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Machups: OFF vs DEF, Super Bowl 2016
**** REPORT 35_6 - N E VS ATL *** (GAME PRIORITIES)
Bud Goode Sports Computer, Copyright 2017, All Rights Reserved. PLAYOFF YEAR IS **
DATA YR 2016 DATA WK 17 PRIOR YR 2015 UVAL YR 2012 CORR YR 2016 SCHED YR 2016
0BUD GOODE'S SPORTS COMPUTER COR=** UVAL=** GRAPHIC MATCHUPS WEEK 1, 2017 SORTED ON COLUMN 14 PAGE 1
THE PURPOSE OF THIS COMPUTER CHART IS TO MAKE A GRAPHIC PICTURE OF THE LARGEST DIFFERENCES ON
THE MOST IMPORTANT STATISTICS IN ANY GAME. AN INDEX NUMBER(*) IS CREATED USING THE (PERCENTILE
RANK DIFFERENCE BETWEEN THE TWO TEAMS ON OFFENSE AND DEFENSE) AND THE (CORRELATION OF THE
DIFFERENCE). THE INDEX NUMBER IS THEN CONVERTED TO A 'POINTS ADVANTAGE' IN THE MARGIN (W/M, COL 14)
THUS, THE IMPORTANCE OF THE STAT AND THE RANKING OF THE TEAMS ARE BOTH TAKEN INTO CONSIDERATION.
W/M
INDEPENDENT AVG AVG COR. PERCENTILE ADVANTAGE(**) POINTS
RANK VARIABLE NAMES VAR # PER N E ATL PER WITH N E ATL N E ATL ADVAN-
GAME OFFENSE VS DEFENSE GAME UVAL W/M OFFENSE DEFENSE INDEX OFFENSE DEFENSE TAGE
(1) (2) (3) (4) (5) (6) (7) (8) (9) (10) (11) (12) (13) (14)
---- --------------------- ----- ------- ------- ----- ----- ---- ------- ------- ----- ------- ------- ------
***********************************************************************************************************************************
1 PCT. INTERCEPTIONS. I 71 72 0.3 +++++P++++--- P 1.7 -41 100 31 -2829 +++++++ 5.3
WHEN THE OFFENSIVE TEAM IS NEW ENGLAND
AND THE DEFENSIVE TEAM IS ATLANTA
THE MOST IMPORTANT STATISTIC IS PCT. INTERCEPTIONS. I
***********************************************************************************************************************************
LAST YEAR THIS DIFFERENCE STAT CORRELATED -41% WITH THE W/M RECORD.
OTHER STATS WHERE THERE ARE DIFFERENCES FOLLOW IN ORDER OF IMPORTANCE
(THE LARGER THE CHART ON OFFENSE (+) OR DEFENSE (-) THE STRONGER THE TEAM):
N E OFFENSE DEFENSE ATL
----- -----
2 PASSES HAD INTERCPT I 19 60 0.1 +++++P++++----- P 0.8 44 100 45 2420 +++++ 4.6
3 PASS EFF. PERCENT. I 117 133 3.8 ++++++P+++---- P 11.9 -53 100 40 -3180 ++++++ 4.6
4 YRDS.GAINED (GROSS) I 7 49 386.3 +++P++++--- P 371.2 54 76 33 2322 +++++ 4.1
5 PLAYS PER 1ST DOWN. I 118 119 3.0 ++P++++- P 3.0 -55 70 15 -3025 ++++++ 4.1
6 FIRST DOWNS TOTAL. I 3 45 21.9 ++P++++- P 22.4 42 71 10 2562 ++++++ 4.0
7 GIVE AWAYS. I 155 156 0.7 +++++P++++----- P 1.4 61 100 50 3050 +++++ 3.7
8 YARDS PER PASS ATT. I 82 83 7.5 ++P+++++-----P 6.2 53 77 48 1537 +++ 3.7
9 PCT COMP(+QB SACKS) I 15 57 64.1 ++P+++++----- P 61.2 44 80 46 1496 +++ 3.5
10 YARDS LOST PASSING. I 18 59 9.3 ++P+++++---- P 14.3 36 82 36 1656 ++++ 3.5
