Goode's Killer Stat II: Points per Pass Attempt
Yearly Charts
NEW: This season we are putting special emphasis on this key Points per Pass Attempt stat graphic.
In 2002 this stat correlated 91% with the winning margin.
It is a key stat.
And the graphs below show there is a tight correlation between a team's winning margin and Points per Pass.
When a team improves on Points per Pass they tend to improve on their scoring differential (Winning Margin).
The graphs show this improvement is "proportional" (big moves on Points per Pass lead to big moves in Winning Margin.)
What does it tell us about the game? Simple: It "explains" the
journalistic reason why teams win. Points per Pass is not,
repeat NOT just a measure of passing efficiency. Since a team can't run and pass
on the same play, it measures the run/pass BALANCE.
Both offensive and defensive stats are used (Points per
Pass DIFFERENCE).
The 32 graphs below picture each team's improvement or decline over 6 seasons. These update every week. After week 4, you
will know which teams will end the season with improved W-L records over last year (those with big up moves). And you'll know which teams
are going the other way.
(Note: Houston's two-season chart appears last.)
To see this season's rankings for all 32 teams, go to the Points per Pass Attempt Differential percentile chart
or the Points Behind Leader, Points per Pass Attempt chart.
If you have questions about your favorite team, email
Bill Sanders
or Bud Goode.
Related items:
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Team
League Ave
Winning Margin