Predict Report - Weighted
Conference Championships
o at ATL favored over GB by 7.5
o at NE favored over PIT by 9
Bud Goode Sports Computer, Copyright 2017, All Rights Reserved.
DATA YR 2016 PRED. WEEK 19 PRIOR YR 2015 SCHED YR 2016
WEIGHT = 0.000
Report 3
PREDICTIONS FOR
WEEK 19, 01/17/17
ATLANTA
WK OPP PRE ACT SCORE
1 T B 8 -7 24 31
2 OAK 4 7 35 28
3 N O 4 13 45 32
4 CAR 9 15 48 33
5 DEN 4 7 23 16
6 SEA 4 -2 24 26
7 S D 8 -3 30 33
8 G B 6 1 33 32
9 T B 5 15 43 28
10 PHI 4 -9 15 24
12 ARI 6 19 38 19
13 K C 6 -1 28 29
14 L A 15 28 42 14
15 S F 18 28 41 13
16 CAR 5 17 33 16
17 N O 8 6 38 32
--PREDICTION--
W L T PCT.
11 5 0 0.688
--SIMULATION--
W L PCT.
11 5 0.688
PRE = PREDICTED
WINNING
MARGIN
ACT = ACTUAL
WINNING
MARGIN
OPP = OPPONENT
1 PREDICTIONS FOR
WEEK 19, 01/17/17
INDIANAPOLIS
WK OPP PRE ACT SCORE
1 DET 5 -4 35 39
2 DEN -2 -14 20 34
3 S D 2 4 26 22
4 JAC 4 -3 27 30
5 CHI 8 6 29 23
6 HOU 3 -3 23 26
7 TEN -3 8 34 26
8 K C -1 -16 14 30
9 G B -3 5 31 26
11 TEN 1 7 24 17
12 PIT -1 -21 7 28
13 NYJ 7 31 41 10
14 HOU 7 -5 17 22
15 MIN -4 28 34 6
16 OAK -3 -8 25 33
17 JAC 8 4 24 20
--PREDICTION--
W L T PCT.
8 8 0 0.500
--SIMULATION--
W L PCT.
8 8 0.500
PREDICTIONS FOR
WEEK 19, 01/17/17
BUFFALO
WK OPP PRE ACT SCORE
1 BAL 4 -6 7 13
2 NYJ 13 -6 31 37
3 ARI 1 15 33 18
4 N E -9 16 16 0
5 L A 12 11 30 19
6 S F 13 29 45 16
7 MIA 1 -3 25 28
8 N E -6 -16 25 41
9 SEA -1 -6 25 31
11 CIN -1 4 16 12
12 JAC 9 7 28 21
13 OAK -1 -14 24 38
14 PIT 1 -7 20 27
15 CLE 18 20 33 13
16 MIA 5 -3 31 34
17 NYJ 8 -20 10 30
--PREDICTION--
W L T PCT.
7 9 0 0.438
--SIMULATION--
W L PCT.
7 9 0.438
1 PREDICTIONS FOR
WEEK 19, 01/17/17
CHICAGO
WK OPP PRE ACT SCORE
1 HOU -3 -9 14 23
2 PHI -4 -15 14 29
3 DAL -14 -14 17 31
4 DET -1 3 17 14
5 IND -8 -6 23 29
6 JAC 1 -1 16 17
7 G B -10 -16 10 26
8 MIN -5 10 20 10
10 T B -8 -26 10 36
11 NYG -11 -6 16 22
12 TEN -5 -6 21 27
13 S F 5 20 26 6
14 DET -5 -3 17 20
15 G B -5 -3 27 30
16 WAS -2 -20 21 41
17 MIN -10 -28 10 38
--PREDICTION--
W L T PCT.
3 13 0 0.188
--SIMULATION--
W L PCT.
