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PLAYOFF and SUPER BOWL PROJECTIONS

Goode's Winning Index
8 Divisional Charts

New for this season is our stat research group's GOODE'S WINNING INDEX number. Eight factors on offense and D are included in this one stat. It is even more accurate than Killer Stat II. Check the stat graphic each week for your fav team's ranking within your division. Are they the strongest in the division? If so they are likely to make the playoffs. If not at the top are they competitive, i.e., how many Points Behind the Leader? And did they get stronger this season? Check the Points Change column.

To reach the Super Bowl your team must FIRST win the race for the playoffs on this most important Killer Stat WINNING INDEX. Monday morn it is the first STAT VALUE to check (see STAT VALUE, tables below) to project their Games Won record.

Check it every Monday.

In the first few weeks the INDEX will run hot 'n cold. But it will settle down by the 3rd or 4th week. Barring serious injuries to playmakers, fans can have the satisfaction of thinking their fav team is playoff bound. A few years back, for example, the top 12 teams on the INDEX won the playoff race. It's a most reliable indicator.

Over the last 7 seasons Super Bowl winners averaged 0.90, playoff teams 0.55.



Goode's Winning Index

Percentile Chart

100=Stongest 50=Average 0=Weakest
Lines: Playoff Avg=68 SuperBowl Avg=82

Win Mrg Points Change

Winning Margin Points Change
Sorted by Points Change, 2024 to 2025

AFC South

2025 Season, YTD through Week 17

Rank Team Pctl Stat
Value 		Points
behind
Leader 		Win Mrg
Pts Chg
vs 2024 		Games
Won
7 JAX 71 0.69 6.12 10.92 12
8 IND 71 0.69 6.12 7.86 8
14 HOU 55 0.19 9.61 3.93 11
31 TEN 2 -1.44 20.97 -1.31 3

Week 17--AFC South PLAYOFF RACE

Jags lead the division at 0.69 and are followed by Colts (0.69), Texans (0.19) and Titans (-1.44).
Texans earned 0.19 on Goode's Winning Index and are 9.61 points behind the league leader.
The Texans up/down points change on this stat over last season is 3.93.

The league's most up team on Goode's Winning Index is the New England Patriots, up 14.42 points per game through week 17.
The most down team is the Tampa Bay Bucs, down -10.05 points.

Jags   2025 Win/Loss Projection    11/5
Colts   2025 Win/Loss Projection   9/7
Texans   2025 Win/Loss Projection    10/6
Titans   2025 Win/Loss Projection    3/13


Goode's Winning Index

Percentile Chart

100=Stongest 50=Average 0=Weakest
Lines: Playoff Avg=68 SuperBowl Avg=82

Win Mrg Points Change

Winning Margin Points Change
Sorted by Points Change, 2024 to 2025

AFC East

2025 Season, YTD through Week 17

Rank Team Pctl Stat
Value 		Points
behind
Leader 		Win Mrg
Pts Chg
vs 2024 		Games
Won
3 N E 82 1.00 3.93 14.42 13
5 BUF 80 0.94 4.37 -2.62 11
23 MIA 33 -0.50 14.42 -3.50 7
30 NYJ 2 -1.44 20.97 -8.30 3

Week 17--AFC East PLAYOFF RACE

Patriots lead the division at 1.00 and are followed by Bills (0.94), Dolphins (-0.50) and Jets (-1.44).
Patriots earned 1.00 on Goode's Winning Index and are 3.93 points behind the league leader.
The Patriots up/down points change on this stat over last season is 14.42.

The league's most up team on Goode's Winning Index is the New England Patriots, up 14.42 points per game through week 17.
The most down team is the Tennessee Titans, down -1.31 points.

