -1
15 HOU 6
16 MIA 1
17 TEN -5
--PREDICTION--
W L T PCT.
7 9 0 0.438
--SIMULATION--
W L PCT.
6 10 0.375
PREDICTIONS FOR
WEEK 5, 10/06/15
BUFFALO
WK OPP PRE ACT SCORE
1 IND 13 13 27 14
2 N E -3 -8 32 40
3 MIA 15 27 41 14
4 NYG 4 -14 10 24
5 TEN 3
6 CIN -8
7 JAC 12
9 MIA 18
10 NYJ -4
11 N E -7
12 K C 14
13 HOU 18
14 PHI 2
15 WAS 5
16 DAL 10
17 NYJ 1
--PREDICTION--
W L T PCT.
11 5 0 0.688
--SIMULATION--
W L PCT.
10 6 0.625
1 PREDICTIONS FOR
WEEK 5, 10/06/15
CHICAGO
WK OPP PRE ACT SCORE
1 G B -21 -8 23 31
2 ARI -27 -25 23 48
3 SEA -14 -26 0 26
4 OAK -10 2 22 20
5 K C -3
6 DET -8
8 MIN -12
9 S D -12
10 STL -14
11 DEN -14
12 G B -24
13 S F 5
14 WAS -8
15 MIN -16
16 T B -3
17 DET -4
--PREDICTION--
W L T PCT.
2 14 0 0.125
--SIMULATION--
W L PCT.
3 13 0.188
PREDICTIONS FOR
WEEK 5, 10/06/15
CINCINNATI
WK OPP PRE ACT SCORE
1 OAK 15 20 33 13
2 S D 20 5 24 19
3 BAL 18 4 28 24
4 K C 28 15 36 21
5 SEA 17
6 BUF 8
8 PIT 9
9 CLE 24
10 HOU 27
11 ARI -2
12 STL 18
13 CLE 20
14 PIT 14
15 S F 28
16 DEN 9
17 BAL 22
--PREDICTION--
W L T PCT.
15 1 0 0.938
--SIMULATION--
W L PCT.
15 1 0.938
1 PREDICTIONS FOR
WEEK 5, 10/06/15
BALTIMORE
WK OPP PRE ACT SCORE
1 DEN -9 -6 13 19
2 OAK -4 -4 33 37
3 CIN -18 -4 24 28
4 PIT -10 3 23 20
5 CLE 5
6 S F 9
7 ARI -21
8 S D 1
10 JAC 6
11 STL -1
12 CLE 1
13 MIA 4
14 SEA -1
15 K C 9
16 PIT -5
17 CIN -22
--PREDICTION--
W L T PCT.
8 8 0 0.500
--SIMULATION--
W L PCT.
7 9 0.438
PREDICTIONS FOR
WEEK 5, 10/06/15
DALLAS
WK OPP PRE ACT SCORE
1 NYG -3 1 27 26
2 PHI -4 10 20 10
3 ATL -9 -11 28 39
4 N O 2 -6 20 26
5 N E -10
7 NYG -6
8 SEA 1
9 PHI -1
10 T B 9
11 MIA 7
12 CAR -6
13 WAS -2
14 G B -13
15 NYJ -6
16 BUF -10
17 WAS 3
--PREDICTION--
W L T PCT.
6 10 0 0.375
--SIMULATION--
W L PCT.
7 9 0.438
1 PREDICTIONS FOR
WEEK 5, 10/06/15
DENVER
WK OPP PRE ACT SCORE
1 BAL 9 6 19 13
2 K C 13 7 31 24
3 DET 9 12 24 12
4 MIN 5 3 23 20
5 OAK 3
6 CLE 9
8 G B -4
9 IND 8
10 K C 17
11 CHI 14
12 N E -4
13 S D 4
14 OAK 8
15 PIT -3
16 CIN -9
17 S D 10
--PREDICTION--
W L T PCT.
12 4 0 0.750
--SIMULATION--
W L PCT.
12 4 0.750
PREDICTIONS FOR
WEEK 5, 10/06/15
DETROIT
WK OPP PRE ACT SCORE
1 S D -4 -5 28 33
2 MIN -8 -10 16 26
3 DEN -9 -12 12 24
4 SEA -7 -3 10 13
5 ARI -20
6 CHI 8
7 MIN -5
8 K C 3
10 G B -18
11 OAK -3
12 PHI -5
13 G B -13
14 STL -8
15 N O -4
16 S F 12
17 CHI 4
--PREDICTION--
W L T PCT.
