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PLAYOFF and SUPER BOWL PROJECTIONS

Killer Stat II, Points per Pass
8 Divisional Charts

Will your team make the playoffs? By definition, all divisional winners are playoff bound.

These 8 charts (scroll down) picture the most likely divisional leaders on Killer Stat II, Points per Pass. Is your favorite team headed for the playoffs? Check this divisional chart weekly to see where you stand.



Points per Pass Att Diff

Percentile Chart

100=Stongest 50=Average 0=Weakest
Lines: Playoff Avg=47 SuperBowl Avg=57

Win Mrg Points Change

Winning Margin Points Change
Sorted by Points Change, 2024 to 2025

AFC East

2025 Season, YTD through Week 17

Rank Team Pctl Stat
Value 		Points
behind
Leader 		Win Mrg
Pts Chg
vs 2024 		Games
Won
3 MIA 76 0.57 5.40 0.67 7
5 N E 57 0.32 9.82 10.73 13
11 BUF 43 0.15 12.99 -4.79 11
30 NYJ 4 -0.34 21.95 -1.47 3

Week 17--AFC East PLAYOFF RACE

Dolphins lead the division at 0.57 and are followed by Patriots (0.32), Bills (0.15) and Jets (-0.34).
Jets earned -0.34 on Points per Pass Att Diff and are 21.95 points behind the league leader.
The Jets up/down points change on this stat over last season is -1.47.

The league's most up team on Points per Pass Att Diff is the New England Patriots, up 10.73 points per game through week 17.
The most down team is the Minnesota Vikings, down -6.69 points.

Dolphins   2025 Win/Loss Projection    7/9
Patriots   2025 Win/Loss Projection   13/3
Bills   2025 Win/Loss Projection    12/4
Jets   2025 Win/Loss Projection    3/13


Points per Pass Att Diff

Percentile Chart

100=Stongest 50=Average 0=Weakest
Lines: Playoff Avg=47 SuperBowl Avg=57

Win Mrg Points Change

Winning Margin Points Change
Sorted by Points Change, 2024 to 2025

AFC North

2025 Season, YTD through Week 17

Rank Team Pctl Stat
Value 		Points
behind
Leader 		Win Mrg
Pts Chg
vs 2024 		Games
Won
1 BAL 100 0.87 0.00 -2.42 8
13 PIT 41 0.13 13.39 -0.66 9
26 CIN 10 -0.26 20.47 -4.37 6
29 CLE 5 -0.32 21.55 2.12 4

Week 17--AFC North PLAYOFF RACE

Ravens lead the division at 0.87 and are followed by Steelers (0.13), Bengals (-0.26) and Browns (-0.32).
Ravens earned 0.87 on Points per Pass Att Diff and are 0.00 points behind the league leader.
The Ravens up/down points change on this stat over last season is -2.42.

The league's most up team on Points per Pass Att Diff is the New England Patriots, up 10.73 points per game through week 17.
The most down team is the New York Jets, down -1.47 points.

Ravens   2025 Win/Loss Projection    7/9
Steelers   2025 Win/Loss Projection   10/6
Bengals   2025 Win/Loss Projection    5/11
Browns   2025 Win/Loss Projection    3/13


Points per Pass Att Diff

Percentile Chart

100=Stongest 50=Average 0=Weakest
Lines: Playoff Avg=47 SuperBowl Avg=57

Win Mrg Points Change

Winning Margin Points Change
Sorted by Points Change, 2024 to 2025

AFC South

2025 Season, YTD through Week 17

Rank Team Pctl Stat
Value 		Points
behind
Leader 		Win Mrg
Pts Chg
vs 2024 		Games
Won
7 JAX 53 0.27 10.82 8.14 12
8 IND 49 0.22 11.66 4.87 8
12 HOU 42 0.14 13.19 3.13 11
32 TEN 0 -0.39 22.79 0.03 3

Week 17--AFC South PLAYOFF RACE

Jags lead the division at 0.27 and are followed by Colts (0.22), Texans (0.14) and Titans (-0.39).
Texans earned 0.14 on Points per Pass Att Diff and are 13.19 points behind the league leader.
The Texans up/down points change on this stat over last season is 3.13.