11 YDS.GAINED PER PLAY I 77 78 5.9 P+++++--- P 5.6 44 64 34 1320 +++ 3.3
12 QB SACKS.LOTSA OUCH I 17 58 1.5 ++++P++++---- P 2.1 33 88 39 1617 +++++ 3.3
13 PCT PASSING AVERAGE I 14 56 67.0 +++P++++----- P 64.0 35 81 50 1085 +++ 2.6
14 PASSING EFFICIENCY. I 93 165 10.3 +++++P++++-------P 31.7 -50 100 66 -1700 +++ 2.5
15 PCT QB SACKS/ATTMPT I 128 151 4.4 ++P+++++- P 5.2 -26 84 14 -1820 +++++++ 2.5
16 RUSHES + PASS COMP. I 175 176 53.1 ++++P++++----- P 49.5 50 86 51 1750 ++++ 2.4
17 RUSH YARDS PERCENT. I 147 148 30.3 P +++------P- 28.2 2 28 77 98 ----- 2.1
18 YARDS RUSHING (NET) I 8 50 117.0 P+++++-------P 104.5 25 47 75 700 -- 2.1
19 RUSHES PER PASS ATT I 91 92 0.9 ++P++++-------P- 0.6 26 68 95 702 -- 1.9
20 FUMBLES THIS SEASON I 32 34 1.7 P +----- P 1.3 34 10 50 1360 ---- 1.8
21 YARDS PASSING (NET) I 9 51 269.3 P+++++- P 266.7 24 65 8 1368 +++++ 1.7
22 YDS.OPP.RETURND.INT I 20 61 1.0 ++++++P+++-----P- 17.4 25 100 71 725 +++ 1.5
23 PASS ATTEMPTS (TOT) I 12 54 34.4 +P++++----P----- 40.9 -3 63 100 -111 ---- 1.3
24 TOTAL PLAYS (SCRIM) I 75 76 66.0 ++P++++--- P 66.2 10 75 28 470 ++++ 0.9
25 TOT YARDS/PASS COMP I 129 159 12.1 ++P++++-----P--- 10.7 7 66 87 147 -- 0.8
26 TOTAL RUSHING PLAYS I 10 52 30.1 +++++P+++-------P- 23.1 37 89 86 111 0.7
27 FIRST DOWNS RUSHING I 4 46 6.8 P +++++------ P 5.9 25 54 64 250 - 0.7
28 TOT.PASSES COMPLETE I 13 55 23.0 P ++++ P 26.4 3 44 3 123 ++++ 0.7
29 FIRST DOWNS PASSING I 5 47 12.7 P +++++ P 14.5 14 46 0 644 +++++ 0.7
30 %FIRST DNS PASS/PAS I 126 127 36.9 P+++++----- P 35.4 52 53 49 208 0.5
31 NET YARDS/PASS COMP I 130 160 11.7 ++P++++------P-- 10.1 15 73 86 195 -- 0.4
32 YDS.PER PUNT RETURN I 25 64 7.0 P +--- P 10.0 4 11 33 88 -- 0.4
33 FUM. LOST THIS YEAR I 33 35 0.6 P+++++-----P 0.6 45 50 58 360 - 0.3
34 FIRST DOWNS BY PENL I 6 48 2.4 ++++P++++----P 1.9 7 87 40 329 +++++ 0.3
35 PUNT RETS.THIS YEAR I 24 63 2.8 ++++P++++----P--- 1.4 16 87 78 144 + 0.3
36 YARDS PER K.O. RET. I 28 66 19.0 P+++--P- 23.0 0 33 38 0 - 0.1
37 INCOMPLETE PASSES. I 180 181 11.4 +++P++++------P 14.6 28 77 75 56 + 0.1
38 AVG. YARDS PER RUSH I 11 53 3.9 P +++-- P 4.5 1 33 22 11 + 0.0
39 YARDS PER SACK. I 152 153 6.2 P+++++-----P 6.7 -1 59 61 -2 0.0
DEPENDENT VARS
1 PASS TDS/OP INTCPTS P 121 122 16.0 P+++++++++---- P 2.6 51 100 41 3009 ++++++ 7.6
2 TOTAL POINTS SCORED D 43 44 27.6 ++P++++--- P 25.4 100 69 32 3700 ++++ 6.3
3 TOUCHDOWNS SCORED. D 36 67 3.2 ++P++++--- P 3.0 90 69 27 3780 ++++ 6.1
4 TOUCHDOWNS PASSING. P 38 69 2.0 ++P++++-- P 1.9 46 69 22 2162 +++++ 4.1
5 PLAYS PER TOUCHDWN. P 149 150 20.7 +++++P+++- P 23.0 -66 88 14 -4884 ++++++++ 3.3
