Predict Report - Weighted
Bud Goode Sports Computer, Copyright 2024, All Rights Reserved.
DATA YR 2024 PRED. WEEK 16 PRIOR YR 2023 SCHED YR 2024
WEIGHT = 0.000
Report 3
PREDICTIONS FOR
WEEK 16, 12/17/24
ATLANTA
WK OPP PRE ACT SCORE
1 PIT -4 -8 10 18
2 PHI -13 1 22 21
3 KC -4 -5 17 22
4 NO -1 2 26 24
5 TB -5 6 36 30
6 CAR 6 18 38 20
7 SEA 1 -20 14 34
8 TB -9 5 31 26
9 DAL 7 6 27 21
10 NO -5 -3 17 20
11 DEN -10 -32 6 38
13 LAC -2 -4 13 17
14 MIN -12 -21 21 42
15 LVR 4 6 15 9
16 NYG 8
17 WAS -8
--PREDICTION--
W L T PCT.
8 8 0 0.500
--SIMULATION--
W L PCT.
8 8 0.500
PRE = PREDICTED
WINNING
MARGIN
ACT = ACTUAL
WINNING
MARGIN
OPP = OPPONENT
1 PREDICTIONS FOR
WEEK 16, 12/17/24
INDIANAPOLIS
WK OPP PRE ACT SCORE
1 HOU -3 -2 27 29
2 GB -11 -6 10 16
3 CHI -2 5 21 16
4 PIT -6 3 27 24
5 JAC 3 -3 34 37
6 TEN 3 3 20 17
7 MIA -1 6 16 10
8 HOU -6 -3 20 23
9 MIN -12 -8 13 21
10 BUF -11 -10 20 30
11 NYJ -4 1 28 27
12 DET -13 -18 6 24
13 NE 1 1 25 24
15 DEN -11 -18 13 31
16 TEN 7
17 NYG 1
--PREDICTION--
W L T PCT.
8 8 0 0.500
--SIMULATION--
W L PCT.
7 9 0.438
PREDICTIONS FOR
WEEK 16, 12/17/24
BUFFALO
WK OPP PRE ACT SCORE
1 ARI 10 6 34 28
2 MIA 9 21 31 10
3 JAC 19 37 47 10
4 BAL -1 -25 10 35
5 HOU 7 -3 20 23
6 NYJ 9 3 23 20
7 TEN 19 24 34 10
8 SEA 8 21 31 10
9 MIA 12 3 30 27
10 IND 11 10 30 20
11 KC 9 9 30 21
13 SF 13 25 35 10
14 LAR 7 -2 42 44
15 DET -6 6 48 42
16 NE 19
17 NYJ 13
--PREDICTION--
W L T PCT.
13 3 0 0.813
--SIMULATION--
W L PCT.
13 3 0.813
1 PREDICTIONS FOR
WEEK 16, 12/17/24
CHICAGO
WK OPP PRE ACT SCORE
1 TEN 9 7 24 17
2 HOU -3 -6 13 19
3 IND 2 -5 16 21
4 LAR 2 6 24 18
5 CAR 11 26 36 10
6 JAC 10 19 35 16
8 WAS -6 -3 15 18
9 ARI -3 -20 9 29
10 NE 9 -16 3 19
11 GB -5 -1 19 20
12 MIN -5 -3 27 30
13 DET -15 -3 20 23
14 SF -2 -25 13 38
15 MIN -10 -18 12 30
16 DET -10
17 SEA 3
--PREDICTION--
W L T PCT.
5 11 0 0.313
--SIMULATION--
W L PCT.
5 11 0.313
PREDICTIONS FOR
WEEK 16, 12/17/24
CINCINNATI
WK OPP PRE ACT SCORE
1 NE 8 -6 10 16
2 KC -5 -1 25 26
3 WAS -2 -5 33 38
4 CAR 8 10 34 24
5 BAL -7 -3 38 41
6 NYG 6 10 17 7
7 CLE 7 7 21 14
8 PHI -8 -20 17 37
9 LVR 10 17 41 24
10 BAL -11 -1 34 35
11 LAC -5 -7 27 34
13 PIT -2 -6 38 44
14 DAL 4 7 27 20
15 TEN 5 10 37 27
16 CLE 11
17 DEN -3
--PREDICTION--
W L T PCT.
