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2016 through Monday, Week 3

see also: Killer Stat Offense    
Killer Stat Defense    


Killer Stat

The single most meaningful independent statistic in pro football is Yards Per Pass Attempt Differential. This is the difference between a team's yards per pass gained on offense minus the same statistic yielded on defense.

Through Week 3, here are the League rankings:

Yds/Pass Att Differential

BAL and S F 2016 Season through Week 3
Team Team
Value
Bar Chart-Percentile
(100 strongest, 50 average, 0 weakest)
Pctl
Rank
Points Behind Leader
DEN 2.5 barchart 100 0.0
ARI 1.8 barchart 83 2.8
MIN 1.6 barchart 78 3.7
NYG 1.6 barchart 78 3.7
SEA 1.5 barchart 75 4.1
ATL 1.4 barchart 75 4.2
PHI 1.4 barchart 75 4.2
DAL 1.0 barchart 65 5.7
BAL 0.9 barchart 63 6.1
HOU 0.9 barchart 62 6.2
N E 0.5 barchart 52 7.9
MIA 0.4 barchart 51 8.1
CAR 0.4 barchart 50 8.3
CIN 0.3 barchart 48 8.7
S D 0.3 barchart 48 8.7
DET 0.2 barchart 46 8.9
JAX -0.2 barchart 38 10.3
K C -0.3 barchart 35 10.8
WAS -0.3 barchart 34 11.0
TEN -0.4 barchart 33 11.1
L A -0.4 barchart 33 11.1
N O -0.7 barchart 26 12.2
CHI -0.8 barchart 23 12.7
CLE -0.9 barchart 21 13.1
T B -1.4 barchart 8 15.2
IND -1.5 barchart 7 15.4
S F -1.5 barchart 6 15.5
BUF -1.6 barchart 5 15.7
NYJ -1.6 barchart 5 15.8
G B -1.7 barchart 3 16.0
PIT -1.7 barchart 2 16.3
OAK -1.8 barchart 0 16.6

  • DEN is the league leader with 2.53 Yds/Pass Att Differential.
  • BAL at 0.93 Yds/Pass Att Differential is 6.1 points per game behind the leader.
  • S F at -1.53 Yds/Pass Att Differential 15.5 points per game behind the leader.

At the end of the season the strongest team will earn 2 to 2.5 yards per pass more on offense than their defense allows. Any team near +3 yards per toss will earn a Super Bowl invite.

The cellar-dwellers allow 2 to 2.5 yards per pass more than their offense earns.

Average teams earn as many yards as they allow (a zero yards per pass differential near 0.0) They will finish the season with a Won/Lost record near 8-8.

Related Links:
Killer Stat Offense
Killer Stat Defense