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Predict Report - Weighted
Super Bowl
o at Las Vegas SF favored by 11 over KC
BUD GOODE'S SPORTS COMPUTER - P.O. BOX 1567, STUDIO CITY, CALIF. 91604
REPORT 3 NATIONAL FOOTBALL LEAGUE PROJECTED SCORING - 2023 WEEK 22 - 01/31/24
Bud Goode Sports Computer, Copyright 2024, All Rights Reserved.
DATA YR 2023 PRED. WEEK 22 PRIOR YR 2022 SCHED YR 2023 WEIGHT = 0.000
---------------------------------------WEEK---------------------------------------- --PREDICTION--
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*****NATIONAL CONFERENCE*****
EASTERN DIVISION
A A A A A A A A 11- 5-0 *0.688
OPPONENT NYG NYJ ARI NE SF LAC BYE LAR PHI NYG CAR WAS SEA PHI BUF MIA DET
1. DALLAS PREDICTED +13 +15 +12 +12 - 8 + 9 0 + 7 + 4 +16 +15 +17 +12 + 8 - 4 - 2 + 5 11- 5-0 0.688
ACTUAL +40 +20 -12 +35 -32 + 3 0 +23 - 5 +32 +23 +35 + 6 +20 -21 - 2 + 1 11- 5-0 0.688
A A A A A A A A 11- 5-0 *0.688
OPPONENT NE MIN TB WAS LAR NYJ MIA WAS DAL BYE KC BUF SF DAL SEA NYG ARI
2. PHILADELPHIA PREDICTED + 4 + 2 - 2 +10 - 3 + 6 - 3 + 7 - 4 0 - 3 - 5 -10 - 8 + 2 +11 +11 11- 5-0 0.688
ACTUAL + 5 + 6 +14 + 3 + 9 - 6 +14 + 7 + 5 0 + 4 + 3 -23 -20 - 3 + 8 - 4 11- 5-0 0.688
A A A A A A A A A 5-11-0 *0.313
OPPONENT DAL ARI SF SEA MIA BUF WAS NYJ LVR DAL WAS NE BYE GB NO PHI LAR
3. N.Y. GIANTS PREDICTED -13 - 2 -22 - 3 -15 -18 + 2 + 1 - 8 -16 - 2 - 1 0 - 7 -13 -11 - 7 5-11-0 0.313
ACTUAL -40 + 3 -18 -21 -15 - 5 + 7 - 3 -24 -32 +12 + 3 0 + 2 -18 - 8 - 1 5-11-0 0.313
A A A A A A A A A 4-12-0 *0.250
OPPONENT ARI DEN BUF PHI CHI ATL NYG PHI NE SEA NYG DAL MIA BYE LAR NYJ SF
4. WASHINGTON PREDICTED + 1 - 7 -15 -10 - 6 -10 - 2 - 7 - 6 - 7 + 2 -17 -11 0 -12 - 4 -18 4-12-0 0.250
ACTUAL + 4 + 2 -34 - 3 -20 + 8 - 7 - 7 + 3 - 3 -12 -35 -30 0 - 8 - 2 -17 4-12-0 0.250
NORTHERN DIVISION ----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
A A A A A A A A A 11- 5-0 *0.688
OPPONENT KC SEA ATL GB CAR TB BAL LVR BYE LAC CHI GB NO CHI DEN MIN DAL
1. DETROIT PREDICTED + 1 + 9 + 6 + 1 +16 + 1 -11 + 8 0 + 6 + 7 + 5 - 1 + 2 + 9 + 1 - 5 11- 5-0 0.688
ACTUAL + 1 - 6 +14 +14 +18 +14 -32 +12 0 + 3 + 5 - 7 + 5 -15 +25 + 6 - 1 11- 5-0 0.688
A A A A A A A A A 8- 8-0 *0.500
