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PLAYOFF and SUPER BOWL PROJECTIONS

Goode's Winning Index
8 Divisional Charts

New for this season is our stat research group's GOODE'S WINNING INDEX number. Eight factors on offense and D are included in this one stat. It is even more accurate than Killer Stat II. Check the stat graphic each week for your fav team's ranking within your division. Are they the strongest in the division? If so they are likely to make the playoffs. If not at the top are they competitive, i.e., how many Points Behind the Leader? And did they get stronger this season? Check the Points Change column.

To reach the Super Bowl your team must FIRST win the race for the playoffs on this most important Killer Stat WINNING INDEX. Monday morn it is the first STAT VALUE to check (see STAT VALUE, tables below) to project their Games Won record.

Check it every Monday.

In the first few weeks the INDEX will run hot 'n cold. But it will settle down by the 3rd or 4th week. Barring serious injuries to playmakers, fans can have the satisfaction of thinking their fav team is playoff bound. A few years back, for example, the top 12 teams on the INDEX won the playoff race. It's a most reliable indicator.

Over the last 7 seasons Super Bowl winners averaged 0.90, playoff teams 0.55.



Goode's Winning Index

Percentile Chart

100=Stongest 50=Average 0=Weakest
Lines: Playoff Avg=59 SuperBowl Avg=72

Win Mrg Points Change

Winning Margin Points Change
Sorted by Points Change, 2023 to 2024

AFC South

2024 Season, YTD through Week 16

Rank Team Pctl Stat
Value 		Points
behind
Leader 		Win Mrg
Pts Chg
vs 2023 		Games
Won
20 HOU 36 -0.13 13.98 -3.93 8
23 IND 30 -0.33 15.38 -3.83 7
27 JAX 9 -1.00 20.04 -5.99 4
32 TEN 0 -1.27 21.90 -7.36 3

Week 16--AFC South PLAYOFF RACE

Texans lead the division at -0.13 and are followed by Colts (-0.33), Jags (-1.00) and Titans (-1.27).
Texans earned -0.13 on Goode's Winning Index and are 13.98 points behind the league leader.
The Texans up/down points change on this stat over last season is -3.93.

The league's most up team on Goode's Winning Index is the Washington Commanders, up 11.65 points per game through week 16.
The most down team is the San Francisco 49ers, down -15.31 points.

Texans   2024 Win/Loss Projection    9/7
Colts   2024 Win/Loss Projection   8/8
Jags   2024 Win/Loss Projection    4/12
Titans   2024 Win/Loss Projection    3/13


Goode's Winning Index

Percentile Chart

100=Stongest 50=Average 0=Weakest
Lines: Playoff Avg=59 SuperBowl Avg=72

Win Mrg Points Change

Winning Margin Points Change
Sorted by Points Change, 2023 to 2024

AFC East

2024 Season, YTD through Week 16

Rank Team Pctl Stat
Value 		Points
behind
Leader 		Win Mrg
Pts Chg
vs 2023 		Games
Won
2 BUF 79 1.20 4.66 -1.60 11
16 NYJ 38 -0.07 13.51 8.52 5
21 MIA 36 -0.13 13.98 -7.92 7
25 N E 11 -0.93 19.57 -0.53 2

Week 16--AFC East PLAYOFF RACE

Bills lead the division at 1.20 and are followed by Jets (-0.07), Dolphins (-0.13) and Patriots (-0.93).
Patriots earned -0.93 on Goode's Winning Index and are 19.57 points behind the league leader.
The Patriots up/down points change on this stat over last season is -0.53.

The league's most up team on Goode's Winning Index is the Washington Commanders, up 11.65 points per game through week 16.
The most down team is the Atlanta Falcons, down 0.07 points.

