Predict Report - Weighted
Bud Goode Sports, Copyright 2018, All Rights Reserved.
DATA YR 2018 PRED. WEEK 7 PRIOR YR 2017 SCHED YR 2018
WEIGHT = 0.000
Report 3
PREDICTIONS FOR
WEEK 7, 10/16/18
ATLANTA
WK OPP PRE ACT SCORE
1 PHI -8 -6 12 18
2 CAR -5 7 31 24
3 N O -7 -6 37 43
4 CIN -5 -1 36 37
5 PIT -8 -24 17 41
6 T B 3 5 34 29
7 NYG 5
9 WAS -5
10 CLE -4
11 DAL -2
12 N O -11
13 BAL -11
14 G B -5
15 ARI 5
16 CAR -9
17 T B -1
--PREDICTION--
W L T PCT.
4 12 0 0.250
--SIMULATION--
W L PCT.
5 11 0.313
PRE = PREDICTED
WINNING
MARGIN
ACT = ACTUAL
WINNING
MARGIN
OPP = OPPONENT
1 PREDICTIONS FOR
WEEK 7, 10/16/18
INDIANAPOLIS
WK OPP PRE ACT SCORE
1 CIN -4 -11 23 34
2 WAS -3 12 21 9
3 PHI -7 -4 16 20
4 HOU 1 -3 34 37
5 N E -9 -14 24 38
6 NYJ -6 -8 34 42
7 BUF 7
8 OAK 5
10 JAC 1
11 TEN 4
12 MIA 2
13 JAC -4
14 HOU -4
15 DAL 1
16 NYG 7
17 TEN -1
--PREDICTION--
W L T PCT.
8 8 0 0.500
--SIMULATION--
W L PCT.
6 10 0.375
PREDICTIONS FOR
WEEK 7, 10/16/18
BUFFALO
WK OPP PRE ACT SCORE
1 BAL -18 -44 3 47
2 LAC -12 -11 20 31
3 MIN -9 21 27 6
4 G B -7 -22 0 22
5 TEN -2 1 13 12
6 HOU -8 -7 13 20
7 IND -7
8 N E -10
9 CHI -13
10 NYJ -11
12 JAC -4
13 MIA -8
14 NYJ -6
15 DET -3
16 N E -15
17 MIA -3
--PREDICTION--
W L T PCT.
2 14 0 0.125
--SIMULATION--
W L PCT.
4 12 0.250
1 PREDICTIONS FOR
WEEK 7, 10/16/18
CHICAGO
WK OPP PRE ACT SCORE
1 G B 8 -1 23 24
2 SEA 4 7 24 17
3 ARI 13 2 16 14
4 T B 15 38 48 10
6 MIA 8 -3 28 31
7 N E 4
8 NYJ 8
9 BUF 13
10 DET 11
11 MIN 10
12 DET 7
13 NYG 12
14 L A -1
15 G B 12
16 S F 11
17 MIN 5
--PREDICTION--
W L T PCT.
13 3 0 0.813
--SIMULATION--
W L PCT.
12 4 0.750
PREDICTIONS FOR
WEEK 7, 10/16/18
CINCINNATI
WK OPP PRE ACT SCORE
1 IND 4 11 34 23
2 BAL -6 11 34 23
3 CAR -1 -10 21 31
4 ATL 5 1 37 36
5 MIA 6 10 27 17
6 PIT 2 -7 21 28
7 K C -7
8 T B 10
10 N O 1
11 BAL -9
12 CLE 7
13 DEN 10
14 LAC -5
15 OAK 15
16 CLE 2
17 PIT -3
--PREDICTION--
W L T PCT.
10 6 0 0.625
--SIMULATION--
W L PCT.
10 6 0.625
1 PREDICTIONS FOR
WEEK 7, 10/16/18
BALTIMORE
WK OPP PRE ACT SCORE
1 BUF 18 44 47 3
2 CIN 6 -11 23 34
3 DEN 16 13 27 14
4 PIT 5 12 26 14
5 CLE 10 -3 9 12
6 TEN 12 21 21 0
7 N O 7
8 CAR 5
9 PIT 9
11 CIN 9
12 OAK 22
13 ATL 11
14 K C -1
15 T B 18
16 LAC 1
17 CLE 15
--PREDICTION--
W L T PCT.
