Predict Report - Weighted
Bud Goode Sports Computer, Copyright 2016, All Rights Reserved.
DATA YR 2016 PRED. WEEK 8 PRIOR YR 2015 SCHED YR 2016
WEIGHT = 0.000
Report 3
PREDICTIONS FOR
WEEK 8, 10/25/16
ATLANTA
WK OPP PRE ACT SCORE
1 T B 8 -7 24 31
2 OAK 1 7 35 28
3 N O 3 13 45 32
4 CAR 8 15 48 33
5 DEN -5 7 23 16
6 SEA -2 -2 24 26
7 S D 4 -3 30 33
8 G B 2
9 T B 5
10 PHI -6
12 ARI -1
13 K C 4
14 L A 7
15 S F 14
16 CAR 3
17 N O 8
--PREDICTION--
W L T PCT.
11 5 0 0.688
--SIMULATION--
W L PCT.
10 6 0.625
PRE = PREDICTED
WINNING
MARGIN
ACT = ACTUAL
WINNING
MARGIN
OPP = OPPONENT
1 PREDICTIONS FOR
WEEK 8, 10/25/16
INDIANAPOLIS
WK OPP PRE ACT SCORE
1 DET 1 -4 35 39
2 DEN -10 -14 20 34
3 S D -2 4 26 22
4 JAC 3 -3 27 30
5 CHI 5 6 29 23
6 HOU 2 -3 23 26
7 TEN -5 8 34 26
8 K C -1
9 G B -6
11 TEN -1
12 PIT -3
13 NYJ 5
14 HOU 7
15 MIN -12
16 OAK -6
17 JAC 7
--PREDICTION--
W L T PCT.
6 10 0 0.375
--SIMULATION--
W L PCT.
7 9 0.438
PREDICTIONS FOR
WEEK 8, 10/25/16
BUFFALO
WK OPP PRE ACT SCORE
1 BAL 13 -6 7 13
2 NYJ 19 -6 31 37
3 ARI 4 15 33 18
4 N E -1 16 16 0
5 L A 14 11 30 19
6 S F 19 29 45 16
7 MIA 9 -3 25 28
8 N E 2
9 SEA 3
11 CIN 10
12 JAC 18
13 OAK 5
14 PIT 8
15 CLE 21
16 MIA 14
17 NYJ 15
--PREDICTION--
W L T PCT.
13 3 0 0.813
--SIMULATION--
W L PCT.
12 4 0.750
1 PREDICTIONS FOR
WEEK 8, 10/25/16
CHICAGO
WK OPP PRE ACT SCORE
1 HOU -1 -9 14 23
2 PHI -10 -15 14 29
3 DAL -14 -14 17 31
4 DET -2 3 17 14
5 IND -5 -6 23 29
6 JAC 3 -1 16 17
7 G B -9 -16 10 26
8 MIN -11
10 T B -3
11 NYG -7
12 TEN -4
13 S F 6
14 DET -6
15 G B -5
16 WAS -1
17 MIN -16
--PREDICTION--
W L T PCT.
2 14 0 0.125
--SIMULATION--
W L PCT.
3 13 0.188
PREDICTIONS FOR
WEEK 8, 10/25/16
CINCINNATI
WK OPP PRE ACT SCORE
1 NYJ 4 1 23 22
2 PIT -8 -8 16 24
3 DEN -9 -12 17 29
4 MIA -1 15 22 7
5 DAL -14 -14 14 28
6 N E -14 -18 17 35
7 CLE 8 14 31 17
8 WAS -1
10 NYG -6
11 BUF -10
12 BAL -1
13 PHI -8
14 CLE 3
15 PIT -4
16 HOU -1
17 BAL 4
--PREDICTION--
W L T PCT.
5 11 0 0.313
--SIMULATION--
W L PCT.
6 10 0.375
1 PREDICTIONS FOR
WEEK 8, 10/25/16
BALTIMORE
WK OPP PRE ACT SCORE
1 BUF -13 6 13 7
2 CLE 3 5 25 20
3 JAC -1 2 19 17
4 OAK -5 -1 27 28
5 WAS -2 -6 10 16
6 NYG -7 -4 23 27
7 NYJ 2 -8 16 24
9 PIT -6
10 CLE 7
11 DAL -15
12 CIN 1
13 MIA -1
14 N E -16
15 PHI -9
16 PIT -11
17 CIN -4
--PREDICTION--
W L T PCT.