Bills   2024 Win/Loss Projection    13/3
Jets   2024 Win/Loss Projection   4/12
Dolphins   2024 Win/Loss Projection    8/8
Patriots   2024 Win/Loss Projection    3/13


Goode's Winning Index

Percentile Chart

100=Stongest 50=Average 0=Weakest
Lines: Playoff Avg=59 SuperBowl Avg=72

Win Mrg Points Change

Winning Margin Points Change
Sorted by Points Change, 2023 to 2024

AFC North

2024 Season, YTD through Week 16

Rank Team Pctl Stat
Value 		Points
behind
Leader 		Win Mrg
Pts Chg
vs 2023 		Games
Won
3 BAL 79 1.20 4.66 -4.59 11
12 CIN 49 0.27 11.18 2.86 7
14 PIT 40 0.00 13.05 -0.50 9
30 CLE 2 -1.20 21.44 -7.39 3

Week 16--AFC North PLAYOFF RACE

Ravens lead the division at 1.20 and are followed by Bengals (0.27), Steelers (0.00) and Browns (-1.20).
Ravens earned 1.20 on Goode's Winning Index and are 4.66 points behind the league leader.
The Ravens up/down points change on this stat over last season is -4.59.

The league's most up team on Goode's Winning Index is the Washington Commanders, up 11.65 points per game through week 16.
The most down team is the Cincinnati Bengals, down 2.86 points.

Ravens   2024 Win/Loss Projection    11/5
Bengals   2024 Win/Loss Projection   7/9
Steelers   2024 Win/Loss Projection    10/6
Browns   2024 Win/Loss Projection    3/13


Goode's Winning Index

Percentile Chart

100=Stongest 50=Average 0=Weakest
Lines: Playoff Avg=59 SuperBowl Avg=72

Win Mrg Points Change

Winning Margin Points Change
Sorted by Points Change, 2023 to 2024

AFC West

2024 Season, YTD through Week 16

Rank Team Pctl Stat
Value 		Points
behind
Leader 		Win Mrg
Pts Chg
vs 2023 		Games
Won
8 DEN 64 0.73 7.92 9.62 10
10 K C 55 0.47 9.79 -0.23 14
11 LAC 53 0.40 10.25 6.79 8
26 LV 9 -1.00 20.04 -5.99 3

Week 16--AFC West PLAYOFF RACE

Broncos lead the division at 0.73 and are followed by Chiefs (0.47), Chargers (0.40) and Raiders (-1.00).
Broncos earned 0.73 on Goode's Winning Index and are 7.92 points behind the league leader.
The Broncos up/down points change on this stat over last season is 9.62.

The league's most up team on Goode's Winning Index is the Washington Commanders, up 11.65 points per game through week 16.
The most down team is the Green Bay Packers, down 5.03 points.

Broncos   2024 Win/Loss Projection    10/6
Chiefs   2024 Win/Loss Projection   15/1
Chargers   2024 Win/Loss Projection    -1/-1
Raiders   2024 Win/Loss Projection    3/13


Goode's Winning Index

Percentile Chart

100=Stongest 50=Average 0=Weakest
Lines: Playoff Avg=59 SuperBowl Avg=72

Win Mrg Points Change

Winning Margin Points Change
Sorted by Points Change, 2023 to 2024

NFC East

2024 Season, YTD through Week 16

Rank Team Pctl Stat
Value 		Points
behind
Leader 		Win Mrg
Pts Chg
vs 2023 		Games
Won
4 PHI 74 1.07 5.59 5.96 12
9 WAS 57 0.53 9.32 11.65 10
28 DAL 6 -1.07 20.50 -12.45 7
29 NYG 2 -1.20 21.44 0.10 3

Week 16--NFC East PLAYOFF RACE

Eagles lead the division at 1.07 and are followed by Commanders (0.53), Cowboys (-1.07) and Giants (-1.20).
Cowboys earned -1.07 on Goode's Winning Index and are 20.50 points behind the league leader.
The Cowboys up/down points change on this stat over last season is -12.45.

The league's most up team on Goode's Winning Index is the Washington Commanders, up 11.65 points per game through week 16.
The most down team is the Philadelphia Eagles, down 5.96 points.