3 13 0.188
PREDICTIONS FOR
WEEK 19, 01/17/17
CINCINNATI
WK OPP PRE ACT SCORE
1 NYJ 8 1 23 22
2 PIT -5 -8 16 24
3 DEN 1 -12 17 29
4 MIA 2 15 22 7
5 DAL -8 -14 14 28
6 N E -11 -18 17 35
7 CLE 15 14 31 17
8 WAS 4 0 27 27
10 NYG -5 -1 20 21
11 BUF 1 -4 12 16
12 BAL 1 -5 14 19
13 PHI 3 18 32 14
14 CLE 11 13 23 10
15 PIT -1 -4 20 24
16 HOU 2 -2 10 12
17 BAL 6 17 27 10
--PREDICTION--
W L T PCT.
6 9 1 0.406
--SIMULATION--
W L PCT.
6 10 0.375
1 PREDICTIONS FOR
WEEK 19, 01/17/17
BALTIMORE
WK OPP PRE ACT SCORE
1 BUF -4 6 13 7
2 CLE 8 5 25 20
3 JAC 1 2 19 17
4 OAK -2 -1 27 28
5 WAS -1 -6 10 16
6 NYG -7 -4 23 27
7 NYJ 4 -8 16 24
9 PIT -5 7 21 14
10 CLE 12 21 28 7
11 DAL -12 -10 17 27
12 CIN -1 5 19 14
13 MIA -1 32 38 6
14 N E -15 -7 23 30
15 PHI -1 1 27 26
16 PIT -10 -4 27 31
17 CIN -6 -17 10 27
--PREDICTION--
W L T PCT.
8 8 0 0.500
--SIMULATION--
W L PCT.
8 8 0.500
PREDICTIONS FOR
WEEK 19, 01/17/17
DALLAS
WK OPP PRE ACT SCORE
1 NYG 5 -1 19 20
2 WAS 6 4 27 23
3 CHI 14 14 31 17
4 S F 14 7 24 17
5 CIN 8 14 28 14
6 G B 3 14 30 16
8 PHI 9 6 29 23
9 CLE 17 25 35 10
10 PIT 1 5 35 30
11 BAL 12 10 27 17
12 WAS 10 5 31 26
13 MIN 3 2 17 15
14 NYG 1 -3 7 10
15 T B 10 6 26 20
16 DET 13 21 42 21
17 PHI 4 -14 13 27
--PREDICTION--
W L T PCT.
13 3 0 0.813
--SIMULATION--
W L PCT.
13 3 0.813
1 PREDICTIONS FOR
WEEK 19, 01/17/17
DENVER
WK OPP PRE ACT SCORE
1 CAR 3 1 21 20
2 IND 2 14 34 20
3 CIN -1 12 29 17
4 T B -1 20 27 7
5 ATL -4 -7 16 23
6 S D -1 -8 13 21
7 HOU 7 18 27 9
8 S D 3 8 27 19
9 OAK -2 -10 20 30
10 N O -2 2 25 23
12 K C 1 -3 27 30
13 JAC 3 10 20 10
14 TEN -3 -3 10 13
15 N E -6 -13 3 16
16 K C -4 -23 10 33
17 OAK 3 18 24 6
--PREDICTION--
W L T PCT.
9 7 0 0.563
--SIMULATION--
W L PCT.
9 7 0.563
PREDICTIONS FOR
WEEK 19, 01/17/17
DETROIT
WK OPP PRE ACT SCORE
1 IND -5 4 39 35
2 TEN -4 -1 15 16
3 G B -7 -7 27 34
4 CHI 1 -3 14 17
5 PHI -2 1 24 23
6 L A 10 3 31 28
7 WAS -1 3 20 17
8 HOU -1 -7 13 20
9 MIN -7 6 22 16
11 JAC 4 7 26 19
12 MIN -2 3 16 13
13 N O -7 15 28 13
14 CHI 5 3 20 17
15 NYG -9 -11 6 17
16 DAL -13 -21 21 42
17 G B -2 -7 24 31
--PREDICTION--
W L T PCT.
9 7 0 0.563
--SIMULATION--
W L PCT.