5 11 0 0.313
--SIMULATION--
W L PCT.
6 10 0.375
PREDICTIONS FOR
WEEK 8, 10/25/16
DALLAS
WK OPP PRE ACT SCORE
1 NYG 9 -1 19 20
2 WAS 8 4 27 23
3 CHI 14 14 31 17
4 S F 15 7 24 17
5 CIN 14 14 28 14
6 G B 4 14 30 16
8 PHI 3
9 CLE 16
10 PIT 3
11 BAL 15
12 WAS 12
13 MIN -2
14 NYG 6
15 T B 14
16 DET 12
17 PHI -2
--PREDICTION--
W L T PCT.
13 3 0 0.813
--SIMULATION--
W L PCT.
13 3 0.813
1 PREDICTIONS FOR
WEEK 8, 10/25/16
DENVER
WK OPP PRE ACT SCORE
1 CAR 11 1 21 20
2 IND 10 14 34 20
3 CIN 9 12 29 17
4 T B 9 20 27 7
5 ATL 5 -7 16 23
6 S D 4 -8 13 21
7 HOU 15 18 27 9
8 S D 8
9 OAK 4
10 N O 6
12 K C 8
13 JAC 11
14 TEN 3
15 N E 1
16 K C 3
17 OAK 9
--PREDICTION--
W L T PCT.
14 2 0 0.875
--SIMULATION--
W L PCT.
12 4 0.750
PREDICTIONS FOR
WEEK 8, 10/25/16
DETROIT
WK OPP PRE ACT SCORE
1 IND -1 4 39 35
2 TEN -2 -1 15 16
3 G B -5 -7 27 34
4 CHI 2 -3 14 17
5 PHI -7 1 24 23
6 L A 7 3 31 28
7 WAS 2 3 20 17
8 HOU 3
9 MIN -11
11 JAC 7
12 MIN -7
13 N O -2
14 CHI 6
15 NYG -4
16 DAL -12
17 G B -1
--PREDICTION--
W L T PCT.
7 9 0 0.438
--SIMULATION--
W L PCT.
8 8 0.500
1 PREDICTIONS FOR
WEEK 8, 10/25/16
GREEN BAY
WK OPP PRE ACT SCORE
1 JAC 8 4 27 23
2 MIN -6 -3 14 17
3 DET 5 7 34 27
5 NYG 4 7 23 16
6 DAL -4 -14 16 30
7 CHI 9 16 26 10
8 ATL -2
9 IND 6
10 TEN -1
11 WAS 2
12 PHI -7
13 HOU 11
14 SEA 2
15 CHI 5
16 MIN -2
17 DET 1
--PREDICTION--
W L T PCT.
10 6 0 0.625
--SIMULATION--
W L PCT.
10 6 0.625
PREDICTIONS FOR
WEEK 8, 10/25/16
TENNESSEE
WK OPP PRE ACT SCORE
1 MIN -5 -9 16 25
2 DET 2 1 16 15
3 OAK 2 -7 10 17
4 HOU 6 -7 20 27
5 MIA 2 13 30 17
6 CLE 13 2 28 26
7 IND 5 -8 26 34
8 JAC 10
9 S D -2
10 G B 1
11 IND 1
12 CHI 4
14 DEN -3
15 K C -3
16 JAC 5
17 HOU 10
--PREDICTION--
W L T PCT.
9 7 0 0.563
--SIMULATION--
W L PCT.
9 7 0.563
1 PREDICTIONS FOR
WEEK 8, 10/25/16
KANSAS CITY
WK OPP PRE ACT SCORE
1 S D 1 6 33 27
2 HOU 6 -7 12 19
3 NYJ 12 21 24 3
4 PIT -3 -29 14 43
6 OAK -2 16 26 10
7 N O 5 6 27 21
8 IND 1
9 JAC 10
10 CAR 2
11 T B 7
12 DEN -8
13 ATL -4
14 OAK 3
15 TEN 3
16 DEN -3
17 S D -3
--PREDICTION--
W L T PCT.