Patriots   2025 Win/Loss Projection    13/3
Bills   2025 Win/Loss Projection   12/4
Dolphins   2025 Win/Loss Projection    7/9
Jets   2025 Win/Loss Projection    3/13


Goode's Winning Index

Percentile Chart

100=Stongest 50=Average 0=Weakest
Lines: Playoff Avg=68 SuperBowl Avg=82

Win Mrg Points Change

Winning Margin Points Change
Sorted by Points Change, 2024 to 2025

AFC North

2025 Season, YTD through Week 17

Rank Team Pctl Stat
Value 		Points
behind
Leader 		Win Mrg
Pts Chg
vs 2024 		Games
Won
10 BAL 61 0.38 8.30 -6.99 8
15 PIT 55 0.19 9.61 2.62 9
26 CLE 24 -0.75 16.16 3.50 4
27 CIN 24 -0.75 16.16 -7.43 6

Week 17--AFC North PLAYOFF RACE

Ravens lead the division at 0.38 and are followed by Steelers (0.19), Browns (-0.75) and Bengals (-0.75).
Ravens earned 0.38 on Goode's Winning Index and are 8.30 points behind the league leader.
The Ravens up/down points change on this stat over last season is -6.99.

The league's most up team on Goode's Winning Index is the New England Patriots, up 14.42 points per game through week 17.
The most down team is the Cleveland Browns, down 3.50 points.

Ravens   2025 Win/Loss Projection    7/9
Steelers   2025 Win/Loss Projection   10/6
Browns   2025 Win/Loss Projection    3/13
Bengals   2025 Win/Loss Projection    5/11


Goode's Winning Index

Percentile Chart

100=Stongest 50=Average 0=Weakest
Lines: Playoff Avg=68 SuperBowl Avg=82

Win Mrg Points Change

Winning Margin Points Change
Sorted by Points Change, 2024 to 2025

AFC West

2025 Season, YTD through Week 17

Rank Team Pctl Stat
Value 		Points
behind
Leader 		Win Mrg
Pts Chg
vs 2024 		Games
Won
4 DEN 80 0.94 4.37 2.18 13
13 K C 59 0.31 8.74 -2.18 6
16 LAC 53 0.13 10.05 -3.06 11
32 LV 0 -1.50 21.41 -4.37 2

Week 17--AFC West PLAYOFF RACE

Broncos lead the division at 0.94 and are followed by Chiefs (0.31), Chargers (0.13) and Raiders (-1.50).
Broncos earned 0.94 on Goode's Winning Index and are 4.37 points behind the league leader.
The Broncos up/down points change on this stat over last season is 2.18.

The league's most up team on Goode's Winning Index is the New England Patriots, up 14.42 points per game through week 17.
The most down team is the New York Giants, down 4.81 points.

Broncos   2025 Win/Loss Projection    13/3
Chiefs   2025 Win/Loss Projection   6/10
Chargers   2025 Win/Loss Projection    12/4
Raiders   2025 Win/Loss Projection    2/14


Goode's Winning Index

Percentile Chart

100=Stongest 50=Average 0=Weakest
Lines: Playoff Avg=68 SuperBowl Avg=82

Win Mrg Points Change

Winning Margin Points Change
Sorted by Points Change, 2024 to 2025

NFC East

2025 Season, YTD through Week 17

Rank Team Pctl Stat
Value 		Points
behind
Leader 		Win Mrg
Pts Chg
vs 2024 		Games
Won
6 PHI 76 0.81 5.24 -3.06 11
19 NYG 39 -0.31 13.11 4.81 3
21 DAL 35 -0.44 13.98 5.68 7
28 WAS 24 -0.75 16.16 -9.17 4

Week 17--NFC East PLAYOFF RACE

Eagles lead the division at 0.81 and are followed by Giants (-0.31), Cowboys (-0.44) and Commanders (-0.75).
Cowboys earned -0.44 on Goode's Winning Index and are 13.98 points behind the league leader.
The Cowboys up/down points change on this stat over last season is 5.68.

The league's most up team on Goode's Winning Index is the New England Patriots, up 14.42 points per game through week 17.
The most down team is the Dallas Cowboys, down 5.68 points.