Eagles   2024 Win/Loss Projection    13/3
Commanders   2024 Win/Loss Projection   11/5
Cowboys   2024 Win/Loss Projection    7/9
Giants   2024 Win/Loss Projection    2/14


Goode's Winning Index

Percentile Chart

100=Stongest 50=Average 0=Weakest
Lines: Playoff Avg=59 SuperBowl Avg=72

Win Mrg Points Change

Winning Margin Points Change
Sorted by Points Change, 2023 to 2024

NFC North

2024 Season, YTD through Week 16

Rank Team Pctl Stat
Value 		Points
behind
Leader 		Win Mrg
Pts Chg
vs 2023 		Games
Won
1 DET 100 1.87 0.00 8.06 12
5 G B 70 0.93 6.52 5.03 11
6 MIN 70 0.93 6.52 5.03 13
18 CHI 36 -0.13 13.98 0.57 4

Week 16--NFC North PLAYOFF RACE

Lions lead the division at 1.87 and are followed by Packers (0.93), Vikings (0.93) and Bears (-0.13).
Bears earned -0.13 on Goode's Winning Index and are 13.98 points behind the league leader.
The Bears up/down points change on this stat over last season is 0.57.

The league's most up team on Goode's Winning Index is the Washington Commanders, up 11.65 points per game through week 16.
The most down team is the L. A. Chargers, down 6.79 points.

Lions   2024 Win/Loss Projection    14/2
Packers   2024 Win/Loss Projection   11/5
Vikings   2024 Win/Loss Projection    14/2
Bears   2024 Win/Loss Projection    5/11


Goode's Winning Index

Percentile Chart

100=Stongest 50=Average 0=Weakest
Lines: Playoff Avg=59 SuperBowl Avg=72

Win Mrg Points Change

Winning Margin Points Change
Sorted by Points Change, 2023 to 2024

NFC South

2024 Season, YTD through Week 16

Rank Team Pctl Stat
Value 		Points
behind
Leader 		Win Mrg
Pts Chg
vs 2023 		Games
Won
7 T B 66 0.80 7.46 4.09 7
19 ATL 36 -0.13 13.98 0.07 8
22 N O 34 -0.20 14.45 -1.90 4
31 CAR 2 -1.20 21.44 1.60 5

Week 16--NFC South PLAYOFF RACE

Bucs lead the division at 0.80 and are followed by Falcons (-0.13), Saints (-0.20) and Panthers (-1.20).
Falcons earned -0.13 on Goode's Winning Index and are 13.98 points behind the league leader.
The Falcons up/down points change on this stat over last season is 0.07.

The league's most up team on Goode's Winning Index is the Washington Commanders, up 11.65 points per game through week 16.
The most down team is the Arizona Cardinals, down 7.46 points.

Bucs   2024 Win/Loss Projection    9/7
Falcons   2024 Win/Loss Projection   8/8
Saints   2024 Win/Loss Projection    6/10
Panthers   2024 Win/Loss Projection    4/12


Goode's Winning Index

Percentile Chart

100=Stongest 50=Average 0=Weakest
Lines: Playoff Avg=59 SuperBowl Avg=72

Win Mrg Points Change

Winning Margin Points Change
Sorted by Points Change, 2023 to 2024

NFC West

2024 Season, YTD through Week 16

Rank Team Pctl Stat
Value 		Points
behind
Leader 		Win Mrg
Pts Chg
vs 2023 		Games
Won
13 SEA 43 0.07 12.58 2.46 8
15 LAR 40 0.00 13.05 -1.00 10
17 ARI 38 -0.07 13.51 7.46 7
24 S F 30 -0.33 15.38 -15.31 6

Week 16--NFC West PLAYOFF RACE

Seahawks lead the division at 0.07 and are followed by Rams (0.00), Cardinals (-0.07) and 49ers (-0.33).
Cardinals earned -0.07 on Goode's Winning Index and are 13.51 points behind the league leader.
The Cardinals up/down points change on this stat over last season is 7.46.

The league's most up team on Goode's Winning Index is the Washington Commanders, up 11.65 points per game through week 16.
The most down team is the Detroit Lions, down 8.06 points.

Seahawks   2024 Win/Loss Projection    8/8
Rams   2024 Win/Loss Projection   10/6
Cardinals   2024 Win/Loss Projection    7/9
49ers   2024 Win/Loss Projection    6/10

Playoff Race Related Links:
Goode's Winning Index, 8 Divisional Bar Charts
Goode's Winning Index, 32-team Percentile Chart
Goode's Winning Index Yearly Charts for 32 Teams
Goode's Winning Index Points Behind Leader
Goode's Winning Index Link to Winning (Helmet graphs predict W-L records)