4 12 0 0.250
--SIMULATION--
W L PCT.
4 12 0.250
1 PREDICTIONS FOR
WEEK 5, 10/06/15
GREEN BAY
WK OPP PRE ACT SCORE
1 CHI 21 8 31 23
2 SEA 11 10 27 17
3 K C 22 10 38 28
4 S F 23 14 17 3
5 STL 12
6 S D 14
8 DEN 4
9 CAR 1
10 DET 18
11 MIN 6
12 CHI 24
13 DET 13
14 DAL 13
15 OAK 8
16 ARI -9
17 MIN 12
--PREDICTION--
W L T PCT.
15 1 0 0.938
--SIMULATION--
W L PCT.
14 2 0.875
PREDICTIONS FOR
WEEK 5, 10/06/15
TENNESSEE
WK OPP PRE ACT SCORE
1 T B 13 28 42 14
2 CLE 7 -14 14 28
3 IND 9 -2 33 35
5 BUF -3
6 MIA 14
7 ATL -6
8 HOU 9
9 N O 4
10 CAR -4
11 JAC 7
12 OAK 5
13 JAC 12
14 NYJ -9
15 N E -11
16 HOU 14
17 IND 5
--PREDICTION--
W L T PCT.
9 7 0 0.563
--SIMULATION--
W L PCT.
9 7 0.563
1 PREDICTIONS FOR
WEEK 5, 10/06/15
KANSAS CITY
WK OPP PRE ACT SCORE
1 HOU -3 7 27 20
2 DEN -13 -7 24 31
3 G B -22 -10 28 38
4 CIN -28 -15 21 36
5 CHI 3
6 MIN -13
7 PIT -13
8 DET -3
10 DEN -17
11 S D -10
12 BUF -14
13 OAK -12
14 S D -5
15 BAL -9
16 CLE -1
17 OAK -7
--PREDICTION--
W L T PCT.
2 14 0 0.125
--SIMULATION--
W L PCT.
3 13 0.188
PREDICTIONS FOR
WEEK 5, 10/06/15
ST. LOUIS
WK OPP PRE ACT SCORE
1 SEA 1 3 34 31
2 WAS -1 -14 10 24
3 PIT -3 -6 6 12
4 ARI -17 2 24 22
5 G B -12
7 CLE 8
8 S F 17
9 MIN -4
10 CHI 14
11 BAL 1
12 CIN -18
13 ARI -13
14 DET 8
15 T B 14
16 SEA -3
17 S F 12
--PREDICTION--
W L T PCT.
9 7 0 0.563
--SIMULATION--
W L PCT.
9 7 0.563
1 PREDICTIONS FOR
WEEK 5, 10/06/15
MIAMI
WK OPP PRE ACT SCORE
1 WAS -10 7 17 10
2 JAC -4 -3 20 23
3 BUF -15 -27 14 41
4 NYJ -16 -13 14 27
6 TEN -14
7 HOU 1
8 N E -22
9 BUF -18
10 PHI -14
11 DAL -7
12 NYJ -20
13 BAL -4
14 NYG -11
15 S D -10
16 IND -1
17 N E -17
--PREDICTION--
W L T PCT.
2 14 0 0.125
--SIMULATION--
W L PCT.
3 13 0.188
PREDICTIONS FOR
WEEK 5, 10/06/15
MINNESOTA
WK OPP PRE ACT SCORE
1 S F 15 -17 3 20
2 DET 8 10 26 16
3 S D 5 17 31 14
4 DEN -5 -3 20 23
6 K C 13
7 DET 5
8 CHI 12
9 STL 4
10 OAK -1
11 G B -6
12 ATL -11
13 SEA 4
14 ARI -17
15 CHI 16
16 NYG 1
17 G B -12
--PREDICTION--
W L T PCT.
9 7 0 0.563
--SIMULATION--
W L PCT.
8 8 0.500
1 PREDICTIONS FOR
WEEK 5, 10/06/15
NEW ENGLAND
WK OPP PRE ACT SCORE
1 PIT 7 7 28 21
2 BUF 3 8 40 32
3 JAC 19 34 51 17
5 DAL 10
6 IND 15
7 NYJ 4
8 MIA 22
9 WAS 14
10 NYG 5
11 BUF 7
12 DEN 4
13 PHI 11
14 HOU 17
15 TEN 11
16 NYJ -1
17 MIA 17
--PREDICTION--
W L T PCT.
