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PLAYOFF and SUPER BOWL PROJECTIONS

Goode's Winning Index
8 Divisional Charts

New for this season is our stat research group's GOODE'S WINNING INDEX number. Eight factors on offense and D are included in this one stat. It is even more accurate than Killer Stat II. Check the stat graphic each week for your fav team's ranking within your division. Are they the strongest in the division? If so they are likely to make the playoffs. If not at the top are they competitive, i.e., how many Points Behind the Leader? And did they get stronger this season? Check the Points Change column.

To reach the Super Bowl your team must FIRST win the race for the playoffs on this most important Killer Stat WINNING INDEX. Monday morn it is the first STAT VALUE to check (see STAT VALUE, tables below) to project their Games Won record.

Check it every Monday.

In the first few weeks the INDEX will run hot 'n cold. But it will settle down by the 3rd or 4th week. Barring serious injuries to playmakers, fans can have the satisfaction of thinking their fav team is playoff bound. A few years back, for example, the top 12 teams on the INDEX won the playoff race. It's a most reliable indicator.

Over the last 7 seasons Super Bowl winners averaged 0.90, playoff teams 0.55.



Goode's Winning Index

Percentile Chart

100=Stongest 50=Average 0=Weakest
Lines: Playoff Avg=61 SuperBowl Avg=74

Win Mrg Points Change

Winning Margin Points Change
Sorted by Points Change, 2022 to 2023

AFC South

2023 Season, YTD through Week 17

Rank Team Pctl Stat
Value
Points
behind
Leader
Win Mrg
Pts Chg
vs 2022
Games
Won
8 HOU 57 0.43 9.99 3.00 9
12 IND 50 0.21 11.48 1.50 9
21 JAX 39 -0.14 13.98 -1.00 8
23 TEN 37 -0.21 14.48 -1.50 4

Week 17--AFC South PLAYOFF RACE

Texans lead the division at 0.43 and are followed by Colts (0.21), Jags (-0.14) and Titans (-0.21).
Texans earned 0.43 on Goode's Winning Index and are 9.99 points behind the league leader.
The Texans up/down points change on this stat over last season is 3.00.

The league's most up team on Goode's Winning Index is the Baltimore Ravens, up 12.98 points per game through week 17.
The most down team is the Carolina Panthers, down -9.99 points.

Texans   2023 Win/Loss Projection    9/7
Colts   2023 Win/Loss Projection   9/7
Jags   2023 Win/Loss Projection    9/7
Titans   2023 Win/Loss Projection    5/11



Goode's Winning Index

Percentile Chart

100=Stongest 50=Average 0=Weakest
Lines: Playoff Avg=61 SuperBowl Avg=74

Win Mrg Points Change

Winning Margin Points Change
Sorted by Points Change, 2022 to 2023

AFC East

2023 Season, YTD through Week 17

Rank Team Pctl Stat
Value
Points
behind
Leader
Win Mrg
Pts Chg
vs 2022
Games
Won
3 BUF 87 1.43 3.00 9.99 9
4 MIA 74 1.00 5.99 6.99 10
27 N E 17 -0.86 18.97 -5.99 3
31 NYJ 4 -1.29 21.97 -8.99 4

Week 17--AFC East PLAYOFF RACE

Bills lead the division at 1.43 and are followed by Dolphins (1.00), Patriots (-0.86) and Jets (-1.29).
Patriots earned -0.86 on Goode's Winning Index and are 18.97 points behind the league leader.
The Patriots up/down points change on this stat over last season is -5.99.

The league's most up team on Goode's Winning Index is the Baltimore Ravens, up 12.98 points per game through week 17.
The most down team is the Pittsburgh Steelers, down 0.50 points.