13 3 0 0.813
--SIMULATION--
W L PCT.
12 4 0.750
PREDICTIONS FOR
WEEK 7, 10/16/18
DALLAS
WK OPP PRE ACT SCORE
1 CAR -4 -8 8 16
2 NYG 8 7 20 13
3 SEA -7 -11 13 24
4 DET 3 2 26 24
5 HOU -1 -3 16 19
6 JAC 3 33 40 7
7 WAS -1
9 TEN 6
10 PHI -5
11 ATL 2
12 WAS 4
13 N O -2
14 PHI -1
15 IND -1
16 T B 8
17 NYG 4
--PREDICTION--
W L T PCT.
8 8 0 0.500
--SIMULATION--
W L PCT.
9 7 0.563
1 PREDICTIONS FOR
WEEK 7, 10/16/18
DENVER
WK OPP PRE ACT SCORE
1 SEA -9 3 27 24
2 OAK 7 1 20 19
3 BAL -16 -13 14 27
4 K C -10 -4 23 27
5 NYJ -7 -18 16 34
6 L A -13 -3 20 23
7 ARI 1
8 K C -14
9 HOU -1
11 LAC -12
12 PIT -5
13 CIN -10
14 S F -1
15 CLE 1
16 OAK 3
17 LAC -7
--PREDICTION--
W L T PCT.
5 11 0 0.313
--SIMULATION--
W L PCT.
5 11 0.313
PREDICTIONS FOR
WEEK 7, 10/16/18
DETROIT
WK OPP PRE ACT SCORE
1 NYJ -2 -31 17 48
2 S F 4 -3 27 30
3 N E -5 16 26 10
4 DAL -3 -2 24 26
5 G B 2 8 31 23
7 MIA -1
8 SEA -5
9 MIN -3
10 CHI -11
11 CAR -2
12 CHI -7
13 L A -10
14 ARI 3
15 BUF 3
16 MIN 1
17 G B -3
--PREDICTION--
W L T PCT.
5 11 0 0.313
--SIMULATION--
W L PCT.
6 10 0.375
1 PREDICTIONS FOR
WEEK 7, 10/16/18
GREEN BAY
WK OPP PRE ACT SCORE
1 CHI -8 1 24 23
2 MIN -1 0 29 29
3 WAS -2 -14 17 31
4 BUF 7 22 22 0
5 DET -2 -8 23 31
6 S F 6 3 33 30
8 L A -14
9 N E -9
10 MIA 2
11 SEA -9
12 MIN -4
13 ARI 7
14 ATL 5
15 CHI -12
16 NYJ -6
17 DET 3
--PREDICTION--
W L T PCT.
7 8 1 0.469
--SIMULATION--
W L PCT.
7 9 0.438
PREDICTIONS FOR
WEEK 7, 10/16/18
TENNESSEE
WK OPP PRE ACT SCORE
1 MIA -4 -7 20 27
2 HOU -1 3 20 17
3 JAC -5 3 9 6
4 PHI -5 3 26 23
5 BUF 2 -1 12 13
6 BAL -12 -21 0 21
7 LAC -12
9 DAL -6
10 N E -7
11 IND -4
12 HOU -5
13 NYJ -3
14 JAC -1
15 NYG -1
16 WAS -1
17 IND 1
--PREDICTION--
W L T PCT.
4 12 0 0.250
--SIMULATION--
W L PCT.
6 10 0.375
1 PREDICTIONS FOR
WEEK 7, 10/16/18
KANSAS CITY
WK OPP PRE ACT SCORE
1 LAC 1 10 38 28
2 PIT 4 5 42 37
3 S F 15 11 38 27
4 DEN 10 4 27 23
5 JAC 10 16 30 14
6 N E 1 -3 40 43
7 CIN 7
8 DEN 14
9 CLE 8
10 ARI 16
11 L A -5
13 OAK 15
14 BAL 1
15 LAC 4
16 SEA -1
17 OAK 20
--PREDICTION--
W L T PCT.
