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Attention Media members: please see our media section.Welcome to BudGoodeSports
Serving Football Fans on the Web since 1994!
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| 2007 PLAYOFFS |
Copyright 2005, BudGoodeSports.com. All rights reserved.
Note:
You can find your favorite team easily in these larger, individual conference charts.
Super Bowl:
Conference Championships:
Divisional Playoffs:
Wildcard Weekend:
Killer Stat II's Link to Winning (Helmet charts: Predict W-L)
If you want to predict divisional leaders,
points per pass attempt does the best job. Divisional
winners, by definition, always make the playoffs. And once in the
playoffs, any team can reach the Super Bowl. The
chart below pictures the strong correlation between Points per Pass
and each team's winning margin...
All earlier weeks' Flash Features are in the
Flash Archive
Playmakers
Week 12: Stats don't win games. People do. And this season the New England Patriots' front office
dropped WR Randy Moss into coaching genius
Bill Belichick's hands replacing last season's leading receiver. Result? ...
New England Know-How
Week 11: New England Patriot's Coach Bill Belichick knew HOW to build a winning
Super Bowl team. In his first four seasons at the Pats he had three
Super B wins...
Was Falcon QB Vick a QB? Or a Runner?
Week 10: Here are some stats to mull over. With Atlanta Falcons' QB Vick out of the lineup this season, the
Falcons' league-leading running game is down more than any NFL team...
Brady to Moss
Week 9: All season long this space has been harping on the marriage between Patriots' QB Brady and his new WR Moss.
These two dedicated athletes lead the league in passing efficiency stats. And our group of pass efficiency
stats includes the Percentage of Passing TDs to Pass Attempts...
2007 FEATURES
Goode's Killer Stat II--Yearly Charts updated weekly
This season we are putting special emphasis on this key Points per Pass Attempt stat graphic.
This stat correlates 95% with the winning margin. Watch it. By week 4,
you'll know which teams will end the season with improved W-L records and which teams are going the other way...
Goode's Killer Stat--Yearly Charts updated weekly
32 teams, yearly charts of Yards per Pass Attempt differential...
TDs Scored Charts updated weekly
32 teams, yearly charts of TDs Scored differential...
Goode's Killer Stat II--8 Divisional Charts, updated weekly
Will your team make the playoffs? By definition, all divisional leaders are playoff bound.
These 8 charts (scroll down) picture the most likely divisional leaders on Killer Stat II, Points per Pass.
Is your favorite team headed for the playoffs? Check this divisional chart weekly to see where you stand...
Goode's Killer Stat II--32-team Percentile Chart, weekly udpate
This Killer Stat II statgraphic feature shows Points per Pass Attempt in relation to Winning Margin, Points Scored on Offense and Points Allowed on Defense. If a team improves it's Points per Pass Difference (offense - defense), it increases its winning margin and improves its W-L record. The offense and defense sections explain how the team did it...
2 Stat Percentile Charts: Killer II and Winning Margin
Playoff teams, by definition, are made up of the 8 divisional leaders plus 2 wild card teams from each conference.
These charts picture two stats: 1) the key Winning Margin (scoring differential) and 2) the important Killer Stat II, Points per Pass differential...
2007 DEPARTMENTS-weekly updates
Predict Tools-- for Week
21
After 21 games. The Unweighted
Predict Report will fluctuate wildly in the first few weeks until enough games are played to generate sufficient data.
By week 4 or 5 this report will point to the
likely playoff contenders.
The Weighted Predict Report is based on a percentage of
last year's data, starting at 90% for week one and declines by 10% each week.
Reports are posted for week 21.
Post Game Analysis-- Week 21
There are many ways to win a football game and teams win for different reasons.
This graphic tool shows you which stats contributed most points to the win.
Which stat contributed most points in your favorite team's contest?
PreGame Matchups-- for Week 21
Which stats are likely to contribute the most points to the win this week?
Checkout all this week's games using the "Change Teams" box...
Stat of the Week
The Stat of the Week features are pegged on the weekly games where ONE STAT makes
a big contribution to your team's win or loss...
Week 16 update: Run/Pass Ratio, CHI-GB; First Downs, IND-HOU
Most UP, Most DOWN
Which teams are the MOST UP and MOST DOWN on the scoring
differential (Winning Margin)? In this feature we picture a few stat graphics contributing MOST points
to the most UP and most DOWN teams...
Week 13 update: AFC Most Down-Ravens, Up-Patriots
NFC Most Down-Bears, Up-Bucs
Power Ratings
Week 21
Killer Stat
Week 21
Killer Stat-Offense
Week 21
Killer Stat-Defense
Week 21
2006 PLAYOFFS
Super Bowl XLI:
Conference Championships:
Divisional Playoffs:
Wildcard Weekend:
PAST FEATURES
Testeverde-Led Jets Not Airworthy
[2003 week 1] Bud's Killer Stat, Yards per Pass Attempt, pictured in the stat graphic below, a key stat in last night's NFL kickoff game matching the Jets and Redskins, shows the NY Jets QB Vinny Testeverde earned only 4+ yards per toss...

2005 Playoffs and Super Bowl Comments
2004 Playoffs and Super Bowl Comments
2003 Playoffs and Super Bowl Comments
2002 Playoffs and Super Bowl Comments Bud Goode / Bill Sanders
2003 vs 2002 Schedules. Who Benefits?
Schedules can make or break a season.
For example, lots of preseason pundits are picking the Chiefs to make the playoffs--even win the tough AFC West division.
Their 2003 schedule helps...
Press Release: Pennington Loss Costly to Jets
[23 Aug 2003] Loss of QB Pennington for a dozen games of the coming season may cost
the the Jets 8 points per game on offense...
Games Won and Winning Margin
The most important stat in pro football is "Games Won." Our job is to find the important stats which separate winners from losers...

2002 StatGraphic Feature: Yards per Pass vs Games Won
Does Killer Stat performance equate with winning?
The New York Giants lead the NFL on Goode's Killer Stat, yards per pass, earning 1.6 yards per toss more on offense than their D allows. On this strong performance featuring QB Kerry Collins the Giants won 10 games...
[update: NFC and AFC charts]
2002: Yards per Play, Killer Stat's Kissin' Cousin
The most important stat separating winners from losers last season was Yards per Pass Attempt, our Killer Stat.
If you take the difference in scoring and compare it to the difference in yards per toss, you find a strong relationship.
But each year other key stats compete for the top spot. At the 14 week mark of the 2002 season, Yards per Play was tied
with Yards per Pass Attempt as the most important stat...
2002: Projecting Winners with Points per Pass Attempt
This is a new stat graphic feature using the run/pass balance
to project each team's Won/Lost record. In the 2001 season this
stat correlated 96% with the winning margin. It is a key stat...
Note: Past Predict Reports are now in the Archive
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