Bills at Chiefs

Bills advance by taking advantage of Ravens' unexpected miscues, setting up a 1- vs 2-seed matchup in KC.

In last week's Divisional Playoff feature we highlighted the Bills' offense, (check it out if you missed it). Buffalo leads the league in points scored and sits near the top in key independent stats like: giveaways, passing efficiency, and times sacked.

In the above mentioned feature for last week, we looked at Bills Yards Gained. Let's do the same for Chiefs. Pictured below, Chiefs rank close to league average at 13th compared to Bills at rank 8.

Again, Bills sit at or near the top of many key offensive stats. KC, not so much. Looking at both teams on our pass offense stat, yards per pass attempt, Bills rank 5. Chiefs rank unexpectedly low at 21st, well below league average. Killer Stat, Offense.

On the defensive side of the same stat, a measure of pass D, Bills come in at rank 15. Whereas the Chiefs fare better at rank 9. See Killer Stat, Defense.

Our computer likes Bills by 2 points after giving away 3 for the home field. It's a game that could go either way. After being blocked by the Chiefs in recent years, Buffalo comes in to town with the more potent offensive squad and a chance to finally move on to the big game. But we have to issue our now-standard proviso as regards the Chiefs. They seem to be able to turn it on when needed and play just well enough to win. While it's a dangerous game, they've pulled it off. It's not hard to imagine their luck running out some day. Could Sunday be the day? I'm siding with our computer and also picking the Bills.

Bill Sanders for BudGoodeSports.com
dr.bill@wrsanders.com

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