9 7 0.563
1 PREDICTIONS FOR
WEEK 19, 01/17/17
GREEN BAY
WK OPP PRE ACT SCORE
1 JAC 5 4 27 23
2 MIN -1 -3 14 17
3 DET 7 7 34 27
5 NYG 1 7 23 16
6 DAL -3 -14 16 30
7 CHI 10 16 26 10
8 ATL -6 -1 32 33
9 IND 3 -5 26 31
10 TEN -2 -22 25 47
11 WAS 1 -18 24 42
12 PHI -1 14 27 13
13 HOU 8 8 21 13
14 SEA 4 28 38 10
15 CHI 5 3 30 27
16 MIN 3 13 38 25
17 DET 2 7 31 24
--PREDICTION--
W L T PCT.
10 6 0 0.625
--SIMULATION--
W L PCT.
10 6 0.625
PREDICTIONS FOR
WEEK 19, 01/17/17
TENNESSEE
WK OPP PRE ACT SCORE
1 MIN 2 -9 16 25
2 DET 4 1 16 15
3 OAK 2 -7 10 17
4 HOU 4 -7 20 27
5 MIA 1 13 30 17
6 CLE 16 2 28 26
7 IND 3 -8 26 34
8 JAC 8 14 36 22
9 S D -1 -8 35 43
10 G B 2 22 47 25
11 IND -1 -7 17 24
12 CHI 5 6 27 21
14 DEN 3 3 13 10
15 K C -4 2 19 17
16 JAC 4 -21 17 38
17 HOU 9 7 24 17
--PREDICTION--
W L T PCT.
9 7 0 0.563
--SIMULATION--
W L PCT.
9 7 0.563
1 PREDICTIONS FOR
WEEK 19, 01/17/17
KANSAS CITY
WK OPP PRE ACT SCORE
1 S D 4 6 33 27
2 HOU 5 -7 12 19
3 NYJ 13 21 24 3
4 PIT -3 -29 14 43
6 OAK -1 16 26 10
7 N O 4 6 27 21
8 IND 1 16 30 14
9 JAC 9 5 19 14
10 CAR 2 3 20 17
11 T B 5 -2 17 19
12 DEN -1 3 30 27
13 ATL -6 1 29 28
14 OAK 4 8 21 13
15 TEN 4 -2 17 19
16 DEN 4 23 33 10
17 S D -1 10 37 27
--PREDICTION--
W L T PCT.
12 4 0 0.750
--SIMULATION--
W L PCT.
12 4 0.750
PREDICTIONS FOR
WEEK 19, 01/17/17
L. A. RAMS
WK OPP PRE ACT SCORE
1 S F -4 -28 0 28
2 SEA -11 6 9 3
3 T B -12 5 37 32
4 ARI -16 4 17 13
5 BUF -12 -11 19 30
6 DET -10 -3 28 31
7 NYG -12 -7 10 17
9 CAR -8 -3 10 13
10 NYJ -5 3 9 6
11 MIA -9 -4 10 14
12 N O -15 -28 21 49
13 N E -24 -16 10 26
14 ATL -15 -28 14 42
15 SEA -15 -21 3 24
16 S F 1 -1 21 22
17 ARI -11 -38 6 44
--PREDICTION--
W L T PCT.
4 12 0 0.250
--SIMULATION--
W L PCT.
4 12 0.250
1 PREDICTIONS FOR
WEEK 19, 01/17/17
MIAMI
WK OPP PRE ACT SCORE
1 SEA -2 -2 10 12
2 N E -11 -7 24 31
3 CLE 14 6 30 24
4 CIN -2 -15 7 22
5 TEN -1 -13 17 30
6 PIT -3 15 30 15
7 BUF -1 3 28 25
9 NYJ 11 4 27 23
10 S D -2 7 31 24
11 L A 9 4 14 10
12 S F 11 7 31 24
13 BAL 1 -32 6 38
14 ARI -1 3 26 23
15 NYJ 6 21 34 13
16 BUF -5 3 34 31
17 N E -7 -21 14 35
--PREDICTION--
W L T PCT.
