2025 through Monday, Week 13

Power Ratings

According to Bud Goode's computer-aided analysis of pro football a good power rating system is determined by simply dividing points scored on offense by points allowed on defense.

The average team earns one point on offense for each point given up on defense and has a ratio of 1.00. Divisional champs earn 1.5 points for each point given up and cellar dwellers earn about 1 point for each 2 points allowed. An average team should be close to an 8-8 record.

Here are the power ratings for last year's playoff teams:

2024 Playoff Teams
1 Green Bay Packers 31.29 7 Kansas City Chiefs 1.34
2 Miami Dolphins 10.16 8 Denver Broncos 1.24
3 Baltimore Ravens 9.47 9 Cincinnati Bengals 1.09
4 Philadelphia Eagles 1.53 10 Seattle Seahawks 1.01
5 Buffalo Bills 1.48 11 Arizona Cardinals 0.99
6 Minnesota Vikings 1.41 12 Houston Texans 0.97
2024: Super Bowl average = 20.38 Playoff average = 5.16

The ultimate playoff teams for this year will be the ones with the best balance. After week number 13 the computer power ratings are:

2025
1 Green Bay Packers 11.31 17 Dallas Cowboys 1.03
2 Baltimore Ravens 3.11 18 Chicago Bears 1.02
3 Miami Dolphins 2.87 19 Pittsburgh Steelers 0.97
4 Seattle Seahawks 1.61 20 Tampa Bay Bucs 0.93
5 L. A. Rams 1.59 21 Atlanta Falcons 0.88
6 New England Patriots 1.46 22 Arizona Cardinals 0.87
7 Indianapolis Colts 1.43 23 Carolina Panthers 0.83
8 Houston Texans 1.33 24 Washington Commanders 0.81
9 Kansas City Chiefs 1.31 25 Minnesota Vikings 0.80
10 Denver Broncos 1.30 26 New York Jets 0.78
11 Buffalo Bills 1.30 27 New York Giants 0.76
12 Detroit Lions 1.28 28 Cincinnati Bengals 0.75
13 Jacksonville Jaguars 1.15 29 Cleveland Browns 0.72
14 San Francisco 49ers 1.14 30 New Orleans Saints 0.62
15 L. A. Chargers 1.10 31 Las Vegas Raiders 0.58
16 Philadelphia Eagles 1.08 32 Tennessee Titans 0.52

At the end of the season the strongest team will earn about 2 points on offense for each point allowd. Divisional leaders will be near 1.5 points for each D point given up. And cellar-dwellers will earn only one point for each two points on D (a ratio of 0.5-to-1). The average team will score as many points as their D allows, earning a ratio of 1-to-1. This spells a won/lost recored near 8-8. In 2006 this balance-of-power stat corellated 97% with the scoring differential (winning margin) and in 2005, 98%. This offensive-defensive scoring balance of power is a most reliable Killer Stat.