Colts at Chargers
The Indianapolis Colts bring an improved pass D to San Diego for the AFC wildcard game. They lead the league on Opponent % TDs per Pass so Chargers' QB Rivers will have his work cut out for him.
|
Opp Pct TDs/Pass
|
Percentile Chart
100=Stongest 50=Average 0=Weakest
Lines: Playoff Avg=48 SuperBowl Avg=64
|
Win Mrg Points Change
Winning Margin Points Change
Sorted by Points Change, 2007 to 2008 |
| Rank |
Team |
Pctl |
Stat
Value |
Points
behind
Leader |
Win Mrg
Pts Chg
vs 2007 |
Games
Won |
| 1 |
IND |
100 |
1.17 |
0.00 |
3.72 |
12 |
| 2 |
TEN |
86 |
1.94 |
1.52 |
3.00 |
13 |
| 3 |
PIT |
84 |
2.05 |
1.75 |
3.56 |
12 |
| 4 |
MIN |
73 |
2.61 |
2.85 |
1.21 |
10 |
| 5 |
BUF |
71 |
2.71 |
3.06 |
0.98 |
7 |
| 6 |
WAS |
66 |
2.99 |
3.61 |
0.32 |
8 |
| 7 |
BAL |
66 |
3.02 |
3.67 |
4.28 |
11 |
| 8 |
MIA |
65 |
3.05 |
3.72 |
6.63 |
11 |
| 9 |
NYG |
64 |
3.12 |
3.87 |
2.11 |
12 |
| 10 |
CAR |
62 |
3.20 |
4.03 |
1.45 |
12 |
| 11 |
CHI |
62 |
3.23 |
4.09 |
0.07 |
9 |
| 12 |
PHI |
60 |
3.32 |
4.26 |
-1.06 |
9 |
| 13 |
DAL |
60 |
3.35 |
4.33 |
-0.64 |
9 |
| 14 |
ATL |
58 |
3.43 |
4.49 |
2.75 |
11 |
| 15 |
NYJ |
52 |
3.75 |
5.13 |
-0.29 |
9 |
| 16 |
N O |
52 |
3.79 |
5.21 |
3.91 |
8 |
| 17 |
S F |
51 |
3.83 |
5.28 |
0.71 |
7 |
| 18 |
DEN |
51 |
3.84 |
5.30 |
2.49 |
8 |
| 19 |
K C |
49 |
3.95 |
5.52 |
-1.06 |
2 |
| 20 |
S D |
49 |
3.95 |
5.52 |
-1.20 |
8 |
| 21 |
OAK |
48 |
3.98 |
5.58 |
-0.65 |
5 |
| 22 |
G B |
47 |
4.04 |
5.70 |
-0.00 |
6 |
| 23 |
CLE |
46 |
4.10 |
5.83 |
1.36 |
4 |
| 24 |
SEA |
45 |
4.16 |
5.94 |
-3.41 |
4 |
| 25 |
STL |
44 |
4.22 |
6.06 |
0.58 |
2 |
| 26 |
CIN |
40 |
4.40 |
6.41 |
1.52 |
4 |
| 27 |
T B |
37 |
4.56 |
6.74 |
-2.23 |
9 |
| 28 |
HOU |
32 |
4.84 |
7.29 |
-1.02 |
8 |
| 29 |
JAX |
28 |
5.06 |
7.73 |
-3.21 |
5 |
| 30 |
DET |
24 |
5.29 |
8.18 |
-0.55 |
0 |
| 31 |
N E |
23 |
5.35 |
8.30 |
-2.65 |
11 |
| 32 |
ARI |
0 |
6.57 |
10.74 |
-4.54 |
9 |
2008 Season, YTD through Week 17 |
|
|
In season 2007 Colts ranked 4th on
Opp Pct TDs/Pass at 3.04.
In season 2008 they ranked 1st at
1.17, up 3.7 points per game on
this one stat.
From 2007 to 2008 Colts
declined by
6.8 points per game on Winning Margin.