6 TD'S SCORED ON RET. P 39 70 0.0 P ------P- 0.1 15 0 75 1125 -------- 3.3
7 PCT. TD'S PER PASS. P 73 74 5.6 +++P++++---- P 4.5 52 75 44 1612 ++++ 2.5
8 YARDS PER TOUCHDOWN P 143 144 121.2 ++++++P++- P 129.1 -59 94 13 -4779 ++++++++ 1.7
9 KICKOFFS RETURNED. P 27 65 1.8 ++P++++-------P 2.5 -31 69 77 -248 - 1.1
10 OPP.TD'S ON INTCPTS P 21 62 0.0 ++++++++P+----P--- 0.2 -11 100 75 -275 ++ 1.0
11 POINTS PER PASS ATT P 84 85 0.8 ++P++++------ P 0.6 84 65 60 420 + 0.8
12 TOUCHDOWNS RUSHING. P 37 68 1.2 P ++++++----- P 0.9 42 57 53 168 + 0.4
* THE INDEX NUMBER IS THE PRODUCT OF THE CORRELATION % (IMPORTANCE OF THE VARIABLE) AND THE DIFFERENCE BETWEEN THE PERCENTILES
FOR THE TWO TEAMS. THE LARGER THE INDEX NUMBER, THE MORE IMPORTANT THE MATCHUPS IN THIS GAME. (A MAXIMUM INDEX = 10,000).
** FOR PERCENTILE DIFFERENCE CHARTS, ONE + OR - SIGN REPRESENTS 10 PERCENTILE RANKS.
THE ADVANTAGE BELONGS TO THE TEAM WHOSE OFFENSE OR DEFENSE IS MARKED + OR -. (100 PERCENTILE IS BEST).
**** REPORT 35_6 - N E VS ATL *** (GAME PRIORITIES)
Bud Goode Sports Computer, Copyright 2017, All Rights Reserved. PLAYOFF YEAR IS **
DATA YR 2016 DATA WK 17 PRIOR YR 2015 UVAL YR 2012 CORR YR 2016 SCHED YR 2016
0BUD GOODE'S SPORTS COMPUTER COR=** UVAL=** GRAPHIC MATCHUPS WEEK 1, 2017 SORTED ON COLUMN 14 PAGE 2
THE PURPOSE OF THIS COMPUTER CHART IS TO MAKE A GRAPHIC PICTURE OF THE LARGEST DIFFERENCES ON
THE MOST IMPORTANT STATISTICS IN ANY GAME. AN INDEX NUMBER(*) IS CREATED USING THE (PERCENTILE
RANK DIFFERENCE BETWEEN THE TWO TEAMS ON OFFENSE AND DEFENSE) AND THE (CORRELATION OF THE
DIFFERENCE). THE INDEX NUMBER IS THEN CONVERTED TO A 'POINTS ADVANTAGE' IN THE MARGIN (W/M, COL 14)
THUS, THE IMPORTANCE OF THE STAT AND THE RANKING OF THE TEAMS ARE BOTH TAKEN INTO CONSIDERATION.
W/M
INDEPENDENT AVG AVG COR. PERCENTILE ADVANTAGE(**) POINTS
RANK VARIABLE NAMES VAR # PER N E ATL PER WITH N E ATL N E ATL ADVAN-
GAME DEFENSE VS OFFENSE GAME UVAL W/M DEFENSE OFFENSE INDEX DEFENSE OFFENSE TAGE
(1) (2) (3) (4) (5) (6) (7) (8) (9) (10) (11) (12) (13) (14)
---- --------------------- ----- ------- ------- ----- ----- ---- ------- ------- ----- ------- ------- ------
***********************************************************************************************************************************
1 YDS.GAINED PER PLAY I 78 77 5.2 +P++++----P----- 6.7 44 61 100 1716 ---- 6.1
WHEN THE DEFENSIVE TEAM IS NEW ENGLAND
AND THE OFFENSIVE TEAM IS ATLANTA
THE MOST IMPORTANT STATISTIC IS YDS.GAINED PER PLAY I
***********************************************************************************************************************************
LAST YEAR THIS DIFFERENCE STAT CORRELATED 44% WITH THE W/M RECORD.