Bills   2023 Win/Loss Projection    10/6
Dolphins   2023 Win/Loss Projection   11/5
Patriots   2023 Win/Loss Projection    4/12
Jets   2023 Win/Loss Projection    6/10



Goode's Winning Index

Percentile Chart

100=Stongest 50=Average 0=Weakest
Lines: Playoff Avg=61 SuperBowl Avg=74

Win Mrg Points Change

Winning Margin Points Change
Sorted by Points Change, 2022 to 2023

AFC North

2023 Season, YTD through Week 17

Rank Team Pctl Stat
Value
Points
behind
Leader
Win Mrg
Pts Chg
vs 2022
Games
Won
2 BAL 100 1.86 0.00 12.98 11
16 PIT 46 0.07 12.48 0.50 9
17 CIN 39 -0.14 13.98 -1.00 7
20 CLE 39 -0.14 13.98 -1.00 9

Week 17--AFC North PLAYOFF RACE

Ravens lead the division at 1.86 and are followed by Steelers (0.07), Bengals (-0.14) and Browns (-0.14).
Ravens earned 1.86 on Goode's Winning Index and are 0.00 points behind the league leader.
The Ravens up/down points change on this stat over last season is 12.98.

The league's most up team on Goode's Winning Index is the Baltimore Ravens, up 12.98 points per game through week 17.
The most down team is the Minnesota Vikings, down 1.50 points.

Ravens   2023 Win/Loss Projection    13/3
Steelers   2023 Win/Loss Projection   8/8
Bengals   2023 Win/Loss Projection    8/8
Browns   2023 Win/Loss Projection    11/5



Goode's Winning Index

Percentile Chart

100=Stongest 50=Average 0=Weakest
Lines: Playoff Avg=61 SuperBowl Avg=74

Win Mrg Points Change

Winning Margin Points Change
Sorted by Points Change, 2022 to 2023

AFC West

2023 Season, YTD through Week 17

Rank Team Pctl Stat
Value
Points
behind
Leader
Win Mrg
Pts Chg
vs 2022
Games
Won
7 K C 59 0.50 9.49 3.50 10
18 LV 39 -0.14 13.98 -1.00 6
25 LAC 26 -0.57 16.98 -3.99 5
26 DEN 24 -0.64 17.48 -4.49 7

Week 17--AFC West PLAYOFF RACE

Chiefs lead the division at 0.50 and are followed by Raiders (-0.14), Chargers (-0.57) and Broncos (-0.64).
Broncos earned -0.64 on Goode's Winning Index and are 17.48 points behind the league leader.
The Broncos up/down points change on this stat over last season is -4.49.

The league's most up team on Goode's Winning Index is the Baltimore Ravens, up 12.98 points per game through week 17.
The most down team is the Houston Texans, down 3.00 points.

Chiefs   2023 Win/Loss Projection    10/6
Raiders   2023 Win/Loss Projection   7/9
Chargers   2023 Win/Loss Projection    -1/-1
Broncos   2023 Win/Loss Projection    8/8



Goode's Winning Index

Percentile Chart

100=Stongest 50=Average 0=Weakest
Lines: Playoff Avg=61 SuperBowl Avg=74

Win Mrg Points Change

Winning Margin Points Change
Sorted by Points Change, 2022 to 2023

NFC East

2023 Season, YTD through Week 17

Rank Team Pctl Stat
Value
Points
behind
Leader
Win Mrg
Pts Chg
vs 2022
Games
Won
6 DAL 65 0.71 7.99 4.99 9
9 PHI 50 0.21 11.48 1.50 10
28 WAS 9 -1.13 20.90 -7.92 3
30 NYG 7 -1.21 21.47 -8.49 4

Week 17--NFC East PLAYOFF RACE

Cowboys lead the division at 0.71 and are followed by Eagles (0.21), Commanders (-1.13) and Giants (-1.21).
Cowboys earned 0.71 on Goode's Winning Index and are 7.99 points behind the league leader.
The Cowboys up/down points change on this stat over last season is 4.99.

The league's most up team on Goode's Winning Index is the Baltimore Ravens, up 12.98 points per game through week 17.
The most down team is the Kansas City Chiefs, down 3.50 points.

