2023 through Monday, Week 17

Killer Stat

The single most meaningful independent statistic in pro football is Yards Per Pass Attempt Differential. This is the difference between a team's yards per pass gained on offense minus the same statistic yielded on defense.

Through Week 17, here are the League rankings:

Yds/Pass Att Differential

BAL and S F

2023 Season through Week 21

Team

Team
Value

Bar Chart-Percentile
(100 strongest, 50 average, 0 weakest)

Pctl
Rank

Points Behind Leader

SEA

0.4

100

0.0

LAC

0.3

0.4

CHI

0.2

0.7

K C

0.2

0.8

T B

0.2

1.0

DEN

0.2

1.0

IND

0.2

1.0

HOU

0.2

1.0

PIT

0.1

1.1

PHI

0.1

1.1

NYG

0.1

1.1

TEN

0.1

1.1

BUF

0.1

1.2

CIN

0.1

1.4

BAL

0.0

1.4

S F

0.0

1.5

ARI

-0.1

1.8

DET

-0.1

1.8

CAR

-0.1

1.8

ATL

-0.1

1.8

NYJ

-0.1

1.9

MIN

-0.1

2.1

JAX

-0.1

2.1

N E

-0.1

2.2

CLE

-0.2

2.2

WAS

-0.2

2.2

MIA

-0.2

2.3

N O

-0.2

2.3

DAL

-0.2

2.4

G B

-0.3

2.6

-0.3

2.6

LAR

-0.3

2.9

SEA is the league leader with 0.42 Yds/Pass Att Differential.
BAL at 0.04 Yds/Pass Att Differential is 1.4 points per game behind the leader.
S F at 0.03 Yds/Pass Att Differential 1.5 points per game behind the leader.

At the end of the season the strongest team will earn 2 to 2.5 yards per pass more on offense than their defense allows. Any team near +3 yards per toss will earn a Super Bowl invite.
The cellar-dwellers allow 2 to 2.5 yards per pass more than their offense earns.
Average teams earn as many yards as they allow (a zero yards per pass differential near 0.0) They will finish the season with a Won/Lost record near 8-8.
Related Links:
Killer Stat Offense
Killer Stat Defense