OTHER STATS WHERE THERE ARE DIFFERENCES FOLLOW IN ORDER OF IMPORTANCE
(THE LARGER THE CHART ON OFFENSE (+) OR DEFENSE (-) THE STRONGER THE TEAM):
N E DEFENSE OFFENSE ATL
----- -----
2 YARDS PER PASS ATT. I 83 82 6.0 P++++----P----- 8.2 53 54 100 2438 ----- 6.0
3 PASS EFF. PERCENT. I 133 117 8.8 P ++------P-- 6.2 -53 17 88 -3763 ------- 4.9
4 %FIRST DNS PASS/PAS I 127 126 31.9 +++++P++----P----- 44.5 52 83 100 884 -- 3.8
5 PLAYS PER 1ST DOWN. I 119 118 3.4 ++++P+++-----P---- 2.6 -55 76 100 -1320 -- 3.6
6 TOTAL RUSHING PLAYS I 52 10 23.0 ++++++P++----- P 26.3 37 87 48 1443 ++++ 3.6
7 GIVE AWAYS. I 156 155 1.4 +P+++-----P---- 0.7 61 55 100 2745 ----- 3.4
8 YARDS RUSHING (NET) I 50 8 88.6 ++++++P++----P 120.5 25 94 51 1075 ++++ 3.2
9 YDS.OPP.RETURND.INT I 61 20 6.7 P +------P-- 3.6 25 13 89 1900 -------- 3.2
10 PCT PASSING AVERAGE I 56 14 62.0 ++P+++-----P---- 70.0 35 61 100 1365 ---- 3.1
11 YRDS.GAINED (GROSS) I 49 7 326.4 ++++P+++-----P--- 415.8 54 76 94 972 - 3.1
12 PASSING EFFICIENCY. I 165 93 20.9 P++-----P-- 18.3 -50 20 77 -2850 ------ 3.1
13 RUSH YARDS PERCENT. I 148 147 27.1 ++++P+++-- P 29.0 2 83 23 120 ++++++ 2.6
14 PCT. INTERCEPTIONS. I 72 71 2.1 ++P++-----P-- 1.2 -41 49 78 -1189 --- 2.6
15 RUSHES PER PASS ATT I 92 91 0.6 +++++P++-----P 0.8 26 84 49 910 +++ 2.5
16 PCT COMP(+QB SACKS) I 57 15 58.4 ++P+++----P---- 65.2 44 61 87 1144 --- 2.4
17 PASSES HAD INTERCPT I 60 19 0.8 +++P+-----P-- 0.4 44 55 78 1012 --- 2.3
18 FIRST DOWNS RUSHING I 46 4 5.1 +++++P++---P- 6.8 25 84 52 800 +++ 2.3
19 PUNT RETS.THIS YEAR I 63 24 1.7 +P+++++-- P 1.5 16 66 17 784 +++++ 2.2
20 FIRST DOWNS TOTAL. I 45 3 18.4 ++++P+++-----P--- 23.7 42 77 89 504 - 1.9
21 NET YARDS/PASS COMP I 160 130 10.3 ++++P+++-----P---- 12.6 15 78 100 330 -- 1.9
22 INCOMPLETE PASSES. I 181 180 14.3 +++P+++-----P---- 10.2 28 70 95 700 --- 1.8
23 TOT YARDS/PASS COMP I 159 129 11.0 +++P++++-----P---- 13.3 7 76 100 168 -- 1.8
24 YARDS PASSING (NET) I 51 9 237.9 P ++++----P--- 295.3 24 41 84 1032 ---- 1.6
25 RUSHES + PASS COMP. I 176 175 46.0 ++++++P++-----P 49.7 50 87 57 1500 +++ 1.5
26 YARDS LOST PASSING. I 59 18 14.2 P+++----P- 14.7 36 35 57 792 -- 1.4
27 FUM. LOST THIS YEAR I 35 33 0.6 +P++++----P---- 0.3 45 58 92 1530 --- 1.3
28 QB SACKS.LOTSA OUCH I 58 17 2.1 +P++-----P 2.3 33 39 60 693 -- 1.2
