restricted access
       "The Number 1 Name for Statistical Analysis in Sports"
Home
Bud's Comments
Goode's Win Index
  2 Stats
Goode's Win Index
  1 Stat
Goode's Win Index
  32 Graphs
Killer Stat I
Killer Stat II
Predict Tools
PostGameAnalysis
Matchups
Power
Archive
Fantasy Notes
Media
Purpose
Education
About Us
Disclaimer


Webmaster:
Bill Sanders

Copyright 2024
BudGoodeSports.com
All Rights Reserved



This website is best viewed at 1024 x 768 resolution, full-screen.

BudGoodeSports
2025 through Monday, Week 17

see also: Killer Stat Offense    
Killer Stat Defense    


Killer Stat

The single most meaningful independent statistic in pro football is Yards Per Pass Attempt Differential. This is the difference between a team's yards per pass gained on offense minus the same statistic yielded on defense.

Through Week 17, here are the League rankings:

Yds/Pass Att Differential

BAL and S F 2025 Season through Week 18
Team Team
Value		 Bar Chart-Percentile
(100 strongest, 50 average, 0 weakest)		 Pctl
Rank		 Points Behind Leader
SEA 0.2 barchart 100 0.0
N E 0.1 barchart 90 0.1
LAR 0.1 barchart 88 0.1
G B 0.1 barchart 85 0.2
BUF 0.1 barchart 77 0.3
DEN 0.1 barchart 71 0.3
HOU 0.1 barchart 69 0.4
PHI 0.1 barchart 69 0.4
DET 0.0 barchart 63 0.4
S F 0.0 barchart 63 0.4
JAX 0.0 barchart 60 0.5
ATL 0.0 barchart 60 0.5
IND 0.0 barchart 56 0.5
LAC 0.0 barchart 56 0.5
N O 0.0 barchart 50 0.6
NYG 0.0 barchart 50 0.6
K C -0.0 barchart 48 0.6
PIT -0.0 barchart 48 0.6
BAL -0.0 barchart 46 0.6
DAL -0.0 barchart 42 0.7
CLE -0.0 barchart 40 0.7
MIN -0.0 barchart 40 0.7
MIA -0.0 barchart 40 0.7
CHI -0.0 barchart 38 0.7
T B -0.1 barchart 31 0.8
CAR -0.1 barchart 31 0.8
WAS -0.1 barchart 29 0.8
ARI -0.1 barchart 25 0.9
CIN -0.1 barchart 23 0.9
LV -0.1 barchart 23 0.9
NYJ -0.1 barchart 2 1.1
TEN -0.2 barchart 0 1.1

  • SEA is the league leader with 0.15 Yds/Pass Att Differential.
  • BAL at -0.01 Yds/Pass Att Differential is 0.6 points per game behind the leader.
  • S F at 0.04 Yds/Pass Att Differential 0.4 points per game behind the leader.

At the end of the season the strongest team will earn 2 to 2.5 yards per pass more on offense than their defense allows. Any team near +3 yards per toss will earn a Super Bowl invite.

The cellar-dwellers allow 2 to 2.5 yards per pass more than their offense earns.

Average teams earn as many yards as they allow (a zero yards per pass differential near 0.0) They will finish the season with a Won/Lost record near 8-8.

Related Links:
Killer Stat Offense
Killer Stat Defense