Turnover Differential	Percentile Chart 100=Stongest 50=Average 0=Weakest Lines: Playoff Avg=50 SuperBowl Avg=60	Win Mrg Points Change Winning Margin Points Change Sorted by Points Change, 2006 to 2007
Rank Team Pctl Stat Value Points behind Leader Win Mrg Pts Chg vs 2006 Games Won 1 S D 100 1.50 0.00 3.01 11 2 IND 85 1.13 1.64 3.01 13 3 N E 80 1.00 2.19 2.19 16 4 T B 78 0.94 2.46 7.12 9 5 SEA 66 0.63 3.83 4.93 10 6 JAX 63 0.56 4.11 2.19 11 7 BUF 63 0.56 4.11 3.56 7 8 CIN 54 0.31 5.20 -0.55 7 9 DAL 54 0.31 5.20 1.10 13 10 ATL 51 0.25 5.48 -0.55 4 11 G B 51 0.25 5.48 1.10 13 12 PIT 49 0.19 5.75 3.01 10 13 MIN 44 0.06 6.30 -0.82 8 14 DEN 44 0.06 6.30 0.27 7 15 CAR 44 0.06 6.30 1.64 7 16 TEN 41 0.00 6.57 -0.55 10 17 CHI 39 -0.06 6.84 -2.46 7 18 DET 39 -0.06 6.84 2.19 7 19 CLE 37 -0.13 7.12 3.56 10 20 NYJ 32 -0.25 7.67 -1.10 4 21 WAS 29 -0.31 7.94 0.00 9 22 MIA 24 -0.44 8.49 -2.46 1 23 N O 24 -0.44 8.49 -0.82 7 24 ARI 24 -0.44 8.49 -2.74 8 25 PHI 22 -0.50 8.76 -3.56 8 26 NYG 20 -0.56 9.03 -2.46 10 27 STL 17 -0.63 9.31 -6.57 3 28 K C 15 -0.69 9.58 -4.11 4 29 OAK 15 -0.69 9.58 3.29 4 30 S F 12 -0.75 9.86 -1.92 5 31 HOU 10 -0.81 10.13 -2.74 8 32 BAL 0 -1.06 11.22 -9.31 5 2007 Season, YTD through Week 17

The Patriots,are near the top (3rd) stealing one turnover per game more on D than their offense loses. By comparison, the Giants are near the bottom (26th) averaging a negative -0.5 per game. If the Super Bowl is played to statistical form, on offense the Pats have a 3.8 advantage in fumbles and a 3.6 point edge on INTs. On D, facing the Giants offense New York has the advantage but only by a 1-point edge on both Fumbles and INTs.

Patriots on Offense

Offense/Defense	Independant	Offense	Defense	Advantage		Points
Matchup	Variable Name	N E	NYG	Patriots	Giants	Advantage
N E Off vs NYG Def	Yards per Pass Att - I	7.86	5.98			5.6   N E
N E Off vs NYG Def	Fum Lost This Year - I	0.33	0.58			3.8   N E
N E Off vs NYG Def	Passes Had Intercpted - I	0.67	1.05			3.6   N E
N E Off vs NYG Def	QB Sacks - I	1.33	2.84			0.5   N E
N E Off vs NYG Def	Yards per Touchdown - P	110.61	168.47			0.5   NYG
N E Off vs NYG Def	Total Rushing Plays - I	28.39	25.21			1.2   NYG

With Patriots on offense and Giants on defense the most important independant stat
is Yards per Pass Att where Patriots have an advantage of 5.6 points.

Offense/Defense	Dependant	Offense	Defense	Advantage		Points
Matchup	Variable Name	N E	NYG	Patriots	Giants	Advantage
N E Off vs NYG Def	Total Points Scored - D	35.61	21.16			9.7   N E

Patriots on Defense

Defense/Offense	Independant	Defense	Offense	Advantage		Points
Matchup	Variable Name	N E	NYG	Patriots	Giants	Advantage
N E Def vs NYG Off	Yards per Pass Att - I	5.57	5.65			3.1   N E
N E Def vs NYG Off	Total Rushing Plays - I	22.44	29.53			2.3   N E
N E Def vs NYG Off	QB Sacks - I	2.72	1.79			0.5   N E
N E Def vs NYG Off	Yards per Touchdown - P	156.59	171.25			0
N E Def vs NYG Off	Passes Had Intercpted - I	1.22	1.05			0.9   NYG
N E Def vs NYG Off	Fum Lost This Year - I	0.72	0.79			0.9   NYG

With Patriots on defense and Giants on offense the most important stat
is Yards per Pass Att where Patriots have an advantage of 3.1 points.

Offense/Defense	Dependant	Defense	Offense	Advantage		Points
Matchup	Variable Name	N E	NYG	Patriots	Giants	Advantage
N E Def vs NYG Off	Total Points Scored - D	17	23.21			6.8   N E

The stat graphics picturing the two teams' relative position in their DIVISION is interesting.

New England leads their AFC East with a stat performance well over the Super Bowl and Playoff AVERAGES (BLACK vertical lines).

Turnover Differential

Percentile Chart

Win Mrg Points Change

AFC East

Rank	Team	Pctl	Stat Value	Points behind Leader	Win Mrg Pts Chg vs 2006	Games Won
3	N E	80	1.00	2.19	2.19	16
7	BUF	63	0.56	4.11	3.56	7
20	NYJ	32	-0.25	7.67	-1.10	4
22	MIA	24	-0.44	8.49	-2.46	1