OPPONENT CHI ATL NO DET LVR BYE DEN MIN LAR PIT LAC DET KC NYG TB CAR MIN
2. GREEN BAY PREDICTED + 1 + 1 + 1 - 1 + 1 0 + 2 + 3 + 2 - 1 + 8 - 5 + 2 + 7 + 2 + 9 - 1 8- 8-0 0.500
ACTUAL +18 - 1 + 1 -14 - 4 0 - 2 -14 +17 - 4 + 3 + 7 + 8 - 2 -14 + 3 +23 8- 8-0 0.500
A A A A A A A A 7- 9-0 *0.438
OPPONENT TB PHI LAC CAR KC CHI SF GB ATL NO DEN CHI BYE LVR CIN DET GB
3. MINNESOTA PREDICTED - 1 - 2 + 5 + 9 - 1 - 1 -11 - 3 - 2 - 1 + 1 + 3 0 - 1 - 1 - 1 + 1 7- 9-0 0.438
ACTUAL - 3 - 6 - 4 + 8 - 7 + 6 + 5 +14 + 3 + 8 - 1 - 2 0 + 3 - 3 - 6 -23 7- 9-0 0.438
A A A A A A A A 7- 9-0 *0.438
OPPONENT GB TB KC DEN WAS MIN LVR LAC NO CAR DET MIN BYE DET CLE ARI ATL
4. CHICAGO PREDICTED - 1 - 4 - 4 + 4 + 6 + 1 + 3 + 2 - 5 +12 - 7 - 3 0 - 2 - 4 +10 + 3 7- 9-0 0.438
ACTUAL -18 -10 -31 - 3 +20 - 6 +18 -17 - 7 + 3 - 5 + 2 0 +15 - 3 +11 +20 7- 9-0 0.438
SOUTHERN DIVISION ----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
A A A A A A A A A 8- 8-0 *0.500
OPPONENT TEN CAR GB TB NE HOU JAC IND CHI MIN BYE ATL DET CAR NYG LAR TB
1. NEW ORLEANS PREDICTED + 6 +12 - 1 + 2 + 5 + 1 + 5 + 1 + 5 + 1 0 + 1 + 1 +16 +13 - 2 - 2 8- 8-0 0.500
ACTUAL + 1 + 3 - 1 -17 +34 - 7 - 7 +11 + 7 - 8 0 - 9 - 5 +22 +18 - 8 +10 8- 8-0 0.500
A A A A A A A A 8- 8-0 *0.500
OPPONENT MIN CHI PHI NO BYE DET ATL BUF HOU TEN SF IND CAR ATL GB JAC NO
2. TAMPA BAY PREDICTED + 1 + 4 + 2 - 2 0 - 1 + 4 - 8 - 1 + 6 -14 - 1 +15 - 1 - 2 + 5 + 2 8- 8-0 0.500
ACTUAL + 3 +10 -14 +17 0 -14 - 3 - 6 - 2 +14 -13 - 7 + 3 + 4 +14 +18 -10 8- 8-0 0.500
A A A A A A A A 7- 9-0 *0.438
OPPONENT CAR GB DET JAC HOU WAS TB TEN MIN ARI BYE NO NYJ TB CAR IND CHI
3. ATLANTA PREDICTED +12 - 1 - 6 - 1 + 1 +10 - 4 + 1 + 2 + 5 0 - 1 + 5 + 1 + 8 + 3 - 3 7- 9-0 0.438
ACTUAL +14 + 1 -14 -16 + 2 - 8 + 3 - 5 - 3 - 2 0 + 9 + 5 - 4 - 2 +19 -20 7- 9-0 0.438
A A A A A A A A A 2-14-0 *0.125
OPPONENT ATL NO SEA MIN DET MIA BYE HOU IND CHI DAL TEN TB NO ATL GB JAC
4. CAROLINA PREDICTED -12 -12 - 8 - 9 -16 -18 0 - 9 - 9 -12 -15 -11 -15 -16 - 8 - 9 -13 2-14-0 0.125
ACTUAL -14 - 3 -10 - 8 -18 -21 0 + 2 -14 - 3 -23 - 7 - 3 -22 + 2 - 3 -26 2-14-0 0.125
---------------------------------------WEEK---------------------------------------- --PREDICTION--
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 W L T PCT.