7 9 0 0.438
--SIMULATION--
W L PCT.
7 9 0.438
1 PREDICTIONS FOR
WEEK 16, 12/17/24
BALTIMORE
WK OPP PRE ACT SCORE
1 KC 4 -7 20 27
2 LVR 18 -3 23 26
3 DAL 14 3 28 25
4 BUF 1 25 35 10
5 CIN 7 3 41 38
6 WAS 7 7 30 23
7 TB 2 10 41 31
8 CLE 15 -5 24 29
9 DEN 5 31 41 10
10 CIN 11 1 35 34
11 PIT 2 -2 16 18
12 LAC 3 7 30 23
13 PHI 1 -5 19 24
15 NYG 13 21 35 14
16 PIT 7
17 HOU 4
--PREDICTION--
W L T PCT.
11 5 0 0.688
--SIMULATION--
W L PCT.
11 5 0.688
PREDICTIONS FOR
WEEK 16, 12/17/24
DALLAS
WK OPP PRE ACT SCORE
1 CLE 1 16 33 17
2 NO -6 -25 19 44
3 BAL -14 -3 25 28
4 NYG -1 5 20 15
5 PIT -12 3 20 17
6 DET -17 -38 9 47
8 SF -7 -6 24 30
9 ATL -7 -6 21 27
10 PHI -14 -28 6 34
11 HOU -6 -24 10 34
12 WAS -13 8 34 26
13 NYG 3 7 27 20
14 CIN -4 -7 20 27
15 CAR 1 16 30 14
16 TB -9
17 PHI -19
--PREDICTION--
W L T PCT.
6 10 0 0.375
--SIMULATION--
W L PCT.
6 10 0.375
1 PREDICTIONS FOR
WEEK 16, 12/17/24
DENVER
WK OPP PRE ACT SCORE
1 SEA 5 -6 20 26
2 PIT 3 -7 6 13
3 TB -1 19 26 7
4 NYJ 5 1 10 9
5 LVR 15 16 34 18
6 LAC 4 -7 16 23
7 NO 3 23 33 10
8 CAR 17 14 28 14
9 BAL -5 -31 10 41
10 KC 1 -2 14 16
11 ATL 10 32 38 6
12 LVR 11 10 29 19
13 CLE 17 9 41 32
15 IND 11 18 31 13
16 LAC -1
17 CIN 3
--PREDICTION--
W L T PCT.
10 6 0 0.625
--SIMULATION--
W L PCT.
10 6 0.625
PREDICTIONS FOR
WEEK 16, 12/17/24
DETROIT
WK OPP PRE ACT SCORE
1 LAR 14 6 26 20
2 TB 9 -4 16 20
3 ARI 11 7 20 13
4 SEA 15 13 42 29
6 DAL 17 38 47 9
7 MIN 4 2 31 29
8 TEN 22 38 52 14
9 GB 4 10 24 14
10 HOU 9 3 26 23
11 JAC 23 46 52 6
12 IND 13 18 24 6
13 CHI 15 3 23 20
14 GB 8 3 34 31
15 BUF 6 -6 42 48
16 CHI 10
17 SF 11
--PREDICTION--
W L T PCT.
14 2 0 0.875
--SIMULATION--
W L PCT.
14 2 0.875
1 PREDICTIONS FOR
WEEK 16, 12/17/24
GREEN BAY
WK OPP PRE ACT SCORE
1 PHI -4 -5 29 34
2 IND 11 6 16 10
3 TEN 13 16 30 14
4 MIN 1 -2 29 31
5 LAR 6 5 24 19
6 ARI 8 21 34 13
7 HOU 7 2 24 22
8 JAC 13 3 30 27
9 DET -4 -10 14 24
11 CHI 5 1 20 19
12 SF 10 28 38 10
13 MIA 10 13 30 17
14 DET -8 -3 31 34
15 SEA 5 17 30 13
16 NO 8
17 MIN -3
--PREDICTION--
W L T PCT.
