Bills at Broncos
Despite not winning their division, Bills take a statistically strong game into Denver.
Like the wildcard Rams, they've got a shot to go deep in the playoffs and could win this game. The big
problem, of course, for wildcard teams is playing on the road. And Denver is a hostile environment. Bills beat
a good Jags team on the road and this is another game that's tough to call.
Bills are stronger than Broncos at no. 8 on our key pass offense stat, yards per pass attempt. Broncos come in
at rank 17th. See
Killer Stat, Offense.
On the defensive side of the same stat, a measure of pass D, both teams are solid with Broncos leading the league but Bills close at rank 5th.
As we pointed out last week what Bills lost on offense versus past seasons, they made up for with improvement on defense.
Killer Stat, Defense.
A key stat to watch, which is likely to be the difference maker is QB Sacks. Denver pulls off a rare feat, leading the leauge in most opponenet QBs sacked,
while also leading the league if fewest times their own QB is sacked. Buffalo is about average. Since the QB Sack translates to big scoreboard points, this one stat (on both sides of the ball) is where Dever gets their points advantages on the matchups ledger. That plus the 3 points for home field.
The chart below shows the QB Sacks Difference (times opponent QB Sacked minus times your own QB Sacked) for Broncos over the season. They dish out more punishment
than they take with the difference a positive bar in all but 2 games at zero. Not once did they get sacked more than they sacked their opponent QB.
|
2025 through Week 17
|
|
|
| 
