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PLAYOFF and SUPER BOWL PROJECTIONS

Killer Stat II, Points per Pass
8 Divisional Charts

Will your team make the playoffs? By definition, all divisional winners are playoff bound.

These 8 charts (scroll down) picture the most likely divisional leaders on Killer Stat II, Points per Pass. Is your favorite team headed for the playoffs? Check this divisional chart weekly to see where you stand.



Points per Pass Att Diff

Percentile Chart

100=Stongest 50=Average 0=Weakest
Lines: Playoff Avg=48 SuperBowl Avg=57

Win Mrg Points Change

Winning Margin Points Change
Sorted by Points Change, 2024 to 2025

AFC East

2025 Season, YTD through Week 16

Rank Team Pctl Stat
Value
Points
behind
Leader
Win Mrg
Pts Chg
vs 2024
Games
Won
3 MIA 78 0.58 4.86 0.89 6
7 N E 52 0.26 10.67 9.57 12
10 BUF 46 0.18 12.15 -4.27 11
26 NYJ 9 -0.28 20.47 -0.31 3

Week 16--AFC East PLAYOFF RACE

Dolphins lead the division at 0.58 and are followed by Patriots (0.26), Bills (0.18) and Jets (-0.28).
Jets earned -0.28 on Points per Pass Att Diff and are 20.47 points behind the league leader.
The Jets up/down points change on this stat over last season is -0.31.

The league's most up team on Points per Pass Att Diff is the Seattle Seahawks, up 10.28 points per game through week 16.
The most down team is the Minnesota Vikings, down -7.70 points.

Dolphins   2025 Win/Loss Projection    7/9
Patriots   2025 Win/Loss Projection   13/3
Bills   2025 Win/Loss Projection    12/4
Jets   2025 Win/Loss Projection    3/13



Points per Pass Att Diff

Percentile Chart

100=Stongest 50=Average 0=Weakest
Lines: Playoff Avg=48 SuperBowl Avg=57

Win Mrg Points Change

Winning Margin Points Change
Sorted by Points Change, 2024 to 2025

AFC North

2025 Season, YTD through Week 16

Rank Team Pctl Stat
Value
Points
behind
Leader
Win Mrg
Pts Chg
vs 2024
Games
Won
1 BAL 100 0.85 0.00 -2.74 7
11 PIT 46 0.17 12.21 0.20 9
29 CIN 5 -0.33 21.35 -5.57 5
32 CLE 0 -0.39 22.43 0.93 3

Week 16--AFC North PLAYOFF RACE

Ravens lead the division at 0.85 and are followed by Steelers (0.17), Bengals (-0.33) and Browns (-0.39).
Ravens earned 0.85 on Points per Pass Att Diff and are 0.00 points behind the league leader.
The Ravens up/down points change on this stat over last season is -2.74.

The league's most up team on Points per Pass Att Diff is the Seattle Seahawks, up 10.28 points per game through week 16.
The most down team is the New York Jets, down -0.31 points.

Ravens   2025 Win/Loss Projection    7/9
Steelers   2025 Win/Loss Projection   10/6
Bengals   2025 Win/Loss Projection    5/11
Browns   2025 Win/Loss Projection    3/13



Points per Pass Att Diff

Percentile Chart

100=Stongest 50=Average 0=Weakest
Lines: Playoff Avg=48 SuperBowl Avg=57

Win Mrg Points Change

Winning Margin Points Change
Sorted by Points Change, 2024 to 2025

AFC South

2025 Season, YTD through Week 16

Rank Team Pctl Stat
Value
Points
behind
Leader
Win Mrg
Pts Chg
vs 2024
Games
Won
6 JAX 54 0.28 10.24 8.40 11
8 IND 51 0.24 10.99 5.22 8
14 HOU 42 0.13 12.95 3.05 10
31 TEN 1 -0.38 22.29 0.22 3

Week 16--AFC South PLAYOFF RACE

Jags lead the division at 0.28 and are followed by Colts (0.24), Texans (0.13) and Titans (-0.38).
Texans earned 0.13 on Points per Pass Att Diff and are 12.95 points behind the league leader.
The Texans up/down points change on this stat over last season is 3.05.