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WESTERN DIVISION ----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
A A A A A A A A A 12- 4-0 *0.750
OPPONENT PIT LAR NYG ARI DAL CLE MIN CIN BYE JAC TB SEA PHI SEA ARI BAL WAS
1. S. FRANCISCO PREDICTED +12 +10 +22 +22 + 8 +10 +11 +17 0 +11 +14 +14 +10 +19 +18 + 3 +18 12- 4-0 0.750
ACTUAL +23 + 7 +18 +19 +32 - 2 - 5 -14 0 +31 +13 +18 +23 +12 +16 -14 +17 12- 4-0 0.750
A A A A A A A A 9- 7-0 *0.563
OPPONENT SEA SF CIN IND PHI ARI PIT DAL GB BYE SEA ARI CLE BAL WAS NO NYG
2. L. A. RAMS PREDICTED + 4 -10 + 2 + 1 + 3 +11 + 3 - 7 - 2 0 + 8 + 7 + 3 -14 +12 + 2 + 7 9- 7-0 0.563
ACTUAL +17 - 7 - 3 + 6 - 9 +17 - 7 -23 -17 0 + 1 +23 +17 - 6 + 8 + 8 + 1 9- 7-0 0.563
A A A A A A A A 8- 8-0 *0.500
OPPONENT LAR DET CAR NYG BYE CIN ARI CLE BAL WAS LAR SF DAL SF PHI TEN PIT
3. SEATTLE PREDICTED - 4 - 9 + 8 + 3 0 - 4 + 5 - 3 -19 + 7 - 8 -14 -12 -19 - 2 - 4 - 1 8- 8-0 0.500
ACTUAL -17 + 6 +10 +21 0 - 4 +10 + 4 -34 + 3 - 1 -18 - 6 -12 + 3 + 3 - 7 8- 8-0 0.500
A A A A A A A A A 4-12-0 *0.250
OPPONENT WAS NYG DAL SF CIN LAR SEA BAL CLE ATL HOU LAR PIT BYE SF CHI PHI
4. ARIZONA PREDICTED - 1 + 2 -12 -22 - 4 -11 - 5 -18 -10 - 5 -10 - 7 -10 0 -18 -10 -11 4-12-0 0.250
ACTUAL - 4 - 3 +12 -19 -14 -17 -10 - 7 -27 + 2 - 5 -23 +14 0 -16 -11 + 4 4-12-0 0.250
BUD GOODE'S SPORTS COMPUTER - P.O. BOX 1567, STUDIO CITY, CALIF. 91604
REPORT 3 NATIONAL FOOTBALL LEAGUE PROJECTED SCORING - 2023 WEEK 22 - 01/31/24
Bud Goode Sports Computer, Copyright 2024, All Rights Reserved.
DATA YR 2023 PRED. WEEK 22 PRIOR YR 2022 SCHED YR 2023 WEIGHT = 0.000
---------------------------------------WEEK---------------------------------------- --PREDICTION--
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 W L T PCT.
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*****AMERICAN CONFERENCE*****
EASTERN DIVISION
A A A A A A A A 11- 5-0 *0.688
OPPONENT LAC NE DEN BUF NYG CAR PHI NE KC BYE LVR NYJ WAS TEN NYJ DAL BAL
1. MIAMI PREDICTED + 9 + 9 +10 - 4 +15 +18 + 3 +12 + 2 0 +10 +11 +11 +11 +16 + 2 -10 11- 5-0 0.688
ACTUAL + 2 + 7 +50 -28 +15 +21 -14 +14 - 7 0 + 7 +21 +30 - 1 +30 + 2 -37 11- 5-0 0.688
A A A A A A A 10- 6-0 *0.625
OPPONENT NYJ LVR WAS MIA JAC NYG NE TB CIN DEN NYJ PHI BYE KC DAL LAC NE
2. BUFFALO PREDICTED +14 +11 +15 + 4 +10 +18 +11 + 8 + 8 +13 +18 + 5 0 + 4 + 4 + 9 +15 10- 6-0 0.625
ACTUAL - 6 +28 +34 +28 - 5 + 5 - 4 + 6 - 6 - 2 +26 - 3 0 + 3 +21 + 2 + 6 10- 6-0 0.625
A A A A A A A 6-10-0 *0.375
