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Falcons at Eagles

The weekend games open with the Falcons at Eagles where the Falcons are coming off a solid win vs Rams in L.A. As mentioned last week, the Falcons are a talented team that may be recapturing the feel for winning playoff games, as they did last season. While the Eagles have been our Super Bowl pick almost the entire season, they come into this game minus their young star QB, Carson Wentz.

What is the impact to a team missing a top-level, starting QB? We've observed a value loss of 7 points or more to the team. Below is a chart of yards per pass attempt for the Eagles. Note they've fallen off a cliff in the last two games. Can they fix this against the Falcons?

2017 through Week 17


Our computer predicts a 10-point win for the Eagles. That's an overestimate given their missing QB. Let's subtract 7 for the absent QB. That leaves 3, which is basically what's awarded for having the home field. This game is up for grabs. It should be a good one.

Bill Sanders for BudGoodeSports.com
dr.bill@wrsanders.com

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