15 1 0 0.938
--SIMULATION--
W L PCT.
14 2 0.875
PREDICTIONS FOR
WEEK 5, 10/06/15
NEW ORLEANS
WK OPP PRE ACT SCORE
1 ARI -21 -12 19 31
2 T B 9 -7 19 26
3 CAR -13 -5 22 27
4 DAL -2 6 26 20
5 PHI -8
6 ATL -13
7 IND -1
8 NYG -6
9 TEN -4
10 WAS -5
12 HOU 3
13 CAR -9
14 T B 5
15 DET 4
16 JAC 6
17 ATL -17
--PREDICTION--
W L T PCT.
5 11 0 0.313
--SIMULATION--
W L PCT.
6 10 0.375
1 PREDICTIONS FOR
WEEK 5, 10/06/15
N.Y. GIANTS
WK OPP PRE ACT SCORE
1 DAL 3 -1 26 27
2 ATL -5 -4 20 24
3 WAS 6 11 32 21
4 BUF -4 14 24 10
5 S F 20
6 PHI 1
7 DAL 6
8 N O 6
9 T B 13
10 N E -5
12 WAS 2
13 NYJ -2
14 MIA 11
15 CAR -1
16 MIN -1
17 PHI 5
--PREDICTION--
W L T PCT.
10 6 0 0.625
--SIMULATION--
W L PCT.
10 6 0.625
PREDICTIONS FOR
WEEK 5, 10/06/15
N.Y. JETS
WK OPP PRE ACT SCORE
1 CLE 16 21 31 10
2 IND 13 13 20 7
3 PHI 8 -7 17 24
4 MIA 16 13 27 14
6 WAS 11
7 N E -4
8 OAK 7
9 JAC 18
10 BUF 4
11 HOU 15
12 MIA 20
13 NYG 2
14 TEN 9
15 DAL 6
16 N E 1
17 BUF -1
--PREDICTION--
W L T PCT.
13 3 0 0.813
--SIMULATION--
W L PCT.
12 4 0.750
1 PREDICTIONS FOR
WEEK 5, 10/06/15
OAKLAND
WK OPP PRE ACT SCORE
1 CIN -15 -20 13 33
2 BAL 4 4 37 33
3 CLE 4 7 27 20
4 CHI 10 -2 20 22
5 DEN -3
7 S D 1
8 NYJ -7
9 PIT -7
10 MIN 1
11 DET 3
12 TEN -5
13 K C 12
14 DEN -8
15 G B -8
16 S D 5
17 K C 7
--PREDICTION--
W L T PCT.
8 8 0 0.500
--SIMULATION--
W L PCT.
7 9 0.438
PREDICTIONS FOR
WEEK 5, 10/06/15
PHILADELPHIA
WK OPP PRE ACT SCORE
1 ATL -10 -2 24 26
2 DAL 4 -10 10 20
3 NYJ -8 7 24 17
4 WAS 1 -3 20 23
5 N O 8
6 NYG -1
7 CAR -8
9 DAL 1
10 MIA 14
11 T B 16
12 DET 5
13 N E -11
14 BUF -2
15 ARI -11
16 WAS 6
17 NYG -5
--PREDICTION--
W L T PCT.
7 9 0 0.438
--SIMULATION--
W L PCT.
7 9 0.438
1 PREDICTIONS FOR
WEEK 5, 10/06/15
PITTSBURGH
WK OPP PRE ACT SCORE
1 N E -7 -7 21 28
2 S F 21 25 43 18
3 STL 3 6 12 6
4 BAL 10 -3 20 23
5 S D 5
6 ARI -9
7 K C 13
8 CIN -9
9 OAK 7
10 CLE 13
12 SEA 2
13 IND 13
14 CIN -14
15 DEN 3
16 BAL 5
17 CLE 8
--PREDICTION--
W L T PCT.
11 5 0 0.688
--SIMULATION--
W L PCT.