10 6 0 0.625
--SIMULATION--
W L PCT.
9 7 0.563
PREDICTIONS FOR
WEEK 8, 10/25/16
L. A. RAMS
WK OPP PRE ACT SCORE
1 S F 1 -28 0 28
2 SEA -9 6 9 3
3 T B -4 5 37 32
4 ARI -14 4 17 13
5 BUF -14 -11 19 30
6 DET -7 -3 28 31
7 NYG -5 -7 10 17
9 CAR -1
10 NYJ 1
11 MIA -2
12 N O -7
13 N E -18
14 ATL -7
15 SEA -13
16 S F 5
17 ARI -10
--PREDICTION--
W L T PCT.
5 11 0 0.313
--SIMULATION--
W L PCT.
5 11 0.313
1 PREDICTIONS FOR
WEEK 8, 10/25/16
MIAMI
WK OPP PRE ACT SCORE
1 SEA -7 -2 10 12
2 N E -12 -7 24 31
3 CLE 9 6 30 24
4 CIN 1 -15 7 22
5 TEN -2 -13 17 30
6 PIT -3 15 30 15
7 BUF -9 3 28 25
9 NYJ 9
10 S D -5
11 L A 2
12 S F 9
13 BAL 1
14 ARI -6
15 NYJ 4
16 BUF -14
17 N E -8
--PREDICTION--
W L T PCT.
8 8 0 0.500
--SIMULATION--
W L PCT.
7 9 0.438
PREDICTIONS FOR
WEEK 8, 10/25/16
MINNESOTA
WK OPP PRE ACT SCORE
1 TEN 5 9 25 16
2 G B 6 3 17 14
3 CAR 9 12 22 10
4 NYG 9 14 24 10
5 HOU 15 18 31 13
7 PHI -1 -11 10 21
8 CHI 11
9 DET 11
10 WAS 7
11 ARI 4
12 DET 7
13 DAL 2
14 JAC 11
15 IND 12
16 G B 2
17 CHI 16
--PREDICTION--
W L T PCT.
15 1 0 0.938
--SIMULATION--
W L PCT.
13 3 0.813
1 PREDICTIONS FOR
WEEK 8, 10/25/16
NEW ENGLAND
WK OPP PRE ACT SCORE
1 ARI 1 2 23 21
2 MIA 12 7 31 24
3 HOU 16 27 27 0
4 BUF 1 -16 0 16
5 CLE 17 20 33 13
6 CIN 14 18 35 17
7 PIT 4 11 27 16
8 BUF -2
10 SEA 8
11 S F 15
12 NYJ 15
13 L A 18
14 BAL 16
15 DEN -1
16 NYJ 20
17 MIA 8
--PREDICTION--
W L T PCT.
13 3 0 0.813
--SIMULATION--
W L PCT.
13 3 0.813
PREDICTIONS FOR
WEEK 8, 10/25/16
NEW ORLEANS
WK OPP PRE ACT SCORE
1 OAK -2 -1 34 35
2 NYG -3 -3 13 16
3 ATL -3 -13 32 45
4 S D -4 1 35 34
6 CAR 3 3 41 38
7 K C -5 -6 21 27
8 SEA -3
9 S F 5
10 DEN -6
11 CAR -1
12 L A 7
13 DET 2
14 T B -1
15 ARI -11
16 T B 5
17 ATL -8
--PREDICTION--
W L T PCT.
6 10 0 0.375
--SIMULATION--
W L PCT.
6 10 0.375
1 PREDICTIONS FOR
WEEK 8, 10/25/16
N.Y. GIANTS
WK OPP PRE ACT SCORE
1 DAL -9 1 20 19
2 N O 3 3 16 13
3 WAS 3 -2 27 29
4 MIN -9 -14 10 24
5 G B -4 -7 16 23
6 BAL 7 4 27 23
7 L A 5 7 17 10
9 PHI -5
10 CIN 6
11 CHI 7
12 CLE 7
13 PIT -6
14 DAL -6
15 DET 4
16 PHI -10
17 WAS -1
--PREDICTION--
W L T PCT.