11 5 0 0.688
--SIMULATION--
W L PCT.
11 5 0.688
PREDICTIONS FOR
WEEK 16, 12/17/24
TENNESSEE
WK OPP PRE ACT SCORE
1 CHI -9 -7 17 24
2 NYJ -6 -7 17 24
3 GB -13 -16 14 30
4 MIA -9 19 31 12
6 IND -3 -3 17 20
7 BUF -19 -24 10 34
8 DET -22 -38 14 52
9 NE 1 3 20 17
10 LAC -13 -10 17 27
11 MIN -13 -10 13 23
12 HOU -11 5 32 27
13 WAS -14 -23 19 42
14 JAC 3 -4 6 10
15 CIN -5 -10 27 37
16 IND -7
17 JAC -2
--PREDICTION--
W L T PCT.
3 13 0 0.188
--SIMULATION--
W L PCT.
3 13 0.188
1 PREDICTIONS FOR
WEEK 16, 12/17/24
KANSAS CITY
WK OPP PRE ACT SCORE
1 BAL -4 7 27 20
2 CIN 5 1 26 25
3 ATL 4 5 22 17
4 LAC -1 7 17 10
5 NO 4 13 26 13
7 SF 3 10 28 18
8 LVR 10 7 27 20
9 TB 1 6 30 24
10 DEN -1 2 16 14
11 BUF -9 -9 21 30
12 CAR 11 3 30 27
13 LVR 14 2 19 17
14 LAC 3 2 19 17
15 CLE 9 14 21 7
16 HOU 5
17 PIT -4
--PREDICTION--
W L T PCT.
14 2 0 0.875
--SIMULATION--
W L PCT.
14 2 0.875
PREDICTIONS FOR
WEEK 16, 12/17/24
L. A. RAMS
WK OPP PRE ACT SCORE
1 DET -14 -6 20 26
2 ARI -2 -31 10 41
3 SF 2 3 27 24
4 CHI -2 -6 18 24
5 GB -6 -5 19 24
7 LVR 10 5 20 15
8 MIN -6 10 30 20
9 SEA -2 6 26 20
10 MIA 2 -8 15 23
11 NE 4 6 28 22
12 PHI -8 -17 20 37
13 NO -4 7 21 14
14 BUF -7 2 44 42
15 SF -2 6 12 6
16 NYJ -2
17 ARI 2
--PREDICTION--
W L T PCT.
9 7 0 0.563
--SIMULATION--
W L PCT.
9 7 0.563
1 PREDICTIONS FOR
WEEK 16, 12/17/24
MIAMI
WK OPP PRE ACT SCORE
1 JAC 9 3 20 17
2 BUF -9 -21 10 31
3 SEA -2 -21 3 24
4 TEN 9 -19 12 31
5 NE 4 5 15 10
7 IND 1 -6 10 16
8 ARI 1 -1 27 28
9 BUF -12 -3 27 30
10 LAR -2 8 23 15
11 LVR 10 15 34 19
12 NE 8 19 34 15
13 GB -10 -13 17 30
14 NYJ 3 6 32 26
15 HOU -5 -8 12 20
16 SF 3
17 CLE 5
--PREDICTION--
W L T PCT.
8 8 0 0.500
--SIMULATION--
W L PCT.
7 9 0.438
PREDICTIONS FOR
WEEK 16, 12/17/24
MINNESOTA
WK OPP PRE ACT SCORE
1 NYG 13 22 28 6
2 SF 10 6 23 17
3 HOU 7 27 34 7
4 GB -1 2 31 29
5 NYJ 10 6 23 17
7 DET -4 -2 29 31
8 LAR 6 -10 20 30
9 IND 12 8 21 13
10 JAC 13 5 12 7
11 TEN 13 10 23 13
12 CHI 5 3 30 27
13 ARI 9 1 23 22
14 ATL 12 21 42 21
15 CHI 10 18 30 12
16 SEA 5
17 GB 3
--PREDICTION--
W L T PCT.