The league's most up team on Points per Pass Att Diff is the New England Patriots, up 10.73 points per game through week 17.
The most down team is the Houston Texans, down 3.13 points.

Jags   2025 Win/Loss Projection    11/5
Colts   2025 Win/Loss Projection   9/7
Texans   2025 Win/Loss Projection    10/6
Titans   2025 Win/Loss Projection    3/13


Points per Pass Att Diff

Percentile Chart

100=Stongest 50=Average 0=Weakest
Lines: Playoff Avg=47 SuperBowl Avg=57

Win Mrg Points Change

Winning Margin Points Change
Sorted by Points Change, 2024 to 2025

AFC West

2025 Season, YTD through Week 17

Rank Team Pctl Stat
Value 		Points
behind
Leader 		Win Mrg
Pts Chg
vs 2024 		Games
Won
15 DEN 38 0.09 14.13 -1.83 13
16 LAC 33 0.03 15.17 -3.92 11
17 K C 30 -0.02 16.01 -2.62 6
31 LV 0 -0.39 22.73 -2.23 2

Week 17--AFC West PLAYOFF RACE

Broncos lead the division at 0.09 and are followed by Chargers (0.03), Chiefs (-0.02) and Raiders (-0.39).
Broncos earned 0.09 on Points per Pass Att Diff and are 14.13 points behind the league leader.
The Broncos up/down points change on this stat over last season is -1.83.

The league's most up team on Points per Pass Att Diff is the New England Patriots, up 10.73 points per game through week 17.
The most down team is the Dallas Cowboys, down 4.01 points.

Broncos   2025 Win/Loss Projection    13/3
Chargers   2025 Win/Loss Projection   12/4
Chiefs   2025 Win/Loss Projection    6/10
Raiders   2025 Win/Loss Projection    2/14


Points per Pass Att Diff

Percentile Chart

100=Stongest 50=Average 0=Weakest
Lines: Playoff Avg=47 SuperBowl Avg=57

Win Mrg Points Change

Winning Margin Points Change
Sorted by Points Change, 2024 to 2025

NFC East

2025 Season, YTD through Week 17

Rank Team Pctl Stat
Value 		Points
behind
Leader 		Win Mrg
Pts Chg
vs 2024 		Games
Won
9 PHI 48 0.22 11.79 -5.58 11
21 NYG 23 -0.10 17.49 5.33 3
22 WAS 21 -0.13 17.97 -5.26 4
25 DAL 19 -0.16 18.52 4.01 7

Week 17--NFC East PLAYOFF RACE

Eagles lead the division at 0.22 and are followed by Giants (-0.10), Commanders (-0.13) and Cowboys (-0.16).
Commanders earned -0.13 on Points per Pass Att Diff and are 17.97 points behind the league leader.
The Commanders up/down points change on this stat over last season is -5.26.

The league's most up team on Points per Pass Att Diff is the New England Patriots, up 10.73 points per game through week 17.
The most down team is the Indianapolis Colts, down 4.87 points.

Eagles   2025 Win/Loss Projection    10/6
Giants   2025 Win/Loss Projection   3/13
Commanders   2025 Win/Loss Projection    4/12
Cowboys   2025 Win/Loss Projection    7/9


Points per Pass Att Diff

Percentile Chart

100=Stongest 50=Average 0=Weakest
Lines: Playoff Avg=47 SuperBowl Avg=57

Win Mrg Points Change

Winning Margin Points Change
Sorted by Points Change, 2024 to 2025

NFC North

2025 Season, YTD through Week 17

Rank Team Pctl Stat
Value 		Points
behind
Leader 		Win Mrg
Pts Chg
vs 2024 		Games
Won
2 G B 89 0.73 2.52 -3.84 9
14 DET 39 0.10 13.98 -6.13 8
18 CHI 29 -0.02 16.08 3.15 11
19 MIN 28 -0.03 16.30 -6.69 8

Week 17--NFC North PLAYOFF RACE

Packers lead the division at 0.73 and are followed by Lions (0.10), Bears (-0.02) and Vikings (-0.03).
Bears earned -0.02 on Points per Pass Att Diff and are 16.08 points behind the league leader.
The Bears up/down points change on this stat over last season is 3.15.

