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Colts at Ravens

Colts travel to Baltimore to take on the Ravens. Colts posted a good 11-5 record but looking at their stat profile it's hard to see how they did it. Amazingly they scored 22.31 points per game while allowing 24.19. A big minus number typically equates to a record much worse than 8-8. They are near average in most offensive categories but with key weaknesses like completion percentage where they rank at league bottom.

Very occasionally Yards per Play beats out Yards per Pass Attempt as the most important stat in the game for a given season. Here's where Indy may have a problem. Giving up more than 6 yards per play Colts' defense ranks 30th in the league. The chart below shows Colts beating KC even while allowing 7.6 yards per opponent play. They will need to do much better to hang with the Ravens.


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2012 through Week 17


The Ravens play good defense and feature a balanced and capable offense. They have no big weaknesses. Our computer sees the the Ravens as stronger by 8 and it's hard to see how the Colts can do much better than that.

Bill Sanders for BudGoodeSports.com
dr.bill@wrsanders.com

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