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Super Bowl: Bears-Colts

The graph below pictures the Colts' QB Manning atop the league on most passing efficiency stats among them the QB Sack.

QB Sacks

Percentile Chart

100=Stongest 50=Average 0=Weakest
Lines: Playoff Avg=72 SuperBowl Avg=72

Win Mrg Points Change

Winning Margin Points Change
Sorted by Points Change, 2005 to 2006
Rank Team Pctl Stat
Value
Points
behind
Leader
Win Mrg
Pts Chg
vs 2005
Games
Won
1 IND 100 0.94 0.00 1.01 12
2 BAL 96 1.06 0.41 5.06 13
3 WAS 93 1.19 0.81 2.43 5
4 N O 86 1.44 1.62 3.65 10
5 G B 84 1.50 1.82 0.61 8
6 NYG 82 1.56 2.03 0.61 8
7 CHI 82 1.56 2.03 1.22 13
8 S D 77 1.75 2.63 0.61 14
9 PHI 77 1.75 2.63 2.84 10
10 N E 75 1.81 2.84 -0.20 12
11 JAX 74 1.88 3.04 0.41 8
12 TEN 74 1.88 3.04 0.20 8
13 DEN 72 1.94 3.24 -1.62 9
14 CAR 70 2.00 3.44 -0.81 8
15 T B 68 2.06 3.65 1.62 4
16 NYJ 67 2.13 3.85 3.85 10
17 ARI 65 2.19 4.05 2.03 5
18 S F 63 2.25 4.25 2.43 7
19 CIN 63 2.25 4.25 -2.84 8
20 DAL 61 2.31 4.46 2.63 9
21 MIA 54 2.56 5.27 -3.04 6
22 K C 54 2.56 5.27 -1.82 9
23 MIN 51 2.69 5.67 2.23 6
24 HOU 51 2.69 5.67 5.06 6
25 ATL 44 2.94 6.48 -1.62 7
26 BUF 44 2.94 6.48 -0.81 7
27 PIT 40 3.06 6.89 -3.44 8
28 SEA 40 3.06 6.89 -4.46 9
29 STL 40 3.06 6.89 -0.61 8
30 CLE 32 3.38 7.90 -1.82 4
31 DET 16 3.94 9.72 -6.68 3
32 OAK 0 4.50 11.54 -5.47 2

2006 Season, YTD through Week 17

In season 2005 Colts ranked 1st on QB Sacks at 1.25.
In season 2006 they ranked 1st at 0.94, up 1.0 points per game on this one stat.
From 2005 to 2006 Colts declined by 7.8 points per game on Winning Margin.


Get ready for this, you guys. The sack is a KILLER STAT. Tackled behind the line less than once per game is an accomplishment that helps a dozen other key stats.

For example: The sack correlates 35% with giveaways which cost 5 points each. and 30% with yards per pass attempt (the most important stat separating winners from losers). Improve just one yard per toss and you add 3+ points per game.

The sack also impacts total yards earned, yards per play and field position as measured by yards per TD (all at the 25% level).

From the point of view of the electronic hardware's analysis of football stats, the QB sack deserves more attention. During the game, watch it.

Conclusion: Bears' LB Brian Urlacher and his 258 pounds along with the heavy-hitting defense must lay on Manning heavier than a mortgage. If the two teams play to statistical form the Colts have an advantage on this one stat of 5.3 points.

Bud Goode

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