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2024 through Monday, Week 11 According to Bud Goode's computer-aided analysis of pro football a good power
rating system is determined by simply dividing points scored on offense by
points allowed on defense.
The average team earns one point on offense for each point given up on defense
and has a ratio of 1.00. Divisional champs earn 1.5 points for each point given up and cellar dwellers
earn about 1 point for each 2 points allowed. An average team should be close to an 8-8 record.
Here are the power ratings for last year's playoff teams:
The ultimate playoff teams for this year will be the ones with
the best balance. After week number 11 the computer power ratings
are:
At the end of the season the strongest team will
earn about 2 points on offense for each point
allowd. Divisional leaders will be near 1.5
points for each D point given up. And
cellar-dwellers will earn only one point for each two
points on D (a ratio of 0.5-to-1). The average
team will score as many points as their D allows,
earning a ratio of 1-to-1. This spells a won/lost
recored near 8-8. In 2006 this balance-of-power stat corellated 97% with
the scoring differential (winning margin) and in 2005, 98%. This offensive-defensive scoring balance of power is a most reliable Killer Stat.
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