10 6 0 0.625
--SIMULATION--
W L PCT.
10 6 0.625
PREDICTIONS FOR
WEEK 19, 01/17/17
MINNESOTA
WK OPP PRE ACT SCORE
1 TEN -2 9 25 16
2 G B 1 3 17 14
3 CAR 1 12 22 10
4 NYG 1 14 24 10
5 HOU 7 18 31 13
7 PHI -1 -11 10 21
8 CHI 5 -10 10 20
9 DET 7 -6 16 22
10 WAS 1 -6 20 26
11 ARI 1 6 30 24
12 DET 2 -3 13 16
13 DAL -3 -2 15 17
14 JAC 3 9 25 16
15 IND 4 -28 6 34
16 G B -3 -13 25 38
17 CHI 10 28 38 10
--PREDICTION--
W L T PCT.
8 8 0 0.500
--SIMULATION--
W L PCT.
8 8 0.500
1 PREDICTIONS FOR
WEEK 19, 01/17/17
NEW ENGLAND
WK OPP PRE ACT SCORE
1 ARI 6 2 23 21
2 MIA 11 7 31 24
3 HOU 15 27 27 0
4 BUF 9 -16 0 16
5 CLE 21 20 33 13
6 CIN 11 18 35 17
7 PIT 4 11 27 16
8 BUF 6 16 41 25
10 SEA 11 -7 24 31
11 S F 16 13 30 17
12 NYJ 16 5 22 17
13 L A 24 16 26 10
14 BAL 15 7 30 23
15 DEN 6 13 16 3
16 NYJ 21 38 41 3
17 MIA 7 21 35 14
--PREDICTION--
W L T PCT.
14 2 0 0.875
--SIMULATION--
W L PCT.
14 2 0.875
PREDICTIONS FOR
WEEK 19, 01/17/17
NEW ORLEANS
WK OPP PRE ACT SCORE
1 OAK 1 -1 34 35
2 NYG -3 -3 13 16
3 ATL -4 -13 32 45
4 S D -1 1 35 34
6 CAR 4 3 41 38
7 K C -4 -6 21 27
8 SEA 2 5 25 20
9 S F 8 18 41 23
10 DEN 2 -2 23 25
11 CAR -1 -3 20 23
12 L A 15 28 49 21
13 DET 7 -15 13 28
14 T B -1 -5 11 16
15 ARI -5 7 48 41
16 T B 4 7 31 24
17 ATL -8 -6 32 38
--PREDICTION--
W L T PCT.
7 9 0 0.438
--SIMULATION--
W L PCT.
7 9 0.438
1 PREDICTIONS FOR
WEEK 19, 01/17/17
N.Y. GIANTS
WK OPP PRE ACT SCORE
1 DAL -5 1 20 19
2 N O 3 3 16 13
3 WAS 5 -2 27 29
4 MIN -1 -14 10 24
5 G B -1 -7 16 23
6 BAL 7 4 27 23
7 L A 12 7 17 10
9 PHI 5 5 28 23
10 CIN 5 1 21 20
11 CHI 11 6 22 16
12 CLE 13 14 27 13
13 PIT -4 -10 14 24
14 DAL -1 3 10 7
15 DET 9 11 17 6
16 PHI 1 -5 19 24
17 WAS 1 9 19 10
--PREDICTION--
W L T PCT.
11 5 0 0.688
--SIMULATION--
W L PCT.
11 5 0.688
PREDICTIONS FOR
WEEK 19, 01/17/17
N.Y. JETS
WK OPP PRE ACT SCORE
1 CIN -8 -1 22 23
2 BUF -13 6 37 31
3 K C -13 -21 3 24
4 SEA -8 -10 17 27
5 PIT -15 -18 13 31
6 ARI -13 -25 3 28
7 BAL -4 8 24 16
8 CLE 2 3 31 28
9 MIA -11 -4 23 27
10 L A 5 -3 6 9
12 N E -16 -5 17 22
13 IND -7 -31 10 41
14 S F -3 6 23 17
15 MIA -6 -21 13 34
16 N E -21 -38 3 41
17 BUF -8 20 30 10
--PREDICTION--
W L T PCT.