14 2 0 0.875
--SIMULATION--
W L PCT.
13 3 0.813
1 PREDICTIONS FOR
WEEK 16, 12/17/24
NEW ENGLAND
WK OPP PRE ACT SCORE
1 CIN -8 6 16 10
2 SEA -5 -3 20 23
3 NYJ -7 -21 3 24
4 SF -7 -17 13 30
5 MIA -4 -5 10 15
6 HOU -6 -20 21 41
7 JAC -1 -16 16 32
8 NYJ -4 3 25 22
9 TEN -1 -3 17 20
10 CHI -9 16 19 3
11 LAR -4 -6 22 28
12 MIA -8 -19 15 34
13 IND -1 -1 24 25
15 ARI -10 -13 17 30
16 BUF -19
17 LAC -7
--PREDICTION--
W L T PCT.
3 13 0 0.188
--SIMULATION--
W L PCT.
3 13 0.188
PREDICTIONS FOR
WEEK 16, 12/17/24
NEW ORLEANS
WK OPP PRE ACT SCORE
1 CAR 12 37 47 10
2 DAL 6 25 44 19
3 PHI -7 -3 12 15
4 ATL 1 -2 24 26
5 KC -4 -13 13 26
6 TB -2 -24 27 51
7 DEN -3 -23 10 33
8 LAC -4 -18 8 26
9 CAR 9 -1 22 23
10 ATL 5 3 20 17
11 CLE 12 21 35 14
13 LAR 4 -7 14 21
14 NYG 6 3 14 11
15 WAS 1 -1 19 20
16 GB -8
17 LVR 12
--PREDICTION--
W L T PCT.
6 10 0 0.375
--SIMULATION--
W L PCT.
6 10 0.375
1 PREDICTIONS FOR
WEEK 16, 12/17/24
N.Y. GIANTS
WK OPP PRE ACT SCORE
1 MIN -13 -22 6 28
2 WAS -12 -3 18 21
3 CLE -1 6 21 15
4 DAL 1 -5 15 20
5 SEA -9 9 29 20
6 CIN -6 -10 7 17
7 PHI -15 -25 3 28
8 PIT -13 -8 18 26
9 WAS -9 -5 22 27
10 CAR 1 -3 17 20
12 TB -10 -23 7 30
13 DAL -3 -7 20 27
14 NO -6 -3 11 14
15 BAL -13 -21 14 35
16 ATL -8
17 IND -1
--PREDICTION--
W L T PCT.
2 14 0 0.125
--SIMULATION--
W L PCT.
3 13 0.188
PREDICTIONS FOR
WEEK 16, 12/17/24
N.Y. JETS
WK OPP PRE ACT SCORE
1 SF -1 -13 19 32
2 TEN 6 7 24 17
3 NE 7 21 24 3
4 DEN -5 -1 9 10
5 MIN -10 -6 17 23
6 BUF -9 -3 20 23
7 PIT -7 -22 15 37
8 NE 4 -3 22 25
9 HOU -1 8 21 13
10 ARI -4 -25 6 31
11 IND 4 -1 27 28
13 SEA 2 -5 21 26
14 MIA -3 -6 26 32
15 JAC 5 7 32 25
16 LAR 2
17 BUF -13
--PREDICTION--
W L T PCT.
5 11 0 0.313
--SIMULATION--
W L PCT.
5 11 0.313
1 PREDICTIONS FOR
WEEK 16, 12/17/24
LAS VEGAS
WK OPP PRE ACT SCORE
1 LAC -12 -12 10 22
2 BAL -18 3 26 23
3 CAR 3 -14 22 36
4 CLE 2 4 20 16
5 DEN -15 -16 18 34
6 PIT -10 -19 13 32
7 LAR -10 -5 15 20
8 KC -10 -7 20 27
9 CIN -10 -17 24 41
11 MIA -10 -15 19 34
12 DEN -11 -10 19 29
13 KC -14 -2 17 19
14 TB -16 -15 13 28
15 ATL -4 -6 9 15
16 JAC 3
17 NO -12
--PREDICTION--
W L T PCT.