The league's most up team on Points per Pass Att Diff is the New England Patriots, up 10.73 points per game through week 17.
The most down team is the New York Giants, down 5.33 points.

Packers   2025 Win/Loss Projection    10/6
Lions   2025 Win/Loss Projection   9/7
Bears   2025 Win/Loss Projection    12/4
Vikings   2025 Win/Loss Projection    7/9


Points per Pass Att Diff

Percentile Chart

100=Stongest 50=Average 0=Weakest
Lines: Playoff Avg=47 SuperBowl Avg=57

Win Mrg Points Change

Winning Margin Points Change
Sorted by Points Change, 2024 to 2025

NFC South

2025 Season, YTD through Week 17

Rank Team Pctl Stat
Value 		Points
behind
Leader 		Win Mrg
Pts Chg
vs 2024 		Games
Won
20 T B 26 -0.07 16.89 -5.89 7
23 ATL 21 -0.13 17.99 -1.85 7
24 CAR 21 -0.13 18.09 5.37 8
27 N O 9 -0.27 20.66 -4.29 6

Week 17--NFC South PLAYOFF RACE

Bucs lead the division at -0.07 and are followed by Falcons (-0.13), Panthers (-0.13) and Saints (-0.27).
Falcons earned -0.13 on Points per Pass Att Diff and are 17.99 points behind the league leader.
The Falcons up/down points change on this stat over last season is -1.85.

The league's most up team on Points per Pass Att Diff is the New England Patriots, up 10.73 points per game through week 17.
The most down team is the Carolina Panthers, down 5.37 points.

Bucs   2025 Win/Loss Projection    7/9
Falcons   2025 Win/Loss Projection   6/10
Panthers   2025 Win/Loss Projection    8/8
Saints   2025 Win/Loss Projection    6/10


Points per Pass Att Diff

Percentile Chart

100=Stongest 50=Average 0=Weakest
Lines: Playoff Avg=47 SuperBowl Avg=57

Win Mrg Points Change

Winning Margin Points Change
Sorted by Points Change, 2024 to 2025

NFC West

2025 Season, YTD through Week 17

Rank Team Pctl Stat
Value 		Points
behind
Leader 		Win Mrg
Pts Chg
vs 2024 		Games
Won
4 SEA 73 0.53 6.11 10.32 13
6 LAR 53 0.28 10.68 5.58 11
10 S F 43 0.15 12.95 3.91 12
28 ARI 7 -0.30 21.23 -5.15 3

Week 17--NFC West PLAYOFF RACE

Seahawks lead the division at 0.53 and are followed by Rams (0.28), 49ers (0.15) and Cardinals (-0.30).
49ers earned 0.15 on Points per Pass Att Diff and are 12.95 points behind the league leader.
The 49ers up/down points change on this stat over last season is 3.91.

The league's most up team on Points per Pass Att Diff is the New England Patriots, up 10.73 points per game through week 17.
The most down team is the L. A. Rams, down 5.58 points.

Seahawks   2025 Win/Loss Projection    13/3
Rams   2025 Win/Loss Projection   12/4
49ers   2025 Win/Loss Projection    11/5
Cardinals   2025 Win/Loss Projection    4/12

Related Links:
Killer Stat II 32-team Percentile Charts (winning margin, offense, defense)
Killer Stat II's Link to Winning (NFL, AFC, NFC helmet graphs: predict W-L records)
Killer Stat II Yearly Charts, updated weekly
Kilelr Stat II Points Behind Leader