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Chiefs at Colts

Chiefs take on the Colts at Indy this Saturday. Hats off to Coach Andy Reid for a great 11-5 season. After winning their first 9 games, Chiefs have come back to earth going just 3 for 7 to finish out the regular season. Granted they didn't try too hard in the finale vs Chargers.

Early on, one of the Chiefs' strengths was a stingy defense, especially against the run. As injured players piled up, that strength waned. See the chart of Opponent Total Rushes, below.


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2013 through Week 17


With some defensive starters returning, well-rested for this game it will be interesting to see if they can stop the Colts on the ground. One of the benefits of stopping the ground game and forcing your opponent to throw is the chance to grab INTs, and the Chiefs did it well getting 21 INTs for the season, ranking 3rd in the league.

The Chiefs' offense did a good job of avoiding costly mistakes, throwing only 8 INTs all season.

Similarly, the Colts, used an efficient offense to get to the playoffs. Colts make few mistakes; they don't hurt themselves with penalties or turnovers.

The Colts are coming off three good games with strong defensive performances. And so it looks like defense will be the key in this game. The team that stops drives best will likely win. Don't look for mistakes from either offense, but if either defensive squad can force a turnover (or two) it may just win the game. Slight edge to KC in that department.

Our computer like the Chiefs by 2.5 at Indianapolis and we'll go along and project the upset win by KC.

Bill Sanders for BudGoodeSports.com
dr.bill@wrsanders.com

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