13 3 0 0.813
--SIMULATION--
W L PCT.
12 4 0.750
PREDICTIONS FOR
WEEK 7, 10/16/18
L. A. RAMS
WK OPP PRE ACT SCORE
1 OAK 20 20 33 13
2 ARI 18 34 34 0
3 LAC 6 12 35 23
4 MIN 12 7 38 31
5 SEA 4 2 33 31
6 DEN 13 3 23 20
7 S F 15
8 G B 14
9 N O 4
10 SEA 7
11 K C 5
13 DET 10
14 CHI 1
15 PHI 11
16 ARI 14
17 S F 20
--PREDICTION--
W L T PCT.
16 0 0 1.000
--SIMULATION--
W L PCT.
15 1 0.938
1 PREDICTIONS FOR
WEEK 7, 10/16/18
MIAMI
WK OPP PRE ACT SCORE
1 TEN 4 7 27 20
2 NYJ -5 8 20 12
3 OAK 10 8 28 20
4 N E -8 -31 7 38
5 CIN -6 -10 17 27
6 CHI -8 3 31 28
7 DET 1
8 HOU -2
9 NYJ -1
10 G B -2
12 IND -2
13 BUF 8
14 N E -4
15 MIN -5
16 JAC 2
17 BUF 3
--PREDICTION--
W L T PCT.
8 8 0 0.500
--SIMULATION--
W L PCT.
9 7 0.563
PREDICTIONS FOR
WEEK 7, 10/16/18
MINNESOTA
WK OPP PRE ACT SCORE
1 S F 8 8 24 16
2 G B 1 0 29 29
3 BUF 9 -21 6 27
4 L A -12 -7 31 38
5 PHI -4 2 23 21
6 ARI 8 10 27 17
7 NYJ -3
8 N O -3
9 DET 3
11 CHI -10
12 G B 4
13 N E -7
14 SEA -8
15 MIA 5
16 DET -1
17 CHI -5
--PREDICTION--
W L T PCT.
6 9 1 0.406
--SIMULATION--
W L PCT.
7 9 0.438
1 PREDICTIONS FOR
WEEK 7, 10/16/18
NEW ENGLAND
WK OPP PRE ACT SCORE
1 HOU 8 7 27 20
2 JAC 5 -11 20 31
3 DET 5 -16 10 26
4 MIA 8 31 38 7
5 IND 9 14 38 24
6 K C -1 3 43 40
7 CHI -4
8 BUF 10
9 G B 9
10 TEN 7
12 NYJ 1
13 MIN 7
14 MIA 4
15 PIT -1
16 BUF 15
17 NYJ 7
--PREDICTION--
W L T PCT.
12 4 0 0.750
--SIMULATION--
W L PCT.
11 5 0.688
PREDICTIONS FOR
WEEK 7, 10/16/18
NEW ORLEANS
WK OPP PRE ACT SCORE
1 T B 12 -8 40 48
2 CLE 8 3 21 18
3 ATL 7 6 43 37
4 NYG 10 15 33 18
5 WAS 8 24 43 19
7 BAL -7
8 MIN 3
9 L A -4
10 CIN -1
11 PHI 4
12 ATL 11
13 DAL 2
14 T B 8
15 CAR -1
16 PIT 5
17 CAR 5
--PREDICTION--
W L T PCT.
11 5 0 0.688
--SIMULATION--
W L PCT.
11 5 0.688
1 PREDICTIONS FOR
WEEK 7, 10/16/18
N.Y. GIANTS
WK OPP PRE ACT SCORE
1 JAC -5 -5 15 20
2 DAL -8 -7 13 20
3 HOU -7 5 27 22
4 N O -10 -15 18 33
5 CAR -11 -2 31 33
6 PHI -8 -21 13 34
7 ATL -5
8 WAS -4
10 S F -3
11 T B 1
12 PHI -12
13 CHI -12
14 WAS -8
15 TEN 1
16 IND -7
17 DAL -4
--PREDICTION--
W L T PCT.
