restricted access
       "The Number 1 Name for Statistical Analysis in Sports"

Webmaster:
Bill Sanders

Copyright 2010
BudGoodeSports.com
All Rights Reserved


Important Note:
Best viewed at 1024 x 768 resolution--browser window full-screen.
Tests ok with Netscape 4.6+ and IE 4+. Let us know about others.

BudGoodeSports
2013 through Monday, Week 17

see also: Killer Stat Offense    
Killer Stat Defense    


Killer Stat

The single most meaningful independent statistic in pro football is Yards Per Pass Attempt Differential. This is the difference between a team's yards per pass gained on offense minus the same statistic yielded on defense.

Through Week 17, here are the League rankings:

Yds/Pass Att Differential

BAL and S F 2013 Season through Week 20
Team Team
Value
Bar Chart-Percentile
(100 strongest, 50 average, 0 weakest)
Pctl
Rank
Points Behind Leader
SEA 2.1 barchart 100 0.0
CIN 1.8 barchart 91 1.3
N O 1.6 barchart 88 1.7
DEN 1.6 barchart 86 2.0
PHI 1.1 barchart 74 3.7
S F 1.0 barchart 72 4.0
ARI 0.9 barchart 69 4.5
CAR 0.7 barchart 64 5.2
PIT 0.4 barchart 56 6.4
S D 0.4 barchart 55 6.6
BUF 0.3 barchart 54 6.7
CHI 0.2 barchart 51 7.1
CLE 0.1 barchart 49 7.4
N E 0.1 barchart 49 7.4
DET 0.1 barchart 48 7.5
NYG 0.0 barchart 45 7.9
G B 0.0 barchart 45 8.0
TEN -0.2 barchart 39 8.8
HOU -0.3 barchart 38 9.0
STL -0.5 barchart 31 10.0
MIA -0.6 barchart 30 10.1
K C -0.6 barchart 30 10.1
IND -0.6 barchart 28 10.4
DAL -0.7 barchart 27 10.6
BAL -0.7 barchart 27 10.6
NYJ -0.8 barchart 23 11.1
MIN -0.9 barchart 21 11.5
ATL -1.0 barchart 18 11.9
OAK -1.1 barchart 15 12.3
WAS -1.2 barchart 13 12.6
JAX -1.5 barchart 5 13.8
T B -1.7 barchart 0 14.5

  • SEA is the league leader with 2.09 Yds/Pass Att Differential.
  • BAL at -0.68 Yds/Pass Att Differential is 10.6 points per game behind the leader.
  • S F at 1.03 Yds/Pass Att Differential 4.0 points per game behind the leader.

At the end of the season the strongest team will earn 2 to 2.5 yards per pass more on offense than their defense allows. Any team near +3 yards per toss will earn a Super Bowl invite.

The cellar-dwellers allow 2 to 2.5 yards per pass more than their offense earns.

Average teams earn as many yards as they allow (a zero yards per pass differential near 0.0) They will finish the season with a Won/Lost record near 8-8.

Related Links:
Killer Stat Offense
Killer Stat Defense