Cowboys   2023 Win/Loss Projection    11/5
Eagles   2023 Win/Loss Projection   12/4
Commanders   2023 Win/Loss Projection    4/12
Giants   2023 Win/Loss Projection    5/11



Goode's Winning Index

Percentile Chart

100=Stongest 50=Average 0=Weakest
Lines: Playoff Avg=61 SuperBowl Avg=74

Win Mrg Points Change

Winning Margin Points Change
Sorted by Points Change, 2022 to 2023

NFC North

2023 Season, YTD through Week 17

Rank Team Pctl Stat
Value
Points
behind
Leader
Win Mrg
Pts Chg
vs 2022
Games
Won
5 DET 65 0.71 7.99 4.99 10
11 G B 50 0.21 11.48 1.50 7
13 MIN 50 0.21 11.48 1.50 6
22 CHI 37 -0.21 14.48 -1.50 6

Week 17--NFC North PLAYOFF RACE

Lions lead the division at 0.71 and are followed by Packers (0.21), Vikings (0.21) and Bears (-0.21).
Bears earned -0.21 on Goode's Winning Index and are 14.48 points behind the league leader.
The Bears up/down points change on this stat over last season is -1.50.

The league's most up team on Goode's Winning Index is the Baltimore Ravens, up 12.98 points per game through week 17.
The most down team is the Detroit Lions, down 4.99 points.

Lions   2023 Win/Loss Projection    11/5
Packers   2023 Win/Loss Projection   7/9
Vikings   2023 Win/Loss Projection    8/8
Bears   2023 Win/Loss Projection    7/9



Goode's Winning Index

Percentile Chart

100=Stongest 50=Average 0=Weakest
Lines: Playoff Avg=61 SuperBowl Avg=74

Win Mrg Points Change

Winning Margin Points Change
Sorted by Points Change, 2022 to 2023

NFC South

2023 Season, YTD through Week 17

Rank Team Pctl Stat
Value
Points
behind
Leader
Win Mrg
Pts Chg
vs 2022
Games
Won
10 T B 50 0.21 11.48 1.50 6
15 N O 46 0.07 12.48 0.50 6
19 ATL 39 -0.14 13.98 -1.00 6
32 CAR 0 -1.43 22.97 -9.99 2

Week 17--NFC South PLAYOFF RACE

Bucs lead the division at 0.21 and are followed by Saints (0.07), Falcons (-0.14) and Panthers (-1.43).
Falcons earned -0.14 on Goode's Winning Index and are 13.98 points behind the league leader.
The Falcons up/down points change on this stat over last season is -1.00.

The league's most up team on Goode's Winning Index is the Baltimore Ravens, up 12.98 points per game through week 17.
The most down team is the Dallas Cowboys, down 4.99 points.

Bucs   2023 Win/Loss Projection    9/7
Saints   2023 Win/Loss Projection   7/9
Falcons   2023 Win/Loss Projection    7/9
Panthers   2023 Win/Loss Projection    2/14



Goode's Winning Index

Percentile Chart

100=Stongest 50=Average 0=Weakest
Lines: Playoff Avg=61 SuperBowl Avg=74

Win Mrg Points Change

Winning Margin Points Change
Sorted by Points Change, 2022 to 2023

NFC West

2023 Season, YTD through Week 17

Rank Team Pctl Stat
Value
Points
behind
Leader
Win Mrg
Pts Chg
vs 2022
Games
Won
1 S F 100 1.86 0.00 12.98 10
14 LAR 48 0.14 11.98 1.00 8
24 SEA 35 -0.29 14.98 -2.00 8
29 ARI 9 -1.13 20.90 -7.92 4

Week 17--NFC West PLAYOFF RACE

49ers lead the division at 1.86 and are followed by Rams (0.14), Seahawks (-0.29) and Cardinals (-1.13).
Cardinals earned -1.13 on Goode's Winning Index and are 20.90 points behind the league leader.
The Cardinals up/down points change on this stat over last season is -7.92.

The league's most up team on Goode's Winning Index is the Baltimore Ravens, up 12.98 points per game through week 17.
The most down team is the Miami Dolphins, down 6.99 points.

49ers   2023 Win/Loss Projection    12/4
Rams   2023 Win/Loss Projection   9/7
Seahawks   2023 Win/Loss Projection    9/7
Cardinals   2023 Win/Loss Projection    3/13


Playoff Race Related Links:
Goode's Winning Index, 8 Divisional Bar Charts
Goode's Winning Index, 32-team Percentile Chart
Goode's Winning Index Yearly Charts for 32 Teams
Goode's Winning Index Points Behind Leader
Goode's Winning Index Link to Winning (Helmet graphs predict W-L records)