3 13 0 0.188
--SIMULATION--
W L PCT.
3 13 0.188
PREDICTIONS FOR
WEEK 16, 12/17/24
PHILADELPHIA
WK OPP PRE ACT SCORE
1 GB 4 5 34 29
2 ATL 13 -1 21 22
3 NO 7 3 15 12
4 TB 3 -17 16 33
6 CLE 20 4 20 16
7 NYG 15 25 28 3
8 CIN 8 20 37 17
9 JAC 20 5 28 23
10 DAL 14 28 34 6
11 WAS 8 8 26 18
12 LAR 8 17 37 20
13 BAL -1 5 24 19
14 CAR 22 6 22 16
15 PIT 8 14 27 13
16 WAS 3
17 DAL 19
--PREDICTION--
W L T PCT.
14 2 0 0.875
--SIMULATION--
W L PCT.
14 2 0.875
1 PREDICTIONS FOR
WEEK 16, 12/17/24
PITTSBURGH
WK OPP PRE ACT SCORE
1 ATL 4 8 18 10
2 DEN -3 7 13 6
3 LAC 2 10 20 10
4 IND 6 -3 24 27
5 DAL 12 -3 17 20
6 LVR 10 19 32 13
7 NYJ 7 22 37 15
8 NYG 13 8 26 18
10 WAS -2 1 28 27
11 BAL -2 2 18 16
12 CLE 10 -5 19 24
13 CIN 2 6 44 38
14 CLE 15 13 27 14
15 PHI -8 -14 13 27
16 BAL -7
17 KC 4
--PREDICTION--
W L T PCT.
11 5 0 0.688
--SIMULATION--
W L PCT.
11 5 0.688
PREDICTIONS FOR
WEEK 16, 12/17/24
ARIZONA
WK OPP PRE ACT SCORE
1 BUF -10 -6 28 34
2 LAR 2 31 41 10
3 DET -11 -7 13 20
4 WAS -1 -28 14 42
5 SF 1 1 24 23
6 GB -8 -21 13 34
7 LAC -1 2 17 15
8 MIA -1 1 28 27
9 CHI 3 20 29 9
10 NYJ 4 25 31 6
12 SEA -1 -10 6 16
13 MIN -9 -1 22 23
14 SEA 4 -12 18 30
15 NE 10 13 30 17
16 CAR 8
17 LAR -2
--PREDICTION--
W L T PCT.
8 8 0 0.500
--SIMULATION--
W L PCT.
8 8 0.500
1 PREDICTIONS FOR
WEEK 16, 12/17/24
L A CHARGERS
WK OPP PRE ACT SCORE
1 LVR 12 12 22 10
2 CAR 12 23 26 3
3 PIT -2 -10 10 20
4 KC 1 -7 10 17
6 DEN -4 7 23 16
7 ARI 1 -2 15 17
8 NO 4 18 26 8
9 CLE 10 17 27 10
10 TEN 13 10 27 17
11 CIN 5 7 34 27
12 BAL -3 -7 23 30
13 ATL 2 4 17 13
14 KC -3 -2 17 19
15 TB 1 -23 17 40
16 DEN 1
17 NE 7
--PREDICTION--
W L T PCT.
10 6 0 0.625
--SIMULATION--
W L PCT.
9 7 0.563
PREDICTIONS FOR
WEEK 16, 12/17/24
S. FRANCISCO
WK OPP PRE ACT SCORE
1 NYJ 1 13 32 19
2 MIN -10 -6 17 23
3 LAR -2 -3 24 27
4 NE 7 17 30 13
5 ARI -1 -1 23 24
6 SEA -2 12 36 24
7 KC -3 -10 18 28
8 DAL 7 6 30 24
10 TB -8 3 23 20
11 SEA 2 -3 17 20
12 GB -10 -28 10 38
13 BUF -13 -25 10 35
14 CHI 2 25 38 13
15 LAR 2 -6 6 12
16 MIA -3
17 DET -11
--PREDICTION--
W L T PCT.
6 10 0 0.375
--SIMULATION--
W L PCT.
