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The Steelers lead the league earning three-quarters a point more on offense than their defense allows (0.74).
The Seahawks rank second behind the Steelers scoring 0.59 Points per Pass and are the MOST IMPROVED team on this Key Killer stat adding 11.08 Points per Game (PPG) to this year's winning margin.
The stat that contributed most points to the 'Hawks' rocket-like improvement is simple -- more pass completions.
The statgraphic below pictures the tight correlation between the 'Hawks improvement in their scoring differential and QB Matt Hasselbeck's new golden arm.
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The second stat sending Coach Mike Holmgren's 'Hawks into the Championship game is First Downs Rushing. One running back can't change the world. But if there were one it would be RB Shaun Alexander whose 1880 yards led the league
Here's a stat graphic picturing the impact of RB Alexander's contribution to First Downs Rushing and the 'Hawk/s Winning Margin)
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The Carolina Panthers face the Seahawks Sunday and their much improved rush D must stop RB Alexander. Otherwise the 'Hawks will control the clock and the Panthers will never see the ball.
Our goal in this stat research is to find the stats which best separate winners from losers. Points per Pass is a key Killer Stat. So when the Seahawks stronger on balance performance value (0.59) faces the Panthers' weaker performance value (0.46), letting the data speak for itself spells a Seahawk victory of 7-to-8 points.
The Pittsburgh Steelers with their league-leading 0.74 Points per Pass average weekly performance visit the Denver Broncos (0.46). Does it look like a Steeler victory? The electronic hardware suggests the game is a tossup.
Reason why? The Broncos' pass D is greatly improved over last season. The Broncos rank 1st in the league shutting down the pass forcing almost 17 incomplete tosses per contest. They added 5.1 points per game to their winning margin on this improvement.
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The second pass D stat that favors the Broncos is Take Aways. They rank 4th in the league and have added 5.0 points per game on the D improvement.
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The Steelers' QB Ben Rothlesberger will have to be sharp at very high altitude in all passing efficiency stats. In the sense of letting all the data speak for itself, the objective scoring projection is Broncos by 3.
But in a very close game.
Bud Goode
Copyright 2006, BudGoodeSports.com. All rights reserved.
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