restricted access
       "The Number 1 Name for Statistical Analysis in Sports"

Webmaster:
Bill Sanders

Copyright 2010
BudGoodeSports.com
All Rights Reserved


Important Note:
Best viewed at 1024 x 768 resolution--browser window full-screen.
Tests ok with Netscape 4.6+ and IE 4+. Let us know about others.

BudGoodeSports
2018 through Monday, Week 17

see also: Killer Stat Offense    
Killer Stat Defense    


Killer Stat

The single most meaningful independent statistic in pro football is Yards Per Pass Attempt Differential. This is the difference between a team's yards per pass gained on offense minus the same statistic yielded on defense.

Through Week 17, here are the League rankings:

Yds/Pass Att Differential

BAL and S F 2018 Season through Week 19
Team Team
Value
Bar Chart-Percentile
(100 strongest, 50 average, 0 weakest)
Pctl
Rank
Points Behind Leader
K C 2.0 barchart 100 0.0
CHI 1.4 barchart 84 2.3
LAC 1.3 barchart 83 2.6
PIT 1.2 barchart 81 2.9
LAR 1.2 barchart 80 3.1
N E 0.8 barchart 70 4.5
BAL 0.8 barchart 69 4.7
MIN 0.6 barchart 64 5.5
T B 0.6 barchart 63 5.5
CLE 0.5 barchart 63 5.6
ATL 0.4 barchart 58 6.3
N O 0.4 barchart 58 6.3
S F 0.3 barchart 58 6.4
IND 0.3 barchart 57 6.4
HOU 0.2 barchart 55 6.8
PHI 0.2 barchart 54 6.9
SEA 0.1 barchart 52 7.2
BUF 0.0 barchart 49 7.6
NYG -0.1 barchart 47 7.9
TEN -0.1 barchart 46 8.2
DAL -0.4 barchart 39 9.1
CAR -0.5 barchart 36 9.6
G B -0.6 barchart 33 10.1
DEN -0.6 barchart 33 10.1
NYJ -0.8 barchart 29 10.7
WAS -0.8 barchart 28 10.8
DET -1.0 barchart 25 11.3
JAX -1.0 barchart 25 11.3
ARI -1.2 barchart 18 12.4
CIN -1.6 barchart 9 13.7
MIA -1.6 barchart 8 13.9
OAK -1.9 barchart 0 15.0

  • K C is the league leader with 2.00 Yds/Pass Att Differential.
  • BAL at 0.78 Yds/Pass Att Differential is 4.7 points per game behind the leader.
  • S F at 0.34 Yds/Pass Att Differential 6.4 points per game behind the leader.

At the end of the season the strongest team will earn 2 to 2.5 yards per pass more on offense than their defense allows. Any team near +3 yards per toss will earn a Super Bowl invite.

The cellar-dwellers allow 2 to 2.5 yards per pass more than their offense earns.

Average teams earn as many yards as they allow (a zero yards per pass differential near 0.0) They will finish the season with a Won/Lost record near 8-8.

Related Links:
Killer Stat Offense
Killer Stat Defense