3 13 0 0.188
--SIMULATION--
W L PCT.
4 12 0.250
PREDICTIONS FOR
WEEK 7, 10/16/18
N.Y. JETS
WK OPP PRE ACT SCORE
1 DET 2 31 48 17
2 MIA 5 -8 12 20
3 CLE 2 -4 17 21
4 JAC 1 -19 12 31
5 DEN 7 18 34 16
6 IND 6 8 42 34
7 MIN 3
8 CHI -8
9 MIA 1
10 BUF 11
12 N E -1
13 TEN 3
14 BUF 6
15 HOU 6
16 G B 6
17 N E -7
--PREDICTION--
W L T PCT.
10 6 0 0.625
--SIMULATION--
W L PCT.
9 7 0.563
1 PREDICTIONS FOR
WEEK 7, 10/16/18
OAKLAND
WK OPP PRE ACT SCORE
1 L A -20 -20 13 33
2 DEN -7 -1 19 20
3 MIA -10 -8 20 28
4 CLE -6 3 45 42
5 LAC -17 -16 10 26
6 SEA -14 -24 3 27
8 IND -5
9 S F -6
10 LAC -14
11 ARI -6
12 BAL -22
13 K C -15
14 PIT -10
15 CIN -15
16 DEN -3
17 K C -20
--PREDICTION--
W L T PCT.
1 15 0 0.063
--SIMULATION--
W L PCT.
2 14 0.125
PREDICTIONS FOR
WEEK 7, 10/16/18
PHILADELPHIA
WK OPP PRE ACT SCORE
1 ATL 8 6 18 12
2 T B 7 -6 21 27
3 IND 7 4 20 16
4 TEN 5 -3 23 26
5 MIN 4 -2 21 23
6 NYG 8 21 34 13
7 CAR 2
8 JAC 2
10 DAL 5
11 N O -4
12 NYG 12
13 WAS 6
14 DAL 1
15 L A -11
16 HOU 7
17 WAS 1
--PREDICTION--
W L T PCT.
11 5 0 0.688
--SIMULATION--
W L PCT.
9 7 0.563
1 PREDICTIONS FOR
WEEK 7, 10/16/18
PITTSBURGH
WK OPP PRE ACT SCORE
1 CLE 4 0 21 21
2 K C -4 -5 37 42
3 T B 7 3 30 27
4 BAL -5 -12 14 26
5 ATL 8 24 41 17
6 CIN -2 7 28 21
8 CLE 7
9 BAL -9
10 CAR 2
11 JAC 1
12 DEN 5
13 LAC -1
14 OAK 10
15 N E 1
16 N O -5
17 CIN 3
--PREDICTION--
W L T PCT.
10 5 1 0.656
--SIMULATION--
W L PCT.
9 7 0.563
PREDICTIONS FOR
WEEK 7, 10/16/18
ARIZONA
WK OPP PRE ACT SCORE
1 WAS -4 -18 6 24
2 L A -18 -34 0 34
3 CHI -13 -2 14 16
4 SEA -10 -3 17 20
5 S F -2 10 28 18
6 MIN -8 -10 17 27
7 DEN -1
8 S F 2
10 K C -16
11 OAK 6
12 LAC -15
13 G B -7
14 DET -3
15 ATL -5
16 L A -14
17 SEA -15
--PREDICTION--
W L T PCT.
3 13 0 0.188
--SIMULATION--
W L PCT.
4 12 0.250
1 PREDICTIONS FOR
WEEK 7, 10/16/18
L A CHARGERS
WK OPP PRE ACT SCORE
1 K C -1 -10 28 38
2 BUF 12 11 31 20
3 L A -6 -12 23 35
4 S F 14 2 29 27
5 OAK 17 16 26 10
6 CLE 6 24 38 14
7 TEN 12
9 SEA -2
10 OAK 14
11 DEN 12
12 ARI 15
13 PIT 1
14 CIN 5
15 K C -4
16 BAL -1
17 DEN 7
--PREDICTION--
W L T PCT.