29 FUMBLES THIS SEASON I 34 32 1.6 ++++P+++----P----- 0.5 34 78 100 748 -- 1.1
30 PCT QB SACKS/ATTMPT I 151 128 5.7 P+++----P- 6.9 -26 26 55 -754 --- 0.8
31 PASS ATTEMPTS (TOT) I 54 12 37.3 P+++++-----P- 33.6 -3 59 69 -30 - 0.7
32 FIRST DOWNS PASSING I 47 5 11.9 +P++++---P---- 14.9 14 56 77 294 -- 0.5
33 YDS.PER PUNT RETURN I 64 25 5.0 +++P+++++-P---- 11.0 4 89 56 132 +++ 0.5
34 TOTAL PLAYS (SCRIM) I 76 75 62.4 ++P++++---- P 62.2 10 68 43 250 +++ 0.4
35 YARDS PER K.O. RET. I 66 28 19.0 +P+++++++----- P 21.0 0 88 50 0 ++++ 0.3
36 FIRST DOWNS BY PENL I 48 6 1.4 +P+++++-----P 2.0 7 72 57 105 + 0.1
37 YARDS PER SACK. I 153 152 6.7 +P++++----P 6.4 -1 60 54 -6 + 0.1
38 AVG. YARDS PER RUSH I 53 11 3.9 +P+++++----P- 4.6 1 67 65 2 + 0.1
39 TOT.PASSES COMPLETE I 55 13 23.0 P++++--P-- 23.4 3 48 47 3 0.0
DEPENDENT VARS
1 PASS TDS/OP INTCPTS P 122 121 1.6 ++++P++P-- 5.4 51 74 31 2193 ++++ 3.4
2 TOUCHDOWNS RUSHING. P 68 37 0.4 +++++++P++--P--- 1.3 42 100 61 1638 ++++ 2.8
3 TOTAL POINTS SCORED D 44 43 15.6 ++++++P+++-----P---- 33.8 100 100 100 0 2.7
4 TOUCHDOWNS PASSING. P 69 38 1.3 ++P++++-----P--- 2.4 46 65 92 1242 -- 2.7
5 TOUCHDOWNS SCORED. D 67 36 1.7 ++++++P+++-----P---- 3.9 90 97 100 270 2.3
6 PCT. TD'S PER PASS. P 74 73 3.3 +++P+++-----P---- 6.6 52 72 100 1456 --- 2.3
7 TD'S SCORED ON RET. P 70 39 0.0 ++++++P+++----P- 0.3 15 100 63 555 ++++ 1.6
8 OPP.TD'S ON INTCPTS P 62 21 0.0 P ------ P 0.1 -11 0 60 -660 ------ 1.6
9 PLAYS PER TOUCHDWN. P 150 149 37.0 +++P++++------P--- 17.2 -66 76 100 -1584 -- 1.5
10 POINTS PER PASS ATT P 85 84 0.4 +++++++P++-----P---- 1.0 84 100 100 0 0.9
11 YARDS PER TOUCHDOWN P 144 143 193.4 ++P+++++-------P-- 114.7 -59 76 100 -1416 -- 0.5
12 KICKOFFS RETURNED. P 65 27 2.5 +++++P++-----P--- 1.4 -31 77 92 -465 - 0.4
* THE INDEX NUMBER IS THE PRODUCT OF THE CORRELATION % (IMPORTANCE OF THE VARIABLE) AND THE DIFFERENCE BETWEEN THE PERCENTILES
FOR THE TWO TEAMS. THE LARGER THE INDEX NUMBER, THE MORE IMPORTANT THE MATCHUPS IN THIS GAME. (A MAXIMUM INDEX = 10,000).
** FOR PERCENTILE DIFFERENCE CHARTS, ONE + OR - SIGN REPRESENTS 10 PERCENTILE RANKS.
THE ADVANTAGE BELONGS TO THE TEAM WHOSE OFFENSE OR DEFENSE IS MARKED + OR -. (100 PERCENTILE IS BEST).
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