5 11 0 0.313
--SIMULATION--
W L PCT.
5 11 0.313
1 PREDICTIONS FOR
WEEK 19, 01/17/17
OAKLAND
WK OPP PRE ACT SCORE
1 N O -1 1 35 34
2 ATL -4 -7 28 35
3 TEN -2 7 17 10
4 BAL 2 1 28 27
5 S D 3 3 34 31
6 K C 1 -16 10 26
7 JAC 4 17 33 16
8 T B -1 6 30 24
9 DEN 2 10 30 20
11 HOU 7 7 27 20
12 CAR 4 3 35 32
13 BUF 1 14 38 24
14 K C -4 -8 13 21
15 S D -2 3 19 16
16 IND 3 8 33 25
17 DEN -3 -18 6 24
--PREDICTION--
W L T PCT.
12 4 0 0.750
--SIMULATION--
W L PCT.
12 4 0.750
PREDICTIONS FOR
WEEK 19, 01/17/17
PHILADELPHIA
WK OPP PRE ACT SCORE
1 CLE 14 19 29 10
2 CHI 4 15 29 14
3 PIT -3 31 34 3
5 DET 2 -1 23 24
6 WAS -1 -7 20 27
7 MIN 1 11 21 10
8 DAL -9 -6 23 29
9 NYG -5 -5 23 28
10 ATL -4 9 24 15
11 SEA -3 -11 15 26
12 G B 1 -14 13 27
13 CIN -3 -18 14 32
14 WAS 4 -5 22 27
15 BAL 1 -1 26 27
16 NYG -1 5 24 19
17 DAL -4 14 27 13
--PREDICTION--
W L T PCT.
7 9 0 0.438
--SIMULATION--
W L PCT.
7 9 0.438
1 PREDICTIONS FOR
WEEK 19, 01/17/17
PITTSBURGH
WK OPP PRE ACT SCORE
1 WAS 4 22 38 16
2 CIN 5 8 24 16
3 PHI 3 -31 3 34
4 K C 3 29 43 14
5 NYJ 15 18 31 13
6 MIA 3 -15 15 30
7 N E -4 -11 16 27
9 BAL 5 -7 14 21
10 DAL -1 -5 30 35
11 CLE 15 15 24 9
12 IND 1 21 28 7
13 NYG 4 10 24 14
14 BUF -1 7 27 20
15 CIN 1 4 24 20
16 BAL 10 4 31 27
17 CLE 20 3 27 24
--PREDICTION--
W L T PCT.
11 5 0 0.688
--SIMULATION--
W L PCT.
11 5 0.688
PREDICTIONS FOR
WEEK 19, 01/17/17
ARIZONA
WK OPP PRE ACT SCORE
1 N E -6 -2 21 23
2 T B 4 33 40 7
3 BUF -1 -15 18 33
4 L A 16 -4 13 17
5 S F 10 12 33 21
6 NYJ 13 25 28 3
7 SEA 4 0 6 6
8 CAR 2 -10 20 30
10 S F 14 3 23 20
11 MIN -1 -6 24 30
12 ATL -6 -19 19 38
13 WAS 6 8 31 23
14 MIA 1 -3 23 26
15 N O 5 -7 41 48
16 SEA -1 3 34 31
17 L A 11 38 44 6
--PREDICTION--
W L T PCT.
7 8 1 0.469
--SIMULATION--
W L PCT.