8 8 0 0.500
--SIMULATION--
W L PCT.
8 8 0.500
PREDICTIONS FOR
WEEK 8, 10/25/16
N.Y. JETS
WK OPP PRE ACT SCORE
1 CIN -4 -1 22 23
2 BUF -19 6 37 31
3 K C -12 -21 3 24
4 SEA -11 -10 17 27
5 PIT -14 -18 13 31
6 ARI -17 -25 3 28
7 BAL -2 8 24 16
8 CLE -1
9 MIA -9
10 L A -1
12 N E -15
13 IND -5
14 S F -3
15 MIA -4
16 N E -20
17 BUF -15
--PREDICTION--
W L T PCT.
2 14 0 0.125
--SIMULATION--
W L PCT.
4 12 0.250
1 PREDICTIONS FOR
WEEK 8, 10/25/16
OAKLAND
WK OPP PRE ACT SCORE
1 N O 2 1 35 34
2 ATL -1 -7 28 35
3 TEN -2 7 17 10
4 BAL 5 1 28 27
5 S D 2 3 34 31
6 K C 2 -16 10 26
7 JAC 6 17 33 16
8 T B 3
9 DEN -4
11 HOU 9
12 CAR 7
13 BUF -5
14 K C -3
15 S D -3
16 IND 6
17 DEN -9
--PREDICTION--
W L T PCT.
9 7 0 0.563
--SIMULATION--
W L PCT.
9 7 0.563
PREDICTIONS FOR
WEEK 8, 10/25/16
PHILADELPHIA
WK OPP PRE ACT SCORE
1 CLE 18 19 29 10
2 CHI 10 15 29 14
3 PIT 5 31 34 3
5 DET 7 -1 23 24
6 WAS 7 -7 20 27
7 MIN 1 11 21 10
8 DAL -3
9 NYG 5
10 ATL 6
11 SEA 1
12 G B 7
13 CIN 8
14 WAS 11
15 BAL 9
16 NYG 10
17 DAL 2
--PREDICTION--
W L T PCT.
13 3 0 0.813
--SIMULATION--
W L PCT.
11 5 0.688
1 PREDICTIONS FOR
WEEK 8, 10/25/16
PITTSBURGH
WK OPP PRE ACT SCORE
1 WAS 3 22 38 16
2 CIN 8 8 24 16
3 PHI -5 -31 3 34
4 K C 3 29 43 14
5 NYJ 14 18 31 13
6 MIA 3 -15 15 30
7 N E -4 -11 16 27
9 BAL 6
10 DAL -3
11 CLE 11
12 IND 3
13 NYG 6
14 BUF -8
15 CIN 4
16 BAL 11
17 CLE 16
--PREDICTION--
W L T PCT.
11 5 0 0.688
--SIMULATION--
W L PCT.
10 6 0.625
PREDICTIONS FOR
WEEK 8, 10/25/16
ARIZONA
WK OPP PRE ACT SCORE
1 N E -1 -2 21 23
2 T B 11 33 40 7
3 BUF -4 -15 18 33
4 L A 14 -4 13 17
5 S F 13 12 33 21
6 NYJ 17 25 28 3
7 SEA 5 0 6 6
8 CAR 8
10 S F 17
11 MIN -4
12 ATL 1
13 WAS 11
14 MIA 6
15 N O 11
16 SEA 1
17 L A 10
--PREDICTION--
W L T PCT.
11 4 1 0.719
--SIMULATION--
W L PCT.
10 6 0.625
1 PREDICTIONS FOR
WEEK 8, 10/25/16
SAN DIEGO
WK OPP PRE ACT SCORE
1 K C -1 -6 27 33
2 JAC 9 24 38 14
3 IND 2 -4 22 26
4 N O 4 -1 34 35
5 OAK -2 -3 31 34
6 DEN -4 8 21 13
7 ATL -4 3 33 30
8 DEN -8
9 TEN 2
10 MIA 5
12 HOU 5
13 T B 7
14 CAR 2
15 OAK 3
16 CLE 8
17 K C 3
--PREDICTION--
W L T PCT.