The league's most up team on Points per Pass Att Diff is the Seattle Seahawks, up 10.28 points per game through week 16.
The most down team is the Houston Texans, down 3.05 points.

Jags   2025 Win/Loss Projection    11/5
Colts   2025 Win/Loss Projection   9/7
Texans   2025 Win/Loss Projection    10/6
Titans   2025 Win/Loss Projection    3/13



Points per Pass Att Diff

Percentile Chart

100=Stongest 50=Average 0=Weakest
Lines: Playoff Avg=48 SuperBowl Avg=57

Win Mrg Points Change

Winning Margin Points Change
Sorted by Points Change, 2024 to 2025

AFC West

2025 Season, YTD through Week 16

Rank Team Pctl Stat
Value
Points
behind
Leader
Win Mrg
Pts Chg
vs 2024
Games
Won
15 DEN 39 0.10 13.64 -1.66 12
16 LAC 35 0.04 14.57 -3.63 11
18 K C 29 -0.03 15.86 -2.78 6
30 LV 2 -0.36 21.93 -1.75 2

Week 16--AFC West PLAYOFF RACE

Broncos lead the division at 0.10 and are followed by Chargers (0.04), Chiefs (-0.03) and Raiders (-0.36).
Broncos earned 0.10 on Points per Pass Att Diff and are 13.64 points behind the league leader.
The Broncos up/down points change on this stat over last season is -1.66.

The league's most up team on Points per Pass Att Diff is the Seattle Seahawks, up 10.28 points per game through week 16.
The most down team is the Dallas Cowboys, down 4.02 points.

Broncos   2025 Win/Loss Projection    13/3
Chargers   2025 Win/Loss Projection   12/4
Chiefs   2025 Win/Loss Projection    6/10
Raiders   2025 Win/Loss Projection    2/14



Points per Pass Att Diff

Percentile Chart

100=Stongest 50=Average 0=Weakest
Lines: Playoff Avg=48 SuperBowl Avg=57

Win Mrg Points Change

Winning Margin Points Change
Sorted by Points Change, 2024 to 2025

NFC East

2025 Season, YTD through Week 16

Rank Team Pctl Stat
Value
Points
behind
Leader
Win Mrg
Pts Chg
vs 2024
Games
Won
9 PHI 49 0.22 11.43 -5.53 10
22 WAS 20 -0.14 17.99 -5.60 4
23 NYG 19 -0.15 18.19 4.31 2
24 DAL 19 -0.15 18.19 4.02 6

Week 16--NFC East PLAYOFF RACE

Eagles lead the division at 0.22 and are followed by Commanders (-0.14), Giants (-0.15) and Cowboys (-0.15).
Commanders earned -0.14 on Points per Pass Att Diff and are 17.99 points behind the league leader.
The Commanders up/down points change on this stat over last season is -5.60.

The league's most up team on Points per Pass Att Diff is the Seattle Seahawks, up 10.28 points per game through week 16.
The most down team is the New York Giants, down 4.31 points.

Eagles   2025 Win/Loss Projection    10/6
Commanders   2025 Win/Loss Projection   4/12
Giants   2025 Win/Loss Projection    3/13
Cowboys   2025 Win/Loss Projection    7/9



Points per Pass Att Diff

Percentile Chart

100=Stongest 50=Average 0=Weakest
Lines: Playoff Avg=48 SuperBowl Avg=57

Win Mrg Points Change

Winning Margin Points Change
Sorted by Points Change, 2024 to 2025

NFC North

2025 Season, YTD through Week 16

Rank Team Pctl Stat
Value
Points
behind
Leader
Win Mrg
Pts Chg
vs 2024
Games
Won
2 G B 96 0.80 0.92 -2.56 9
12 DET 43 0.15 12.75 -5.21 8
17 CHI 32 0.00 15.34 3.57 11
20 MIN 24 -0.09 16.99 -7.70 7

Week 16--NFC North PLAYOFF RACE

Packers lead the division at 0.80 and are followed by Lions (0.15), Bears (0.00) and Vikings (-0.09).
Bears earned 0.00 on Points per Pass Att Diff and are 15.34 points behind the league leader.
The Bears up/down points change on this stat over last season is 3.57.