10 6 0.625
PREDICTIONS FOR
WEEK 5, 10/06/15
ARIZONA
WK OPP PRE ACT SCORE
1 N O 21 12 31 19
2 CHI 27 25 48 23
3 S F 32 40 47 7
4 STL 17 -2 22 24
5 DET 20
6 PIT 9
7 BAL 21
8 CLE 20
10 SEA 13
11 CIN 2
12 S F 28
13 STL 13
14 MIN 17
15 PHI 11
16 G B 9
17 SEA 18
--PREDICTION--
W L T PCT.
15 1 0 0.938
--SIMULATION--
W L PCT.
14 2 0.875
1 PREDICTIONS FOR
WEEK 5, 10/06/15
SAN DIEGO
WK OPP PRE ACT SCORE
1 DET 4 5 33 28
2 CIN -20 -5 19 24
3 MIN -5 -17 14 31
4 CLE 5 3 30 27
5 PIT -5
6 G B -14
7 OAK -1
8 BAL -1
9 CHI 12
11 K C 10
12 JAC 2
13 DEN -4
14 K C 5
15 MIA 10
16 OAK -5
17 DEN -10
--PREDICTION--
W L T PCT.
7 9 0 0.438
--SIMULATION--
W L PCT.
8 8 0.500
PREDICTIONS FOR
WEEK 5, 10/06/15
S. FRANCISCO
WK OPP PRE ACT SCORE
1 MIN -15 17 20 3
2 PIT -21 -25 18 43
3 ARI -32 -40 7 47
4 G B -23 -14 3 17
5 NYG -20
6 BAL -9
7 SEA -13
8 STL -17
9 ATL -23
11 SEA -17
12 ARI -28
13 CHI -5
14 CLE -11
15 CIN -28
16 DET -12
17 STL -12
--PREDICTION--
W L T PCT.
1 15 0 0.063
--SIMULATION--
W L PCT.
2 14 0.125
1 PREDICTIONS FOR
WEEK 5, 10/06/15
SEATTLE
WK OPP PRE ACT SCORE
1 STL -1 -3 31 34
2 G B -11 -10 17 27
3 CHI 14 26 26 0
4 DET 7 3 13 10
5 CIN -17
6 CAR -6
7 S F 13
8 DAL -1
10 ARI -13
11 S F 17
12 PIT -2
13 MIN -4
14 BAL 1
15 CLE 9
16 STL 3
17 ARI -18
--PREDICTION--
W L T PCT.
7 9 0 0.438
--SIMULATION--
W L PCT.
8 8 0.500
PREDICTIONS FOR
WEEK 5, 10/06/15
TAMPA BAY
WK OPP PRE ACT SCORE
1 TEN -13 -28 14 42
2 N O -9 7 26 19
3 HOU -4 -10 9 19
4 CAR -18 -14 23 37
5 JAC -3
7 WAS -13
8 ATL -24
9 NYG -13
10 DAL -9
11 PHI -16
12 IND -8
13 ATL -19
14 N O -5
15 STL -14
16 CHI 3
17 CAR -22
--PREDICTION--
W L T PCT.
2 14 0 0.125
--SIMULATION--
W L PCT.
3 13 0.188
1 PREDICTIONS FOR
WEEK 5, 10/06/15
WASHINGTON
WK OPP PRE ACT SCORE
1 MIA 10 -7 10 17
2 STL 1 14 24 10
3 NYG -6 -11 21 32
4 PHI -1 3 23 20
5 ATL -13
6 NYJ -11
7 T B 13
9 N E -14
10 N O 5
11 CAR -11
12 NYG -2
13 DAL 2
14 CHI 8
15 BUF -5
16 PHI -6
17 DAL -3
--PREDICTION--
W L T PCT.
6 10 0 0.375
--SIMULATION--
W L PCT.
7 9 0.438
PREDICTIONS FOR
WEEK 5, 10/06/15
CAROLINA
WK OPP PRE ACT SCORE
1 JAC 14 11 20 9
2 HOU 18 7 24 17
3 N O 13 5 27 22
4 T B 18 14 37 23
6 SEA 6
7 PHI 8
8 IND 16
9 G B -1
10 TEN 4
11 WAS 11
12 DAL 6
13 N O 9
14 ATL 1
15 NYG 1
16 ATL -5
17 T B 22
--PREDICTION--
W L T PCT.
14 2 0 0.875
--SIMULATION--
W L PCT.
