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Super Bowl: Bears-Colts

Colts' QB Manning led the league over the past 2 years on our Killer Stat, yards per pass. Earning more than 7 yards per toss in both 2005 and 2006 his passing efficiency stats go through the roof. The stat graphic below pictures the Colts' performance relative to Bears' QB Grossman's 6.09 (barely over league average, 14th).

Yards per Pass Att

Percentile Chart

100=Stongest 50=Average 0=Weakest
Lines: Playoff Avg=87 SuperBowl Avg=81

Win Mrg Points Change

Winning Margin Points Change
Sorted by Points Change, 2005 to 2006
Rank Team Pctl Stat
Value
Points
behind
Leader
Win Mrg
Pts Chg
vs 2005
Games
Won
1 IND 100 7.53 0.00 -0.46 12
2 N O 98 7.47 0.27 7.67 10
3 PHI 90 7.20 1.38 6.87 10
4 DAL 85 7.06 1.95 4.13 9
5 CIN 78 6.85 2.85 0.13 8
6 S D 71 6.60 3.87 1.37 14
7 PIT 68 6.53 4.19 -2.47 8
8 BAL 63 6.35 4.93 5.16 13
9 ARI 62 6.31 5.08 0.47 5
10 WAS 58 6.19 5.59 0.52 5
11 STL 57 6.18 5.63 -0.32 8
12 N E 55 6.12 5.91 -3.52 12
13 K C 55 6.11 5.93 -4.00 9
14 CHI 55 6.09 5.99 6.82 13
15 JAX 53 6.05 6.16 -0.38 8
16 NYJ 53 6.04 6.22 4.12 10
17 G B 45 5.80 7.21 0.15 8
18 DET 45 5.80 7.23 2.58 3
19 DEN 44 5.77 7.34 -3.51 9
20 CAR 43 5.72 7.57 -4.76 8
21 BUF 42 5.69 7.68 2.84 7
22 S F 39 5.59 8.08 5.21 7
23 NYG 38 5.58 8.14 -2.19 8
24 SEA 34 5.44 8.71 -6.08 9
25 TEN 34 5.44 8.72 -1.31 8
26 MIN 31 5.36 9.07 -0.92 6
27 HOU 30 5.30 9.30 4.06 6
28 MIA 27 5.20 9.72 -1.96 6
29 CLE 24 5.13 10.02 -2.06 4
30 ATL 24 5.12 10.05 -1.44 7
31 T B 18 4.93 10.86 -2.28 4
32 OAK 0 4.36 13.22 -5.30 2

2006 Season, YTD through Week 17

In season 2005 Colts ranked 1st on Yards per Pass Att at 7.64.
In season 2006 they ranked 1st at 7.53, down 0.5 points per game on this one stat.
From 2005 to 2006 Colts declined by 7.8 points per game on Winning Margin.


However, in the same 2-year period Coach Lovey Smith has moved the Bears from the bottom to the middle of the ladder adding 7+ points per game on offense. Most of this improvement was earned in the current season (5.89 points, RED graphic above).

The stat graphic below pictures the weekly performance for the Colts on offense facing the Bears' pass D.

Yards per Pass Att

Indianapolis Colts

2006 through Week 17


Opp Yds per Pass Att

Chicago Bears

2006 through Week 17


Yards per Pass is the most important stat separating winners from losers. So the strongest offense (Colts) and the strongest defense (Bears) on passing efficiency will make this Super Bowl one to watch.

This season the Colts are the league leaders on offense earning 7.7 yards per toss while the Bears' lead the league on pass D allowing only 5.02 yards per opponent attempt.

The dark blue TREND line shows the Colts were stronger than league average all season. The same is true for the Bears' pass D. If the two teams play to statistical form on this key Killer Stat, yards per pass, the Colts have a 2.3-point edge.

The stat graphic below pictures the Bears, leading the league on pass D allowing only 5.02 yards per opponent pass while the Colts pass D allows 5.79 (rank 13th)

This is the second season Coach Lovey Smith's pass D has looked like a fortress.

Bud Goode

Opp Yds per Pass Att

Percentile Chart

100=Stongest 50=Average 0=Weakest
Lines: Playoff Avg=41 SuperBowl Avg=65

Win Mrg Points Change

Winning Margin Points Change
Sorted by Points Change, 2005 to 2006
Rank Team Pctl Stat
Value
Points
behind
Leader
Win Mrg
Pts Chg
vs 2005
Games
Won
1 CHI 100 5.02 0.00 -0.66 13
2 BAL 86 5.29 1.14 -0.27 13
3 S D 82 5.36 1.44 2.12 14
4 PHI 78 5.43 1.71 3.41 10
5 OAK 78 5.43 1.74 3.24 2
6 BUF 77 5.46 1.84 2.60 7
7 JAX 74 5.52 2.08 0.22 8
8 MIA 73 5.53 2.13 0.01 6
9 CAR 72 5.55 2.20 -0.88 8
10 N O 71 5.57 2.32 3.57 10
11 NYJ 65 5.68 2.77 -0.39 10
12 N E 64 5.70 2.84 3.81 12
13 IND 59 5.79 3.22 -0.47 12
14 G B 54 5.90 3.67 -0.56 8
15 DEN 52 5.93 3.79 -1.02 9
16 PIT 50 5.97 3.99 -2.74 8
17 SEA 50 5.97 3.99 -1.01 9
18 MIN 44 6.07 4.39 -0.81 6
19 NYG 43 6.09 4.48 -1.34 8
20 CLE 40 6.15 4.73 -1.45 4
21 K C 38 6.20 4.92 0.25 9
22 STL 35 6.26 5.17 -0.04 8
23 DAL 25 6.43 5.90 -2.66 9
24 S F 23 6.47 6.05 3.59 7
25 CIN 23 6.47 6.06 0.13 8
26 HOU 23 6.47 6.07 2.02 6
27 T B 23 6.47 6.08 -3.15 4
28 TEN 23 6.48 6.09 -0.77 8
29 DET 21 6.51 6.21 -2.03 3
30 ARI 17 6.60 6.58 -2.95 5
31 ATL 14 6.65 6.80 -4.49 7
32 WAS 0 6.91 7.90 -6.29 5

2006 Season, YTD through Week 17

In season 2005 Bears ranked 1st on Opp Yds per Pass Att at 4.86.
In season 2006 they ranked 1st at 5.02, down 0.7 points per game on this one stat.
From 2005 to 2006 Bears improved by 7.1 points per game on Winning Margin.


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