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2015 through Monday, Week 17

see also: Killer Stat Offense    
Killer Stat Defense    


Killer Stat

The single most meaningful independent statistic in pro football is Yards Per Pass Attempt Differential. This is the difference between a team's yards per pass gained on offense minus the same statistic yielded on defense.

Through Week 17, here are the League rankings:

Yds/Pass Att Differential

BAL and S F 2015 Season through Week 20
Team Team
Value
Bar Chart-Percentile
(100 strongest, 50 average, 0 weakest)
Pctl
Rank
Points Behind Leader
ARI 1.9 barchart 100 0.0
SEA 1.7 barchart 94 0.8
CIN 1.7 barchart 93 1.0
DEN 1.4 barchart 85 2.1
CAR 1.2 barchart 79 2.9
N E 1.0 barchart 74 3.7
PIT 0.9 barchart 72 3.8
NYJ 0.7 barchart 67 4.6
BUF 0.5 barchart 60 5.6
K C 0.3 barchart 56 6.2
WAS 0.3 barchart 55 6.3
T B 0.2 barchart 51 6.8
ATL 0.1 barchart 50 6.9
OAK 0.1 barchart 49 7.0
HOU -0.1 barchart 45 7.6
CHI -0.2 barchart 41 8.2
DET -0.3 barchart 38 8.6
MIN -0.3 barchart 38 8.7
BAL -0.4 barchart 36 8.8
PHI -0.4 barchart 36 8.9
G B -0.4 barchart 35 9.0
JAX -0.5 barchart 33 9.3
NYG -0.5 barchart 33 9.4
STL -0.5 barchart 32 9.4
S D -0.5 barchart 32 9.4
DAL -0.7 barchart 29 9.9
TEN -0.8 barchart 24 10.6
N O -0.9 barchart 22 10.9
IND -1.0 barchart 19 11.2
MIA -1.1 barchart 16 11.6
CLE -1.7 barchart 1 13.8
S F -1.7 barchart 0 13.9

  • ARI is the league leader with 1.94 Yds/Pass Att Differential.
  • BAL at -0.38 Yds/Pass Att Differential is 8.8 points per game behind the leader.
  • S F at -1.70 Yds/Pass Att Differential 13.9 points per game behind the leader.

At the end of the season the strongest team will earn 2 to 2.5 yards per pass more on offense than their defense allows. Any team near +3 yards per toss will earn a Super Bowl invite.

The cellar-dwellers allow 2 to 2.5 yards per pass more than their offense earns.

Average teams earn as many yards as they allow (a zero yards per pass differential near 0.0) They will finish the season with a Won/Lost record near 8-8.

Related Links:
Killer Stat Offense
Killer Stat Defense