Jets at Patriots
With the Pats on offense and the Jets on D the key stat is a measure
of passing efficiency. Add QB sack yards to INT yards is a pure
measure of efficiency. The Pats' QB Brady loses only 16 yards per game
ranking 4th.
The Jets' D earns a modest 18 yards per game.
The stat graphic below pictures the huge gap between these two
performances which gives the Pats a 6-point advantage.
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The Pats' QB Brady is a most efficient passer (Pats are weaker than
average in only 2 games, above the light blue line in chart above). It is flip side
for the Jets' pass D which is weaker than league average in all but
one game.
The second most important stat is the Run/Pass balance. The stat
graphic below pictures this imbalance:
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The Pats typically score early and use their ground game to roll the
clock. The stat graphic pictures the Pats' 9 gmes at or above the
light blue average line and winning all 9 games.
By comparison the Jets lost all 6 of the games where their opposition
ran the ball more than they passed.
Give the Pats another 5-point edge.
The Patriots should win this contest by 11 points.
Bud Goode
Copyright 2007, BudGoodeSports.com. All rights reserved.
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