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Super Bowl: Bears-Colts

The Colts lead the AFC throwing less than one intercept per game (0.56) and rank 2nd in the league. Tag enders, the Oakland Raiders and Cleveland Browns toss 1 1/2 INTs per game, a difference of roughly 300%. Ouch.

Passes Had Intercpted
Indianapolis Colts
2006 through Week 17

Passes Had Intercpted
Chicago Bears
2006 through Week 17

By comparison the Bears young QB Grossman with most of the work, shows the Bears average 1.28 INTS. Big difference.

The cost of losing one intercept? How about a negative -5.5 points per game.

With parity increasing all of the teams are becoming more pass efficient. The lost INT this season correlates only 15% with offensive points scored vs 30% for last season. The difference is significant. Chances are a change this great is not due to chance or luck but would occur only once in 20 seasons.

With the Colts on offense facing a powerful Chicago D stealing 1.50 interceptions per game, the Bears earn an advantage of 0.6 points.

Opp Passes Intercepted
Chicago Bears
2006 through Week 17

Opp Passes Intercepted

Percentile Chart

100=Stongest 50=Average 0=Weakest
Lines: Playoff Avg=47 SuperBowl Avg=57

Win Mrg Points Change

Winning Margin Points Change
Sorted by Points Change, 2005 to 2006

Rank	Team	Pctl	Stat Value	Points behind Leader	Win Mrg Pts Chg vs 2005	Games Won
1	BAL	100	1.75	0.00	5.52	13
2	CHI	82	1.50	1.38	0.00	13
3	G B	77	1.44	1.73	4.49	8
4	N E	73	1.38	2.07	4.14	12
5	MIN	68	1.31	2.42	-1.04	6
6	JAX	64	1.25	2.76	0.35	8
7	PIT	64	1.25	2.76	1.73	8
8	PHI	59	1.19	3.11	0.69	10
9	CIN	59	1.19	3.11	-4.14	8
10	CLE	55	1.13	3.45	1.04	4
11	DAL	55	1.13	3.45	1.04	9
12	OAK	55	1.13	3.45	4.49	2
13	STL	50	1.06	3.80	1.38	8
14	TEN	50	1.06	3.80	2.76	8
15	NYG	50	1.06	3.80	0.00	8
16	DEN	50	1.06	3.80	-1.04	9
17	ARI	45	1.00	4.14	0.35	5
18	NYJ	45	1.00	4.14	-1.73	10
19	S D	45	1.00	4.14	2.07	14
20	K C	41	0.94	4.49	-0.35	9
21	IND	41	0.94	4.49	-1.04	12
22	CAR	36	0.88	4.83	-3.11	8
23	S F	36	0.88	4.83	-0.69	7
24	BUF	32	0.81	5.18	-1.38	7
25	SEA	27	0.75	5.52	-1.38	9
26	DET	27	0.75	5.52	-2.42	3
27	ATL	27	0.75	5.52	-1.38	7
28	T B	23	0.69	5.87	-2.07	4
29	N O	23	0.69	5.87	0.35	10
30	HOU	23	0.69	5.87	1.38	6
31	MIA	9	0.50	6.90	-2.07	6
32	WAS	0	0.38	7.59	-3.45	5

2006 Season, YTD through Week 17

In season 2005 Bears ranked 3rd on Opp Passes Intercepted at 1.50.
In season 2006 they ranked 2nd at 1.50, up 0.0 points per game on this one stat.
From 2005 to 2006 Bears improved by 7.1 points per game on Winning Margin.

When the Bears have the ball QB Grossman's 1.28 INT vs an Indy D grabbing better than one per game spells a Colt advantage of 1.1 points.
Bud Goode

Opp Passes Intercepted
Indianapolis Colts
2006 through Week 17

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