OPPONENT BUF DAL NE KC DEN PHI BYE NYG LAC LVR BUF MIA ATL HOU MIA WAS CLE
3. N.Y. JETS PREDICTED -14 -15 - 1 - 8 - 6 - 6 0 - 1 - 1 - 8 -18 -11 - 5 - 5 -16 + 4 -11 6-10-0 0.375
ACTUAL + 6 -20 - 5 - 3 +10 + 6 0 + 3 -21 - 4 -26 -21 - 5 +24 -30 + 2 -17 6-10-0 0.375
A A A A A A A A 4-12-0 *0.250
OPPONENT PHI MIA NYJ DAL NO LVR BUF MIA WAS IND BYE NYG LAC PIT KC DEN BUF
4. NEW ENGLAND PREDICTED - 4 - 9 + 1 -12 - 5 - 5 -11 -12 + 6 - 2 0 + 1 + 2 - 7 - 4 - 5 -15 4-12-0 0.250
ACTUAL - 5 - 7 + 5 -35 -34 - 4 + 4 -14 - 3 - 4 0 - 3 - 6 + 3 -10 + 3 - 6 4-12-0 0.250
NORTHERN DIVISION ----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
A A A A A A A A 13- 3-0 *0.813
OPPONENT HOU CIN IND CLE PIT TEN DET ARI SEA CLE CIN LAC BYE LAR JAC SF MIA
1. BALTIMORE PREDICTED +14 +13 +14 +10 +11 +14 +11 +18 +19 +14 +17 +15 0 +14 +11 - 3 +10 13- 3-0 0.813
ACTUAL +16 + 3 - 3 +25 - 7 + 8 +32 + 7 +34 - 2 +14 +10 0 + 6 +16 +14 +37 13- 3-0 0.813
A A A A A A A 11- 5-0 *0.688
OPPONENT CIN PIT TEN BAL BYE SF IND SEA ARI BAL PIT DEN LAR JAC CHI HOU NYJ
2. CLEVELAND PREDICTED + 4 - 1 + 5 -10 0 -10 - 1 + 3 +10 -14 + 3 + 1 - 3 + 4 + 4 - 2 +11 11- 5-0 0.688
ACTUAL +21 - 4 +24 -25 0 + 2 + 1 - 4 +27 + 2 + 3 -17 -17 + 4 + 3 +14 +17 11- 5-0 0.688
A A A A A A A 9- 7-0 *0.563
OPPONENT SF CLE LVR HOU BAL BYE LAR JAC TEN GB CLE CIN ARI NE IND CIN SEA
3. PITTSBURGH PREDICTED -12 + 1 + 1 - 2 -11 0 - 3 + 2 + 5 + 1 - 3 - 1 +10 + 7 - 3 + 4 + 1 9- 7-0 0.563
ACTUAL -23 + 4 + 5 -24 + 7 0 + 7 -10 + 4 + 4 - 3 + 6 -14 - 3 -17 +23 + 7 9- 7-0 0.563
A A A A A A A A 8- 8-0 *0.500
OPPONENT CLE BAL LAR TEN ARI SEA BYE SF BUF HOU BAL PIT JAC IND MIN PIT KC
4. CINCINNATI PREDICTED - 4 -13 - 2 - 1 + 4 + 4 0 -17 - 8 - 1 -17 + 1 - 4 + 1 + 1 - 4 - 6 8- 8-0 0.500
ACTUAL -21 - 3 + 3 -24 +14 + 4 0 +14 + 6 - 3 -14 - 6 + 3 +20 + 3 -23 - 8 8- 8-0 0.500
SOUTHERN DIVISION ----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
A A A A A A A 9- 7-0 *0.563
OPPONENT BAL IND JAC PIT ATL NO BYE CAR TB CIN ARI JAC DEN NYJ TEN CLE TEN
1. HOUSTON PREDICTED -14 + 2 - 1 + 2 - 1 - 1 0 + 9 + 1 + 1 +10 + 3 + 6 + 5 + 1 + 2 + 6 9- 7-0 0.563
ACTUAL -16 -11 +20 +24 - 2 + 7 0 - 2 + 2 + 3 + 5 - 3 + 5 -24 + 3 -14 +23 9- 7-0 0.563
A A A A A A A A 9- 7-0 *0.563
OPPONENT JAC HOU BAL LAR TEN JAC CLE NO CAR NE BYE TB TEN CIN PIT ATL LVR
2. INDIANAPOLIS PREDICTED + 2 - 2 -14 - 1 + 4 - 1 + 1 - 1 + 9 + 2 0 + 1 - 1 - 1 + 3 - 3 + 4 9- 7-0 0.563
ACTUAL -10 +11 + 3 - 6 + 7 -17 - 1 -11 +14 + 4 0 + 7 + 3 -20 +17 -19 + 3 9- 7-0 0.563
A A A A A A A 9- 7-0 *0.563