11 5 0 0.688
--SIMULATION--
W L PCT.
11 5 0.688
PREDICTIONS FOR
WEEK 7, 10/16/18
S. FRANCISCO
WK OPP PRE ACT SCORE
1 MIN -8 -8 16 24
2 DET -4 3 30 27
3 K C -15 -11 27 38
4 LAC -14 -2 27 29
5 ARI 2 -10 18 28
6 G B -6 -3 30 33
7 L A -15
8 ARI -2
9 OAK 6
10 NYG 3
12 T B -3
13 SEA -14
14 DEN 1
15 SEA -9
16 CHI -11
17 L A -20
--PREDICTION--
W L T PCT.
4 12 0 0.250
--SIMULATION--
W L PCT.
4 12 0.250
1 PREDICTIONS FOR
WEEK 7, 10/16/18
SEATTLE
WK OPP PRE ACT SCORE
1 DEN 9 -3 24 27
2 CHI -4 -7 17 24
3 DAL 7 11 24 13
4 ARI 10 3 20 17
5 L A -4 -2 31 33
6 OAK 14 24 27 3
8 DET 5
9 LAC 2
10 L A -7
11 G B 9
12 CAR 1
13 S F 14
14 MIN 8
15 S F 9
16 K C 1
17 ARI 15
--PREDICTION--
W L T PCT.
12 4 0 0.750
--SIMULATION--
W L PCT.
10 6 0.625
PREDICTIONS FOR
WEEK 7, 10/16/18
TAMPA BAY
WK OPP PRE ACT SCORE
1 N O -12 8 48 40
2 PHI -7 6 27 21
3 PIT -7 -3 27 30
4 CHI -15 -38 10 48
6 ATL -3 -5 29 34
7 CLE -2
8 CIN -10
9 CAR -10
10 WAS -2
11 NYG -1
12 S F 3
13 CAR -6
14 N O -8
15 BAL -18
16 DAL -8
17 ATL 1
--PREDICTION--
W L T PCT.
4 12 0 0.250
--SIMULATION--
W L PCT.
5 11 0.313
1 PREDICTIONS FOR
WEEK 7, 10/16/18
WASHINGTON
WK OPP PRE ACT SCORE
1 ARI 4 18 24 6
2 IND 3 -12 9 21
3 G B 2 14 31 17
5 N O -8 -24 19 43
6 CAR -2 6 23 17
7 DAL 1
8 NYG 4
9 ATL 5
10 T B 2
11 HOU 3
12 DAL -4
13 PHI -6
14 NYG 8
15 JAC -3
16 TEN 1
17 PHI -1
--PREDICTION--
W L T PCT.
10 6 0 0.625
--SIMULATION--
W L PCT.
9 7 0.563
PREDICTIONS FOR
WEEK 7, 10/16/18
CAROLINA
WK OPP PRE ACT SCORE
1 DAL 4 8 16 8
2 ATL 5 -7 24 31
3 CIN 1 10 31 21
5 NYG 11 2 33 31
6 WAS 2 -6 17 23
7 PHI -2
8 BAL -5
9 T B 10
10 PIT -2
11 DET 2
12 SEA -1
13 T B 6
14 CLE 2
15 N O 1
16 ATL 9
17 N O -5
--PREDICTION--
W L T PCT.
9 7 0 0.563
--SIMULATION--
W L PCT.
9 7 0.563
1 PREDICTIONS FOR
WEEK 7, 10/16/18
JACKSONVILLE
WK OPP PRE ACT SCORE
1 NYG 5 5 20 15
2 N E -5 11 31 20
3 TEN 5 -3 6 9
4 NYJ -1 19 31 12
5 K C -10 -16 14 30
6 DAL -3 -33 7 40
7 HOU 2
8 PHI -2
10 IND -1
11 PIT -1
12 BUF 4
13 IND 4
14 TEN 1
15 WAS 3
16 MIA -2
17 HOU -2
--PREDICTION--
W L T PCT.
