Super Bowl: Bears-Colts
The Colts lead the AFC throwing less than one intercept per game
(0.56) and rank 2nd in the league. Tag enders, the Oakland Raiders and
Cleveland Browns toss 1 1/2 INTs per game, a difference of roughly
300%. Ouch.
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By comparison the Bears young QB Grossman with most of the work, shows
the Bears average 1.28 INTS. Big difference.
The cost of losing one intercept? How about a negative -5.5 points
per game.
With parity increasing all of the teams are becoming more pass
efficient. The lost INT this season correlates only 15% with
offensive points scored vs 30% for last season. The difference is
significant. Chances are a change this great is not due to chance or
luck but would occur only once in 20 seasons.
With the Colts on offense facing a powerful Chicago D stealing 1.50 interceptions per game,
the Bears earn an advantage of 0.6 points.
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