6 10 0.375
1 PREDICTIONS FOR
WEEK 16, 12/17/24
SEATTLE
WK OPP PRE ACT SCORE
1 DEN -5 6 26 20
2 NE 5 3 23 20
3 MIA 2 21 24 3
4 DET -15 -13 29 42
5 NYG 9 -9 20 29
6 SF 2 -12 24 36
7 ATL -1 20 34 14
8 BUF -8 -21 10 31
9 LAR 2 -6 20 26
11 SF -2 3 20 17
12 ARI 1 10 16 6
13 NYJ -2 5 26 21
14 ARI -4 12 30 18
15 GB -5 -17 13 30
16 MIN -5
17 CHI -3
--PREDICTION--
W L T PCT.
8 8 0 0.500
--SIMULATION--
W L PCT.
9 7 0.563
PREDICTIONS FOR
WEEK 16, 12/17/24
TAMPA BAY
WK OPP PRE ACT SCORE
1 WAS 3 17 37 20
2 DET -9 4 20 16
3 DEN 1 -19 7 26
4 PHI -3 17 33 16
5 ATL 5 -6 30 36
6 NO 2 24 51 27
7 BAL -2 -10 31 41
8 ATL 9 -5 26 31
9 KC -1 -6 24 30
10 SF 8 -3 20 23
12 NYG 10 23 30 7
13 CAR 13 3 26 23
14 LVR 16 15 28 13
15 LAC -1 23 40 17
16 DAL 9
17 CAR 18
--PREDICTION--
W L T PCT.
10 6 0 0.625
--SIMULATION--
W L PCT.
10 6 0.625
1 PREDICTIONS FOR
WEEK 16, 12/17/24
WASHINGTON
WK OPP PRE ACT SCORE
1 TB -3 -17 20 37
2 NYG 12 3 21 18
3 CIN 2 5 38 33
4 ARI 1 28 42 14
5 CLE 14 21 34 13
6 BAL -7 -7 23 30
7 CAR 15 33 40 7
8 CHI 6 3 18 15
9 NYG 9 5 27 22
10 PIT 2 -1 27 28
11 PHI -8 -8 18 26
12 DAL 13 -8 26 34
13 TEN 14 23 42 19
15 NO -1 1 20 19
16 PHI -3
17 ATL 8
--PREDICTION--
W L T PCT.
10 6 0 0.625
--SIMULATION--
W L PCT.
10 6 0.625
PREDICTIONS FOR
WEEK 16, 12/17/24
CAROLINA
WK OPP PRE ACT SCORE
1 NO -12 -37 10 47
2 LAC -12 -23 3 26
3 LVR -3 14 36 22
4 CIN -8 -10 24 34
5 CHI -11 -26 10 36
6 ATL -6 -18 20 38
7 WAS -15 -33 7 40
8 DEN -17 -14 14 28
9 NO -9 1 23 22
10 NYG -1 3 20 17
12 KC -11 -3 27 30
13 TB -13 -3 23 26
14 PHI -22 -6 16 22
15 DAL -1 -16 14 30
16 ARI -8
17 TB -18
--PREDICTION--
W L T PCT.
3 13 0 0.188
--SIMULATION--
W L PCT.
3 13 0.188
1 PREDICTIONS FOR
WEEK 16, 12/17/24
JACKSONVILLE
WK OPP PRE ACT SCORE
1 MIA -9 -3 17 20
2 CLE 2 -5 13 18
3 BUF -19 -37 10 47
4 HOU -11 -4 20 24
5 IND -3 3 37 34
6 CHI -10 -19 16 35
7 NE 1 16 32 16
8 GB -13 -3 27 30
9 PHI -20 -5 23 28
10 MIN -13 -5 7 12
11 DET -23 -46 6 52
13 HOU -7 -3 20 23
14 TEN -3 4 10 6
15 NYJ -5 -7 25 32
16 LVR -3
17 TEN 2
--PREDICTION--
W L T PCT.
4 12 0 0.250
--SIMULATION--
W L PCT.
