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Killer Stat II's Strong Link to Winning

If you want to predict divisional leaders, Points per Pass Attempt does the best job. Divisional winners, by definition, always make the playoffs. And once in the playoffs, any team can reach the Super Bowl.

The graphs below show the close relationship between points per pass and winning margin.

see conference charts (larger, current week): AFC NFC
see conference charts (all weeks): AFC NFC
Scatterplots by Division

Example:
In the first week (chart above), Pittsburgh Steelers earned 1.29 more points per pass than their defense allowed and won by 27 points. The weakest team, Cleveland Browns (Steelers' opponent) allowed 1.29 more than they earned on offense and lost by 27.

Teams in the upper right corner are big winners on both stats. The picture shows that as a team improves from zero to one point per pass or more the winning margin explodes.

With a knowledge of this one stat you can predict winning margin and games won.

It will take 3 or 4 weeks before this picture settles down and the league's playoff teams will be set in concrete.

To know if your team is playoff bound, check the Killer Stat II Divisional Charts feature every week.

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