11 5 0 0.688
--SIMULATION--
W L PCT.
9 7 0.563
PREDICTIONS FOR
WEEK 8, 10/25/16
S. FRANCISCO
WK OPP PRE ACT SCORE
1 L A -1 28 28 0
2 CAR -7 -19 27 46
3 SEA -13 -19 18 37
4 DAL -15 -7 17 24
5 ARI -13 -12 21 33
6 BUF -19 -29 16 45
7 T B -3 -17 17 34
9 N O -5
10 ARI -17
11 N E -15
12 MIA -9
13 CHI -6
14 NYJ 3
15 ATL -14
16 L A -5
17 SEA -9
--PREDICTION--
W L T PCT.
2 14 0 0.125
--SIMULATION--
W L PCT.
3 13 0.188
1 PREDICTIONS FOR
WEEK 8, 10/25/16
SEATTLE
WK OPP PRE ACT SCORE
1 MIA 7 2 12 10
2 L A 9 -6 3 9
3 S F 13 19 37 18
4 NYJ 11 10 27 17
6 ATL 2 2 26 24
7 ARI -5 0 6 6
8 N O 3
9 BUF -3
10 N E -8
11 PHI -1
12 T B 5
13 CAR 9
14 G B -2
15 L A 13
16 ARI -1
17 S F 9
--PREDICTION--
W L T PCT.
9 6 1 0.594
--SIMULATION--
W L PCT.
10 6 0.625
PREDICTIONS FOR
WEEK 8, 10/25/16
TAMPA BAY
WK OPP PRE ACT SCORE
1 ATL -8 7 31 24
2 ARI -11 -33 7 40
3 L A 4 -5 32 37
4 DEN -9 -20 7 27
5 CAR -2 3 17 14
7 S F 3 17 34 17
8 OAK -3
9 ATL -5
10 CHI 3
11 K C -7
12 SEA -5
13 S D -7
14 N O 1
15 DAL -14
16 N O -5
17 CAR 2
--PREDICTION--
W L T PCT.
6 10 0 0.375
--SIMULATION--
W L PCT.
7 9 0.438
1 PREDICTIONS FOR
WEEK 8, 10/25/16
WASHINGTON
WK OPP PRE ACT SCORE
1 PIT -3 -22 16 38
2 DAL -8 -4 23 27
3 NYG -3 2 29 27
4 CLE 10 11 31 20
5 BAL 2 6 16 10
6 PHI -7 7 27 20
7 DET -2 -3 17 20
8 CIN 1
10 MIN -7
11 G B -2
12 DAL -12
13 ARI -11
14 PHI -11
15 CAR 4
16 CHI 1
17 NYG 1
--PREDICTION--
W L T PCT.
8 8 0 0.500
--SIMULATION--
W L PCT.
7 9 0.438
PREDICTIONS FOR
WEEK 8, 10/25/16
CAROLINA
WK OPP PRE ACT SCORE
1 DEN -11 -1 20 21
2 S F 7 19 46 27
3 MIN -9 -12 10 22
4 ATL -8 -15 33 48
5 T B 2 -3 14 17
6 N O -3 -3 38 41
8 ARI -8
9 L A 1
10 K C -2
11 N O 1
12 OAK -7
13 SEA -9
14 S D -2
15 WAS -4
16 ATL -3
17 T B -2
--PREDICTION--
W L T PCT.
3 13 0 0.188
--SIMULATION--
W L PCT.
4 12 0.250
1 PREDICTIONS FOR
WEEK 8, 10/25/16
JACKSONVILLE
WK OPP PRE ACT SCORE
1 G B -8 -4 23 27
2 S D -9 -24 14 38
3 BAL 1 -2 17 19
4 IND -3 3 30 27
6 CHI -3 1 17 16
7 OAK -6 -17 16 33
8 TEN -10
9 K C -10
10 HOU 2
11 DET -7
12 BUF -18
13 DEN -11
14 MIN -11
15 HOU -3
16 TEN -5
17 IND -7
--PREDICTION--
W L T PCT.