Eagles   2025 Win/Loss Projection    10/6
Giants   2025 Win/Loss Projection   3/13
Cowboys   2025 Win/Loss Projection    7/9
Commanders   2025 Win/Loss Projection    4/12


Goode's Winning Index

Percentile Chart

100=Stongest 50=Average 0=Weakest
Lines: Playoff Avg=68 SuperBowl Avg=82

Win Mrg Points Change

Winning Margin Points Change
Sorted by Points Change, 2024 to 2025

NFC North

2025 Season, YTD through Week 17

Rank Team Pctl Stat
Value 		Points
behind
Leader 		Win Mrg
Pts Chg
vs 2024 		Games
Won
9 DET 71 0.69 6.12 -7.43 8
11 G B 61 0.38 8.30 -3.50 9
17 MIN 53 0.13 10.05 -5.24 8
18 CHI 47 -0.06 11.36 0.44 11

Week 17--NFC North PLAYOFF RACE

Lions lead the division at 0.69 and are followed by Packers (0.38), Vikings (0.13) and Bears (-0.06).
Bears earned -0.06 on Goode's Winning Index and are 11.36 points behind the league leader.
The Bears up/down points change on this stat over last season is 0.44.

The league's most up team on Goode's Winning Index is the New England Patriots, up 14.42 points per game through week 17.
The most down team is the Carolina Panthers, down 6.12 points.

Lions   2025 Win/Loss Projection    9/7
Packers   2025 Win/Loss Projection   10/6
Vikings   2025 Win/Loss Projection    7/9
Bears   2025 Win/Loss Projection    12/4


Goode's Winning Index

Percentile Chart

100=Stongest 50=Average 0=Weakest
Lines: Playoff Avg=68 SuperBowl Avg=82

Win Mrg Points Change

Winning Margin Points Change
Sorted by Points Change, 2024 to 2025

NFC South

2025 Season, YTD through Week 17

Rank Team Pctl Stat
Value 		Points
behind
Leader 		Win Mrg
Pts Chg
vs 2024 		Games
Won
20 ATL 39 -0.31 13.11 -0.87 7
22 T B 35 -0.44 13.98 -10.05 7
24 CAR 33 -0.50 14.42 6.12 8
25 N O 31 -0.56 14.85 -2.18 6

Week 17--NFC South PLAYOFF RACE

Falcons lead the division at -0.31 and are followed by Bucs (-0.44), Panthers (-0.50) and Saints (-0.56).
Falcons earned -0.31 on Goode's Winning Index and are 13.11 points behind the league leader.
The Falcons up/down points change on this stat over last season is -0.87.

The league's most up team on Goode's Winning Index is the New England Patriots, up 14.42 points per game through week 17.
The most down team is the Seattle Seahawks, down 7.86 points.

Falcons   2025 Win/Loss Projection    6/10
Bucs   2025 Win/Loss Projection   7/9
Panthers   2025 Win/Loss Projection    8/8
Saints   2025 Win/Loss Projection    6/10


Goode's Winning Index

Percentile Chart

100=Stongest 50=Average 0=Weakest
Lines: Playoff Avg=68 SuperBowl Avg=82

Win Mrg Points Change

Winning Margin Points Change
Sorted by Points Change, 2024 to 2025

NFC West

2025 Season, YTD through Week 17

Rank Team Pctl Stat
Value 		Points
behind
Leader 		Win Mrg
Pts Chg
vs 2024 		Games
Won
1 LAR 100 1.56 0.00 10.92 11
2 SEA 88 1.19 2.62 7.86 13
12 S F 61 0.38 8.30 4.81 12
29 ARI 22 -0.81 16.60 -5.24 3

Week 17--NFC West PLAYOFF RACE

Rams lead the division at 1.56 and are followed by Seahawks (1.19), 49ers (0.38) and Cardinals (-0.81).
Cardinals earned -0.81 on Goode's Winning Index and are 16.60 points behind the league leader.
The Cardinals up/down points change on this stat over last season is -5.24.

The league's most up team on Goode's Winning Index is the New England Patriots, up 14.42 points per game through week 17.
The most down team is the Indianapolis Colts, down 7.86 points.

Rams   2025 Win/Loss Projection    12/4
Seahawks   2025 Win/Loss Projection   13/3
49ers   2025 Win/Loss Projection    11/5
Cardinals   2025 Win/Loss Projection    4/12

Playoff Race Related Links:
Goode's Winning Index, 8 Divisional Bar Charts
Goode's Winning Index, 32-team Percentile Chart
Goode's Winning Index Yearly Charts for 32 Teams
Goode's Winning Index Points Behind Leader
Goode's Winning Index Link to Winning (Helmet graphs predict W-L records)