The league's most up team on Points per Pass Att Diff is the Seattle Seahawks, up 10.28 points per game through week 16.
The most down team is the Indianapolis Colts, down 5.22 points.

Packers   2025 Win/Loss Projection    10/6
Lions   2025 Win/Loss Projection   9/7
Bears   2025 Win/Loss Projection    12/4
Vikings   2025 Win/Loss Projection    7/9



Points per Pass Att Diff

Percentile Chart

100=Stongest 50=Average 0=Weakest
Lines: Playoff Avg=48 SuperBowl Avg=57

Win Mrg Points Change

Winning Margin Points Change
Sorted by Points Change, 2024 to 2025

NFC South

2025 Season, YTD through Week 16

Rank Team Pctl Stat
Value
Points
behind
Leader
Win Mrg
Pts Chg
vs 2024
Games
Won
19 T B 29 -0.03 15.97 -5.28 7
21 CAR 23 -0.11 17.31 5.83 8
25 ATL 18 -0.17 18.41 -2.58 6
28 N O 5 -0.32 21.27 -5.22 5

Week 16--NFC South PLAYOFF RACE

Bucs lead the division at -0.03 and are followed by Panthers (-0.11), Falcons (-0.17) and Saints (-0.32).
Falcons earned -0.17 on Points per Pass Att Diff and are 18.41 points behind the league leader.
The Falcons up/down points change on this stat over last season is -2.58.

The league's most up team on Points per Pass Att Diff is the Seattle Seahawks, up 10.28 points per game through week 16.
The most down team is the Carolina Panthers, down 5.83 points.

Bucs   2025 Win/Loss Projection    7/9
Panthers   2025 Win/Loss Projection   8/8
Falcons   2025 Win/Loss Projection    6/10
Saints   2025 Win/Loss Projection    6/10



Points per Pass Att Diff

Percentile Chart

100=Stongest 50=Average 0=Weakest
Lines: Playoff Avg=48 SuperBowl Avg=57

Win Mrg Points Change

Winning Margin Points Change
Sorted by Points Change, 2024 to 2025

NFC West

2025 Season, YTD through Week 16

Rank Team Pctl Stat
Value
Points
behind
Leader
Win Mrg
Pts Chg
vs 2024
Games
Won
4 SEA 74 0.53 5.83 10.28 12
5 LAR 57 0.32 9.54 6.40 11
13 S F 43 0.14 12.80 3.74 11
27 ARI 9 -0.28 20.49 -4.72 3

Week 16--NFC West PLAYOFF RACE

Seahawks lead the division at 0.53 and are followed by Rams (0.32), 49ers (0.14) and Cardinals (-0.28).
49ers earned 0.14 on Points per Pass Att Diff and are 12.80 points behind the league leader.
The 49ers up/down points change on this stat over last season is 3.74.

The league's most up team on Points per Pass Att Diff is the Seattle Seahawks, up 10.28 points per game through week 16.
The most down team is the L. A. Rams, down 6.40 points.

Seahawks   2025 Win/Loss Projection    13/3
Rams   2025 Win/Loss Projection   12/4
49ers   2025 Win/Loss Projection    11/5
Cardinals   2025 Win/Loss Projection    4/12


Related Links:
Killer Stat II 32-team Percentile Charts (winning margin, offense, defense)
Killer Stat II's Link to Winning (NFL, AFC, NFC helmet graphs: predict W-L records)
Killer Stat II Yearly Charts, updated weekly
Kilelr Stat II Points Behind Leader