Chargers' QB Rivers has some heavy fire power to cut through this heavy pass D. Chargers lead the league on our number one Killer Stat, Yards per Pass Attempt, earning 7.67 yards per toss.
|
Yards per Pass Att
|
Percentile Chart
100=Stongest 50=Average 0=Weakest
Lines: Playoff Avg=84 SuperBowl Avg=78
|
Win Mrg Points Change
Winning Margin Points Change
Sorted by Points Change, 2007 to 2008 |
| Rank |
Team |
Pctl |
Stat
Value |
Points
behind
Leader |
Win Mrg
Pts Chg
vs 2007 |
Games
Won |
| 1 |
S D |
100 |
7.67 |
0.00 |
6.67 |
8 |
| 2 |
N O |
100 |
7.67 |
0.01 |
5.05 |
8 |
| 3 |
ATL |
92 |
7.40 |
1.14 |
8.01 |
11 |
| 4 |
CAR |
88 |
7.28 |
1.64 |
9.13 |
12 |
| 5 |
HOU |
88 |
7.27 |
1.67 |
1.92 |
8 |
| 6 |
ARI |
83 |
7.10 |
2.36 |
2.01 |
9 |
| 7 |
DEN |
83 |
7.07 |
2.48 |
2.18 |
8 |
| 8 |
MIA |
81 |
7.03 |
2.69 |
8.03 |
11 |
| 9 |
IND |
75 |
6.83 |
3.48 |
-0.80 |
12 |
| 10 |
G B |
69 |
6.63 |
4.33 |
-2.62 |
6 |
| 11 |
DAL |
67 |
6.56 |
4.65 |
-3.45 |
9 |
| 12 |
PHI |
57 |
6.22 |
6.06 |
0.91 |
9 |
| 13 |
N E |
55 |
6.13 |
6.41 |
-6.93 |
11 |
| 14 |
NYG |
55 |
6.12 |
6.46 |
2.53 |
12 |
| 15 |
T B |
54 |
6.09 |
6.58 |
-1.21 |
9 |
| 16 |
TEN |
53 |
6.06 |
6.70 |
0.99 |
13 |
| 17 |
BAL |
52 |
6.03 |
6.86 |
3.89 |
11 |
| 18 |
S F |
51 |
5.99 |
7.00 |
7.95 |
7 |
| 19 |
MIN |
50 |
5.97 |
7.08 |
0.50 |
10 |
| 20 |
PIT |
49 |
5.95 |
7.18 |
-1.39 |
12 |
| 21 |
NYJ |
48 |
5.91 |
7.34 |
2.39 |
9 |
| 22 |
BUF |
47 |
5.88 |
7.46 |
1.20 |
7 |
| 23 |
JAX |
44 |
5.75 |
7.99 |
-3.76 |
5 |
| 24 |
WAS |
37 |
5.52 |
8.97 |
-3.05 |
8 |
| 25 |
CHI |
36 |
5.50 |
9.07 |
0.01 |
9 |
| 26 |
K C |
34 |
5.41 |
9.41 |
1.11 |
2 |
| 27 |
DET |
30 |
5.28 |
9.98 |
-3.27 |
0 |
| 28 |
STL |
28 |
5.22 |
10.23 |
0.08 |
2 |
| 29 |
OAK |
26 |
5.15 |
10.51 |
-0.82 |
5 |
| 30 |
SEA |
25 |
5.13 |
10.59 |
-5.01 |
4 |
| 31 |
CLE |
11 |
4.65 |
12.60 |
-8.16 |
4 |
| 32 |
CIN |
0 |
4.27 |
14.19 |
-10.47 |
4 |
2008 Season, YTD through Week 17 |
|
|
In season 2007 Chargers ranked 16th on
Yards per Pass Att at 6.07.
In season 2008 they ranked 1st at
7.67, up 6.7 points per game on
this one stat.
From 2007 to 2008 Chargers
declined by
2.3 points per game on Winning Margin.
The Chargers would do well to keep the Colts' offense on the bench with their Run-Run game led by RBs Tomlinson and Sproles. Last week these running backs set a franchise rushing record which led to a huge 31-point victory over the Denver Broncos. The defeat cost Coach Mike Shanahan his job.
All season long our
Race for the Playoffs Divisional Graphics for the AFC West has tabbed the Chargers as the likely playoff leader. And they did sneak in. A surprise to all. But not a surprise to our stat research group's Winning INDEX. The Colts have the advantage on the INDEX. It is a most reliable indicator. And using it as the primary indicator should give the Colts the edge. (follow the link above to compare your favorite team's performance to the league).
Both the Chargers and the Colts will be in this game up to the final play with the Chargers now favored over the Colts by 2.
Bud Goode
Copyright 2009, BudGoodeSports.com. All rights reserved.
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