8 8 0 0.500
--SIMULATION--
W L PCT.
8 8 0.500
PREDICTIONS FOR
WEEK 7, 10/16/18
CLEVELAND
WK OPP PRE ACT SCORE
1 PIT -4 0 21 21
2 N O -8 -3 18 21
3 NYJ -2 4 21 17
4 OAK 6 -3 42 45
5 BAL -10 3 12 9
6 LAC -6 -24 14 38
7 T B 2
8 PIT -7
9 K C -8
10 ATL 4
12 CIN -7
13 HOU -3
14 CAR -2
15 DEN -1
16 CIN -2
17 BAL -15
--PREDICTION--
W L T PCT.
4 11 1 0.281
--SIMULATION--
W L PCT.
5 11 0.313
1 PREDICTIONS FOR
WEEK 7, 10/16/18
HOUSTON
WK OPP PRE ACT SCORE
1 N E -8 -7 20 27
2 TEN 1 -3 17 20
3 NYG 7 -5 22 27
4 IND -1 3 37 34
5 DAL 1 3 19 16
6 BUF 8 7 20 13
7 JAC -2
8 MIA 2
9 DEN 1
11 WAS -3
12 TEN 5
13 CLE 3
14 IND 4
15 NYJ -6
16 PHI -7
17 JAC 2
--PREDICTION--
W L T PCT.
9 7 0 0.563
--SIMULATION--
W L PCT.
8 8 0.500
THE MOST LIKELY NFC LEADERS ARE: PHILADELPHIA ( 9- 7), CHICAGO (12- 4)
NEW ORLEANS (11- 5) AND L. A. RAMS (15- 1)
THE MOST LIKELY AFC LEADERS ARE: NEW ENGLAND (11- 5), BALTIMORE (12- 4)
JACKSONVILLE ( 8- 8) AND KANSAS CITY (12- 4)
THE MOST LIKELY NFC WILD CARD TEAMS ARE SEATTLE AND CAROLINA
THE MOST LIKELY AFC WILD CARD TEAMS ARE L A CHARGERS AND CINCINNATI
THE NFC CHAMPION SHOULD BE L. A. RAMS. THE AFC CHAMP BALTIMORE.
FAVORED BY 1 POINTS, THE SUPER BOWL CHAMP WILL BE L. A. RAMS.
OF COURSE ANYTHING CAN HAPPEN IN A PLAYOFF GAME AND INJURIES
AFTER THIS WEEK CAN KNOCK ANY TEAM OUT OF THE BOX. BUT BASED ON
THE STATS TO DATE L. A. RAMS WILL BE THE SUPER BOWL WINNER.
* COMPUTER SEASON PREDICTIONS ARE MADE FOR TWO CONDITIONS:
THE THIRD LINE SHOWS THE NUMBER OF GAMES WHERE THE TEAM IS
THE PREDICTED 'FAVORITE'. BY DEFINITION THEN THE LEAGUE'S
STRONGEST TEAM WOULD BE PREDICTED TO WIN THE MOST IF NOT ALL
ITS GAMES.
HOWEVER, WE ALL KNOW THAT FAVORITES ARE UPSET 20 TO 25
PERCENT OF THE TIME. SO THE FIRST LINE IS A BETTER ESTIMATE
OF THE SEASON W-L RECORD. THIS FIRST LINE IS BASED ON WHAT
STATISTICIANS CALL A MONTE CARLO SIMULATION-I.E., THE COMPUTER
PLAYS THROUGH THE NFL SCHEDULE 1000 TIMES AND ESTIMATES THE
NUMBER OF WINS TAKING INTO CONSIDERATION POSSIBLE UPSETS.
TEAMS WITHIN DIVISIONS ARE SORTED BY SIMULATED PERCENTAGES.
IN CASE TWO TEAMS ARE TIED IN THE WON/LOSS COLUMN (THIRD LINE)
OR ARE TIED WHEN PICKING WILD CARD TEAMS, THE BEST TEAM WILL
BE THE SIMULATED WINNER OF THE TWO.
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