13 3 0.813
1 PREDICTIONS FOR
WEEK 5, 10/06/15
JACKSONVILLE
WK OPP PRE ACT SCORE
1 CAR -14 -11 9 20
2 MIA 4 3 23 20
3 N E -19 -34 17 51
4 IND -3 -3 13 16
5 T B 3
6 HOU 4
7 BUF -12
9 NYJ -18
10 BAL -6
11 TEN -7
12 S D -2
13 TEN -12
14 IND 1
15 ATL -15
16 N O -6
17 HOU -1
--PREDICTION--
W L T PCT.
4 12 0 0.250
--SIMULATION--
W L PCT.
5 11 0.313
PREDICTIONS FOR
WEEK 5, 10/06/15
CLEVELAND
WK OPP PRE ACT SCORE
1 NYJ -16 -21 10 31
2 TEN -7 14 28 14
3 OAK -4 -7 20 27
4 S D -5 -3 27 30
5 BAL -5
6 DEN -9
7 STL -8
8 ARI -20
9 CIN -24
10 PIT -13
12 BAL -1
13 CIN -20
14 S F 11
15 SEA -9
16 K C 1
17 PIT -8
--PREDICTION--
W L T PCT.
3 13 0 0.188
--SIMULATION--
W L PCT.
4 12 0.250
1 PREDICTIONS FOR
WEEK 5, 10/06/15
HOUSTON
WK OPP PRE ACT SCORE
1 K C 3 -7 20 27
2 CAR -18 -7 17 24
3 T B 4 10 19 9
4 ATL -21 -27 21 48
5 IND -2
6 JAC -4
7 MIA -1
8 TEN -9
10 CIN -27
11 NYJ -15
12 N O -3
13 BUF -18
14 N E -17
15 IND -6
16 TEN -14
17 JAC 1
--PREDICTION--
W L T PCT.
2 14 0 0.125
--SIMULATION--
W L PCT.
3 13 0.188
THE MOST LIKELY NFC LEADERS ARE: N.Y. GIANTS (10- 6), GREEN BAY (14- 2)
ATLANTA (15- 1) AND ARIZONA (14- 2)
THE MOST LIKELY AFC LEADERS ARE: NEW ENGLAND (14- 2), CINCINNATI (15- 1)
TENNESSEE ( 9- 7) AND DENVER (12- 4)
THE MOST LIKELY NFC WILD CARD TEAMS ARE CAROLINA AND ST. LOUIS.
THE MOST LIKELY AFC WILD CARD TEAMS ARE N.Y. JETS AND BUFFALO.
THE NFC CHAMPION SHOULD BE ATLANTA. THE AFC CHAMP CINCINNATI.
FAVORED BY 6 POINTS, THE SUPER BOWL CHAMP WILL BE CINCINNATI.
OF COURSE ANYTHING CAN HAPPEN IN A PLAYOFF GAME AND INJURIES
AFTER THIS WEEK CAN KNOCK ANY TEAM OUT OF THE BOX. BUT BASED ON
THE STATS TO DATE CINCINNATI WILL BE THE SUPER BOWL WINNER.
* COMPUTER SEASON PREDICTIONS ARE MADE FOR TWO CONDITIONS:
THE THIRD LINE SHOWS THE NUMBER OF GAMES WHERE THE TEAM IS
THE PREDICTED 'FAVORITE'. BY DEFINITION THEN THE LEAGUE'S
STRONGEST TEAM WOULD BE PREDICTED TO WIN THE MOST IF NOT ALL
ITS GAMES.
HOWEVER, WE ALL KNOW THAT FAVORITES ARE UPSET 20 TO 25
PERCENT OF THE TIME. SO THE FIRST LINE IS A BETTER ESTIMATE
OF THE SEASON W-L RECORD. THIS FIRST LINE IS BASED ON WHAT
STATISTICIANS CALL A MONTE CARLO SIMULATION-I.E., THE COMPUTER
PLAYS THROUGH THE NFL SCHEDULE 1000 TIMES AND ESTIMATES THE
NUMBER OF WINS TAKING INTO CONSIDERATION POSSIBLE UPSETS.
TEAMS WITHIN DIVISIONS ARE SORTED BY SIMULATED PERCENTAGES.
IN CASE TWO TEAMS ARE TIED IN THE WON/LOSS COLUMN (THIRD LINE)
OR ARE TIED WHEN PICKING WILD CARD TEAMS, THE BEST TEAM WILL
BE THE SIMULATED WINNER OF THE TWO.
Copyright 2012, BudGoodeSports.com. All rights reserved.
|
