2025 through Monday, Week 10

Power Ratings

According to Bud Goode's computer-aided analysis of pro football a good power rating system is determined by simply dividing points scored on offense by points allowed on defense.

The average team earns one point on offense for each point given up on defense and has a ratio of 1.00. Divisional champs earn 1.5 points for each point given up and cellar dwellers earn about 1 point for each 2 points allowed. An average team should be close to an 8-8 record.

Here are the power ratings for last year's playoff teams:

2024 Playoff Teams
1 Green Bay Packers 31.29 7 Kansas City Chiefs 1.34
2 Miami Dolphins 10.16 8 Denver Broncos 1.24
3 Baltimore Ravens 9.47 9 Cincinnati Bengals 1.09
4 Philadelphia Eagles 1.53 10 Seattle Seahawks 1.01
5 Buffalo Bills 1.48 11 Arizona Cardinals 0.99
6 Minnesota Vikings 1.41 12 Houston Texans 0.97
2024: Super Bowl average = 20.38 Playoff average = 5.16

The ultimate playoff teams for this year will be the ones with the best balance. After week number 10 the computer power ratings are:

2025
1 Baltimore Ravens 6.54 17 Pittsburgh Steelers 0.96
2 Miami Dolphins 3.75 18 San Francisco 49ers 0.96
3 Green Bay Packers 2.80 19 Dallas Cowboys 0.95
4 L. A. Rams 1.64 20 Minnesota Vikings 0.94
5 Seattle Seahawks 1.60 21 Arizona Cardinals 0.94
6 Indianapolis Colts 1.56 22 Jacksonville Jaguars 0.93
7 Kansas City Chiefs 1.48 23 New York Jets 0.81
8 Detroit Lions 1.42 24 Atlanta Falcons 0.80
9 New England Patriots 1.38 25 Carolina Panthers 0.80
10 Houston Texans 1.36 26 Washington Commanders 0.80
11 Denver Broncos 1.36 27 New York Giants 0.79
12 Buffalo Bills 1.26 28 Cincinnati Bengals 0.72
13 L. A. Chargers 1.18 29 Cleveland Browns 0.69
14 Philadelphia Eagles 1.14 30 Las Vegas Raiders 0.63
15 Tampa Bay Bucs 1.07 31 New Orleans Saints 0.62
16 Chicago Bears 0.97 32 Tennessee Titans 0.51

At the end of the season the strongest team will earn about 2 points on offense for each point allowd. Divisional leaders will be near 1.5 points for each D point given up. And cellar-dwellers will earn only one point for each two points on D (a ratio of 0.5-to-1). The average team will score as many points as their D allows, earning a ratio of 1-to-1. This spells a won/lost recored near 8-8. In 2006 this balance-of-power stat corellated 97% with the scoring differential (winning margin) and in 2005, 98%. This offensive-defensive scoring balance of power is a most reliable Killer Stat.