OPPONENT IND KC HOU ATL BUF IND NO PIT BYE SF TEN HOU CIN CLE BAL TB CAR
3. JACKSONVILLE PREDICTED - 2 - 1 + 1 + 1 -10 + 1 - 5 - 2 0 -11 + 4 - 3 + 4 - 4 -11 - 5 +13 9- 7-0 0.563
ACTUAL +10 - 8 -20 +16 + 5 +17 + 7 +10 0 -31 +20 + 3 - 3 - 4 -16 -18 +26 9- 7-0 0.563
A A A A A A A A 5-11-0 *0.313
OPPONENT NO LAC CLE CIN IND BAL BYE ATL PIT TB JAC CAR IND MIA HOU SEA HOU
4. TENNESSEE PREDICTED - 6 + 3 - 5 + 1 - 4 -14 0 - 1 - 5 - 6 - 4 +11 + 1 -11 - 1 + 4 - 6 5-11-0 0.313
ACTUAL - 1 + 3 -24 +24 - 7 - 8 0 + 5 - 4 -14 -20 + 7 - 3 + 1 - 3 - 3 -23 5-11-0 0.313
---------------------------------------WEEK---------------------------------------- --PREDICTION--
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 W L T PCT.
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WESTERN DIVISION ----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
A A A A A A A 10- 6-0 *0.625
OPPONENT DET JAC CHI NYJ MIN DEN LAC DEN MIA BYE PHI LVR GB BUF NE LVR CIN
1. KANSAS CITY PREDICTED - 1 + 1 + 4 + 8 + 1 + 6 + 8 + 3 - 2 0 + 3 + 1 - 2 - 4 + 4 + 6 + 6 10- 6-0 0.625
ACTUAL - 1 + 8 +31 + 3 + 7 +11 +14 -15 + 7 0 - 4 +14 - 8 - 3 +10 - 6 + 8 10- 6-0 0.625
A A A A A A A 8- 8-0 *0.500
OPPONENT LVR WAS MIA CHI NYJ KC GB KC BYE BUF MIN CLE HOU LAC DET NE LAC
2. DENVER PREDICTED + 1 + 7 -10 - 4 + 6 - 6 - 2 - 3 0 -13 - 1 - 1 - 6 - 1 - 9 + 5 + 4 8- 8-0 0.500
ACTUAL - 1 - 2 -50 + 3 -10 -11 + 2 +15 0 + 2 + 1 +17 - 5 +17 -25 - 3 + 7 8- 8-0 0.500
A A A A A A A A 7- 9-0 *0.438
OPPONENT DEN BUF PIT LAC GB NE CHI DET NYG NYJ MIA KC BYE MIN LAC KC IND
3. LAS VEGAS PREDICTED - 1 -11 - 1 + 1 - 1 + 5 - 3 - 8 + 8 + 8 -10 - 1 0 + 1 + 5 - 6 - 4 7- 9-0 0.438
ACTUAL + 1 -28 - 5 - 7 + 4 + 4 -18 -12 +24 + 4 - 7 -14 0 - 3 +42 + 6 - 3 7- 9-0 0.438
A A A A A A A A 5-11-0 *0.313
OPPONENT MIA TEN MIN LVR BYE DAL KC CHI NYJ DET GB BAL NE DEN LVR BUF DEN
4. L A CHARGERS PREDICTED - 9 - 3 - 5 - 1 0 - 9 - 8 - 2 + 1 - 6 - 8 -15 - 2 + 1 - 5 - 9 - 4 5-11-0 0.313
ACTUAL - 2 - 3 + 4 + 7 0 - 3 -14 +17 +21 - 3 - 3 -10 + 6 -17 -42 - 2 - 7 5-11-0 0.313
THE MOST LIKELY NFC LEADERS ARE: DALLAS (11- 5), DETROIT (11- 5)NEW ORLEANS ( 8- 8) AND S. FRANCISCO (12- 4)
THE MOST LIKELY AFC LEADERS ARE: MIAMI (11- 5), BALTIMORE (13- 3)HOUSTON ( 9- 7) AND KANSAS CITY (10- 6)
THE MOST LIKELY NFC WILD CARD TEAMS ARE PHILADELPHIA AND L. A. RAMS
THE MOST LIKELY AFC WILD CARD TEAMS ARE CLEVELAND AND BUFFALO
THE NFC CHAMPION SHOULD BE S. FRANCISCO THE AFC CHAMP BALTIMORE
FAVORED BY 0 POINTS, THE SUPER BOWL CHAMP WILL BE S. FRANCISCO.