7 9 0.438
1 PREDICTIONS FOR
WEEK 19, 01/17/17
SAN DIEGO
WK OPP PRE ACT SCORE
1 K C -4 -6 27 33
2 JAC 6 24 38 14
3 IND -2 -4 22 26
4 N O 1 -1 34 35
5 OAK -3 -3 31 34
6 DEN 1 8 21 13
7 ATL -8 3 33 30
8 DEN -3 -8 19 27
9 TEN 1 8 43 35
10 MIA 2 -7 24 31
12 HOU 1 8 21 13
13 T B 3 -7 21 28
14 CAR -2 -12 16 28
15 OAK 2 -3 16 19
16 CLE 10 -3 17 20
17 K C 1 -10 27 37
--PREDICTION--
W L T PCT.
5 11 0 0.313
--SIMULATION--
W L PCT.
5 11 0.313
PREDICTIONS FOR
WEEK 19, 01/17/17
S. FRANCISCO
WK OPP PRE ACT SCORE
1 L A 4 28 28 0
2 CAR -9 -19 27 46
3 SEA -11 -19 18 37
4 DAL -14 -7 17 24
5 ARI -10 -12 21 33
6 BUF -13 -29 16 45
7 T B -7 -17 17 34
9 N O -8 -18 23 41
10 ARI -14 -3 20 23
11 N E -16 -13 17 30
12 MIA -11 -7 24 31
13 CHI -5 -20 6 26
14 NYJ 3 -6 17 23
15 ATL -18 -28 13 41
16 L A -1 1 22 21
17 SEA -6 -2 23 25
--PREDICTION--
W L T PCT.
2 14 0 0.125
--SIMULATION--
W L PCT.
2 14 0.125
1 PREDICTIONS FOR
WEEK 19, 01/17/17
SEATTLE
WK OPP PRE ACT SCORE
1 MIA 2 2 12 10
2 L A 11 -6 3 9
3 S F 11 19 37 18
4 NYJ 8 10 27 17
6 ATL -4 2 26 24
7 ARI -4 0 6 6
8 N O -2 -5 20 25
9 BUF 1 6 31 25
10 N E -11 7 31 24
11 PHI 3 11 26 15
12 T B -1 -9 5 14
13 CAR 4 33 40 7
14 G B -4 -28 10 38
15 L A 15 21 24 3
16 ARI 1 -3 31 34
17 S F 6 2 25 23
--PREDICTION--
W L T PCT.
10 5 1 0.656
--SIMULATION--
W L PCT.
10 6 0.625
PREDICTIONS FOR
WEEK 19, 01/17/17
TAMPA BAY
WK OPP PRE ACT SCORE
1 ATL -8 7 31 24
2 ARI -4 -33 7 40
3 L A 12 -5 32 37
4 DEN 1 -20 7 27
5 CAR -1 3 17 14
7 S F 7 17 34 17
8 OAK 1 -6 24 30
9 ATL -5 -15 28 43
10 CHI 8 26 36 10
11 K C -5 2 19 17
12 SEA 1 9 14 5
13 S D -3 7 28 21
14 N O 1 5 16 11
15 DAL -10 -6 20 26
16 N O -4 -7 24 31
17 CAR 4 1 17 16
--PREDICTION--
W L T PCT.
9 7 0 0.563
--SIMULATION--
W L PCT.
9 7 0.563
1 PREDICTIONS FOR
WEEK 19, 01/17/17
WASHINGTON
WK OPP PRE ACT SCORE
1 PIT -4 -22 16 38
2 DAL -6 -4 23 27
3 NYG -5 2 29 27
4 CLE 13 11 31 20
5 BAL 1 6 16 10
6 PHI 1 7 27 20
7 DET 1 -3 17 20
8 CIN -4 0 27 27
10 MIN -1 6 26 20
11 G B -1 18 42 24
12 DAL -10 -5 26 31
13 ARI -6 -8 23 31
14 PHI -4 5 27 22
15 CAR 3 -11 15 26
16 CHI 2 20 41 21
17 NYG -1 -9 10 19
--PREDICTION--
W L T PCT.
8 7 1 0.531
--SIMULATION--
W L PCT.
