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SUPER BOWL: Giants vs Patriots

Get ready for this, fans. Statistical science suggests the New York Giants' offense is not competitive in comparison to the Patriots' humongous heavyweights, QB Brady and WRs Randy Moss and Wes Welker...

The most likely winning stat profile will feature the phenom passing efficiency stats Coach Bill Belichick built into the Pats' offense this season.

The stat graphics below picture the disparity between the two teams.

Pct TDs per Pass with Winning Margin
Yearly 2000 to 2007 Week 17

New England Patriots

In season 2006 Patriots ranked 8th on Pct TDs per Pass at 4.50.
In season 2007 they ranked 1st at 8.24, up 7.33 points per game on this one stat.
From 2006 to 2007 Patriots improved by 10.4 points per game on Winning Margin.

Pct TDs per Pass with Winning Margin
Yearly 2000 to 2007 Week 17

New York Giants

In season 2006 Giants ranked 11th on Pct TDs per Pass at 4.38.
In season 2007 they ranked 14th at 4.02, down 0.71 points per game on this one stat.
From 2006 to 2007 Giants improved by 1.8 points per game on Winning Margin.

If your were to look at the two teams relative to the league, the next stat graphic pictures all 32 teams.

Pct TDs per Pass

Percentile Chart

100=Stongest 50=Average 0=Weakest
Lines: Playoff Avg=60 SuperBowl Avg=60

Win Mrg Points Change

Winning Margin Points Change
Sorted by Points Change, 2006 to 2007

Rank	Team	Pctl	Stat Value	Points behind Leader	Win Mrg Pts Chg vs 2006	Games Won
1	N E	100	8.24	0.00	7.33	16
2	PIT	80	6.95	2.52	5.75	10
3	DAL	73	6.47	3.45	3.31	13
4	JAX	59	5.60	5.17	3.98	11
5	IND	59	5.57	5.22	0.30	13
6	ARI	53	5.21	5.93	4.47	8
7	CLE	52	5.14	6.07	4.87	10
8	G B	50	5.03	6.30	4.45	13
9	SEA	46	4.79	6.75	0.31	10
10	S D	41	4.44	7.43	-0.81	11
11	CIN	40	4.39	7.54	-1.21	7
12	HOU	39	4.36	7.61	3.30	8
13	N O	37	4.19	7.93	-0.56	7
14	NYG	34	4.02	8.26	-0.70	10
15	DEN	31	3.84	8.62	-0.56	7
16	PHI	31	3.83	8.63	-3.11	8
17	CAR	27	3.53	9.22	0.40	7
18	OAK	25	3.46	9.37	4.30	4
19	T B	25	3.42	9.44	1.88	9
20	WAS	22	3.25	9.78	-1.25	9
21	STL	19	3.05	10.16	-1.35	3
22	ATL	18	2.99	10.28	-3.03	4
23	DET	18	2.97	10.33	-0.43	7
24	CHI	17	2.94	10.38	-2.96	7
25	K C	14	2.75	10.75	-1.79	4
26	NYJ	13	2.65	10.94	-1.18	4
27	S F	13	2.64	10.97	-1.36	5
28	MIN	11	2.56	11.13	0.64	8
29	BUF	11	2.55	11.15	-2.80	7
30	BAL	6	2.18	11.87	-3.33	5
31	MIA	3	2.01	12.21	-1.03	1
32	TEN	0	1.82	12.57	-1.77	10

2007 Season, YTD through Week 17

In season 2006 Giants ranked 11th on Pct TDs per Pass at 4.38.
In season 2007 they ranked 14th at 4.02, down 0.7 points per game on this one stat.
From 2006 to 2007 Giants improved by 1.8 points per game on Winning Margin.

On the ladder of 100 percentile ranking, the Pats are head and shoulders over the league. The Giants, by comparison rank 14th, in the 34th percentile and 8.26 Points per Game (PPG) behind the Pats.
Here are the numbers for the offense facing defense matchups. With the Patriots on offense the Pats have a 6.6-point advantage. With the Giants on offense the Pats have a further 3.2-point advantage. Summing the two gives the Patriots a big 9.8-point advantage on this one stat, percent TDs per pass.
Bud Goode
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