OF COURSE ANYTHING CAN HAPPEN IN A PLAYOFF GAME AND INJURIES
AFTER THIS WEEK CAN KNOCK ANY TEAM OUT OF THE BOX. BUT BASED ON
THE STATS TO DATE S. FRANCISCO WILL BE THE SUPER BOWL WINNER.
* COMPUTER SEASON PREDICTIONS ARE MADE FOR TWO CONDITIONS:
THE THIRD LINE SHOWS THE NUMBER OF GAMES WHERE THE TEAM IS
THE PREDICTED 'FAVORITE'. BY DEFINITION THEN THE LEAGUE'S
STRONGEST TEAM WOULD BE PREDICTED TO WIN THE MOST IF NOT ALL
ITS GAMES.
HOWEVER, WE ALL KNOW THAT FAVORITES ARE UPSET 20 TO 25
PERCENT OF THE TIME. SO THE FIRST LINE IS A BETTER ESTIMATE
OF THE SEASON W-L RECORD. THIS FIRST LINE IS BASED ON WHAT
STATISTICIANS CALL A MONTE CARLO SIMULATION-I.E., THE COMPUTER
PLAYS THROUGH THE NFL SCHEDULE 1000 TIMES AND ESTIMATES THE
NUMBER OF WINS TAKING INTO CONSIDERATION POSSIBLE UPSETS.
TEAMS WITHIN DIVISIONS ARE SORTED BY SIMULATED PERCENTAGES.
IN CASE TWO TEAMS ARE TIED IN THE WON/LOSS COLUMN (THIRD LINE)
OR ARE TIED WHEN PICKING WILD CARD TEAMS, THE BEST TEAM WILL
BE THE SIMULATED WINNER OF THE TWO.
BUD GOODE'S SPORTS COMPUTER - P.O. BOX 1567, STUDIO CITY, CALIF. 91604
REPORT 3 NATIONAL FOOTBALL LEAGUE PROJECTED SCORING - 0 WEEK 22 - 01/31/24
Bud Goode Sports Computer, Copyright 2024, All Rights Reserved.
DATA YR 2023 PRED. WEEK 22 PRIOR YR 2022 SCHED YR 2023 WEIGHT = 0.000
TEAMS
LEAGUE -----------
AVERAGE SF KC
------- ----- -----
TOTAL RUSHING PL 26.77 29.38 24.32
OPPONENT TOT.RUS 26.77 20.82 25.13
YARDS PER PASS A 6.06 8.49 6.40
OP.YDS.PER PASS 6.04 5.44 4.92
FUM. LOST THIS Y 0.57 0.32 0.69
OPP.FUMBLES RECO 0.57 0.38 0.50
PASSES HAD INTER 0.80 0.75 1.00
OP.PASSES INTERC 0.80 1.32 0.51
QB SACKS.LOTSA O 2.60 1.94 1.69
OP QB SACKED. OU 2.60 2.88 3.38
YDS GAINED ON RE 51.56 62.82 39.45
OP YDS GAND ON R 51.64 65.44 40.19
PREDICTED POINTS SCORE
OFFENSE 19. 28. 18.
DEFENSE 19. 14. 16.
HOME FIELD ADVANTAGE 0.00
WINNING MARGIN (POINTS) 11.16 *****
ACTUAL POINTS PER GAME
OFFENSE 22. 29. 22.
DEFENSE 22. 17. 18.
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