8 8 0.500
PREDICTIONS FOR
WEEK 19, 01/17/17
CAROLINA
WK OPP PRE ACT SCORE
1 DEN -3 -1 20 21
2 S F 9 19 46 27
3 MIN -1 -12 10 22
4 ATL -9 -15 33 48
5 T B 1 -3 14 17
6 N O -4 -3 38 41
8 ARI -2 10 30 20
9 L A 8 3 13 10
10 K C -2 -3 17 20
11 N O 1 3 23 20
12 OAK -4 -3 32 35
13 SEA -4 -33 7 40
14 S D 2 12 28 16
15 WAS -3 11 26 15
16 ATL -5 -17 16 33
17 T B -4 -1 16 17
--PREDICTION--
W L T PCT.
6 10 0 0.375
--SIMULATION--
W L PCT.
6 10 0.375
1 PREDICTIONS FOR
WEEK 19, 01/17/17
JACKSONVILLE
WK OPP PRE ACT SCORE
1 G B -5 -4 23 27
2 S D -6 -24 14 38
3 BAL -1 -2 17 19
4 IND -4 3 30 27
6 CHI -1 1 17 16
7 OAK -4 -17 16 33
8 TEN -8 -14 22 36
9 K C -9 -5 14 19
10 HOU 2 -3 21 24
11 DET -4 -7 19 26
12 BUF -9 -7 21 28
13 DEN -3 -10 10 20
14 MIN -3 -9 16 25
15 HOU -3 -1 20 21
16 TEN -4 21 38 17
17 IND -8 -4 20 24
--PREDICTION--
W L T PCT.
3 13 0 0.188
--SIMULATION--
W L PCT.
3 13 0.188
PREDICTIONS FOR
WEEK 19, 01/17/17
CLEVELAND
WK OPP PRE ACT SCORE
1 PHI -14 -19 10 29
2 BAL -8 -5 20 25
3 MIA -14 -6 24 30
4 WAS -13 -11 20 31
5 N E -21 -20 13 33
6 TEN -16 -2 26 28
7 CIN -15 -14 17 31
8 NYJ -2 -3 28 31
9 DAL -17 -25 10 35
10 BAL -12 -21 7 28
11 PIT -15 -15 9 24
12 NYG -13 -14 13 27
14 CIN -11 -13 10 23
15 BUF -18 -20 13 33
16 S D -10 3 20 17
17 PIT -20 -3 24 27
--PREDICTION--
W L T PCT.
1 15 0 0.063
--SIMULATION--
W L PCT.
1 15 0.063
1 PREDICTIONS FOR
WEEK 19, 01/17/17
HOUSTON
WK OPP PRE ACT SCORE
1 CHI 3 9 23 14
2 K C -5 7 19 12
3 N E -15 -27 0 27
4 TEN -4 7 27 20
5 MIN -7 -18 13 31
6 IND -3 3 26 23
7 DEN -7 -18 9 27
8 DET 1 7 20 13
10 JAC -2 3 24 21
11 OAK -7 -7 20 27
12 S D -1 -8 13 21
13 G B -8 -8 13 21
14 IND -7 5 22 17
15 JAC 3 1 21 20
16 CIN -2 2 12 10
17 TEN -9 -7 17 24
--PREDICTION--
W L T PCT.
9 7 0 0.563
--SIMULATION--
W L PCT.
9 7 0.563
THE MOST LIKELY NFC LEADERS ARE: DALLAS (13- 3), GREEN BAY (10- 6)
ATLANTA (11- 5) AND SEATTLE (10- 6)
THE MOST LIKELY AFC LEADERS ARE: NEW ENGLAND (14- 2), PITTSBURGH (11- 5)
TENNESSEE ( 9- 7) AND KANSAS CITY (12- 4)
THE MOST LIKELY NFC WILD CARD TEAMS ARE N.Y. GIANTS AND TAMPA BAY
THE MOST LIKELY AFC WILD CARD TEAMS ARE OAKLAND AND MIAMI
THE NFC CHAMPION SHOULD BE DALLAS. THE AFC CHAMP NEW ENGLAND.