3 13 0 0.188
--SIMULATION--
W L PCT.
4 12 0.250
PREDICTIONS FOR
WEEK 8, 10/25/16
CLEVELAND
WK OPP PRE ACT SCORE
1 PHI -18 -19 10 29
2 BAL -3 -5 20 25
3 MIA -9 -6 24 30
4 WAS -10 -11 20 31
5 N E -17 -20 13 33
6 TEN -13 -2 26 28
7 CIN -8 -14 17 31
8 NYJ 1
9 DAL -16
10 BAL -7
11 PIT -11
12 NYG -7
14 CIN -3
15 BUF -21
16 S D -8
17 PIT -16
--PREDICTION--
W L T PCT.
1 15 0 0.063
--SIMULATION--
W L PCT.
2 14 0.125
1 PREDICTIONS FOR
WEEK 8, 10/25/16
HOUSTON
WK OPP PRE ACT SCORE
1 CHI 1 9 23 14
2 K C -6 7 19 12
3 N E -16 -27 0 27
4 TEN -6 7 27 20
5 MIN -15 -18 13 31
6 IND -2 3 26 23
7 DEN -15 -18 9 27
8 DET -3
10 JAC -2
11 OAK -9
12 S D -5
13 G B -11
14 IND -7
15 JAC 3
16 CIN 1
17 TEN -10
--PREDICTION--
W L T PCT.
6 10 0 0.375
--SIMULATION--
W L PCT.
7 9 0.438
THE MOST LIKELY NFC LEADERS ARE: DALLAS (13- 3), MINNESOTA (13- 3)
ATLANTA (10- 6) AND ARIZONA (10- 6)
THE MOST LIKELY AFC LEADERS ARE: NEW ENGLAND (13- 3), PITTSBURGH (10- 6)
TENNESSEE ( 9- 7) AND DENVER (12- 4)
THE MOST LIKELY NFC WILD CARD TEAMS ARE PHILADELPHIA AND SEATTLE
THE MOST LIKELY AFC WILD CARD TEAMS ARE BUFFALO AND KANSAS CITY
THE NFC CHAMPION SHOULD BE DALLAS. THE AFC CHAMP NEW ENGLAND.
FAVORED BY 1 POINTS, THE SUPER BOWL CHAMP WILL BE NEW ENGLAND.
OF COURSE ANYTHING CAN HAPPEN IN A PLAYOFF GAME AND INJURIES
AFTER THIS WEEK CAN KNOCK ANY TEAM OUT OF THE BOX. BUT BASED ON
THE STATS TO DATE NEW ENGLAND WILL BE THE SUPER BOWL WINNER.
* COMPUTER SEASON PREDICTIONS ARE MADE FOR TWO CONDITIONS:
THE THIRD LINE SHOWS THE NUMBER OF GAMES WHERE THE TEAM IS
THE PREDICTED 'FAVORITE'. BY DEFINITION THEN THE LEAGUE'S
STRONGEST TEAM WOULD BE PREDICTED TO WIN THE MOST IF NOT ALL
ITS GAMES.
HOWEVER, WE ALL KNOW THAT FAVORITES ARE UPSET 20 TO 25
PERCENT OF THE TIME. SO THE FIRST LINE IS A BETTER ESTIMATE
OF THE SEASON W-L RECORD. THIS FIRST LINE IS BASED ON WHAT
STATISTICIANS CALL A MONTE CARLO SIMULATION-I.E., THE COMPUTER
PLAYS THROUGH THE NFL SCHEDULE 1000 TIMES AND ESTIMATES THE
NUMBER OF WINS TAKING INTO CONSIDERATION POSSIBLE UPSETS.
TEAMS WITHIN DIVISIONS ARE SORTED BY SIMULATED PERCENTAGES.
IN CASE TWO TEAMS ARE TIED IN THE WON/LOSS COLUMN (THIRD LINE)
OR ARE TIED WHEN PICKING WILD CARD TEAMS, THE BEST TEAM WILL
BE THE SIMULATED WINNER OF THE TWO.
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