4 12 0.250
PREDICTIONS FOR
WEEK 16, 12/17/24
CLEVELAND
WK OPP PRE ACT SCORE
1 DAL -1 -16 17 33
2 JAC -2 5 18 13
3 NYG 1 -6 15 21
4 LVR -2 -4 16 20
5 WAS -14 -21 13 34
6 PHI -20 -4 16 20
7 CIN -7 -7 14 21
8 BAL -15 5 29 24
9 LAC -10 -17 10 27
11 NO -12 -21 14 35
12 PIT -10 5 24 19
13 DEN -17 -9 32 41
14 PIT -15 -13 14 27
15 KC -9 -14 7 21
16 CIN -11
17 MIA -5
--PREDICTION--
W L T PCT.
3 13 0 0.188
--SIMULATION--
W L PCT.
4 12 0.250
1 PREDICTIONS FOR
WEEK 16, 12/17/24
HOUSTON
WK OPP PRE ACT SCORE
1 IND 3 2 29 27
2 CHI 3 6 19 13
3 MIN -7 -27 7 34
4 JAC 11 4 24 20
5 BUF -7 3 23 20
6 NE 6 20 41 21
7 GB -7 -2 22 24
8 IND 6 3 23 20
9 NYJ 1 -8 13 21
10 DET -9 -3 23 26
11 DAL 6 24 34 10
12 TEN 11 -5 27 32
13 JAC 7 3 23 20
15 MIA 5 8 20 12
16 KC -5
17 BAL -4
--PREDICTION--
W L T PCT.
9 7 0 0.563
--SIMULATION--
W L PCT.
9 7 0.563
THE MOST LIKELY NFC LEADERS ARE: PHILADELPHIA (14- 2), DETROIT (14- 2)
TAMPA BAY (10- 6) AND L. A. RAMS ( 9- 7)
THE MOST LIKELY AFC LEADERS ARE: BUFFALO (13- 3), BALTIMORE (11- 5)
HOUSTON ( 9- 7) AND KANSAS CITY (14- 2)
THE MOST LIKELY NFC WILD CARD TEAMS ARE MINNESOTA AND GREEN BAY
THE MOST LIKELY AFC WILD CARD TEAMS ARE PITTSBURGH AND DENVER
THE NFC CHAMPION SHOULD BE DETROIT. THE AFC CHAMP KANSAS CITY.
FAVORED BY 9 POINTS, THE SUPER BOWL CHAMP WILL BE DETROIT.
OF COURSE ANYTHING CAN HAPPEN IN A PLAYOFF GAME AND INJURIES
AFTER THIS WEEK CAN KNOCK ANY TEAM OUT OF THE BOX. BUT BASED ON
THE STATS TO DATE DETROIT WILL BE THE SUPER BOWL WINNER.
* COMPUTER SEASON PREDICTIONS ARE MADE FOR TWO CONDITIONS:
THE THIRD LINE SHOWS THE NUMBER OF GAMES WHERE THE TEAM IS
THE PREDICTED 'FAVORITE'. BY DEFINITION THEN THE LEAGUE'S
STRONGEST TEAM WOULD BE PREDICTED TO WIN THE MOST IF NOT ALL
ITS GAMES.
HOWEVER, WE ALL KNOW THAT FAVORITES ARE UPSET 20 TO 25
PERCENT OF THE TIME. SO THE FIRST LINE IS A BETTER ESTIMATE
OF THE SEASON W-L RECORD. THIS FIRST LINE IS BASED ON WHAT
STATISTICIANS CALL A MONTE CARLO SIMULATION-I.E., THE COMPUTER
PLAYS THROUGH THE NFL SCHEDULE 1000 TIMES AND ESTIMATES THE
NUMBER OF WINS TAKING INTO CONSIDERATION POSSIBLE UPSETS.
TEAMS WITHIN DIVISIONS ARE SORTED BY SIMULATED PERCENTAGES.
IN CASE TWO TEAMS ARE TIED IN THE WON/LOSS COLUMN (THIRD LINE)
OR ARE TIED WHEN PICKING WILD CARD TEAMS, THE BEST TEAM WILL
BE THE SIMULATED WINNER OF THE TWO.
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