FAVORED BY 3 POINTS, THE SUPER BOWL CHAMP WILL BE NEW ENGLAND.
OF COURSE ANYTHING CAN HAPPEN IN A PLAYOFF GAME AND INJURIES
AFTER THIS WEEK CAN KNOCK ANY TEAM OUT OF THE BOX. BUT BASED ON
THE STATS TO DATE NEW ENGLAND WILL BE THE SUPER BOWL WINNER.
* COMPUTER SEASON PREDICTIONS ARE MADE FOR TWO CONDITIONS:
THE THIRD LINE SHOWS THE NUMBER OF GAMES WHERE THE TEAM IS
THE PREDICTED 'FAVORITE'. BY DEFINITION THEN THE LEAGUE'S
STRONGEST TEAM WOULD BE PREDICTED TO WIN THE MOST IF NOT ALL
ITS GAMES.
HOWEVER, WE ALL KNOW THAT FAVORITES ARE UPSET 20 TO 25
PERCENT OF THE TIME. SO THE FIRST LINE IS A BETTER ESTIMATE
OF THE SEASON W-L RECORD. THIS FIRST LINE IS BASED ON WHAT
STATISTICIANS CALL A MONTE CARLO SIMULATION-I.E., THE COMPUTER
PLAYS THROUGH THE NFL SCHEDULE 1000 TIMES AND ESTIMATES THE
NUMBER OF WINS TAKING INTO CONSIDERATION POSSIBLE UPSETS.
TEAMS WITHIN DIVISIONS ARE SORTED BY SIMULATED PERCENTAGES.
IN CASE TWO TEAMS ARE TIED IN THE WON/LOSS COLUMN (THIRD LINE)
OR ARE TIED WHEN PICKING WILD CARD TEAMS, THE BEST TEAM WILL
BE THE SIMULATED WINNER OF THE TWO.
BUD GOODE'S SPORTS COMPUTER - P.O. BOX 1567, STUDIO CITY, CALIF. 91604
REPORT 3 NATIONAL FOOTBALL LEAGUE PROJECTED SCORING - 0 WEEK 19 - 01/17/17
Bud Goode Sports Computer, Copyright 2017, All Rights Reserved.
DATA YR 2016 PRED. WEEK 19 PRIOR YR 2015 SCHED YR 2016 WEIGHT = 0.000
TEAMS (MATCHING TEAMS MEET THIS WEEK)
LEAGUE ----------- -----------
AVERAGE G B ATL PIT N E
------- ----- ----- ----- -----
TOTAL RUSHING PL 26.02 23.38 26.32 25.57 30.13
OPPONENT TOT.RUS 26.02 23.51 23.13 23.07 23.01
YARDS PER PASS A 6.38 6.42 8.24 6.82 7.51
OP.YDS.PER PASS 6.38 7.06 6.20 6.19 6.05
FUM. LOST THIS Y 0.56 0.57 0.26 0.19 0.57
OPP.FUMBLES RECO 0.56 0.50 0.63 0.63 0.63
PASSES HAD INTER 0.82 0.50 0.44 0.94 0.13
OP.PASSES INTERC 0.82 1.07 0.76 0.82 0.82
QB SACKS.LOTSA O 2.19 2.19 2.32 1.32 1.51
OP QB SACKED. OU 2.19 2.51 2.13 2.38 2.13
YDS GAINED ON RE 72.00 67.69 64.13 57.82 60.82
OP YDS GAND ON R 71.83 80.94 75.44 76.57 56.94
PREDICTED POINTS SCORE
OFFENSE 20. 24. 29. 23. 25.
DEFENSE 20. 22. 22. 18. 14.
HOME FIELD ADVANTAGE 3.12 3.12
WINNING MARGIN (POINTS) ***** 7.54 ***** 8.75
ACTUAL POINTS PER GAME
OFFENSE 23. 27. 34. 25. 28.
DEFENSE 23. 24. 25. 20. 16.
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