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2018 through Monday, Week 2

see also: Killer Stat Offense    
Killer Stat Defense    


Killer Stat

The single most meaningful independent statistic in pro football is Yards Per Pass Attempt Differential. This is the difference between a team's yards per pass gained on offense minus the same statistic yielded on defense.

Through Week 2, here are the League rankings:

Yds/Pass Att Differential

BAL and S F 2018 Season through Week 2
Team Team
Value
Bar Chart-Percentile
(100 strongest, 50 average, 0 weakest)
Pctl
Rank
Points Behind Leader
T B 5.2 barchart 100 0.0
LAR 3.2 barchart 81 7.6
K C 2.5 barchart 74 10.3
NYJ 2.5 barchart 74 10.5
ATL 2.3 barchart 72 11.1
BAL 2.2 barchart 71 11.7
WAS 1.8 barchart 67 13.2
OAK 1.6 barchart 66 13.8
CIN 1.2 barchart 61 15.5
JAX 1.0 barchart 60 16.0
MIN 1.0 barchart 60 16.2
LAC 0.9 barchart 59 16.6
DAL 0.5 barchart 55 18.1
G B 0.4 barchart 54 18.5
PIT -0.1 barchart 50 20.1
N E -0.1 barchart 50 20.2
S F -0.2 barchart 49 20.4
DEN -0.3 barchart 48 21.0
MIA -0.4 barchart 47 21.4
DET -0.5 barchart 46 21.8
NYG -0.8 barchart 43 22.9
CAR -1.0 barchart 41 23.5
TEN -1.0 barchart 41 23.7
IND -1.1 barchart 40 23.9
HOU -1.1 barchart 40 23.9
SEA -1.1 barchart 40 24.1
CLE -1.2 barchart 40 24.3
CHI -1.6 barchart 36 25.8
PHI -3.3 barchart 20 32.3
N O -3.5 barchart 17 33.2
BUF -3.7 barchart 16 33.8
ARI -5.3 barchart 0 40.1

  • T B is the league leader with 5.20 Yds/Pass Att Differential.
  • BAL at 2.15 Yds/Pass Att Differential is 11.7 points per game behind the leader.
  • S F at -0.15 Yds/Pass Att Differential 20.4 points per game behind the leader.

At the end of the season the strongest team will earn 2 to 2.5 yards per pass more on offense than their defense allows. Any team near +3 yards per toss will earn a Super Bowl invite.

The cellar-dwellers allow 2 to 2.5 yards per pass more than their offense earns.

Average teams earn as many yards as they allow (a zero yards per pass differential near 0.0) They will finish the season with a Won/Lost record near 8-8.

Related Links:
Killer Stat Offense
Killer Stat Defense